Try the model
LIB

Liberty 36 at Wake Forest 37

WAKE
2022 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2022 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadLIB aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scoreLIB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:18 · Nick Brown 52 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 52Pregame prior+34.5Home team on offense+0.3Score differential+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:08: Dae Dae Hunter run for 43 yds for a TD, (Demario Douglas pass to for Two-Point Conversion) — LIB win probability +13.4 pts (now 34%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 9:14: Sam Hartman pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK) — WAKE win probability +18.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 5:50: Kaidon Salter pass complete to Demario Douglas for 38 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK) — LIB win probability +28.6 pts (now 46%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:39: Justice Ellison run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK) — WAKE win probability +25.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:11: Kaidon Salter pass complete to Demario Douglas for 18 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed) — LIB win probability +23.1 pts (now 35%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 9 of 12LIB made the numbers' call on 12 of 14
  1. Q1 12:17LIB 4th & 2 at WAKE 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    13.3%−0.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    13.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:17LIB 4th & 2 at WAKE 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    13.3%−0.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    13.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:16WAKE 4th & 10 at LIB 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    85.4%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:16LIB 4th & 1 at LIB 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.9%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:18LIB 4th & 9 at WAKE 35, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.6%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    15.4%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:57WAKE 4th & 8 at WAKE 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00LIB 4th & 20 at LIB 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−0.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:46LIB 4th & 20 at LIB 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−0.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:55LIB 4th & 4 at WAKE 29, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.1%−0.3
    58% to make
    Punt
    12.2%−2.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:39WAKE 4th & 3 at LIB 9, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.6%−0.3
    89% to make
    Punt
    81.9%−2.9
    average punt
  11. Q2 7:10LIB 4th & 2 at WAKE 47, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.2%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q2 4:39WAKE 4th & 13 at WAKE 2, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%−2.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 15:00WAKE 4th & 7 at WAKE 28, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 14:06WAKE 4th & 7 at WAKE 28, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 12:46WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 34, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.2%−1.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 12:05WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 34, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%−1.2
    average punt
  17. Q3 10:08WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    65.3%−1.6
    average punt
  18. Q3 8:40WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    64.4%−1.5
    average punt
  19. Q3 8:40LIB 4th & 11 at WAKE 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.0%
    45% to make
    Punt
    35.6%−1.3
    average punt
  20. Q3 7:11LIB 4th & 11 at WAKE 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.0%
    45% to make
    Punt
    36.7%−1.3
    average punt
  21. Q3 6:05LIB 4th & 8 at WAKE 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%
    average punt
  22. Q3 2:05LIB 4th & 8 at WAKE 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%
    average punt
  23. Q4 15:00WAKE 4th & 3 at LIB 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    56.4%−4.6
    27% to make
    Punt
    58.7%−2.3
    average punt
  24. Q4 12:39WAKE 4th & 20 at LIB 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−5.3
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.5%
    60% to make
    Punt
    41.9%−10.6
    average punt
  25. Q4 5:50LIB 4th & 6 at WAKE 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    12.3%−1.0
    38% to make
    Punt
    10.4%−2.8
    average punt
  26. Q4 1:11LIB 4th & 4 at WAKE 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    7.5%−4.2
    79% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−7.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WAKE made the numbers' call on 4 of 4LIB made the numbers' call on 1 of 4
  1. Q2 13:19WAKE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:52WAKE Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:46LIB Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:08LIB Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    32.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    31.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:14WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:50LIB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.8%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.0%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:39WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.8%−1.8
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:11LIB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 3.4 ptsWent for two · failed
    Kick
    40.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    36.8%−3.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LIBDrive 1DOWNS
16 plays · 31 yds · 2:4310% → 11%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
90.2%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 6 yds to the Liber 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
90.2%
Kaidon Salter pass incomplete to Demario DouglasSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
90.2%
PENALTY LIB False Start (Hunter,Dae Dae) 5 yards from LIB31 to LIB26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
90.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Salter,Kaidon pass incomplete short to Douglas,Demario broken up by Mustapha,Malik PENALTY WFU Holding (Mustapha,Malik) 10 yards from LIB26 to LIB36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
90.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Salter,Kaidon pass incomplete short right to Snead,Caleb broken up by Wingfield,Isaiah PENALTY WFU Pass Interference (Holmes,Gavin) 15 yards from LIB36 to WFU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
90.2%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Noah Frith for 7 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 42
