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FRES

Fresno State 14 at UConn 19

CONN
2022 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2022 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadFRES aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreFRES score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:57 · Jordan Mims run for no gain to the UConn 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 65Pregame prior−34.0Home team on offense−3.6Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential−2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 5:18: Aaron Turner 5 Yd pass from Zion Turner (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — CONN win probability +12.5 pts (now 30%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q4 2:20: Devontae Houston run for 17 yds for a TD, (Noe Ruelas KICK) — CONN win probability +52.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:18: Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 1 yd to the FrsSt 34 — FRES win probability +17.8 pts (now 28%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:31: Timeout FRESNO ST, clock 01:31 — CONN win probability +13.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:20: Timeout FRESNO ST, clock 01:20 — CONN win probability +9.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 4 of 8FRES made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 13:10CONN 4th & 2 at CONN 20, tied
    Close callPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:04CONN 4th & 3 at CONN 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:21FRES 4th & 1 at FRES 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:06CONN 4th & 7 at FRES 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.7%
    90% to make
    Punt
    11.9%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:02FRES 4th & 22 at CONN 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%−0.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:33CONN 4th & 5 at CONN 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:51CONN 4th & 10 at FRES 10, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−0.6
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    14.2%−3.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:57FRES 4th & 1 at CONN 49, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    79.3%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:18FRES 4th & 13 at FRES 25, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−5.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:42CONN 4th & 3 at CONN 42, down 2
    Close callPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:39FRES 4th & 3 at FRES 29, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%−1.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:55CONN 4th & 12 at CONN 29, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−3.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:26FRES 4th & 13 at FRES 44, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−7.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:25FRES 4th & 13 at FRES 30, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.7%
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.8%−2.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:00CONN 4th & 2 at FRES 22, up 5
    Close callWent for it · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.3%−0.9
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    83.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    81.3%−1.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 0 of 2FRES made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 12:50FRES Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 5:18CONN Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    30.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    30.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 2:20CONN Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.7%−1.0
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:466% → 6%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
5.5%
Devontae Houston run for 1 yd to the UConn 13Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+4
5.5%
Zion Turner run for 4 yds to the UConn 17Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+3
5.5%
Victor Rosa run for 3 yds to the UConn 20Similar
Q1 13:10
4TH & 2
OWN 20
0
6.0%
George Caratan punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the FrsSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 2FUMBLE
6 plays · 32 yds · 2:4594% → 93%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
6.0%
Logan Fife pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 3 yds to the FrsSt 41Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+3
6.0%
Logan Fife pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 3 yds to the FrsSt 44Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+15
6.0%
FIFE, Logan sacked for a loss of 8 yards at the FST36 (BOUYER-RANDLE, Brandon). PENALTY UCO Face mask on WATTS, Eric enforced 15 yards from the FST44 to the UCO41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
6.0%
Jordan Mims run for no gain to the UConn 41Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+23
6.0%
Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 23 yds to the UConn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-12
6.8%
run for a loss of 12 yards to the UConn 30 Logan Fife fumbled, recovered by UConn Pryce YatesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:217% → 7%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
7.0%
Devontae Houston run for 6 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+1
7.0%
Victor Rosa run for 1 yd to the UConn 37Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
7.0%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:04
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
7.4%
George Caratan punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4393% → 92%
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
7.4%
Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 25Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+1
7.7%
Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 26Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+1
7.7%
Logan Fife run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 27Similar
Q1 7:21
4TH & 1
OWN 27
+25
8.2%
Carson King punt for 45 yds , Victor Rosa returns for 25 yds to the UCONN 48 FRESNO ST Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Raymond Pauwels) to the FrsSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5FG
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:159% → 10%
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
8.5%
Aaron Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 11
OPP 33
+6
8.5%
Devontae Houston run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 27Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+4
8.4%
Devontae Houston run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 23Similar
Q1 7:21
4TH & 1
OPP 23
0
8.3%
FRESNO ST Penalty, Face mask (0 yards) (Malachi Langley) to the FrsSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
8.5%
Devontae Houston run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 9Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+1
8.5%
Zion Turner run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 8Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
8.4%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:06
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+26
10.2%
Noe Ruelas 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 29 yds · 4:5890% → 86%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
10.2%
Jordan Mims run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 23Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+10
10.2%
