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GWEB

Gardner-Webb 20 at Liberty 21

LIB
2022 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2022 · Williams Stadium (VA)
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Win probability · LIB
modelLIB aheadGWEB aheadconfidence bandkey playLIB scoreGWEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:43 · Aidan Alves punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Cutrell Haywood at the Liber 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 133Pregame prior+17.5Home team on offense−5.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Score differential−1.2Garbage-time factor−1.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:41: Narii Gaither run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jay Billingsley KICK) — GWEB win probability +4.4 pts (now 16%) (top driver: GWEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:01: Shedro Louis 2 Yd Run (Nick Brown Kick) — LIB win probability +3.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:29: Bailey Fisher pass complete to T.J. Luther for 10 yds for a TD, (Jay Billingsley KICK) — GWEB win probability +16.0 pts (now 36%) (top driver: GWEB has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 14:50: Jay Billingsley 41 yd FG GOOD — GWEB win probability +8.2 pts (now 53%) (top driver: GWEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:11: Dae Dae Hunter 1 Yd Run (Nick Brown Kick) — LIB win probability +21.4 pts (now 78%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LIB made the numbers' call on 8 of 10GWEB made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 10:52GWEB 4th & 14 at GWEB 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:12LIB 4th & 6 at LIB 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:26GWEB 4th & 16 at GWEB 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:00GWEB 4th & 10 at GWEB 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:29LIB 4th & 2 at LIB 30, up 7
    Close callPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:22GWEB 4th & 14 at GWEB 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:28LIB 4th & 12 at GWEB 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    89.0%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:57GWEB 4th & 15 at GWEB 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:30LIB 4th & 20 at GWEB 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%−0.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    88.4%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:53LIB 4th & 7 at LIB 49, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 70.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.8%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    71.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:17LIB 4th & 9 at LIB 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−2.8
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:35GWEB 4th & 3 at GWEB 36, up 3
    Close callPunted · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:43LIB 4th & 8 at LIB 8, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%−2.0
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:50GWEB 4th & 16 at LIB 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−5.0
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    25.3%−13.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:49LIB 4th & 3 at GWEB 31, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    54.0%−2.6
    54% to make
    Punt
    50.9%−5.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:16GWEB 4th & 4 at GWEB 31, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%−1.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:05LIB 4th & 11 at GWEB 40, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    67.3%−0.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:05GWEB 4th & 7 at GWEB 23, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−1.8
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.3%
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:43LIB 4th & 13 at LIB 30, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%−8.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LIB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3GWEB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:29LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:41GWEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:01LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:29GWEB Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:11LIB Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−1.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GWEBDrive 1INT
1 play · -12 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 14:38
1ST & 22
OWN 13
0
92.9%
Bailey Fisher pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 2FUMBLE
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:3893% → 93%
Q1 14:38
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
92.9%
Johnathan Bennett run for no gain to the GrdWb 14Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-3
92.7%
Shedro Louis run for a loss of 3 yards to the GrdWb 17 Shedro Louis fumbled, recovered by GrdWb William McRaineySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 3:087% → 8%
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
92.7%
Narii Gaither run for 6 yds to the GrdWb 23Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+4
92.7%
Narii Gaither run for 4 yds to the GrdWb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
92.7%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to T.J. Luther for 2 yds to the GrdWb 29Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 29
0
92.7%
Narii Gaither run for no gain to the GrdWb 29Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 8
OWN 29
-6
92.7%
Bailey Fisher sacked by Dennis Osagiede and Kendy Charles for a loss of 6 yards to the GrdWb 23Similar
Q1 10:52
4TH & 14
OWN 23
+12
92.0%
Austin Hendley punt for 49 yds , Demario Douglas returns for 12 yds to the Liber 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4092% → 92%
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
92.0%
T.J. Green run for 4 yds to the Liber 44Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
92.0%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
92.0%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:12
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
91.7%
Aidan Alves punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Cutrell Haywood at the GrdWb 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:468% → 9%
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
91.8%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Narii Gaither for 12 yds to the GrdWb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
91.7%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Cutrell Haywood for 8 yds to the GrdWb 40Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+4
91.7%
Narii Gaither run for 4 yds to the GrdWb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
