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SYR

Syracuse 48 at UConn 14

CONN
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG—CONN 8.5%Andre Szmyt 27 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 0 · Q1 4:26
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:26 · Andre Szmyt 27 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 25Pregame prior−41.6Home team on offense−3.1Score differential−1.6Garbage-time factor−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:45: Devontae Houston 28 Yd Run (Noe Ruelas Kick) — CONN win probability +2.8 pts (now 11%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:19: Courtney Jackson 18 Yd pass from Garrett Shrader (Andre Szmyt Kick) — SYR win probability +3.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:30: Sean Tucker 2 Yd Run (Andre Szmyt Kick) — SYR win probability +2.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:26: Aaron Turner 56 Yd pass from Zion Turner (Noe Ruelas Kick) — CONN win probability +3.6 pts (now 5%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:29: Garrett Shrader 7 Yd Run (Andre Szmyt Kick) — SYR win probability +1.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 7 of 8SYR made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 7:55CONN 4th & 5 at CONN 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:26SYR 4th & 7 at CONN 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    88.5%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:25CONN 4th & 9 at CONN 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:25CONN 4th & 9 at CONN 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:02SYR 4th & 10 at CONN 10, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    85.2%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:38CONN 4th & 5 at CONN 25, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 0:25CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 25, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:25CONN 4th & 12 at CONN 23, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:22SYR 4th & 1 at CONN 29, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:22CONN 4th & 12 at CONN 28, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:11SYR 4th & 7 at SYR 35, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:20CONN 4th & 13 at CONN 39, down 34
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2SYR made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 11:45CONN Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:19SYR Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:30SYR Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:26CONN Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:29SYR Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:07SYR Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:048% → 8%
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
7.5%
Nathan Carter run for 8 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 2
OWN 29
-1
7.5%
Nathan Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 28Similar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 3
OWN 28
-2
7.4%
Zion Turner pass complete to Brian Brewton for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 26Similar
Q1 7:55
4TH & 5
OWN 26
0
7.8%
George Caratan punt for 25 yds, downed at the Syrac 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2TD
12 plays · 69 yds · 4:0794% → 93%
Q1 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
6.5%
Sean Tucker run for no gain to the Syrac 31Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
6.7%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 2 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q1 12:53
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+9
6.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 9 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
6.8%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+5
6.9%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for 5 yds to the UConn 49Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+3
7.0%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
7.1%
Sean Tucker run for 9 yds to the UConn 37Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+19
7.1%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 19 yds to the UConn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
7.2%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the UConn 16Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+2
7.2%
Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the UConn 14Similar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+13
7.3%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 13 yds to the UConn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
7.3%
Garrett Shrader 1 Yd Run (Andre Szmyt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:2992% → 92%
Q1 7:55
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
7.7%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+8
7.7%
Garrett Shrader run for 8 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
7.7%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 9 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+17
7.7%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Trebor Pena for 17 yds to the UConn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
7.7%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the UConn 11Similar
Q1 4:37
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
8.5%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on ELLIS, Kalan ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+2
8.5%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the UConn 9Similar
Q1 4:26
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+27
8.5%
Andre Szmyt 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 5:028% → 11%
Q1 1:47
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+4
7.7%
Nathan Carter run for 4 yds to the UConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
7.6%
Nathan Carter run for 6 yds to the UConn 27Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+19
7.8%
Zion Turner pass complete to Devontae Houston for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+4
8.3%
Nathan Carter run for 4 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 17
OPP 47
+14
8.2%
Nathan Carter run for 14 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+6
8.3%
Zion Turner pass complete to Aaron Turner for 6 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
8.3%
Zion Turner sacked by Garrett Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 42
-5
8.2%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (Chase Lundt) to the Syrac 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+5