0
90.2%
Kaidon Salter pass incomplete to Demario DouglasSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 42
-4
90.2%
Kaidon Salter sacked by Malik Mustapha for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 46Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
90.2%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Noah Frith for 7 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 42
0
90.2%
Kaidon Salter pass incomplete to Demario DouglasSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 42
-4
90.2%
Kaidon Salter sacked by Malik Mustapha for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 46Similar
Q1 12:17
4TH & 7
OPP 46
+5
89.5%
Alves,Aidan punt 46 yards to the WFU00, Touchback PENALTY WFU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from WFU46 to WFU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:17
4TH & 2
OPP 46
-3
89.4%
Kaidon Salter sacked by Jacorey Johns for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 49Similar
Q1 12:17
4TH & 7
OPP 46
+5
89.5%
Alves,Aidan punt 46 yards to the WFU00, Touchback PENALTY WFU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from WFU46 to WFU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:17
4TH & 2
OPP 46
-3
89.4%
Kaidon Salter sacked by Jacorey Johns for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2FG
19 plays · 36 yds · 5:4490% → 89%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
90.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 4 yds to the Liber 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+2
90.2%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the Liber 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+14
90.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 14 yds to the Liber 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
90.2%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Donavon GreeneSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+3
90.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Blake Whiteheart for 3 yds to the Liber 28Similar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
89.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 4 yds to the Liber 47Similar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
89.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 4 yds to the Liber 47Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+2
89.6%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the Liber 45Similar
Q1 12:17
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+14
89.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 14 yds to the Liber 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
89.7%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Donavon GreeneSimilar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+3
89.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Blake Whiteheart for 3 yds to the Liber 28Similar
Q1 12:17
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+13
89.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 13 yds to the Liber 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
89.7%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the Liber 14Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+1
89.7%
Sam Hartman run for 1 yd to the Liber 15Similar
Q1 12:17
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
89.6%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Donavon GreeneSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
89.7%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the Liber 14Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+1
89.7%
Sam Hartman run for 1 yd to the Liber 15Similar
Q1 12:17
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
89.6%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Donavon GreeneSimilar
Q1 9:16
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+33
88.9%
Matthew Dennis 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 3MISSED FG
17 plays · 40 yds · 5:5811% → 13%
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.9%
LIBERTY Penalty, Illegal Shift (Jerome Jolly Jr.) declinedSimilar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
88.9%
Kaidon Salter pass incomplete to Caleb SneadSimilar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
89.0%
Kaidon Salter run for 11 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
88.8%
Kaidon Salter pass incomplete to Demario DouglasSimilar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
88.9%
Shedro Louis run for 7 yds to the Liber 43Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+2
88.8%
Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the Liber 45Similar
Q1 9:16
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+2
88.8%
Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the Liber 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+17
88.7%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to CJ Yarbrough for 17 yds CJ Yarbrough fumbled, recovered by Liber for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
88.7%
Shedro Louis run for 1 yd to the WFrst 35Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
88.6%
Kaidon Salter run for no gain to the WFrst 35Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 9
OPP 35
0
88.7%
Kaidon Salter run for no gain to the WFrst 35Similar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+17
88.7%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to CJ Yarbrough for 17 yds CJ Yarbrough fumbled, recovered by Liber for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
88.7%
Shedro Louis run for 1 yd to the WFrst 35Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
88.6%
Kaidon Salter run for no gain to the WFrst 35Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 9
OPP 35
0
88.7%
Kaidon Salter run for no gain to the WFrst 35Similar
Q1 3:18
4TH & 9
OPP 35
+52
87.3%
Nick Brown 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 1:2187% → 86%
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
87.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 7 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 3
OWN 43
0
87.6%
Christian Turner run for no gain to the WFrst 43Similar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 3
OWN 43
-5
87.4%
PENALTY WFU False Start (Nash,Je'Vionte) 5 yards from WFU43 to WFU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
87.1%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn WilliamsSimilar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 3
OWN 43
-5
87.4%
PENALTY WFU False Start (Nash,Je'Vionte) 5 yards from WFU43 to WFU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
87.1%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn WilliamsSimilar
Q1 1:57
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
86.3%
Ivan Mora punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · -6 yds · 2:1113% → 13%
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
86.7%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 8 yds to the Liber 22Similar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 18
OWN 22
-6
86.8%
Kaidon Salter sacked by Jasheen Davis for a loss of 6 yards to the Liber 16Similar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 18
OWN 22
-6
86.8%
Kaidon Salter sacked by Jasheen Davis for a loss of 6 yards to the Liber 16Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 24
