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AKR

Akron 12 at Liberty 21

LIB
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2022 · Williams Stadium (VA)
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Win probability · LIB
modelLIB aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playLIB scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:27 · Noah Perez 55 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 55Pregame prior+35.0Home team on offense+8.2Score differential+2.5Garbage-time factor+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.3Blowout margin+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q3 7:19: Noah Perez 26 yd FG GOOD — AKR win probability +2.5 pts (now 11%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:41: Cam Wiley run for 2 yds to the Liber 46 — AKR win probability +3.7 pts (now 11%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:21: Alex Adams 11 Yd pass from DJ Irons (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — AKR win probability +16.1 pts (now 26%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 14:14: LIBERTY Penalty, False Start (Cooper McCaw) to the Liber 24 — LIB win probability +5.3 pts (now 79%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:46: Dae Dae Hunter run for 1 yd for a TD AKRON Penalty, Offsides (Curtis Harper) declined, (Nick Brown KICK) — LIB win probability +12.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LIB made the numbers' call on 8 of 8AKR made the numbers' call on 12 of 12
  1. Q1 14:32AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 14:32LIB 4th & 2 at AKR 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    94.6%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    94.5%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:49AKR 4th & 25 at AKR 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:27AKR 4th & 15 at LIB 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.6%
    40% to make
    Punt
    6.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:33LIB 4th & 7 at AKR 19, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    91.6%−1.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:24AKR 4th & 19 at AKR 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.5
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:56LIB 4th & 2 at LIB 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%−0.2
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:56AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00AKR 4th & 10 at LIB 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.7%
    81% to make
    Punt
    4.8%−1.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:34LIB 4th & 6 at LIB 27, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:19AKR 4th & 8 at LIB 8, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.1%
    90% to make
    Punt
    5.5%−3.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:23LIB 4th & 10 at LIB 36, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:00AKR 4th & 13 at LIB 46, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−1.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    9.7%−1.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:40LIB 4th & 11 at LIB 28, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%−4.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:17AKR 4th & 18 at AKR 25, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−4.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:57LIB 4th & 16 at LIB 35, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%−6.9
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:59AKR 4th & 6 at AKR 5, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−1.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:04AKR 4th & 5 at AKR 40, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.0%−0.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:33LIB 4th & 23 at AKR 48, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−0.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:45AKR 4th & 3 at AKR 29, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.6%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LIB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3AKR made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 10:58LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:13LIB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:21AKR Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    26.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    26.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:46LIB Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:285% → 5%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.4%
DJ Irons pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
95.4%
DJ Irons pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
95.4%
DJ Irons pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:32
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+9
95.3%
Noah Gettman punt for 45 yds , Demario Douglas returns for 9 yds to the Liber 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 2TD
10 plays · 61 yds · 3:3495% → 95%
Q1 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
95.3%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 5 yds to the Liber 44Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+14
95.3%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 14 yds to the Akron 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
95.3%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 2 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+1
95.3%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 1 yd to the Akron 39Similar
Q1 14:32
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+5
95.3%
Johnathan Bennett run for 5 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q1 14:32
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+3
95.3%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 3 yds to the Akron 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+14
95.3%
BENNETT, Johnathan pass to the left incomplete intended for FRITH, Noah thrown to the AKR0. PENALTY AKR Pass Interference on DURANT, Tyson enforced 14 yards to the AKR17 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
95.3%
LIBERTY Penalty, False Start (Cooper McCaw) to the Akron 22Similar
Q1 14:32
1ST & 15
OPP 22
0
95.3%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 15
OPP 22
+22
95.0%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Khaleb Coleman for 22 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3INT
11 plays · 55 yds · 4:255% → 6%
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
94.9%
DJ Irons pass complete to Daniel George for 7 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+11
94.8%
Cam Wiley run for 11 yds to the Akron 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