91.6%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+1
91.7%
Jayden Brown run for 1 yd to the GrdWb 45Similar
Q1 10:12
3RD & 9
OWN 45
-7
91.7%
Bailey Fisher sacked by Dennis Osagiede for a loss of 7 yards to the GrdWb 38Similar
Q1 7:26
4TH & 16
OWN 38
+12
91.1%
Austin Hendley punt for 43 yds , Demario Douglas returns for 12 yds to the Liber 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 6TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:5791% → 93%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
90.9%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 12 yds to the Liber 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+31
91.1%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 31 yds to the GrdWb 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
91.3%
Shedro Louis run for 4 yds to the GrdWb 22Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+3
91.3%
Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 19Similar
Q1 7:26
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+9
91.2%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 9 yds to the GrdWb 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
91.3%
Johnathan Bennett run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 7Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
92.6%
Jerome Jackson 7 Yd pass from Johnathan Bennett (Nick Brown Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:299% → 9%
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.2%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Cutrell Haywood for 4 yds to the GrdWb 29Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
91.1%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Cutrell Haywood for 10 yds to the GrdWb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
91.0%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
91.0%
Bailey Fisher run for 2 yds to the GrdWb 41Similar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 8
OWN 41
-2
91.1%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Narii Gaither for a loss of 2 yards to the GrdWb 39Similar
Q1 2:00
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
90.9%
Austin Hendley punt for 39 yds, downed at the Liber 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3192% → 91%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
91.8%
T.J. Green run for no gain to the Liber 22Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
91.8%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+8
91.7%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Noah Frith for 8 yds to the Liber 30Similar
Q1 0:29
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
91.2%
Aidan Alves punt for 58 yds, downed at the GrdWb 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 9TD
16 plays · 88 yds · 4:1910% → 16%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+18
90.3%
Narii Gaither run for 18 yds to the GrdWb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
90.2%
Narii Gaither run for no gain to the GrdWb 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+12
90.3%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Cutrell Haywood for 12 yds to the GrdWb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
90.0%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
90.1%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+15
90.2%
FISHER, Bailey pass up the middle intercepted by SINGLETON, Kobe at the LIB50 intended for THOMAS, Deland. Singleton return for 5 yards to the GWU45, End of Play. PENALTY LIB Roughing the Passer on WASHINGTON, Aakil enforced 15 yards from the GWU42 to the LIB43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
89.6%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to T.J. Luther for 18 yds to the Liber 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
89.3%
GARDNER-WEBB Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Liber 30Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 30
-2
89.6%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Cutrell Haywood for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 17
OPP 32
+23
89.7%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to T.J. Luther for 23 yds to the Liber 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
89.3%
Narii Gaither run for 1 yd to the Liber 8Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
88.2%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Anthony Herock for 2 yds to the Liber 6Similar
Q2 10:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
88.6%
FISHER, Bailey pass to the left incomplete intended for HAYWOOD, Cutrell thrown to the LIB0. PENALTY LIB Pass Interference on SINGLETON, Kobe enforced 4 yards to the LIB2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
84.2%
Narii Gaither run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jay Billingsley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 10TD
2 plays · 62 yds · 0:3288% → 91%
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+60
87.6%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Noah Frith for 60 yds to the GrdWb 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.3%
Shedro Louis 2 Yd Run (Nick Brown Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:3910% → 10%
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
89.7%
GAITHER, Narii rush up the middle for a gain of 7 yards to the GWU32 (HARDY, Jay;SINGS V, Stephen). PENALTY GWU Holding on BURKE, Travis enforced 10 yards from the GWU25 to the GWU15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:01
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
89.8%
Narii Gaither run for no gain to the GrdWb 15Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+3
89.9%
Narii Gaither run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 18Similar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+3
90.1%
Bailey Fisher run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 21Similar
Q2 7:22
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
90.2%
Austin Hendley punt for 23 yds, downed at the GrdWb 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:5492% → 91%
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
91.7%
Johnathan Bennett run for a loss of 2 yards to the GrdWb 46 Johnathan Bennett fumbled, recovered by Liber Johnathan BennettSimilar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 12
OPP 46
0
91.5%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 12
OPP 46
0
91.1%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:28
4TH & 12
OPP 46
0
90.6%
Aidan Alves punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Cutrell Haywood at the GrdWb 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:3111% → 10%
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
89.5%
Jayden Brown run for 2 yds to the GrdWb 10Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+14
89.6%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Anthony Herock for 14 yds to the GrdWb 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
89.4%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