OWN 16
+4
86.5%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 4 yds to the Liber 20Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 24
OWN 16
+4
86.5%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 4 yds to the Liber 20Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 20
+38
86.7%
Aidan Alves punt for 48 yds , Taylor Morin returns for 38 yds to the Liber 30Similar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 20
OWN 20
+38
86.7%
Aidan Alves punt for 48 yds , Taylor Morin returns for 38 yds to the Liber 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6TD
7 plays · 30 yds · 1:2787% → 89%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
86.8%
Sam Hartman sacked by Ahmad Walker for a loss of 5 yards to the Liber 35Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 15
OPP 35
+8
86.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 8 yds to the Liber 27Similar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+9
86.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 9 yds to the Liber 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
86.8%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Jahmal BanksSimilar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+2
86.8%
Sam Hartman run for 2 yds to the Liber 16Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+2
86.8%
Sam Hartman run for 2 yds to the Liber 16Similar
Q2 13:19
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+16
88.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 16 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 7INT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:0612% → 12%
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-9
88.1%
Johnathan Bennett sacked by Rondell Bothroyd for a loss of 9 yards to the Liber 24Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 19
OWN 24
+2
88.4%
Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the Liber 26Similar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 17
OWN 26
0
88.5%
Johnathan Bennett pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:1488% → 88%
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
88.4%
Sam Hartman pass interceptedSimilar
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
88.4%
Sam Hartman pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 9FG
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5713% → 13%
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
86.8%
Shedro Louis run for 6 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 4
OPP 29
0
86.7%
Johnathan Bennett pass incomplete to CJ YarbroughSimilar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 4
OPP 29
0
87.1%
Johnathan Bennett pass incomplete to Treon SibleySimilar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 4
OPP 29
0
87.1%
Johnathan Bennett pass incomplete to Treon SibleySimilar
Q2 10:55
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+47
86.7%
Nick Brown 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10FG
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:1687% → 88%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
87.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 7 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+42
87.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 42 yds to the Liber 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+10
88.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 10 yds to the Liber 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
88.1%
Christian Turner run for 6 yds to the Liber 10Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+1
88.1%
Christian Turner run for 1 yd to the Liber 9Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 3
OPP 9
0
87.8%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn WilliamsSimilar
Q2 8:39
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+27
87.6%
Matthew Dennis 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 11INT
9 plays · 31 yds · 2:5412% → 12%
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+19
87.8%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to CJ Yarbrough for 19 yds to the Liber 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
87.3%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 3 yds to the Liber 48Similar
Q2 8:34
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
87.1%
Kaidon Salter pass incomplete to Khaleb ColemanSimilar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+5
88.0%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for 5 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q2 7:10
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+4
88.0%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Demario Douglas for 4 yds to the WFrst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
87.9%
Kaidon Salter pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:0189% → 87%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
88.5%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Donavon GreeneSimilar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 10
OWN 5
0
88.4%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to A.T. PerrySimilar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 10
OWN 5
-3
88.2%
Sam Hartman sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 2Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 10
OWN 5
-3
88.2%
Sam Hartman sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 2Similar
Q2 4:39
4TH & 13
OWN 2
0
87.1%
Ivan Mora punt blocked by Jerome Jolly Jr. for a SAFETY blocked by Jerome Jolly Jr. for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 13INT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:2912% → 13%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
87.6%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 5 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 5
OPP 48
-5
87.2%
PENALTY LIB False Start (Reddy,Cam) 5 yards from WFU48 to LIB47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+14
87.9%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Demario Douglas for 14 yds to the WFrst 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+14
87.9%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Demario Douglas for 14 yds to the WFrst 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
87.2%
Kaidon Salter pass interceptedSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
87.0%
Kaidon Salter pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 2:1188% → 94%
Q2 3:03
1ST & 11
OWN 37
+10
88.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 10 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+41
88.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 41 yds to the Liber 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
89.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Turner,Christian rush middle for 1 yard loss to the LIB13 (Treadwell,Juawan) PENALTY LIB Personal Foul (Osagiede,Dennis) 6 yards from LIB12 to LIB06, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
89.2%
Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the Liber 8Similar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
89.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Turner,Christian rush middle for 1 yard loss to the LIB13 (Treadwell,Juawan) PENALTY LIB Personal Foul (Osagiede,Dennis) 6 yards from LIB12 to LIB06, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