8.3%
Nathan Carter run for 5 yds to the Syrac 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
11.1%
Devontae Houston 28 Yd Run (Noe Ruelas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:559% → 9%
Q1 4:20
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
8.9%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
9.0%
Zion Turner pass complete to Russell Dixon for 1 yd to the UConn 23Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
9.0%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:25
4TH & 9
OWN 23
0
8.8%
George Caratan punt for 38 yds , Trebor Pena returns for no gain to the Syrac 39Similar
Q1 3:25
4TH & 9
OWN 23
0
8.8%
George Caratan punt for 38 yds , Trebor Pena returns for no gain to the Syrac 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6TD
5 plays · 61 yds · 1:3891% → 91%
Q1 3:25
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+6
8.6%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for 6 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+6
8.6%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for 6 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
8.7%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
8.6%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+47
8.8%
Damien Alford 47 Yd pass from Garrett Shrader (Andre Szmyt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7FG
13 plays · 63 yds · 6:3790% → 90%
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
10.0%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for 3 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
9.9%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 15 yds to the UConn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+12
9.8%
Garrett Shrader run for 12 yds to the UConn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 23
OPP 31
+23
9.9%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 23 yds to the UConn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
10.4%
Sean Tucker run for 13 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+9
10.0%
Garrett Shrader run for 9 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
9.9%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-13
9.8%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Chris Shearin and Marquez Bembry for a loss of 13 yards to the UConn 31Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+2
10.0%
Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the UConn 13Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+3
10.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for 3 yds to the UConn 10Similar
Q2 6:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-7
9.9%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Jelani Stafford for a loss of 7 yards to the UConn 15Similar
Q2 5:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
9.7%
Andre Szmyt 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1810% → 10%
Q2 4:56
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+7
10.2%
Zion Turner pass complete to Aaron Turner for 7 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+7
10.2%
Zion Turner pass complete to Aaron Turner for 7 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
10.3%
Nathan Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 18Similar
Q2 4:56
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
10.2%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:38
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
10.4%
George Caratan punt for 39 yds , Courtney Jackson returns for no gain to the Syrac 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9TD
12 plays · 64 yds · 3:1991% → 97%
Q2 3:38
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+10
9.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 10 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
8.8%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
8.9%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+8
9.0%
Sean Tucker run for 8 yds to the UConn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 7
OPP 25
-10
8.8%
(03:38) SHRADER, Garrett pass up the middle complete for 13 yards to MANG, Maximilian caught at the UCN12 and advanced to the UCN12 (DIXON-WILLIAMS, Malik). PENALTY SYR Holding on TISDALE, Darius enforced 10 yards from the UCN25 to the UCN35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
9.5%
Sean Tucker run for 6 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
9.0%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Maximilian Mang for 6 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+4
8.9%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
6.8%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 17
OPP 35
+17
7.1%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 17 yds to the UConn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+18
3.2%
Courtney Jackson 18 Yd pass from Garrett Shrader (Andre Szmyt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · 10 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
6.8%
Nathan Carter run for 10 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11FUMBLE
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:326% → 6%
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
6.3%
Zion Turner pass complete to Aaron Turner for 7 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
6.3%
Zion Turner pass complete to Aaron Turner for 7 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
6.3%
Nathan Carter run for 4 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
6.6%
Nathan Carter run for 1 yd to the UConn 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+5
6.4%
Zion Turner pass complete to Nigel Fitzgerald for 5 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q3 12:28
3RD & 4
OWN 42
-12
6.2%
Zion Turner sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the UConn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12TD
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:5896% → 99%
Q3 12:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
3.8%
Sean Tucker run for 5 yds to the UConn 4Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
3.8%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 5Similar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
3.8%
Garrett Shrader run for 10 yds to the UConn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
3.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Trebor Pena for 6 yds to the UConn 14Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+5
3.8%
Sean Tucker run for 5 yds to the UConn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
3.8%