89.5%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
89.8%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:28
4TH & 10
OWN 24
-5
90.0%
GARDNER-WEBB Penalty, Encroachment on ANDERSON, Ty enforced (-5 Yards) to the GrdWb 19Similar
Q2 4:57
4TH & 15
OWN 19
0
89.9%
Austin Hendley punt for 12 yds, downed at the GrdWb 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 1:3192% → 90%
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-4
91.5%
Johnathan Bennett sacked by Brendan Jackson for a loss of 4 yards to the GrdWb 35Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 14
OPP 35
0
91.3%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:01
3RD & 14
OPP 35
-1
91.0%
Johnathan Bennett sacked by Ty French for a loss of 1 yard to the GrdWb 36Similar
Q2 3:41
4TH & 15
OPP 36
-5
90.2%
LIBERTY Penalty, False Start (Naasir Watkins) to the GrdWb 41Similar
Q2 3:30
4TH & 20
OPP 41
0
90.4%
Aidan Alves punt for 38 yds, downed at the GrdWb 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 15FG
18 plays · 93 yds · 3:3010% → 14%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
90.0%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 3
-1
90.8%
Narii Gaither run for a loss of 1 yard to the GrdWb 2Similar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 11
OWN 2
+46
91.1%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to T.J. Luther for 46 yds to the GrdWb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
89.5%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Cutrell Haywood for 4 yds to the Liber 48Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 6
OPP 48
-1
89.3%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Cutrell Haywood for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 49Similar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+12
89.5%
FISHER, Bailey pass to the right incomplete intended for HAYWOOD, Cutrell broken up by SINGLETON, Kobe at the LIB36. PENALTY LIB Pass Interference on SINGLETON, Kobe enforced 12 yards to the LIB37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
89.1%
Narii Gaither run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 38Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 11
OPP 38
-2
88.5%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Narii Gaither for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 40Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 13
OPP 40
+34
89.3%
Narii Gaither run for 34 yds to the Liber 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
87.4%
Bailey Fisher run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 7Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
87.4%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
88.0%
FISHER, Bailey pass up the middle incomplete intended for JONES, Donovan thrown to the LIB0. PENALTY LIB Holding on REESE, Quinton enforced half the distance from the goal, 2 yards from the LIB7 to the LIB5 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
87.8%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
87.8%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
85.7%
Jay Billingsley 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 16INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 1:2485% → 83%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
84.6%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 2 yds to the Liber 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
84.6%
Dae Dae Hunter run for no gain to the Liber 32Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
83.3%
Johnathan Bennett pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 17TD
10 plays · 57 yds · 4:0718% → 36%
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
82.2%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to T.J. Luther for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 3
50
+5
81.1%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Cutrell Haywood for 5 yds to the Liber 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
81.4%
Narii Gaither run for 1 yd to the Liber 44Similar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
81.4%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+13
82.2%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to T.J. Luther for 13 yds to the Liber 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
80.7%
Narii Gaither run for no gain to the Liber 31Similar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
80.7%
Janiero Crankfield run for no gain to the Liber 31Similar
Q3 9:37
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+21
80.1%
Narii Gaither run for 21 yds to the Liber 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
64.2%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to T.J. Luther for 10 yds for a TD, (Jay Billingsley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 22 yds · 1:3671% → 69%
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
70.8%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
70.5%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Noah Frith for 11 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
73.5%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
71.9%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 6
50
-1
71.8%
Johnathan Bennett sacked by William McRainey for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 49Similar
Q3 7:53
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
68.5%
Johnathan Bennett pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 19INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
64.2%
Ephraim Floyd pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2769% → 65%
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
69.0%
Nate Hampton run for 2 yds to the Liber 32Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
69.0%
Dae Dae Hunter run for no gain to the Liber 32Similar
Q3 7:44
3RD & 8
OWN 32
-1
67.7%
Nate Hampton sacked by Honus Wagner and Charlie Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 31Similar
Q3 6:17
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
64.9%
Aidan Alves punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Cutrell Haywood at the GrdWb 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4236% → 36%
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
64.5%
Narii Gaither run for no gain to the GrdWb 29Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+7
64.7%
Bailey Fisher run for 7 yds to the GrdWb 36Similar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 3
OWN 36
0
63.2%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:35
4TH & 3
OWN 36
-11
64.4%
Austin Hendley punt for 47 yds , Demario Douglas returns for a loss of 11 yards to the Liber 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5266% → 63%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
66.1%
Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the Liber 8Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 8
OWN 8
0
65.9%
Nate Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:35
3RD & 8
OWN 8
0
64.6%