FIFE, Logan pass to the left incomplete intended for MORENO-CROPPER, Jalen thrown to the FST31. PENALTY UCO Pass Interference on BELL, Malcolm enforced at the spot of the foul for 10 yards to the FST33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
10.1%
Malik Sherrod run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 39Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+5
9.8%
FIFE, Logan pass to the right incomplete intended for DALENA, Mac thrown to the UCO46. PENALTY UCO Offsides on STAFFORD, Jelani enforced 5 yards from the FST39 to the FST44 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
9.8%
Logan Fife pass complete to Tre Watson for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 4
50
+4
9.7%
Malik Sherrod run for 4 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
9.7%
Logan Fife pass complete to Tre Watson for 11 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-4
9.6%
run for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 39Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 14
OPP 39
-4
12.0%
Logan Fife pass complete to Erik Brooks for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 18
OPP 43
-4
12.8%
Jordan Mims run for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 47Similar
Q2 14:02
4TH & 22
OPP 47
0
13.8%
Carson King punt for 43 yds, downed at the UConn 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7PUNT RETURN TD
10 plays · 31 yds · 4:2913% → 13%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
13.0%
Devontae Houston run for 1 yd to the UConn 5Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 9
OWN 5
+6
13.0%
Aaron Turner run for 6 yds to the UConn 11Similar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+4
12.8%
Zion Turner pass complete to Aaron Turner for 4 yds to the UConn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
13.1%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+1
13.0%
Devontae Houston run for 1 yd to the UConn 16Similar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 9
OWN 16
+14
12.8%
TURNER, Zion pass to the right incomplete intended for JOLY, Justin thrown to the UCO36. PENALTY FST Pass Interference on LUX, Bralyn enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the UCO30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
13.2%
Victor Rosa run for 3 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+2
13.3%
Zion Turner run for 2 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
13.1%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:33
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+87
13.2%
George Caratan punt for 52 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for 87 yds for a TD, (Abraham Montano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8FG
11 plays · 76 yds · 4:3713% → 18%
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
13.3%
Devontae Houston run for 1 yd to the UConn 15Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+22
13.3%
Devontae Houston run for 22 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
13.7%
Devontae Houston run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 34Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+15
13.3%
TURNER, Zion sacked for a loss of 10 yards at the UCO24 (PAYNE, Leonard;FOX, Andres). PENALTY FST Face mask on PAYNE, Leonard enforced 15 yards from the UCO34 to the UCO49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
15.9%
Victor Rosa run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 49Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+39
16.0%
Zion Turner pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 39 yds to the FrsSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
16.9%
Cale Millen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
16.9%
Devontae Houston run for no gain to the FrsSt 10Similar
Q2 6:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
16.0%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
18.2%
Noe Ruelas 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 9DOWNS
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:4784% → 83%
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
16.3%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 26Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+16
16.1%
Logan Fife pass complete to Tre Watson for 16 yds to the FrsSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
15.2%
Logan Fife pass complete to Tre Watson for 6 yds to the FrsSt 48Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+3
15.0%
Logan Fife pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 3 yds to the UConn 49Similar
Q2 4:44
3RD & 1
OPP 49
0
14.8%
Jordan Mims run for no gain to the UConn 49Similar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
16.8%
Jordan Mims run for no gain to the UConn 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10FUMBLE
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1921% → 24%
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
20.9%
Zion Turner run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 46Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+8
21.3%
Zion Turner pass complete to Aaron Turner for 8 yds to the FrsSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
21.2%
Devontae Houston run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 34Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 6
OPP 34
-9
23.8%
Zion Turner sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the FrsSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 11INT
2 plays · 27 yds · 0:2083% → 84%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+27
17.4%
Logan Fife pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 27 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
15.7%
Logan Fife pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
17.8%
FIFE, Logan pass up the middle incomplete intended for MORENO-CROPPER, Jalen thrown to the UCO26. PENALTY UCO Holding on BELL, Malcolm enforced 10 yards from the FST38 to the FST48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 13TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 2:0383% → 89%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+32
17.3%
Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 32 yds to the UConn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
16.4%
Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the UConn 15Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+9
16.4%
run for 9 yds to the UConn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
16.4%
FIFE, Logan pass to the right incomplete intended for MORENO-CROPPER, Jalen broken up by WORTHAM, Tre at the UCO0. PENALTY UCO Offsides on MCDUFFIE, Sokoya enforced half the distance from the goal, 3 yards from the UCO6 to the UCO3 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
17.4%
Jalen Moreno-Cropper run for 2 yds to the UConn 1Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
10.8%
Jordan Mims 1 Yd Run (Abraham Montano Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14FUMBLE
8 plays · 55 yds · 3:4413% → 16%
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
12.8%
Devontae Houston run for 11 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
13.0%
Devontae Houston run for 7 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 3
OWN 41
0
14.2%
Devontae Houston run for no gain to the UConn 41Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 3
OWN 41
-5
13.6%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 36Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+16
12.6%
Zion Turner pass complete to Justin Joly for 16 yds to the FrsSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
14.6%
FRESNO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (David Perales) to the FrsSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
15.4%