89.2%
Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the Liber 8Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
93.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Blake Whiteheart for 8 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 15FG
8 plays · 46 yds · 0:459% → 13%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
91.4%
Kaidon Salter pass incomplete to Caleb SneadSimilar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+10
91.5%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for 10 yds to the WFrst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+27
90.6%
Kaidon Salter run for 27 yds to the WFrst 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
91.1%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Jerome Jackson for 9 yds to the WFrst 10Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+28
87.1%
Nick Brown 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:5491% → 90%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 5 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
90.8%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
90.3%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn WilliamsSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
89.9%
Ivan Mora punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 26Similar
Q3 14:06
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
89.9%
Ivan Mora punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 17TD
3 plays · 74 yds · 1:2011% → 21%
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+27
89.5%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Caleb Snead for 27 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
88.7%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 4 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+43
79.3%
Kaidon Salter run for 43 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:4183% → 82%
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.2%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to A.T. PerrySimilar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
83.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Blake Whiteheart for 9 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
83.3%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to A.T. PerrySimilar
Q3 12:46
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
82.3%
Ivan Mora punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 37Similar
Q3 12:05
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
82.1%
Ivan Mora punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 19TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 1:5719% → 34%
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
80.8%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 6 yds to the Liber 43Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+8
79.5%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Caleb Snead for 8 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
79.0%
Kaidon Salter run for 6 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+43
65.6%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 43 yds for a TD, (Demario Douglas pass to for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:2869% → 67%
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
69.2%
Justice Ellison run for 3 yds to the WFrst 22Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+1
68.8%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Justice Ellison for 1 yd to the WFrst 21Similar
Q3 10:08
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+13
67.5%
Sam Hartman run for 13 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q3 10:08
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
68.2%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Donavon GreeneSimilar
Q3 8:40
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
66.9%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Donavon GreeneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 21MISSED FG
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:2938% → 35%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
62.1%
Kaidon Salter pass incomplete to Demario DouglasSimilar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+1
62.1%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 1 yd to the WFrst 33Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+2
63.6%
Kaidon Salter run for 2 yds to the WFrst 35Similar
Q3 8:40
4TH & 11
OPP 35
+53
66.7%
Nick Brown 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q3 7:11
4TH & 11
OPP 35
+53
65.3%
Nick Brown 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 22INT
6 plays · -11 yds · 1:0667% → 65%
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
67.1%
Sam Hartman run for 4 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-10
69.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Cooley,Quinton rush right for 17 yards gain to the LIB44 (Green,Brylan) PENALTY WFU Holding (Jurgens,Michael) 10 yards from WFU39 to WFU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 16
OWN 29
-5
66.2%
PENALTY WFU False Start (Jurgens,Michael) 5 yards from WFU29 to WFU24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 16
OWN 29
-5
66.2%
PENALTY WFU False Start (Jurgens,Michael) 5 yards from WFU29 to WFU24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 21
OWN 24
0
66.2%
Sam Hartman pass interceptedSimilar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 21
OWN 24
0
65.2%
Sam Hartman pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 4:0037% → 41%
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
62.7%
Kaidon Salter run for 5 yds to the Liber 40Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
61.0%
Kaidon Salter run for 4 yds to the Liber 44Similar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+7
61.3%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 7 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
60.3%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 11
50
0
61.0%
Dae Dae Hunter run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 11
50
+3
62.2%
Kaidon Salter run for 3 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q3 6:05
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
63.9%
Aidan Alves punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 11Similar
Q3 2:05
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
58.9%
Aidan Alves punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 24FG
22 plays · 61 yds · 4:2661% → 65%
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
61.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 2 yds to the WFrst 13Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+7
61.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 7 yds to the WFrst 20Similar
Q3 2:05
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+3
60.5%
Sam Hartman run for 3 yds to the WFrst 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
61.7%
LIBERTY Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Ahmad Walker) to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
62.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 9 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
62.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 9 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+4
