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CCSU

Central Connecticut 3 at UConn 28

CONN
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2022 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadCCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreCCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:28 · Aidan Clark punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dajon Harrison at the UConn 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 24Pregame prior+35.1Home team on offense−0.6Score differential−0.7Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q3 9:05: Nathan Carter run for 11 yds to the UConn 31 for a 1ST down — CONN win probability +2.6 pts (now 81%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:55: Nathan Carter run for 17 yds for a TD, (Noe Ruelas KICK) — CONN win probability +7.8 pts (now 91%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 1:39: CENTRAL CONN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CConn 47 — CCSU win probability +3.4 pts (now 12%) (top driver: CCSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 14:54: Nathan Carter run for 2 yds to the UConn 42 — CONN win probability +3.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:19: Jacob Flynn 10 Yd pass from Zion Turner (Noe Ruelas Kick) — CONN win probability +5.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 2 of 4CCSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 12:43CONN 4th & 7 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:28CCSU 4th & 10 at CCSU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:28CCSU 4th & 10 at CCSU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:28CCSU 4th & 6 at CONN 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    12.5%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.5%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:44CONN 4th & 2 at CONN 14, tied
    Close callPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:15CCSU 4th & 24 at CCSU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:29CONN 4th & 3 at CCSU 35, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.2%−0.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    85.1%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:32CCSU 4th & 8 at CONN 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    14.7%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:04CCSU 4th & 14 at CONN 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    15.9%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:04CONN 4th & 1 at CCSU 47, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    82.4%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:05CCSU 4th & 4 at CONN 4, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.3%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    15.0%−5.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:39CCSU 4th & 19 at CCSU 6, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−1.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:54CCSU 4th & 2 at CONN 40, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    9.7%−1.4
    34% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−1.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:01CCSU 4th & 13 at CCSU 48, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 6:02CONN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 2:55CONN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:19CONN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:36CONN Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:1790% → 89%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
89.8%
Nathan Carter run for 4 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+18
89.8%
Zion Turner pass complete to Nathan Carter for 18 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
89.8%
Nathan Carter run for 1 yd to the UConn 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+2
89.8%
Zion Turner pass complete to Brian Brewton for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:51
3RD & 7
50
0
89.3%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:43
4TH & 7
50
0
89.2%
George Caratan punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Kyren Petteway at the CConn 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:1511% → 11%
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+14
89.2%
Romelo Williams pass complete to Kyren Petteway for 14 yds to the CConn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
89.2%
Nasir Smith run for 3 yds to the CConn 20Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
89.2%
Romelo Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 7
OWN 20
-5
89.2%
CENTRAL CONN Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the CConn 15Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 12
OWN 15
+2
89.2%
Romelo Williams pass complete to Kyren Petteway for 2 yds to the CConn 17Similar
Q1 10:28
4TH & 10
OWN 17
+27
88.7%
Aidan Clark punt for 37 yds , Dajon Harrison returns for 27 yds to the CConn 27Similar
Q1 10:28
4TH & 10
OWN 17
+27
88.7%
Aidan Clark punt for 37 yds , Dajon Harrison returns for 27 yds to the CConn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3FUMBLE
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:0389% → 88%
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
88.9%
Zion Turner run for 4 yds to the CConn 23Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+4
88.9%
Nathan Carter run for 4 yds to the CConn 19Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+3
88.8%
Nathan Carter run for 3 yds to the CConn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-7
88.4%
Zion Turner sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the CConn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 35 yds · 2:5712% → 13%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+17
