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MASS

Massachusetts 10 at UConn 27

CONN
2022 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2022 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:22 · Brady Olson pass incomplete to Ellis Merriweather
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 149Pregame prior+3.2Home team on offense+26.7Garbage-time factor+6.8Score differential+11.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 9:23: Noe Ruelas 23 yd FG GOOD — CONN win probability +2.4 pts (now 81%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:51: Brady Olson pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 53 yds for a TD, (Cameron Carson KICK) — MASS win probability +9.2 pts (now 29%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 2:05: Zion Turner run for 3 yds to the UMass 35 — CONN win probability +3.5 pts (now 76%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:55: Victor Rosa run for 5 yds for a TD, (Noe Ruelas KICK) — CONN win probability +10.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:54: Victor Rosa run for 12 yds for a TD, (Noe Ruelas KICK) — CONN win probability +5.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 5 of 8MASS made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 9:12CONN 4th & 4 at MASS 14, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.7%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.7%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    82.1%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:43MASS 4th & 5 at CONN 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    18.3%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:00MASS 4th & 10 at CONN 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.4%
    45% to make
    Punt
    19.1%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:23CONN 4th & 5 at MASS 5, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.3%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    76.6%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:35CONN 4th & 18 at MASS 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%−1.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:16MASS 4th & 14 at MASS 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−2.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:59CONN 4th & 8 at MASS 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    69.9%−4.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:20CONN 4th & 7 at CONN 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−1.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:29MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−1.9
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:50CONN 4th & 7 at MASS 48, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:29MASS 4th & 11 at MASS 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−1.9
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:31MASS 4th & 1 at CONN 10, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.5%−2.7
    88% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−9.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:15CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−1.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:22MASS 4th & 7 at CONN 45, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−0.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:56CONN 4th & 3 at MASS 48, up 17
    Close callPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:56MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 20, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.4%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MASS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:32CONN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:51MASS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:55CONN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:54CONN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1FUMBLE
10 plays · 32 yds · 3:5718% → 19%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
82.3%
UMASS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UMass 28Similar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 15
OWN 28
+1
82.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 29Similar
Q1 14:45
2ND & 14
OWN 29
+17
82.2%
Isaac Ross run for 17 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
82.1%
Brady Olson pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 5 yds to the UConn 49Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+4
82.0%
Brady Olson run for 4 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
81.9%
Brady Olson run for 2 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
81.9%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 9 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+4
81.6%
Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+45
80.8%
Ellis Merriweather run for a loss of 5 yards, Ellis Merriweather fumbled, recovered by UConn Jackson Mitchell , return for 45 yds to the UMass 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2MISSED FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3882% → 81%
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
81.5%
Victor Rosa run for 3 yds to the UMass 17Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+4
81.4%
Victor Rosa run for 4 yds to the UMass 13Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 3
OPP 13
-1
81.2%
Victor Rosa run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 14Similar
Q1 9:12
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+32
80.9%
Noe Ruelas 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3FG
8 plays · 75 yds · 4:1720% → 22%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+45
80.5%
Brady Olson pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 45 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
79.8%
Brady Olson sacked by Collin McCarthy for 0 yards to the UConn 35Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+10
79.7%
Brady Olson pass complete to George Johnson III for 10 yds to the UConn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
79.5%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 15 yds to the UConn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
79.2%
Brady Olson run for no gain to the UConn 10Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
79.1%
Ellis Merriweather run for 7 yds to the UConn 3Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
79.2%
Brady Olson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 5Similar
Q1 4:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
78.3%
Cameron Carson 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
80.2%
Devontae Houston run for 75 yds for a TD, (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5MISSED FG
11 plays · 40 yds · 4:2020% → 21%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.2%
Gino Campiotti run for no gain to the UMass 25Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
80.2%
Olson, Brady pass incomplete to Adams, Kay'Ron, PENALTY UCONN holding 10 yards to the MASS35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MASS.Similar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
79.9%
Brady Olson pass complete to Jacob Orlando for no gain to the UMass 35Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+17
79.9%
Brady Olson pass complete to Jacob Orlando for 17 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
78.9%
Kay'Ron Adams run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 49Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+16
79.0%
Brady Olson pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 16 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
78.0%
Brady Olson pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 36Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+1
78.2%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the UConn 35Similar
Q1 0:25
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
78.3%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 35
+43
79.1%