(12:28) SHRADER, Garrett pass up the middle incomplete intended for TUCKER, Sean thrown to the UCN2. PENALTY UCN Pass Interference on MITCHELL, Jackson enforced 3 yards to the UCN2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
1.1%
Sean Tucker 2 Yd Run (Andre Szmyt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 3:041% → 5%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
1.3%
Nathan Carter run for 6 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
1.2%
Nathan Carter run for no gain to the UConn 31Similar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
1.2%
Nathan Carter run for 6 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
1.3%
Devontae Houston run for 3 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+4
1.2%
Zion Turner run for 4 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+56
4.8%
Aaron Turner 56 Yd pass from Zion Turner (Noe Ruelas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:5796% → 99%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
3.6%
Sean Tucker run for 7 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
3.3%
Sean Tucker run for 10 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
3.1%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+2
3.1%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+6
3.1%
Garrett Shrader run for 6 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+20
3.0%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Roughing the Passer on WATTS, Eric enforced half the distance from the goal (Eric Watts) to the UConn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
2.9%
Garrett Shrader run for 6 yds to the UConn 7Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
1.0%
Garrett Shrader 7 Yd Run (Andre Szmyt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 2:041% → 1%
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
1.4%
Nathan Carter run for 6 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-8
1.4%
Zion Turner pass complete to Devontae Houston for a loss of 8 yards to the UConn 24Similar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+1
1.3%
Zion Turner pass complete to Nathan Carter for 1 yd to the UConn 25Similar
Q3 0:25
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
1.4%
George Caratan punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Trebor Pena at the Syrac 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16PUNT
2 plays · -14 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
1.0%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Syrac 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+4
1.0%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17TD
1 play · 39 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
0.4%
D'Marcus Adams 39 Yd pass from Garrett Shrader (Andre Szmyt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:420% → 0%
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.3%
Nathan Carter run for no gain to the UConn 25Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.3%
Zion Turner pass complete to Aaron Turner for 3 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
0.3%
Zion Turner pass complete to Devontae Houston for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 23Similar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
0.2%
George Caratan punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Trebor Pena at the Syrac 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 42 yds · 4:03100% → 100%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
0.4%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+9
0.4%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson run for 9 yds to the Syrac 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
0.4%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the Syrac 40Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
0.4%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+22
0.4%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to Dan Villari for 22 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
0.4%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+1
0.3%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the UConn 33Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+4
0.3%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson run for 4 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q4 8:22
4TH & 1
OPP 29
-1
0.3%
LeQuint Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 2:000% → 0%
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
0.2%
Zion Turner pass complete to Nathan Carter for 1 yd to the UConn 31Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 9
OWN 31
-3
0.2%
Devontae Houston run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 28Similar
Q4 8:22
3RD & 12
OWN 28
0
0.2%
Zion Turner pass complete to Dajon Harrison for no gain to the UConn 28Similar
Q4 6:22
4TH & 12
OWN 28
+5
0.1%
George Caratan punt for 45 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 5 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:51100% → 100%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
0.2%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
0.2%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the Syrac 35Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
0.2%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:11
4TH & 7
OWN 35
+8
0.2%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 43 yds , Victor Rosa returns for 8 yds to the UConn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 22DOWNS
8 plays · 21 yds · 3:510% → 0%
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
0.1%
Victor Rosa run for 3 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+3
0.1%
Cale Millen run for 3 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+6
0.1%
Victor Rosa run for 6 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
0.1%
Victor Rosa run for no gain to the UConn 42Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-4
0.1%
Victor Rosa run for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 38Similar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 14
OWN 38
+1
0.1%
Cale Millen pass complete to Victor Rosa for 1 yd to the UConn 39Similar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 14
OWN 38
+1
0.1%
Cale Millen pass complete to Victor Rosa for 1 yd to the UConn 39Similar
Q4 1:20
4TH & 13
OWN 39
+12
0.1%
Cale Millen pass complete to Victor Rosa for 12 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:19
Courtney Jackson 18 Yd pass from Garrett Shrader (Andre Szmyt Kick)
-3.9
TD · Q3 6:26
Aaron Turner 56 Yd pass from Zion Turner (Noe Ruelas Kick)
+3.6
TD · Q2 11:45
Devontae Houston 28 Yd Run (Noe Ruelas Kick)
+2.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com