87.9%
Kyren Petteway run for 17 yds to the CConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
87.7%
Romelo Williams pass complete to Isiah Williams for 14 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
87.5%
Nasir Smith run for 4 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
87.6%
Alex Hawkom run for no gain to the UConn 42Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
87.6%
Romelo Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:28
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
86.7%
Aidan Clark punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dajon Harrison at the UConn 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4487% → 86%
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
86.9%
Nathan Carter run for 3 yds to the UConn 9Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 7
OWN 9
0
86.9%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offensive Holding (Christian Haynes) declinedSimilar
Q1 5:28
3RD & 8
OWN 8
+6
86.7%
Zion Turner pass complete to Brian Brewton for 6 yds to the UConn 14Similar
Q1 3:44
4TH & 2
OWN 14
0
86.0%
George Caratan punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Kyren Petteway at the CConn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 2:2914% → 15%
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
86.1%
Malik Thomas run for 19 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
85.7%
Nasir Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 46Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 12
OPP 46
-10
85.8%
CENTRAL CONN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CConn 47Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 19
OWN 47
-5
86.1%
CENTRAL CONN Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the CConn 42Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 24
OWN 42
0
86.1%
Romelo Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 24
OWN 42
0
86.2%
Romelo Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:15
4TH & 24
OWN 42
0
85.4%
Aidan Clark punt for 13 yds, downed at the UConn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7MISSED FG
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:4686% → 83%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
86.3%
Nathan Carter run for 8 yds to the CConn 47Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 2
OPP 47
0
86.5%
Nathan Carter run for no gain to the CConn 47Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+5
86.0%
Devontae Houston run for 5 yds to the CConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
86.1%
Cale Millen run for 2 yds to the CConn 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
86.1%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+5
86.0%
Zion Turner pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 5 yds to the CConn 35Similar
Q2 13:29
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+45
85.1%
Noe Ruelas 45 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
83.0%
WILLIAMS, Romelo pass to the left incomplete intended for SURRATT, Erik thrown to the UCN11. PENALTY UCN Pass Interference on WORTHAM, Tre enforced 15 yards to the UCN33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 8FG
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:5717% → 18%
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
82.7%
Romelo Williams pass complete to Kyren Petteway for 9 yds to the UConn 24Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+4
82.7%
Malik Thomas run for 4 yds to the UConn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
82.7%
Romelo Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
82.7%
Romelo Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:29
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+2
83.1%
Romelo Williams pass complete to Kyren Petteway for 2 yds to the UConn 18Similar
Q2 11:32
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+28
81.6%
Cristiano Rosa 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 5:2482% → 85%
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
82.2%
Brian Brewton run for 24 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
83.2%
Brian Brewton run for 5 yds to the UConn 49Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+4
83.3%
Brian Brewton run for 4 yds to the CConn 47Similar
Q2 11:26
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+6
83.3%
Zion Turner run for 6 yds to the CConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
83.5%
Nathan Carter run for 10 yds to the CConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
84.0%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+6
84.0%
Zion Turner run for 6 yds to the CConn 25Similar
Q2 11:26
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+10
83.5%
Devontae Houston run for 10 yds to the CConn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
84.0%
Devontae Houston run for 7 yds to the CConn 8Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+2
84.0%
Nathan Carter run for 2 yds to the CConn 6Similar
Q2 11:26
3RD & 1
OPP 6
-5
83.4%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (Brandon Niemenski) to the CConn 11Similar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+11
85.2%
Zion Turner pass complete to Brandon Niemenski for 11 yds for a TD, (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 10MISSED FG
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:5816% → 16%
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
83.8%
Romelo Williams pass complete to Erik Surratt for 10 yds to the CConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
83.0%
Nasir Smith run for 1 yd to the CConn 46Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
83.1%