Cameron Carson 43 yd FG, MISSED, returned by Victor Rosa for 43 yds to the UConn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6FG
14 plays · 52 yds · 5:1780% → 81%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
79.6%
Devontae Houston run for 1 yd to the UConn 44Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+2
79.4%
Zion Turner pass complete to Aaron Turner for 2 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q2 13:43
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+11
79.0%
Zion Turner pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 11 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
79.7%
Aaron Turner run for 12 yds to the UMass 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
79.8%
Victor Rosa run for 6 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+2
79.8%
Zion Turner run for 2 yds to the UMass 23Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+4
79.3%
Robert Burns run for 4 yds to the UMass 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
79.7%
Zion Turner run for 5 yds to the UMass 14Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+4
79.6%
Devontae Houston run for 4 yds to the UMass 10Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+2
79.0%
Robert Burns run for 2 yds to the UMass 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
79.4%
Victor Rosa run for 3 yds to the UMass 5Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
79.4%
Zion Turner pass incomplete to Aaron TurnerSimilar
Q2 9:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
78.9%
Zion Turner pass incomplete to Justin JolySimilar
Q2 9:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
81.2%
Noe Ruelas 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 2:2119% → 29%
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
80.6%
Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+4
80.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+5
79.8%
Brady Olson run for 5 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
80.2%
Brady Olson run for 4 yds to the UMass 47Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+53
71.0%
Brady Olson pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 53 yds for a TD, (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:1275% → 73%
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
75.0%
Turner, Zion pass incomplete to Harrison, Dajon, PENALTY MASS face mask 15 yards to the UCONN40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCONN.Similar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
76.0%
Robert Burns run for 2 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+18
76.0%
Robert Burns run for 18 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
76.6%
Victor Rosa run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 41Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 11
OPP 41
0
76.3%
Zion Turner pass incomplete to Kevens ClerciusSimilar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 11
OPP 41
-7
75.1%
Zion Turner sacked by Marcus Cushnie for a loss of 7 yards to the UMass 48Similar
Q2 4:35
4TH & 18
OPP 48
0
73.1%
George Caratan punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:1928% → 27%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-18
71.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 18 yards to the UMass 2 TEAM fumbled, recovered by UMass Kay'Ron AdamsSimilar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 28
OWN 2
+4
72.0%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 4 yds to the UMass 6Similar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 24
OWN 6
+10
71.8%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 10 yds to the UMass 16Similar
Q2 2:16
4TH & 14
OWN 16
0
72.6%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 22 yds, downed at the UMass 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10FG
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:0676% → 77%
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
76.1%
Zion Turner run for 3 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+25
76.9%
Zion Turner pass complete to Justin Joly for 25 yds to the UMass 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
76.8%
Robert Burns run for 2 yds to the UMass 8Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
76.7%
Zion Turner pass incomplete to Aaron TurnerSimilar
Q2 1:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
75.7%
Zion Turner pass incomplete to Jacob FlynnSimilar
Q2 0:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
76.8%
Noe Ruelas 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11END OF HALF
9 plays · 17 yds · 0:4526% → 27%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
73.8%
Brady Olson pass complete to George Johnson III for 1 yd to the UMass 44Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
73.7%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+12
74.5%
Ellis Merriweather run for 12 yds to the UConn 44 Ellis Merriweather fumbled, forced by Durante Jones, recovered by UMassSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
72.4%
Brady Olson pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 9 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 1
OPP 35
-5
71.3%
Olson, Brady pass incomplete to Gibson, Jacquon, PENALTY MASS illegal motion 5 yards to the UCONN40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
73.2%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:2076% → 73%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
75.9%
Devontae Houston run for 1 yd to the UConn 20Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 9
OWN 20
-5
75.7%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (Devontae Houston) to the UConn 15Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 14
OWN 15
+7
75.4%
Zion Turner run for 7 yds to the UConn 22Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 7
OWN 22
0
74.3%
Aaron Turner run for no gain to the UConn 22Similar
Q3 12:20
4TH & 7
OWN 22
0
73.3%
George Caratan punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Isaac Ross at the UMass 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4626% → 24%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
73.8%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 31Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
73.8%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Cameron Sullivan-BrownSimilar
Q3 11:35
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
75.0%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
Q3 11:29
4TH & 9
OWN 31
+1
75.7%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 33 yds , Victor Rosa returns for 1 yd to the UConn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:3276% → 74%
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
75.5%
Robert Burns run for 5 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+7
76.4%
Robert Burns run for 7 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
76.7%
Robert Burns run for 4 yds to the UMass 47Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
-5
77.4%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the UConn 48Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 11
OWN 48
-5
76.0%
Turner, Zion pass complete to Joly, Justin for 7 yards to the MASS45, PENALTY UCONN ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the UCONN43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 16
OWN 43
+2
75.1%
Devontae Houston run for 2 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 14
OWN 45
+7
73.8%
Zion Turner pass complete to Aaron Turner for 7 yds to the UMass 48Similar
Q3 7:50
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
74.0%
George Caratan punt for 38 yds , Isaac Ross returns for no gain to the UMass 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:1627% → 25%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
73.2%
Kay'Ron Adams run for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 5Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 15
OWN 5
+4
73.6%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 4 yds to the UMass 9Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 11