94.8%
DJ Irons pass complete to Daniel George for 14 yds to the Liber 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
94.8%
AKRON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Liber 48Similar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 15
OPP 48
+13
94.8%
DJ Irons pass complete to Daniel George for 13 yds to the Liber 35Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 2
OPP 35
0
94.7%
Cam Wiley run for no gain to the Liber 35Similar
Q1 10:58
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+2
94.8%
Cam Wiley run for 2 yds to the Liber 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
94.7%
DJ Irons pass complete to Caleb Anderson for 10 yds to the Liber 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
94.7%
Cam Wiley run for 3 yds to the Liber 20Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 7
OPP 20
0
93.9%
DJ Irons pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
94.3%
PENALTY AKR Unsportsmanlike Conduct on IRONS, DJ LIB Unsportsmanlike Conduct on WASHINGTON, Aakil , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 4FUMBLE
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:0994% → 94%
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
94.3%
Shedro Louis run for 14 yds to the Liber 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
94.3%
Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the Liber 37Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
94.4%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+13
94.2%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Jaivian Lofton for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
50
-6
94.3%
Johnathan Bennett sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the Liber 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -15 yds · 1:356% → 6%
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
93.8%
DJ Irons pass complete to TJ Banks for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 46Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 12
OPP 46
0
93.9%
DJ Irons pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 12
OPP 46
-13
94.0%
DJ Irons sacked by TreShaun Clark and Kendy Charles for a loss of 13 yards to the Akron 41Similar
Q1 3:49
4TH & 25
OWN 41
0
93.9%
Noah Gettman punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 6TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 4:3694% → 95%
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
93.9%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 11 yds to the Liber 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
94.0%
Dae Dae Hunter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 41Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+4
93.9%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 4 yds to the Liber 45Similar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+12
93.9%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Jaivian Lofton for 12 yds to the Akron 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
94.1%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 18 yds to the Akron 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
93.5%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 1 yd to the Akron 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
-6
93.5%
Dae Dae Hunter run for a loss of 6 yards to the Akron 30Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 15
OPP 30
+30
94.8%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Treon Sibley for 30 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7MISSED FG
13 plays · 32 yds · 5:376% → 6%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
94.2%
DJ Irons pass complete to Daniel George for 4 yds to the Akron 35Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+9
94.1%
DJ Irons pass complete to Alex Adams for 9 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
94.1%
DJ Irons pass complete to Daniel George for 4 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+6
94.0%
DJ Irons pass complete to Alex Adams for 6 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
94.0%
DJ Irons pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+3
94.0%
DJ Irons run for 3 yds to the Liber 43Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+11
94.0%
DJ Irons pass complete to Anthony Williams Jr. for 11 yds to the Liber 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
93.8%
Clyde Price III run for no gain to the Liber 32Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-3
93.8%
DJ Irons sacked by Durrell Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the Liber 35Similar
Q2 8:33
3RD & 13
OPP 35
-2
94.3%
DJ Irons pass complete to Daniel George for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 37Similar
Q2 8:27
4TH & 15
OPP 37
+55
94.5%
Noah Perez 55 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 8MISSED FG
12 plays · 44 yds · 5:5495% → 95%
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
94.9%
Johnathan Bennett run for no gain to the Liber 37Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
94.6%
Shedro Louis run for 5 yds to the Liber 42Similar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+10
94.6%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 10 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
94.8%
Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+4
94.8%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to CJ Yarbrough for 4 yds to the Akron 42Similar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+9
94.7%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Khaleb Coleman for 9 yds to the Akron 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
94.9%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Jaivian Lofton for 11 yds to the Akron 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
94.9%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+1
94.8%
Johnathan Bennett run for 1 yd to the Akron 21Similar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+2
94.7%
Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the Akron 19Similar
Q2 2:33
4TH & 7
OPP 19
+37
94.5%
Nick Brown 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 1:096% → 5%
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
94.0%
DJ Irons pass complete to Cam Wiley for 2 yds to the Akron 25Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+22
94.0%
DJ Irons pass complete to TJ Banks for 22 yds to the Akron 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-15
93.7%
QB Keeper IRONS, DJ rush to the left for a gain of 24 yards to the LIB29 (RAHIMI, Robert), out of bounds. PENALTY AKR Face mask on BANES, Max enforced 15 yards from the AKR47 to the AKR32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 25
OWN 32
+12
94.0%
