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CONN

UConn 20 at Utah State 31

USU
2022 · Week 1 · Aug 27, 2022 · Maverik Stadium
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Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:19 · Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 7 yds to the UConn 22 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:28: Logan Bonner pass complete to Kyle Van Leeuwen for 11 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK) — USU win probability +3.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q2 3:42: Robert Briggs run for 23 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK) — USU win probability +5.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:48: Justin McGriff 14 Yd pass from Logan Bonner (Connor Coles Kick) — USU win probability +4.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 10:09: Noe Ruelas 54 yd FG GOOD — CONN win probability +8.7 pts (now 24%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:00: Logan Bonner pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 11 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK) — USU win probability +12.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7CONN made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 13:10USU 4th & 6 at USU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:10CONN 4th & 1 at USU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.1%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    7.0%−0.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    6.5%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:26USU 4th & 1 at USU 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.1%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:18USU 4th & 1 at CONN 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    82.4%−0.8
    64% to make
    Punt
    80.4%−2.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:28CONN 4th & 12 at CONN 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−0.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:21USU 4th & 4 at USU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:35CONN 4th & 9 at CONN 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:41CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:52CONN 4th & 21 at CONN 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−1.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:01USU 4th & 9 at CONN 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    84.7%−2.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:38CONN 4th & 4 at CONN 47, down 10
    Close callPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:01USU 4th & 4 at USU 45, up 10
    Close callPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:08CONN 4th & 11 at USU 38, down 10
    Close callPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    10.8%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:05USU 4th & 6 at USU 15, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−0.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:28CONN 4th & 6 at USU 28, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.4%−0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−3.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:09CONN 4th & 9 at USU 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.5%
    42% to make
    Punt
    11.9%−1.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4CONN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:05CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:38CONN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:28USU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:42USU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:48USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:00USU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:5094% → 93%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
93.6%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 9 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
93.6%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 6 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
93.6%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the UthSt 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
93.6%
Logan Bonner run for 4 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
93.6%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:10
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
93.2%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 35 yds, downed at the UConn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 3:057% → 8%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
93.2%
Nathan Carter run for 13 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+52
93.2%
Nathan Carter run for 52 yds to the UthSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
93.1%
Nathan Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 15Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 11
OPP 15
0
93.1%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 11
OPP 15
+10
93.2%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Nathan Carter for 10 yds to the UthSt 5Similar
Q1 13:10
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+2
93.2%
Ta'Quan Roberson run for 2 yds to the UthSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
93.1%
Nathan Carter run for 1 yd to the UthSt 2Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
93.1%
Robert Burns run for 1 yd to the UthSt 1Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.7%
Ta'Quan Roberson 1 Yd Run (Noe Ruelas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3FUMBLE
5 plays · 48 yds · 1:2192% → 92%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
91.9%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 13 yds to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+22
92.0%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 22 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
92.1%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the UConn 37Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+8
92.1%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 8 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
91.6%
Pailate Makakona run for 2 yds to the UConn 27 Pailate Makakona fumbled, recovered by UConn Jackson MitchellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4INT
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:339% → 10%
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
91.2%
Brian Brewton run for 1 yd to the UConn 28Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+5
91.2%
Ta'Quan Roberson run for 5 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+5
91.2%
Zion Turner pass complete to Devontae Houston for 5 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
91.1%
Brian Brewton run for 4 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+6
91.1%
Brian Brewton run for 6 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
91.1%
Nathan Carter run for 1 yd to the UConn 49Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
89.2%
Zion Turner pass intercepted CONNECTICUT Penalty, Defensive Holding (Malik Dixon) declinedSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-15
89.9%
UTAH ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the UthSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:4590% → 89%
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
89.7%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+5
89.7%
BONNER, Logan pass to the right incomplete intended for COBBS, Brian thrown to the USU45. PENALTY UCT Offsides enforced 5 yards from the USU30 to the USU35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+1
89.9%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the UthSt 36Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 1
OWN 36
0
89.8%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the UthSt 36Similar
Q1 3:26
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
88.6%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 43 yds, downed at the UConn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6TD
4 plays · 79 yds · 1:4811% → 16%
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+44
88.6%
Nathan Carter run for 44 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+23
88.1%
Cale Millen run for 23 yds to the UthSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
88.0%
Cale Millen run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 13Similar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+13
84.4%
Zion Turner pass complete to Keelan Marion for 13 yds for a TD, (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7DOWNS
9 plays · 49 yds · 2:2085% → 84%
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
85.1%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Josh Sterzer for 8 yds to the UthSt 33Similar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