65.6%
Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+4
63.6%
Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
63.8%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to A.T. PerrySimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
63.2%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Taylor MorinSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+7
60.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 7 yds to the Liber 44Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 44
+7
61.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 7 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
64.6%
Christian Turner run for 1 yd to the Liber 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+10
64.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hartman,Sam pass intercepted by Singleton,Kobe at LIB10 PENALTY LIB Holding (Rahimi,Robert) 10 yards from LIB38 to LIB28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
66.8%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 10 yds to the Liber 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-10
66.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Ellison,Justice rush left for 2 yards gain to the LIB16 (Rahimi,Robert) PENALTY WFU Holding (Jurgens,Michael) 10 yards from LIB18 to LIB28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 28
0
65.9%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to A.T. PerrySimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 28
0
64.2%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to A.T. PerrySimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 20
OPP 28
0
61.0%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Taylor MorinSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 28
0
64.2%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to A.T. PerrySimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 20
OPP 28
0
61.0%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Taylor MorinSimilar
Q4 12:39
4TH & 20
OPP 28
+46
65.4%
Matthew Dennis 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 25FUMBLE
6 plays · 1 yds · 2:1537% → 37%
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
63.2%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 7 yds to the Liber 28Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+4
61.4%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 4 yds to the Liber 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
62.1%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 2 yds to the Liber 30Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 12
OWN 30
0
63.5%
Kaidon Salter pass incomplete to Caleb SneadSimilar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 12
OWN 30
-8
63.2%
Kaidon Salter sacked by Malik Mustapha for a loss of 8 yards to the Liber 4 Kaidon Salter fumbled, recovered by WFrst Ryan Smenda Jr. , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 26TD
2 plays · 4 yds · 1:0472% → 90%
Q4 10:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
71.9%
Christian Turner run for no gain to the Liber 4Similar
Q4 9:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
90.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 27TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 3:1815% → 46%
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+24
85.1%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Caleb Snead for 24 yds to the Liber 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
82.7%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Demario Douglas for 5 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+4
81.9%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 4 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+2
81.6%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 2 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
81.9%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for 4 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 6
OPP 38
0
81.4%
Kaidon Salter pass incomplete to Noah FrithSimilar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 6
OPP 38
0
82.3%
Kaidon Salter pass incomplete to Treon SibleySimilar
Q4 5:50
4TH & 6
OPP 38
+38
53.8%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Demario Douglas for 38 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 28TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 2:1162% → 94%
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
62.3%
Justice Ellison run for 5 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-10
63.5%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Donavon Greene) to the WFrst 24Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+41
61.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 41 yds to the Liber 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
69.3%
Justice Ellison run for no gain to the Liber 35Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+34
69.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 34 yds to the Liber 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
69.3%
Justice Ellison run for no gain to the Liber 35Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+34
69.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 34 yds to the Liber 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.4%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 29TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 2:2513% → 35%
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+23
87.4%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Demario Douglas for 23 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
85.2%
Kaidon Salter pass incomplete to Demario DouglasSimilar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+1
85.4%
Kaidon Salter run for 1 yd to the WFrst 46Similar
Q4 3:36
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+22
86.1%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Demario Douglas for 22 yds to the WFrst 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
82.5%
Kaidon Salter pass incomplete to Caleb SneadSimilar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
83.5%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 3 yds to the WFrst 21Similar
Q4 3:36
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+3
84.3%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for 3 yds to the WFrst 18Similar
Q4 1:11
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+18
64.8%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Demario Douglas for 18 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 30END OF GAME
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:1084% → 96%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
83.5%
run for 1 yd to the Liber 49Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+1
82.5%
run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
50
+1
95.6%
run for 1 yd to the WFrst 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:50
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Demario Douglas for 38 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)
-28.6
TD · Q4 3:39
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK)
+25.1
TD · Q4 1:11
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Demario Douglas for 18 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-23.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com