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CONN

UConn 0 at Michigan 59

MICH
2022 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2022 · Michigan Stadium
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Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:29 · Brad Robbins punt for 62 yds, downed at the UConn 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 62Pregame prior+43.5Home team on offense+14.9Score differential+10.2Blowout margin−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.2Garbage-time factor+5.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:52: Blake Corum 1 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick) — MICH win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 0:38: Jake Moody 26 Yd Field Goal — MICH win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:08: Blake Corum 1 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick) — MICH win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:05: A.J. Henning 61 Yd Punt Return (Jake Moody Kick) — MICH win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 3 of 5CONN made the numbers' call on 16 of 18
  1. Q1 11:55CONN 4th & 13 at CONN 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:20CONN 4th & 13 at CONN 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:43MICH 4th & 8 at MICH 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:04CONN 4th & 12 at CONN 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:54CONN 4th & 12 at CONN 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:38MICH 4th & 7 at CONN 7, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:04CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:07CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 25, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:29MICH 4th & 16 at MICH 34, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:05CONN 4th & 1 at CONN 13, down 24
    Close callPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:41CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 27, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q2 4:33CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 27, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:28CONN 4th & 6 at MICH 43, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q2 0:24CONN 4th & 6 at MICH 43, down 38
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 10:38CONN 4th & 15 at CONN 49, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:32CONN 4th & 3 at CONN 32, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:11CONN 4th & 1 at CONN 34, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:05CONN 4th & 1 at CONN 34, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:07CONN 4th & 9 at CONN 26, down 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 6:58CONN 4th & 9 at CONN 26, down 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  21. Q4 5:45MICH 4th & 3 at MICH 43, up 59
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 5:17MICH 4th & 3 at MICH 43, up 59
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  23. Q4 3:47CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 20, down 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 12:52MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:52MICH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:08MICH Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:05MICH Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:11MICH Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:36MICH Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:44MICH Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:54MICH Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MICHDrive 1TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:53100% → 100%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
99.6%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to A.J. Henning for 6 yds to the Mich 34Similar
Q1 14:33
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+38
99.6%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 38 yds to the UConn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
99.6%
Blake Corum run for 8 yds to the UConn 20Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+20
99.6%
Blake Corum 20 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:270% → 1%
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.6%
Nathan Carter run for 2 yds to the UConn 27Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
99.6%
Zion Turner pass complete to Aaron Turner for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 22Similar
Q1 11:55
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+4
99.6%
George Caratan punt for 55 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 4 yds to the Mich 27Similar
Q1 11:20
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+4
99.5%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:15100% → 100%
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
99.5%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 7 yds to the Mich 34Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 3
OWN 34
0
99.5%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 3
OWN 34
-5
99.5%
J.J. McCarthy run for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 29Similar
Q1 9:43
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
99.5%
Brad Robbins punt for 53 yds, downed at the UConn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:291% → 1%
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
99.5%
Cale Millen run for 3 yds to the UConn 21Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+8
99.4%
Zion Turner pass complete to Aaron Turner for 8 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
99.4%
Zion Turner run for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 25 Zion Turner fumbled, recovered by UConn Zion TurnerSimilar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+2
99.4%
Victor Rosa run for 2 yds to the UConn 27Similar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 12
OWN 27
0
99.4%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:04
4TH & 12
OWN 27
0
99.4%
George Caratan punt for 42 yds , A.J. Henning returns for no gain to the Mich 27 CONNECTICUT Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the Mich 46Similar
Q1 6:54
4TH & 12
OWN 27
0
99.4%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 5TD
9 plays · 54 yds · 3:5199% → 99%
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
99.4%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 9 yds to the MICHIGAN 45 MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Mich 45Similar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 11
OWN 45
+2
99.4%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the Mich 47Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+15
99.3%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 15 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
99.3%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to A.J. Henning for 15 yds to the UConn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
99.3%
J.J. McCarthy run for 14 yds to the UConn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
99.2%
Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the UConn 6Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
99.2%
Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the UConn 1Similar
Q1 2:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.3%
Blake Corum 1 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6FUMBLE
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:351% → 1%