Nate Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:43
4TH & 8
OWN 8
0
62.7%
Aidan Alves punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Cutrell Haywood at the Liber 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 23FG
9 plays · 21 yds · 3:5341% → 53%
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
58.7%
Narii Gaither run for 3 yds to the Liber 41Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+12
58.9%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to T.J. Luther for 12 yds to the Liber 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
57.4%
Bailey Fisher sacked by Tyren Dupree for a loss of 5 yards to the Liber 34Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 15
OPP 34
+17
58.9%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Cutrell Haywood for 17 yds to the Liber 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
57.3%
Narii Gaither run for 1 yd to the Liber 16Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 16
-2
52.3%
Narii Gaither run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 18
-5
54.0%
GARDNER-WEBB Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Liber 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 16
OPP 23
0
55.1%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 16
OPP 23
+41
47.0%
Jay Billingsley 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 24TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 4:3849% → 78%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+19
49.1%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 19 yds to the GrdWb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
53.5%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 3 yds to the GrdWb 45Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+7
53.4%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 7 yds to the GrdWb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
53.6%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Jaivian Lofton for 2 yds to the GrdWb 36Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
53.4%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+5
52.8%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for 5 yds to the GrdWb 31Similar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 3
OPP 31
+8
51.1%
Johnathan Bennett run for 8 yds to the GrdWb 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+20
56.0%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for 20 yds to the GrdWb 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
56.5%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 2 yds to the GrdWb 1Similar
Q4 10:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.9%
Dae Dae Hunter 1 Yd Run (Nick Brown Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:5530% → 29%
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
70.1%
Narii Gaither run for 6 yds to the GrdWb 31Similar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
68.2%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:11
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
70.0%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:16
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
71.2%
Austin Hendley punt for 42 yds, downed at the Liber 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 26PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:1174% → 71%
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
73.9%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 6 yds to the Liber 33Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+5
75.4%
BENNETT, Johnathan pass to the right incomplete intended for YARBROUGH, CJ thrown to the GWU44. PENALTY GWU Offsides on TURNER, Janathian enforced 5 yards from the LIB33 to the LIB38 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
75.5%
Johnathan Bennett run for 5 yds to the Liber 43Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+18
77.1%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Noah Frith for 18 yds to the GrdWb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
78.1%
LIBERTY Penalty, False Start (Naasir Watkins) to the GrdWb 44Similar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 15
OPP 44
0
76.2%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for no gain to the GrdWb 44Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 15
OPP 44
0
75.8%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:16
3RD & 15
OPP 44
+4
74.2%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Jaivian Lofton for 4 yds to the GrdWb 40Similar
Q4 6:05
4TH & 11
OPP 40
0
71.3%
Aidan Alves punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0033% → 30%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
67.3%
Bailey Fisher run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 23Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
67.5%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
69.1%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:05
4TH & 7
OWN 23
-2
70.2%
Austin Hendley punt for 42 yds , Demario Douglas returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:2273% → 68%
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
73.2%
Shedro Louis run for 7 yds to the Liber 40Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 3
OWN 40
0
76.1%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 3
OWN 40
-10
74.2%
Johnathan Bennett sacked by Ty French for a loss of 10 yards to the Liber 30Similar
Q4 3:43
4TH & 13
OWN 30
0
68.1%
Aidan Alves punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Cutrell Haywood at the GrdWb 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 29INT
4 plays · 14 yds · 1:2835% → 36%
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-7
65.3%
Bailey Fisher sacked by Dennis Osagiede and Kendy Charles for a loss of 7 yards to the GrdWb 20Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 17
OWN 20
-6
66.9%
Bailey Fisher sacked by Durrell Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the GrdWb 14Similar
Q4 3:43
3RD & 23
OWN 14
+27
68.6%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Ephraim Floyd for 27 yds to the GrdWb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
64.0%
Bailey Fisher pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 30END OF GAME
5 plays · 66 yds · 2:1575% → 95%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
75.1%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 15 yds to the Liber 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
83.0%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 6 yds to the GrdWb 47Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+46
84.1%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 46 yds to the GrdWb 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.4%
[NH] Kneel down by BENNETT, Johnathan at GWU2 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:11
Dae Dae Hunter 1 Yd Run (Nick Brown Kick)
+21.4
TD · Q3 9:29
Bailey Fisher pass complete to T.J. Luther for 10 yds for a TD, (Jay Billingsley KICK)
-16
FG · Q4 14:50
Jay Billingsley 41 yd FG GOOD
-8.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com