Nasir Smith run for no gain to the CConn 46Similar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+27
83.6%
Romelo Williams pass complete to Kyren Petteway for 27 yds to the UConn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
82.0%
Nasir Smith run for 2 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+5
82.0%
Romelo Williams run for 5 yds to the UConn 20Similar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 3
OPP 20
-11
82.7%
run for a loss of 11 yards to the UConn 31 fumbled, recovered by CConn Romelo WilliamsSimilar
Q2 2:04
4TH & 14
OPP 31
+41
83.7%
Cristiano Rosa 41 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11INT
15 plays · 52 yds · 2:0383% → 84%
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
82.9%
Zion Turner pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 13 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
84.0%
Zion Turner pass complete to Dajon Harrison for 9 yds to the CConn 47Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 1
OPP 47
0
84.2%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 1
OPP 47
0
83.6%
Zion Turner run for no gain to the CConn 47Similar
Q2 2:04
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+2
83.0%
Zion Turner run for 2 yds to the CConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
84.2%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+8
84.1%
Zion Turner pass complete to Russell Dixon for 8 yds to the CConn 37Similar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+3
83.7%
Robert Burns run for 3 yds to the CConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+13
84.8%
Zion Turner run for 13 yds to the CConn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
84.8%
TURNER, Zion pass to the left complete for 12 yards to SENN, Valentin caught at the CCS25 and advanced to the CCS9, out of bounds. PENALTY UCN Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on SENN, Valentin enforced 5 yards from the CCS21 to the CCS26 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 15
OPP 26
+9
84.2%
Zion Turner run for 9 yds to the CConn 17Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 6
OPP 17
0
83.7%
Zion Turner pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 6
OPP 17
0
83.7%
Zion Turner pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 13MISSED FG
11 plays · 71 yds · 5:4919% → 21%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
81.2%
Malik Thomas run for 6 yds to the CConn 31Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+29
80.4%
Malik Thomas run for 29 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
78.9%
Malik Thomas run for 5 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
77.9%
Romelo Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+9
79.0%
Nasir Smith run for 9 yds to the UConn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
77.9%
Romelo Williams pass complete to Erik Surratt for 7 yds to the UConn 19Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+17
77.9%
Romelo Williams pass complete to Everett Wormley for 17 yds to the UConn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-9
77.9%
Romelo Williams sacked by Dal'mont Gourdine for a loss of 9 yards to the UConn 11Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+7
78.1%
Romelo Williams pass complete to Kyren Petteway for 7 yds to the UConn 4Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
78.8%
Romelo Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+14
78.7%
Cristiano Rosa 14 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 6:1081% → 91%
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
81.3%
Nathan Carter run for 11 yds to the UConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
81.6%
Nathan Carter run for 6 yds to the UConn 37Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+4
82.6%
Dajon Harrison run for 4 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
82.7%
Zion Turner pass complete to Bo Estes for 6 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+6
83.0%
Nathan Carter run for 6 yds to the CConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
83.3%
Cale Millen run for 7 yds to the CConn 40Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 3
OPP 40
0
83.4%
Cale Millen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:05
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+4
83.0%
Nathan Carter run for 4 yds to the CConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
83.4%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+9
83.3%
Zion Turner pass complete to Brian Brewton for 9 yds to the CConn 27Similar
Q3 9:05
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+3
83.1%
Nathan Carter run for 3 yds to the CConn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
83.9%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (Brandon Niemenski) to the CConn 29Similar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 15
OPP 29
-3
83.5%
Nathan Carter run for a loss of 3 yards to the CConn 32Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 18
OPP 32
+15
82.9%
Zion Turner pass complete to Aaron Turner for 15 yds to the CConn 17Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+17
90.7%
Nathan Carter run for 17 yds for a TD, (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 1:0810% → 12%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
90.0%
CENTRAL CONN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CConn 10Similar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 15
OWN 10
0
90.0%
Romelo Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 15
OWN 10
-4
90.1%
Romelo Williams sacked by Sokoya McDuffie for a loss of 4 yards to the CConn 6Similar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 19
OWN 6
0
90.8%
Romelo Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:39