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Victor Rosa run for no gain to the UConn 25Similar
Q1 2:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.2%
Victor Rosa run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 22 Victor Rosa fumbled, recovered by Mich George RooksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 7FG
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:2099% → 99%
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
99.3%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to A.J. Henning for 12 yds to the UConn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
99.3%
A.J. Henning run for 3 yds to the UConn 7Similar
Q1 0:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.3%
J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Ronnie BellSimilar
Q1 0:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.2%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+26
99.4%
Jake Moody 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 2:261% → 1%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.3%
Zion Turner run for 5 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q1 0:28
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-10
99.3%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UConn 20Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+6
99.3%
Victor Rosa run for 6 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+4
99.3%
Turner, Zion pass incomplete, PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference 4 yards to the UCONN30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCONN.Similar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.2%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.3%
Robert Burns run for 2 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
99.2%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:04
4TH & 8
OWN 32
+22
99.2%
TEAM punt for 8 yds , Kalel Mullings returns for 22 yds to the UConn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 9TD
3 plays · 18 yds · 0:47100% → 100%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
99.5%
Blake Corum run for 6 yds to the UConn 12Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+11
99.5%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 11 yds to the UConn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Blake Corum 1 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:511% → 1%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Nathan Carter run for no gain to the UConn 25Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:07
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
George Caratan punt for 46 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the Mich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:27100% → 100%
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
99.5%
C.J. Stokes run for 11 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
99.6%
C.J. Stokes run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 38Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 12
OWN 38
-2
99.5%
C.J. Stokes run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 36Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 14
OWN 36
-2
99.5%
J.J. McCarthy sacked by Brandon Bouyer-Randle for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 34Similar
Q2 8:29
4TH & 16
OWN 34
0
99.5%
Brad Robbins punt for 62 yds, downed at the UConn 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12PUNT TD
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:171% → 0%
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
99.4%
Nathan Carter run for 5 yds to the UConn 9Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+2
99.4%
Nathan Carter run for 2 yds to the UConn 11Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+2
99.4%
Victor Rosa run for 2 yds to the UConn 13Similar
Q2 6:05
4TH & 1
OWN 13
+61
99.8%
A.J. Henning 61 Yd Punt Return (Jake Moody Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:220% → 0%
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Zion Turner run for 2 yds to the UConn 27Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Cale Millen run for no gain to the UConn 27Similar
Q2 4:41
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Zion Turner pass incomplete to Victor RosaSimilar
Q2 4:41
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.8%
George Caratan punt for 33 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the Mich 40Similar
Q2 4:33
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.8%
George Caratan punt for 33 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the Mich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 14TD
3 plays · 60 yds · 0:49100% → 100%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+28
99.8%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 28 yds to the UConn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+31
99.8%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 31 yds to the UConn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Blake Corum 1 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15DOWNS
13 plays · 32 yds · 2:430% → 0%
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Nathan Carter run for 3 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+14
99.9%
Zion Turner run for 14 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
99.8%
Zion Turner run for 2 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+9
99.8%
Nathan Carter run for 9 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.8%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-5
99.8%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 48Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 15
OWN 48
0
99.8%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 15
OWN 48
+9
99.8%
Zion Turner pass complete to Nathan Carter for 9 yds to the Mich 43Similar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:24
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 16MISSED FG
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:12100% → 100%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
99.9%
Cade McNamara sacked by Eric Watts for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 38Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 15
OWN 38
+18
99.8%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 18 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+62
99.9%
Jake Moody 62 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 4:140% → 0%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
99.9%
Zion Turner run for 18 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
99.8%
Victor Rosa run for 8 yds to the Mich 49Similar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+1
99.8%
Victor Rosa run for 1 yd to the Mich 48Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 1
OPP 48
-5
99.9%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 47Similar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+7
99.9%
Victor Rosa run for 7 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.9%
Victor Rosa run for 5 yds to the Mich 41Similar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 5
OPP 41
-10
99.9%
Victor Rosa run for a loss of 10 yards to the UConn 49 Victor Rosa fumbled, recovered by UConn Dajon HarrisonSimilar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 15
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Zion Turner pass incomplete to Kevens ClerciusSimilar
Q3 10:38
4TH & 15
OWN 49
0
99.9%
George Caratan punt for 34 yds, downed at the Mich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 18TD
11 plays · 83 yds · 5:53100% → 100%
