Try the model
ARMY

Army 44 at Massachusetts 7

MASS
2022 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2022 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadARMY aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreARMY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:43 · CJ Kolodziey punt for 32 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 38Pregame prior−30.8Home team on offense−3.4Score differential−0.9Garbage-time factor−1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:48: Gino Campiotti run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cameron Carson KICK) — MASS win probability +3.0 pts (now 16%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:53: Tyhier Tyler run for 27 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK) — ARMY win probability +3.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:05: Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK) — ARMY win probability +3.2 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:57: Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK) — ARMY win probability +6.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:32: Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd for a TD UMASS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the UMass 0, (Quinn Maretzki KICK) — ARMY win probability +1.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 5 of 6ARMY made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 8:34ARMY 4th & 3 at ARMY 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:20MASS 4th & 4 at MASS 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:43MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:16MASS 4th & 16 at MASS 35, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  5. Q3 12:47ARMY 4th & 4 at ARMY 31, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:48MASS 4th & 5 at ARMY 41, down 21
    Close callPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    5.9%−0.7
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:04ARMY 4th & 11 at ARMY 19, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:28MASS 4th & 2 at ARMY 2, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    4.3%−0.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−4.9
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:54ARMY 4th & 4 at ARMY 20, up 21
    Close callPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:31ARMY 4th & 2 at MASS 32, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    97.5%−0.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:47ARMY 4th & 3 at MASS 3, up 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:43MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 22, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ARMY made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 10:48MASS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:54ARMY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:53ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:05ARMY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:57ARMY Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:32ARMY Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:20ARMY Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:1213% → 16%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
13.2%
Brady Olson sacked by Chris Frey for a loss of 9 yards to the UMass 16Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+3
13.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 19Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+27
13.2%
Brady Olson pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 27 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+19
13.2%
Brady Olson pass complete to Isaac Ross for 19 yds to the Army 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
13.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for 13 yds to the Army 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+17
13.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for 17 yds to the Army 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
13.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the Army 2Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
13.2%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
16.3%
Gino Campiotti run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:1484% → 82%
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.0%
Braheam Murphy run for no gain to the Army 25Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
16.0%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 6 yds to the Army 31Similar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
16.0%
ARMY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Army 26Similar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+6
16.1%
Tyhier Tyler run for 6 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q1 8:34
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
17.8%
Billy Boehlke punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Isaac Ross at the UMass 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3FUMBLE
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:1518% → 20%
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
17.8%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+13
17.7%
Ellis Merriweather run for 13 yds to the UMass 40 Ellis Merriweather fumbled, recovered by UMass for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
18.0%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 2 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+7
18.0%
Brady Olson pass complete to Isaac Ross for 7 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 1
OWN 49
-5
17.9%
UMASS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UMass 44Similar
Q1 6:19
3RD & 6
OWN 44
-9
19.8%
Brady Olson run for a loss of 9 yards to the UMass 35 Brady Olson fumbled, recovered by Army Fabrice VoyneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4TD
5 plays · 35 yds · 2:2581% → 82%
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
18.7%
Markel Johnson run for 7 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 3
OPP 28
-5
18.6%
Braheam Murphy run for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 33Similar
Q1 6:19
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+23
19.0%
Tyhier Tyler pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 23 yds to the UMass 10 for a 1ST down UMASS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Tyler Rudolph) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
18.6%
Tyhier Tyler run for no gain to the UMass 10Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
17.7%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 10 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:3419% → 20%
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
18.8%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 2 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
18.8%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the UMass 28Similar
Q1 3:54
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
18.5%
UMASS Penalty, False Start (Cameron Sullivan-Brown) to the UMass 23Similar
Q1 3:54
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+8
18.4%
Brady Olson pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 8 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q1 1:20
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
20.0%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 46 yds, downed at the Army 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6TD
4 plays · 77 yds · 1:2780% → 84%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+32
19.8%
Markel Johnson run for 32 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
18.9%
Hayden Reed run for 4 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+14
19.6%
Tyhier Tyler run for 14 yds to the UMass 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
16.1%
Tyhier Tyler run for 27 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0317% → 17%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
17.3%
Kay'Ron Adams run for no gain to the UMass 18Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
17.3%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
16.9%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:43
4TH & 10
OWN 18
0
17.0%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 2:3884% → 87%
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
50
+27
16.5%
Tyhier Tyler run for 27 yds to the UMass 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
16.4%
Tyhier Tyler run for 12 yds to the UMass 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
16.4%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the UMass 8Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+4
16.4%
Markel Johnson run for 4 yds to the UMass 4Similar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
13.2%
Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9FUMBLE
8 plays · 46 yds · 3:2814% → 15%
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
13.9%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 4 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
14.0%
Brady Olson pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 8 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
14.2%
Brady Olson pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 11 yds to the UMass 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
14.8%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 5 yds to the Army 47Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+19
14.8%
Brady Olson run for 19 yds to the Army 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
15.0%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
15.0%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for no gain to the Army 28Similar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 10
OPP 28
-1
14.5%
Brady Olson pass complete to Isaac Ross for a loss of 1 yard Isaac Ross fumbled, recovered by Army Cameron JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 5:4087% → 94%
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+44
13.4%
Tyhier Tyler pass complete to Joshua Lingenfelter for 44 yds to the UMass 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
12.8%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+6
12.8%