OWN 9
0
74.6%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Cameron Sullivan-BrownSimilar
Q3 6:29
4TH & 11
OWN 9
0
75.4%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Victor Rosa at the UMass 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:2577% → 88%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+22
76.9%
Victor Rosa run for 7 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST down UMASS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the UMass 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+13
77.6%
Robert Burns run for 13 yds to the UMass 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
77.5%
Robert Burns run for 2 yds to the UMass 5Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
87.7%
Victor Rosa run for 5 yds for a TD, (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17MISSED FG
12 plays · 65 yds · 3:1414% → 16%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.6%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Isaac RossSimilar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
85.7%
Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q3 4:06
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+24
85.9%
Brady Olson pass complete to Isaac Ross for 24 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
83.4%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Onuma DiekeSimilar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+8
83.8%
Ellis Merriweather run for 8 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q3 3:02
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+5
83.3%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
82.5%
Olson, Brady pass incomplete to Ross, Isaac, PENALTY UCONN pass interference 15 yards to the UCONN19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MASS.Similar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
82.1%
Gino Campiotti run for 7 yds to the UConn 12Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+2
82.1%
Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UConn 10Similar
Q3 1:34
3RD & 1
OPP 10
0
83.3%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Jaret PallottaSimilar
Q3 1:31
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+27
84.4%
Cameron Carson 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:1087% → 86%
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
87.0%
Victor Rosa run for 6 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q3 0:56
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
87.4%
Victor Rosa run for 5 yds to the UConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
87.9%
Devontae Houston run for no gain to the UConn 31Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
87.8%
Zion Turner pass incomplete to Kevens ClerciusSimilar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
87.0%
Zion Turner sacked by Uchenna Ezewike for 0 yards to the UConn 31Similar
Q4 14:15
4TH & 10
OWN 31
+13
86.0%
George Caratan punt for 46 yds , Isaac Ross returns for 13 yds to the UMass 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19DOWNS TD
15 plays · 84 yds · 7:1687% → 98%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
86.6%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 37Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+6
86.8%
Brady Olson pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 6 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 3
OWN 43
-2
86.0%
Brady Olson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 41Similar
Q4 12:05
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+16
87.8%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 39 yds , Victor Rosa returns for 16 yds to the UCONN 36 CONNECTICUT Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the UConn 26Similar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
88.8%
Victor Rosa run for no gain to the UConn 26Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
88.3%
Zion Turner pass incomplete to Aaron TurnerSimilar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+15
87.7%
Turner, Zion pass incomplete to Joly, Justin, PENALTY MASS pass interference 15 yards to the UCONN41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCONN.Similar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
89.4%
Devontae Houston run for 1 yd to the UConn 42Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+5
89.3%
Zion Turner run for 5 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+8
89.2%
Zion Turner pass complete to Justin Joly for 8 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
90.1%
Victor Rosa run for 5 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+7
91.4%
Victor Rosa run for 7 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+26
92.2%
Victor Rosa run for 26 yds to the UMass 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
92.3%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UMass 12Similar
Q4 6:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
97.6%
Victor Rosa run for 12 yds for a TD, (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:213% → 2%
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
96.9%
Brady Olson pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 1 yd to the UMass 31Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+21
97.1%
Brady Olson pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 21 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
97.0%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
97.0%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+3
97.2%
Brady Olson pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 3 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q4 5:22
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
97.8%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Ellis MerriweatherSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:2198% → 98%
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
98.0%
Victor Rosa run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 43Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+2
98.1%
Victor Rosa run for 2 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+7
98.3%
Zion Turner pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 7 yds Kevens Clercius fumbled, recovered by UConn Noel Ofori-NyaduSimilar
Q4 2:56
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
98.2%
George Caratan punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Isaac Ross at the UMass 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22INT
7 plays · 56 yds · 1:342% → 2%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
98.2%
Brady Olson pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 5 yds to the UMass 16Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 5
OWN 16
0
98.2%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
Q4 2:23
3RD & 5
OWN 16
+4
98.2%
Brady Olson pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 4 yds to the UMass 20Similar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 1
OWN 20
+27
98.2%
Brady Olson pass complete to George Johnson III for 27 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+20
98.1%
Brady Olson pass complete to Isaac Ross for 20 yds to the UConn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
97.6%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
97.7%
Brady Olson pass intercepted Tre Wortham return for no gain to the UConn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · 32 yds · 0:3099% → 99%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+30
98.6%
Cale Millen run for 15 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST down UMASS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
98.8%
Camryn Edwards run for 2 yds to the UMass 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:55
Victor Rosa run for 5 yds for a TD, (Noe Ruelas KICK)
+10.2
TD · Q2 6:51
Brady Olson pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 53 yds for a TD, (Cameron Carson KICK)
-9.2
TD · Q4 6:54
Victor Rosa run for 12 yds for a TD, (Noe Ruelas KICK)
+5.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com