4TH & 19
OWN 6
-4
91.2%
Aidan Clark punt for 42 yds , Dajon Harrison returns for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 48Similar
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
87.7%
CENTRAL CONN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CConn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 16DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4511% → 11%
Q3 1:39
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+11
89.1%
Romelo Williams pass complete to Isiah Williams for 11 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 4
OPP 42
0
87.4%
Nasir Smith run for no gain to the UConn 42Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+2
87.9%
Romelo Williams pass complete to Nasir Smith for 2 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 2
OPP 40
0
88.7%
Romelo Williams pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 3:3592% → 98%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
91.9%
Nathan Carter run for 2 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-9
91.9%
Zion Turner sacked by Luquay Washington and Isaiah Greene for a loss of 9 yards to the UConn 33Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 17
OWN 33
+42
90.7%
Zion Turner pass complete to Aaron Turner for 42 yds to the CConn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
92.1%
Nathan Carter run for 7 yds to the CConn 18Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+8
92.1%
Nathan Carter run for 8 yds to the CConn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
92.1%
Nathan Carter run for no gain to the CConn 10Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
92.1%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
97.8%
Jacob Flynn 10 Yd pass from Zion Turner (Noe Ruelas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 2:123% → 3%
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
97.1%
Romelo Williams pass complete to Isiah Williams for 5 yds to the CConn 33Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+4
97.1%
Romelo Williams pass complete to Nasir Smith for 4 yds to the CConn 37Similar
Q4 11:13
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+4
97.1%
Nasir Smith run for 4 yds to the CConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
97.1%
WILLIAMS, Romelo pass to the left incomplete intended for SURRATT, Erik thrown to the CCS46. PENALTY UCN Offsides on GOURDINE, Dalmont enforced 5 yards from the CCS41 to the CCS46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 5
OWN 46
+5
97.0%
WILLIAMS, Romelo pass up the middle incomplete intended for WILLIAMS, Isiah broken up by MITCHELL, Jackson at the UCN45. PENALTY UCN Offsides on BEMBRY, Marquez enforced 5 yards from the CCS46 to the UCN49 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
97.0%
Romelo Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
97.0%
Romelo Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:13
3RD & 10
OPP 49
-3
97.1%
Romelo Williams sacked by Collin McCarthy for a loss of 3 yards to the CConn 48Similar
Q4 9:01
4TH & 13
OWN 48
0
97.4%
Aidan Clark punt for 40 yds, downed at the UConn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19TD
17 plays · 88 yds · 8:2598% → 100%
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+15
97.8%
Brian Brewton run for 15 yds to the UConn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
97.9%
Brian Brewton run for 1 yd to the UConn 28Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+8
97.9%
Brian Brewton run for 8 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+1
98.0%
Nathan Carter run for 1 yd to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
98.0%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the UConn 32Similar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+13
97.9%
Nathan Carter run for 13 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+13
98.1%
Nathan Carter run for 13 yds to the CConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
98.1%
Brian Brewton run for 3 yds to the CConn 39Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
98.1%
Brian Brewton run for no gain to the CConn 39Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+18
98.0%
Zion Turner pass complete to Devontae Houston for 18 yds to the CConn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
98.1%
Brian Brewton run for no gain to the CConn 21Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+2
98.1%
Brian Brewton run for 2 yds to the CConn 19Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 8
OPP 19
-10
99.3%
TURNER, Zion scrambles to the left for a gain of 15 yards to the CCS4 (GUWOE, Albert). PENALTY UCN Holding on OFORI-NYADU, Noel enforced 10 yards from the CCS19 to the CCS29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 18
OPP 29
+19
99.2%
Devontae Houston run for 19 yds to the CConn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
99.3%
Victor Rosa run for a loss of 1 yard to the CConn 11Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
Victor Rosa run for 11 yds for a TD, (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 20INT
3 plays · 30 yds · 0:310% → 0%
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
99.8%
Romelo Williams pass complete to Malik Thomas for 30 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.8%
Romelo Williams pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.8%
Romelo Williams pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:55
Nathan Carter run for 17 yds for a TD, (Noe Ruelas KICK)
+7.8
TD · Q4 11:19
Jacob Flynn 10 Yd pass from Zion Turner (Noe Ruelas Kick)
+5.8
KEY PLAY · Q3 1:39
CENTRAL CONN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CConn 47
-3.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com