Markel Johnson run for 6 yds to the UMass 18Similar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+6
13.0%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 6 yds to the UMass 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
12.8%
Noah Alexander run for 2 yds to the UMass 10Similar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+4
13.0%
Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the UMass 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
12.8%
Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the UMass 1Similar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+5
12.8%
Tyhier Tyler run for 5 yds to the UMass 5Similar
Q2 7:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
12.7%
Markel Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 2Similar
Q2 1:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
6.1%
Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:418% → 9%
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
8.4%
Brady Olson pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 7 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+9
8.7%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 9 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-4
9.2%
Kay'Ron Adams run for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 37Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 14
OWN 37
0
8.5%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 14
OWN 37
-2
9.5%
Kay'Ron Adams run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 35Similar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 16
OWN 35
0
9.3%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Cameron Jones at the Army 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 6 yds · 1:1694% → 94%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
6.3%
Jemel Jones run for 4 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 6
OWN 30
-3
6.3%
Jemel Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 27Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+5
5.7%
Hayden Reed run for 5 yds to the Army 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:1394% → 94%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
6.2%
Markel Johnson run for 1 yd to the Army 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
6.2%
Jemel Jones run for 4 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
6.4%
Jemel Jones run for 1 yd to the Army 31Similar
Q3 12:47
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
6.1%
Billy Boehlke punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isaac Ross at the UMass 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:598% → 7%
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
8.0%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 3 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+21
8.1%
Brady Olson pass complete to George Johnson III for 21 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-10
8.9%
UMASS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jaret Pallotta) to the UMass 45Similar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
8.6%
OLSON, Brady pass up the middle complete for 55 yards to SULLIVAN-BROWN, Cam to the UMA45, 1ST DOWN, TOUCHDOWN UMA, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY UMA Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on GIBSON, Jacquon AWP Holding , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 19
OWN 45
+9
8.3%
Brady Olson pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 9 yds to the Army 46Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+1
8.7%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the Army 45Similar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+4
8.6%
Brady Olson run for 4 yds to the Army 41Similar
Q3 8:48
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
6.8%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:4496% → 96%
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
4.2%
Jemel Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 19Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
4.3%
Jemel Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:48
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
4.4%
Jemel Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:04
4TH & 11
OWN 19
+17
4.2%
Billy Boehlke punt for 30 yds , Isaac Ross returns for 17 yds to the Army 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 16DOWNS
8 plays · 30 yds · 4:367% → 5%
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
7.3%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 2 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+5
7.4%
Brady Olson pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 5 yds to the Army 25Similar
Q3 8:04
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+7
7.1%
Brady Olson pass complete to Isaac Ross for 7 yds to the Army 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+17
7.5%
Brady Olson pass complete to George Johnson III for 17 yds to the Army 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
9.9%
Gino Campiotti run for no gain to the Army 1Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
9.5%
Gino Campiotti run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 3Similar
Q3 8:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
8.5%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the Army 2Similar
Q3 3:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
5.3%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:3497% → 98%
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
2.7%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Army 5Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+5
2.7%
Jemel Jones run for 5 yds to the Army 10Similar
Q3 3:28
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+4
2.8%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the Army 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
2.7%
Markel Johnson run for 2 yds to the Army 16Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+2
2.6%
Jemel Jones run for 2 yds to the Army 18 Jemel Jones fumbled, recovered by Army Jemel JonesSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 18
+2
2.3%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Army 20Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 4
OWN 20
0
2.4%
Billy Boehlke punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Isaac Ross at the UMass 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:233% → 3%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
3.1%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
3.1%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:31
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
3.0%
Brady Olson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 19TD
11 plays · 40 yds · 5:5998% → 100%
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
2.0%
Maurice Bellan run for 7 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 3
OPP 33
0
2.0%
Cade Ballard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:31
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+1
2.0%
Cade Ballard run for 1 yd to the UMass 32Similar
Q4 14:31
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+4
2.3%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the UMass 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
2.0%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+7
2.0%
Markel Johnson run for 7 yds to the UMass 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
2.0%
Markel Johnson run for 3 yds to the UMass 14Similar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+6
2.0%
Markel Johnson run for 6 yds to the UMass 8Similar
Q4 14:31
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+3
2.0%
Jemel Jones run for 3 yds to the UMass 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
2.0%
Jemel Jones run for 4 yds to the UMass 1Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.2%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd for a TD UMASS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the UMass 0, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
0.2%
Brady Olson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 21FG
6 plays · 16 yds · 3:31100% → 100%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
0.3%
Bryson Daily run for 9 yds to the UMass 10Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 1
OPP 10
-1
0.2%
Bryson Daily run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 7 Bryson Daily fumbled, recovered by Army Bryson Daily for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
0.3%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the UMass 6Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
0.3%
Jarel Dickson run for no gain to the UMass 6Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
0.3%
Jarel Dickson run for 3 yds to the UMass 3Similar
Q4 4:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
0.2%
Quinn Maretzki 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:570% → 0%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
0.2%
Garrett Dzuro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+1
0.2%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the UMass 14Similar
Q4 4:40
3RD & 9
OWN 14
+8
0.2%
Garrett Dzuro run for 8 yds to the UMass 22Similar
Q4 2:43
4TH & 1
OWN 22
0
0.1%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 44 yds, downed at the Army 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 23TD
3 plays · 66 yds · 1:23100% → 100%
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
0.2%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+8
0.2%
Bryson Daily run for 8 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
0.1%
Bryson Daily run for 54 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · 2 yds · 1:200% → 0%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.1%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 1 yd to the UMass 26Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
0.1%
Garrett Dzuro run for 1 yd to the UMass 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:57
Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)
-6.6
TD · Q2 14:53
Tyhier Tyler run for 27 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)
-3.5
TD · Q2 11:05
Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)
-3.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com