85.4%
Robert Briggs run for 3 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
85.4%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 11 yds to the UthSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
85.8%
Robert Briggs run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 7
50
+15
85.7%
Robert Briggs run for 15 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
85.9%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+5
84.6%
Robert Briggs run for 5 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+4
84.4%
Levi Williams run for 4 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q2 14:18
4TH & 1
OPP 26
0
83.8%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8FUMBLE
1 play · 19 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+19
82.2%
Nathan Carter run for 19 yds to the UConn 45 Nathan Carter fumbled, recovered by UthSt Daniel GrzesiakSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 45 yds · 1:4084% → 87%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
83.7%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 4 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
83.8%
Brian Cobbs pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+30
82.5%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 30 yds to the UConn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
82.9%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the UConn 11Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
86.5%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Kyle Van Leeuwen for 11 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:0015% → 15%
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.8%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
84.9%
Brian Brewton run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 23Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
85.2%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:28
4TH & 12
OWN 23
-2
84.8%
George Caratan punt for 50 yds , Cooper Jones returns for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 2:0784% → 83%
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
84.4%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Justin McGriff for 10 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
84.6%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
85.0%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q2 11:28
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
84.9%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the UthSt 41Similar
Q2 9:21
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
82.6%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:4618% → 21%
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+19
82.5%
Zion Turner pass complete to Russell Dixon for 19 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
82.2%
Nathan Carter run for no gain to the UConn 29Similar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
82.4%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+10
82.7%
Zion Turner pass complete to Brian Brewton for 10 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
81.5%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
81.6%
Nathan Carter run for 1 yd to the UConn 40Similar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
81.9%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:35
4TH & 9
OWN 40
+2
79.4%
George Caratan punt for 48 yds , Cooper Jones returns for 2 yds to the UthSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13TD
8 plays · 86 yds · 2:5379% → 87%
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
79.4%
Logan Bonner run for 3 yds to the UthSt 17Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 7
OWN 17
0
79.5%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:35
3RD & 7
OWN 17
+12
79.0%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 12 yds to the UthSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
79.8%
Robert Briggs run for 6 yds to the UthSt 35Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 4
OWN 35
-5
80.4%
BRIGGS, Robert rush up the middle for no gain to the USU35 (HARDY, Langston;STAFFORD, Jelani). PENALTY Before the snap, USU False Start on SOUTH, Jacob enforced 5 yards from the USU35 to the USU30. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+16
79.8%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Robert Briggs for 16 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+31
80.8%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Kyle Van Leeuwen for 31 yds to the UConn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
86.7%
Robert Briggs run for 23 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14PUNT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:5417% → 17%
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
82.8%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+4
82.9%
Devontae Houston run for 4 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q2 2:41
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
83.1%
George Caratan punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Cooper Jones at the UthSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 0:5384% → 90%
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
84.4%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Kyle Van Leeuwen for 12 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
85.4%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 9 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+17
85.8%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 17 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
86.2%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Malik Dixon) to the UConn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
90.4%
Justin McGriff 14 Yd pass from Logan Bonner (Connor Coles Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:5111% → 10%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+14
88.9%
Nathan Carter run for 14 yds to the UConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
88.8%
Nathan Carter run for 2 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
88.7%
PENALTY UCT Unsportsmanlike Conduct USU Unsportsmanlike Conduct , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 8
OWN 33
-5
88.7%
Zion Turner run for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 28Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 13
OWN 28
-8
89.4%
Zion Turner pass complete to Devontae Houston for a loss of 8 yards to the UConn 20Similar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 21
OWN 20
0
89.6%
George Caratan punt for 27 yds, downed at the UConn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17FG
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:5190% → 90%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
90.0%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 48Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+19
89.9%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 19 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
89.7%
Logan Bonner run for 1 yd to the UConn 28Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
89.7%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 9
OPP 28
0
89.2%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 9
OPP 28
+45
90.0%
Connor Coles 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:1411% → 10%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
89.5%
Nathan Carter run for 8 yds to the UConn 37Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 2
OWN 37
-4
89.0%
Aaron Turner run for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 33Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+8
89.7%
Zion Turner run for 8 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
89.1%
Nathan Carter run for 8 yds to the UConn 49Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 2
OWN 49
0
88.5%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 2
OWN 49
-2
88.8%
Nathan Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 47Similar
Q3 11:38
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
89.9%
George Caratan punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Cooper Jones at the UthSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:3790% → 90%
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-2
90.1%
Logan Bonner pass complete to NyNy Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 6Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 12
OWN 6
+4
90.0%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 4 yds to the UthSt 10Similar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 8
OWN 10
+29
89.6%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Justin McGriff for 29 yds to the UthSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