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
99.9%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the Mich 19Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+11
99.9%
Blake Corum run for 11 yds to the Mich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
99.9%
C.J. Stokes run for 1 yd to the Mich 31Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+4
99.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Erick All for 4 yds to the Mich 35Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 5 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
99.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 17 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
99.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to A.J. Henning for 4 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+5
99.9%
C.J. Stokes run for 5 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q3 5:26
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+11
99.9%
Isaiah Gash run for 11 yds to the UConn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
99.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 12 yds to the UConn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
Blake Corum 11 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:480% → 0%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Zion Turner pass complete to Robert Burns for 5 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
99.9%
Victor Rosa run for 3 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-1
99.9%
Victor Rosa run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 32Similar
Q3 2:32
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+3
99.9%
George Caratan punt for 37 yds , DJ Turner returns for 3 yds to the Mich 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 20TD
12 plays · 66 yds · 4:26100% → 100%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
99.9%
Davis Warren pass complete to Colston Loveland for 5 yds to the Mich 39Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+3
99.9%
C.J. Stokes run for 3 yds to the Mich 42Similar
Q3 1:11
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+3
99.9%
Isaiah Gash run for 3 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
99.9%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:05
2ND & 5
50
+1
99.9%
Alex Orji run for 1 yd to the UConn 49Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+5
99.9%
Isaiah Gash run for 5 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
99.9%
Alex Orji pass complete to Tavierre Dunlap for 5 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+29
99.9%
Alex Orji run for 19 yds to the UConn 20 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the UConn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.9%
C.J. Stokes run for no gain to the UConn 10Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.9%
Davis Warren pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
100.0%
Alex Orji 10 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 5 yds · 1:290% → 0%
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Zion Turner run for 5 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
100.0%
Victor Rosa run for 2 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q4 11:11
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
100.0%
Dajon Harrison run for 2 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q4 11:11
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-4
100.0%
Cale Millen run for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 30Similar
Q4 11:05
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-4
100.0%
Cale Millen run for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 22TD
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:51100% → 100%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
100.0%
C.J. Stokes run for 2 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+4
100.0%
Andy Maddox pass complete to Amorion Walker for 4 yds to the UConn 24Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+5
100.0%
Isaiah Gash run for 5 yds to the UConn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
100.0%
MICHIGAN Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (-5 Yards) to the UConn 24Similar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 15
OPP 24
+2
100.0%
Leon Franklin run for 2 yds to the UConn 22Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 13
OPP 22
+2
100.0%
Leon Franklin run for 2 yds to the UConn 20Similar
Q4 7:54
3RD & 11
OPP 20
+20
100.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Leon Franklin for 20 yds for a TD, (Tommy Doman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:460% → 0%
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Victor Rosa run for 1 yd to the UConn 26Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Cale Millen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Cale Millen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:07
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
100.0%
George Caratan punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jake Thaw at the Mich 36Similar
Q4 6:58
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
100.0%
George Caratan punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jake Thaw at the Mich 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:27100% → 100%
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
100.0%
Danny Hughes run for 6 yds to the Mich 42Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+1
100.0%
Henry Donohue run for 1 yd to the Mich 43Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Danny Hughes run for no gain to the Mich 43Similar
Q4 5:45
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Tommy Doman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Victor Rosa at the UConn 16Similar
Q4 5:17
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Tommy Doman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Victor Rosa at the UConn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:110% → 0%
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-3
100.0%
Cale Millen run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 13Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 13
OWN 13
+7
100.0%
Cale Millen pass complete to Nigel Fitzgerald for 7 yds to the UConn 20Similar
Q4 3:56
3RD & 6
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Cale Millen pass incomplete to Robert BurnsSimilar
Q4 3:47
4TH & 6
OWN 20
0
100.0%
George Caratan punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jake Thaw at the Mich 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 26END OF GAME
7 plays · 30 yds · 3:03100% → 100%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
100.0%
Henry Donohue run for 5 yds to the Mich 48Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+16
100.0%
Danny Hughes run for 16 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
100.0%
MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 41Similar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+7
100.0%
Brandon Mann pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 7 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+7
100.0%
Danny Hughes run for 7 yds to the UConn 27Similar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+2
100.0%
Danny Hughes run for 2 yds to the UConn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:05
A.J. Henning 61 Yd Punt Return (Jake Moody Kick)
+0.4
FG · Q1 0:38
Jake Moody 26 Yd Field Goal
+0.2
TD · Q1 2:52
Blake Corum 1 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com