DJ Irons pass complete to Daniel George for 12 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 13
OWN 44
-6
94.3%
DJ Irons sacked by Durrell Johnson and Dennis Osagiede for a loss of 6 yards to the Akron 38Similar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 19
OWN 38
0
94.5%
DJ Irons pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 19
OWN 38
0
94.6%
Noah Gettman punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 24Similar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
94.6%
LIBERTY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Liber 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:2895% → 94%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 15
OWN 19
0
94.6%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 15
OWN 19
+13
94.5%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 13 yds to the Liber 32Similar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 2
OWN 32
0
94.5%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:56
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
94.2%
Aidan Alves punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11FG
9 plays · 61 yds · 0:566% → 7%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
94.4%
DJ Irons pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+7
94.4%
DJ Irons pass complete to Daniel George for 7 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+2
94.3%
Cam Wiley run for 2 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q2 0:56
4TH & 1
OWN 32
+11
94.4%
DJ Irons pass complete to Alex Adams for 11 yds to the Akron 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+41
94.1%
DJ Irons pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 41 yds to the Liber 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
92.9%
DJ Irons pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
92.9%
DJ Irons pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 10
OPP 16
0
93.5%
DJ Irons pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+34
93.1%
Noah Perez 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2193% → 92%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
92.7%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 5 yds to the Liber 28Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 28
-1
92.7%
Dae Dae Hunter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 27Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
92.4%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:34
4TH & 6
OWN 27
+9
91.9%
Aidan Alves punt for 48 yds , Tony Grimes Jr. returns for 9 yds to the Akron 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13FG
14 plays · 58 yds · 6:158% → 11%
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
91.9%
Cam Wiley run for 5 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+8
91.5%
Cam Wiley run for 8 yds to the Akron 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
91.4%
DJ Irons pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
91.6%
Jonzell Norrils run for 1 yd to the Akron 48Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+11
91.8%
DJ Irons pass complete to Alex Adams for 11 yds to the Liber 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
91.3%
AKRON Penalty, False Start (TJ Banks) to the Liber 46Similar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+2
91.6%
Cam Wiley run for 2 yds to the Liber 44Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 13
OPP 44
+8
91.6%
DJ Irons pass complete to Daniel George for 8 yds to the Liber 36Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+9
91.4%
DJ Irons pass complete to Cam Wiley for 9 yds to the Liber 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
90.7%
LIBERTY Penalty, Targeting on RAHIMI, Robert enforced half the distance from the goal (Robert Rahimi) to the Liber 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
90.7%
AKRON Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on WILLIAMS, Nate ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 13:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
90.7%
DJ Irons run for 1 yd to the Liber 8Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
91.2%
DJ Irons pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
88.6%
Noah Perez 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:4890% → 90%
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.2%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
90.1%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Jaivian Lofton for 11 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
90.7%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
90.4%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
90.0%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:23
4TH & 10
OWN 36
+38
90.2%
Aidan Alves punt for 45 yds , Tony Grimes Jr. returns for 38 yds to the Liber 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 1:4812% → 10%
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
87.8%
AKRON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tony Grimes Jr.) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:48
1ST & 17
50
0
88.9%
DJ Irons pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:48
2ND & 17
50
+2
89.1%
DJ Irons pass complete to Tony Grimes Jr. for 2 yds to the Liber 48Similar
Q3 5:48
3RD & 15
OPP 48
+7
89.5%
DJ Irons run for 7 yds to the Liber 41Similar
Q3 5:48
4TH & 8
OPP 41
-5
89.4%
AKRON Penalty, Delay Of Game (Curtis Harper) to the Liber 46Similar
Q3 4:00
4TH & 13
OPP 46
0
90.1%
Noah Gettman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 16INT
5 plays · 32 yds · 1:1992% → 92%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+14
91.9%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 14 yds to the Liber 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+17
92.1%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 17 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
92.8%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+1
92.6%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 1 yd to the Liber 47Similar
Q3 2:41
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
92.4%
Johnathan Bennett pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17TD
12 plays · 48 yds · 3:2011% → 26%
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
88.7%
Cam Wiley run for 2 yds to the Liber 46Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+8
88.7%
DJ Irons run for 8 yds to the Liber 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
88.7%
Cam Wiley run for 5 yds to the Liber 33Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+12
87.7%
DJ Irons pass complete to Cam Wiley for 12 yds to the Liber 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
87.7%
DJ Irons pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
87.9%
DJ Irons pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:35
3RD & 10
OPP 21
0
88.7%