Dajon Harrison run for a loss of 5 yards to the FrsSt 34Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 15
OPP 34
+12
15.9%
Devontae Houston run for 12 yds to the FrsSt 22 Devontae Houston fumbled, recovered by FrsSt Elijah GatesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 15INT
3 plays · 14 yds · 1:0187% → 88%
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
13.0%
Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 8 yds to the FrsSt 30Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+6
12.3%
Logan Fife pass complete to Raymond Pauwels for 6 yds to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
12.5%
Logan Fife pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16TD
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:4317% → 30%
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
17.4%
Robert Burns run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 10Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 1
OPP 10
0
17.4%
Victor Rosa run for no gain to the FrsSt 10Similar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+1
16.4%
Robert Burns run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
17.7%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
17.7%
Victor Rosa run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 5Similar
Q3 5:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
30.2%
Aaron Turner 5 Yd pass from Zion Turner (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:0077% → 73%
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
23.3%
Logan Fife pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-3
24.3%
Ty Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 25Similar
Q3 5:18
3RD & 13
OWN 25
0
25.4%
Logan Fife pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:18
4TH & 13
OWN 25
0
26.9%
Carson King punt for 40 yds , Victor Rosa returns for no gain to the UConn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3627% → 26%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
27.4%
Devontae Houston run for 7 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 3
OWN 42
0
30.6%
Victor Rosa run for no gain to the UConn 42Similar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
29.3%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:42
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
27.9%
George Caratan punt for 36 yds, downed at the FrsSt 22Similar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
25.7%
FRESNO ST Penalty, False Start (Daniel Taumalolo) to the FrsSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0374% → 73%
Q3 2:42
1ST & 15
OWN 17
+1
25.9%
Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 18Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 14
OWN 18
+8
26.3%
Logan Fife run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 26Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+3
26.5%
Logan Fife run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 29Similar
Q3 0:39
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
27.4%
Carson King punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 3:4431% → 30%
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
30.7%
Devontae Houston run for 3 yds to the UConn 22Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+1
31.1%
Devontae Houston run for 1 yd to the UConn 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+8
29.4%
Zion Turner pass complete to Justin Joly for 8 yds to the UConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
32.0%
Zion Turner run for 6 yds to the UConn 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 37
-2
34.8%
Devontae Houston run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 35
-10
30.6%
TURNER, Zion scrambles up the middle for a gain of 50 yards to the FST15 (BAILEY, Levelle), out of bounds. PENALTY UCO Holding on SENN, Valentin enforced 10 yards from the UCO35 to the UCO25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 25
+4
29.2%
Devontae Houston run for 4 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q4 11:55
4TH & 12
OWN 29
0
29.8%
George Caratan punt for 50 yds, downed at the FrsSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 3:2972% → 67%
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
27.9%
Jordan Mims run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 29Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+6
25.9%
Jordan Mims run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
26.4%
Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 12 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
24.5%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 7
50
-10
24.3%
Logan Fife sacked by Jelani Stafford for a loss of 10 yards to the FrsSt 40Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 17
OWN 40
+4
28.2%
Logan Fife pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 4 yds to the FrsSt 44Similar
Q4 8:26
4TH & 13
OWN 44
0
33.0%
Carson King punt for 50 yds, downed at the UConn 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 22TD
11 plays · 94 yds · 6:0636% → 90%
Q4 8:26
3RD & 1
OWN 15
+4
35.8%
Robert Burns run for 4 yds to the UConn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+40
38.2%
Zion Turner pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 40 yds to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
45.2%
Zion Turner run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 39Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+1
45.0%
Victor Rosa run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 38Similar
Q4 8:26
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+10
44.0%
Zion Turner pass complete to Justin Joly for 10 yds to the FrsSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
47.1%
Devontae Houston run for no gain to the FrsSt 28Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
46.9%
Zion Turner run for no gain to the FrsSt 28Similar
Q4 8:26
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+11
43.9%
Zion Turner run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
36.6%
Victor Rosa run for 5 yds to the UConn 11Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+4
37.5%
Victor Rosa run for 4 yds to the UConn 15Similar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
89.8%
Devontae Houston run for 17 yds for a TD, (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:5328% → 14%
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
72.1%
Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 1 yd to the FrsSt 34Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 9
OWN 34
0
72.5%
Logan Fife pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 9
OWN 34
-4
84.7%
Logan Fife sacked by Jackson Mitchell for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 30Similar
Q4 1:25
4TH & 13
OWN 30
0
86.0%
Logan Fife pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 24END OF GAME
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:2096% → 96%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
95.5%
Robert Burns run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 31Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+4
95.5%
Victor Rosa run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 27Similar
Q4 0:24
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+5
96.4%
Robert Burns run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 22Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+7
95.7%
Robert Burns run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:20
Devontae Houston run for 17 yds for a TD, (Noe Ruelas KICK)
+52.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:18
Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 1 yd to the FrsSt 34
-17.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:31
Timeout FRESNO ST, clock 01:31
+13.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com