90.8%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 8 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 2
OWN 47
-5
91.0%
UTAH ST Penalty, False Start (Alfred Edwards) to the UthSt 42Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+3
90.9%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the UthSt 45Similar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
90.4%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:01
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
89.7%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 42 yds · 2:5310% → 10%
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
89.7%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+12
89.9%
Zion Turner pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 12 yds to the UConn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
89.5%
Brian Brewton run for 9 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+3
88.9%
Dajon Harrison run for 3 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+19
89.0%
Zion Turner pass complete to Aaron Turner for 19 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
88.5%
Nathan Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 38Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 11
OPP 38
0
88.7%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:01
3RD & 11
OPP 38
0
89.1%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:08
4TH & 11
OPP 38
0
89.6%
George Caratan punt for 37 yds, downed at the UthSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:0390% → 89%
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
89.9%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the UthSt 3Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+5
89.8%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 5 yds to the UthSt 8Similar
Q3 6:08
3RD & 3
OWN 8
+3
89.2%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the UthSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-5
90.0%
TYLER JR., Calvin rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards to the USU16 (YATES, Pryce;HOOPER, Carter). PENALTY USU Holding on ALO, Falepule enforced half the distance from the goal, 6 yards from the USU11 to the USU5 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 15
OWN 6
+4
89.9%
Pailate Makakona run for 4 yds to the UthSt 10Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 11
OWN 10
+5
89.9%
Pailate Makakona run for 5 yds to the UthSt 15Similar
Q3 6:08
3RD & 6
OWN 15
0
89.4%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:05
4TH & 6
OWN 15
0
88.7%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 59 yds, downed at the UConn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 4:3711% → 14%
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
89.4%
Nathan Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 24Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 12
OWN 24
+18
89.6%
Nathan Carter run for 18 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
88.6%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
88.8%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+11
89.3%
Nathan Carter run for 11 yds to the UthSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
87.7%
TURNER, Zion pass to the left complete for -3 yards to BREWTON, Brian caught at the USU50 and advanced to the USU50 (NEVES, Kaleo). PENALTY USU Face mask on NEVES, Kaleo enforced 15 yards from the USU47 to the USU32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
87.6%
Nathan Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 34
+7
87.9%
Zion Turner pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 7 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 27
-1
88.2%
Devontae Houston run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 28Similar
Q4 13:28
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+47
85.7%
Noe Ruelas 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 24FUMBLE
3 plays · 27 yds · 1:2890% → 89%
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
89.7%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 4 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
89.8%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the UthSt 30Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+22
89.3%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Calvin Tyler Jr. for 22 yds fumbled, recovered by UConn Chris ShearinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 25FG
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:5115% → 24%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
84.7%
Zion Turner pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 9 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+6
83.6%
Nathan Carter run for 6 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
84.0%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+1
84.1%
Zion Turner run for 1 yd to the UthSt 36Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 9
OPP 36
0
84.6%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:09
4TH & 9
OPP 36
+54
75.8%
Noe Ruelas 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 26TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:0979% → 95%
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
79.0%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 11 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
80.0%
Robert Briggs run for 7 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+7
81.3%
Robert Briggs run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
50
-15
81.7%
UTAH ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the UthSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
81.4%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 8 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+4
82.0%
Robert Briggs run for 4 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
82.0%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-2
81.8%
Logan Bonner sacked by Jackson Mitchell for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 43Similar
Q4 10:09
3RD & 12
OPP 43
+15
79.8%
BONNER, Logan pass up the middle incomplete intended for VAN LEEUWEN, Kyle thrown to the UCT5. PENALTY UCT Pass Interference on ANTHONY, Kaleb enforced 15 yards to the UCT28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
82.8%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 4 yds to the UConn 24Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
82.8%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:09
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+11
81.6%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Calvin Tyler Jr. for 11 yds to the UConn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
82.8%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the UConn 11Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+11
95.1%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 11 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 27INT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:077% → 8%
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
92.6%
Zion Turner pass complete to Russell Dixon for 10 yds to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
92.1%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+7
92.0%
Zion Turner pass complete to Aaron Turner for 7 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+6
92.2%
Zion Turner pass complete to Aaron Turner for 6 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
92.1%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
92.2%
Zion Turner pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 28END OF GAME
10 plays · 36 yds · 0:1195% → 96%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
95.4%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 4 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+3
96.0%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
Q4 4:19
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+11
96.0%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 11 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
96.2%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 5 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+7
96.2%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 7 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
96.3%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 5 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+7
96.3%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 7 yds to the UConn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:00
Logan Bonner pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 11 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK)
+12.3
FG · Q4 10:09
Noe Ruelas 54 yd FG GOOD
-8.7
TD · Q2 3:42
Robert Briggs run for 23 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK)
+5.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com