LIBERTY Penalty, Offsides (Durrell Johnson) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
89.2%
IRONS, DJ pass to the right incomplete dropped by JACQUES-LOUIS, Shocky thrown to the LIB3. PENALTY AKR Unnecessary Roughness declined AKR Pass Interference on NORRILS, Jonzell enforced 15 yards to the LIB20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
+1
89.5%
DJ Irons run for 1 yd to the Liber 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
+8
90.1%
Cam Wiley run for 8 yds to the Liber 11Similar
Q4 14:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
73.9%
Alex Adams 11 Yd pass from DJ Irons (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 1:3479% → 77%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
79.3%
LIBERTY Penalty, False Start (Cooper McCaw) to the Liber 24Similar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 15
OWN 24
-1
78.5%
Johnathan Bennett sacked by Ryan Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 23Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 16
OWN 23
+10
78.3%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 10 yds to the Liber 33Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 6
OWN 33
-5
78.3%
LIBERTY Penalty, False Start (CJ Yarbrough) to the Liber 28Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 11
OWN 28
0
77.6%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:40
4TH & 11
OWN 28
+5
77.1%
Aidan Alves punt for 44 yds , Tony Grimes Jr. returns for 5 yds to the Akron 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 1:2324% → 21%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
76.1%
DJ Irons run for 3 yds to the Akron 36Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 7
OWN 36
-11
75.4%
DJ Irons sacked by Durrell Johnson for a loss of 11 yards to the Akron 25Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 18
OWN 25
0
78.9%
DJ Irons pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:17
4TH & 18
OWN 25
0
79.1%
Noah Gettman punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:2080% → 76%
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
80.2%
Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the Liber 43Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 8
OWN 43
-8
80.3%
Johnathan Bennett run for a loss of 8 yards to the Liber 35Similar
Q4 11:17
3RD & 16
OWN 35
0
76.7%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:57
4TH & 16
OWN 35
0
75.5%
Aidan Alves punt for 64 yds, downed at the Akron 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5823% → 21%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
77.2%
Cam Wiley run for 4 yds to the Akron 5Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 6
OWN 5
0
77.5%
DJ Irons pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 6
OWN 5
0
78.7%
DJ Irons pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:59
4TH & 6
OWN 5
0
79.2%
Noah Gettman punt for 37 yds , Demario Douglas returns for no gain to the Liber 5 LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Liber 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 22TD
8 plays · 52 yds · 4:1380% → 95%
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
79.8%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 1 yd to the Liber 49Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+5
79.5%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 5 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q4 8:59
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+31
79.9%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 31 yds to the Akron 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
82.0%
Nate Hampton run for 5 yds to the Akron 10Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+7
82.0%
Nate Hampton run for 7 yds to the Akron 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
82.3%
Michael Bollinger run for 2 yds to the Akron 1Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
82.0%
Nate Hampton run for no gain to the Akron 1Similar
Q4 4:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.8%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 1 yd for a TD AKRON Penalty, Offsides (Curtis Harper) declined, (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:425% → 4%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
95.4%
DJ Irons pass complete to Daniel George for 10 yds to the Akron 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
94.9%
DJ Irons run for 5 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
94.6%
DJ Irons run for no gain to the Akron 40Similar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
94.8%
DJ Irons pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:04
4TH & 5
OWN 40
-5
95.5%
DJ Irons sacked by TreShaun Clark for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 35Similar
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-15
95.9%
HAMPTON, Nate pass to the left complete for 17 yards to DOUGLAS, Demario caught at the AKR30 and advanced to the AKR18 (THREATT, Cam). PENALTY LIB Pass Interference on SIBLEY, Treon enforced 15 yards to the LIB50 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · -13 yds · 1:1796% → 96%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 25
50
+4
95.5%
Nate Hampton run for 4 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 21
OPP 46
0
95.5%
Nate Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 21
OPP 46
+3
95.1%
Nate Hampton run for 3 yds to the Akron 43Similar
Q4 2:50
4TH & 18
OPP 43
-5
94.5%
LIBERTY Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the Akron 48Similar
Q4 1:33
4TH & 23
OPP 48
0
95.9%
Aidan Alves punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tony Grimes Jr. at the Akron 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 25DOWNS
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:483% → 3%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+11
96.8%
DJ Irons pass complete to Shawn Naim for 11 yds to the Akron 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
96.7%
DJ Irons pass complete to TJ Banks for 4 yds to the Akron 26Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+3
96.4%
DJ Irons pass complete to Shawn Naim for 3 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 3
OWN 29
0
96.7%
DJ Irons pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:45
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
97.1%
DJ Irons pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:21
Alex Adams 11 Yd pass from DJ Irons (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
-16.1
TD · Q4 4:46
Dae Dae Hunter run for 1 yd for a TD AKRON Penalty, Offsides (Curtis Harper) declined, (Nick Brown KICK)
+12.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 14:14
LIBERTY Penalty, False Start (Cooper McCaw) to the Liber 24
+5.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com