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CONN

UConn 17 at Army 34

ARMY
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2022 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:28 · Tyson Riley run for no gain to the UConn 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Pregame prior+7.7Home team on offense+5.7Garbage-time factor+0.5Score differential+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:12: Victor Rosa run for 43 yds for a TD, (Noe Ruelas KICK) — CONN win probability +12.0 pts (now 41%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:18: Jemel Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki PAT BLOCKED) — ARMY win probability +8.4 pts (now 73%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:33: Zion Turner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Noe Ruelas KICK) — CONN win probability +16.8 pts (now 51%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:20: Braheam Murphy run for 75 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK) — ARMY win probability +17.0 pts (now 70%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:19: Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK) — ARMY win probability +13.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 6 of 6CONN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:50CONN 4th & 9 at CONN 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:04CONN 4th & 8 at ARMY 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    22.2%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:54ARMY 4th & 2 at ARMY 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.9%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:49CONN 4th & 1 at ARMY 1, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    25.4%−0.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    22.9%−3.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:59ARMY 4th & 10 at ARMY 42, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:00ARMY 4th & 5 at ARMY 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:50CONN 4th & 4 at CONN 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−0.6
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:28ARMY 4th & 3 at CONN 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    70.3%−1.8
    49% to make
    Punt
    69.1%−2.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:02CONN 4th & 22 at CONN 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−5.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:22CONN 4th & 25 at CONN 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−2.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:28ARMY 4th & 5 at ARMY 34, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:24ARMY 4th & 1 at ARMY 34, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.2%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 5 of 5CONN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:50ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:12CONN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:18ARMY Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    72.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:33CONN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:20ARMY Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:19ARMY Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:23ARMY Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1PUNT TD
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:0327% → 26%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
73.4%
Victor Rosa run for 1 yd to the UConn 19Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+5
73.4%
Zion Turner pass complete to Justin Joly for 5 yds to the UConn 24Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 9
OWN 19
0
73.4%
Zion Turner run for no gain to the UConn 19Similar
Q1 12:50
4TH & 9
OWN 19
+19
73.7%
Miles Stewart 19 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Quinn Maretzki Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2FG
14 plays · 67 yds · 6:3926% → 28%
Q1 12:43
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+33
73.6%
Devontae Houston run for 33 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 13
50
+8
73.5%
Victor Rosa run for 8 yds to the Army 42Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+6
73.4%
Victor Rosa run for 6 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
73.4%
Zion Turner pass complete to Robert Burns for 8 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+3
73.3%
Victor Rosa run for 3 yds to the Army 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
73.3%
Zion Turner pass incomplete to Kevens ClerciusSimilar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+13
73.3%
Devontae Houston run for 13 yds to the Army 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
73.3%
Robert Burns run for 5 yds to the Army 7Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+6
73.1%
Victor Rosa run for 6 yds to the Army 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
73.1%
Robert Burns run for no gain to the Army 1Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
73.1%
Robert Burns run for 2 yds to the Army 8Similar
Q1 7:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
73.5%
Zion Turner pass incomplete to Kevens ClerciusSimilar
Q1 6:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
72.4%
Noe Ruelas 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:1073% → 72%
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
72.6%
Tyson Riley run for 4 yds to the Army 29Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
72.6%
Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the Army 28Similar
Q1 6:04
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
72.3%
Miles Stewart run for 5 yds to the Army 33Similar
Q1 3:54
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
72.0%
Billy Boehlke punt for 32 yds , Tre Wortham returns for no gain to the UConn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4DOWNS
10 plays · 63 yds · 4:0528% → 29%
Q1 3:54
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+11
72.5%
Victor Rosa run for 11 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+27
71.7%
Victor Rosa run for 27 yds to the Army 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & 15
OPP 37
0
71.8%
Devontae Houston run for no gain to the Army 37Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 15
OPP 37
+11
71.8%
Zion Turner pass complete to Aaron Turner for 11 yds to the Army 26Similar
Q1 3:54
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+6
71.5%
Zion Turner pass complete to Robert Burns for 6 yds to the Army 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
70.4%
Zion Turner run for 15 yds to the Army 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
70.4%
Robert Burns run for 4 yds to the Army 1Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
69.8%
Robert Burns run for no gain to the Army 1Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
70.3%
Zion Turner pass incomplete to Rayonte BrownSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
70.9%
Robert Burns run for 1 yd to the Army 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 5PUNT
14 plays · 40 yds · 7:5072% → 71%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
71.5%
Tyson Riley run for 4 yds to the Army 6Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+5
71.4%
Tyhier Tyler run for 5 yds to the Army 11Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+6
71.0%
Tyhier Tyler run for 6 yds to the Army 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
71.7%
Tyson Riley run for 3 yds to the Army 20Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+7
71.6%
Tyhier Tyler run for 7 yds to the Army 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
71.8%
Tyhier Tyler run for 6 yds to the Army 33Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+3
72.2%
Tyson Riley run for 3 yds to the Army 36Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+6
72.0%
Tyhier Tyler run for 6 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
72.5%
ARMY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Army 35Similar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 17
OWN 35
-5
71.7%
PENALTY ARMY False Start 5 yards from ARMY35 to ARMY30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 22
OWN 30
+12
71.7%
Maurice Bellan run for 12 yds to the Army 42Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+1
72.1%
Braheam Murphy run for 1 yd to the Army 43Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+1
71.7%
Braheam Murphy run for 1 yd to the Army 42Similar
Q2 6:59
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
70.5%
Billy Boehlke punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 3:4729% → 41%
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
71.1%
Robert Burns run for 6 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+1
70.6%
Devontae Houston run for 1 yd to the UConn 25Similar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+6
71.6%
Zion Turner pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 6 yds to the UConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
70.7%
Devontae Houston run for 3 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
70.5%
Zion Turner pass incomplete to Keelan MarionSimilar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+23
71.3%
Zion Turner run for 23 yds to the Army 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
59.3%
Victor Rosa run for 43 yds for a TD, (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 7TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 2:5462% → 73%
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
62.4%
Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the Army 26Similar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
62.2%
Tyhier Tyler run for 6 yds to the Army 20Similar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
63.1%
Jemel Jones run for 5 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+34
65.2%
Braheam Murphy run for 34 yds to the UConn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
67.0%
Jemel Jones run for 3 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+6
67.0%
Tyson Riley run for 6 yds to the UConn 19Similar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+2
65.6%
Tyson Riley run for 2 yds to the UConn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
67.0%
Maurice Bellan run for 8 yds to the UConn 9Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+6
67.0%
Tyson Riley run for 6 yds to the UConn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
67.0%
Jemel Jones run for 2 yds to the UConn 1Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
73.3%
Jemel Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
69.7%
Z. Turner takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:5570% → 70%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
70.1%
Tyson Riley run for no gain to the Army 35Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
69.9%
Tyhier Tyler run for 7 yds to the Army 42Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+2
70.9%
Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q3 13:00
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
69.8%
Billy Boehlke punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:2731% → 51%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
69.0%
Victor Rosa run for no gain to the UConn 30Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
69.5%
Zion Turner pass incomplete to Justin JolySimilar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+5
70.4%
No Huddle Turner,Zion pass incomplete short left to Marion,Keelan PENALTY ARMY Offside 5 yards from CONN30 to CONN35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+8
69.4%
Zion Turner pass complete to Justin Joly for 8 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+33
67.1%
Zion Turner pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 33 yds to the Army 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
65.0%
Devontae Houston run for 11 yds to the Army 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
65.0%
Devontae Houston run for 4 yds to the Army 9Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+4
65.0%
Victor Rosa run for 4 yds to the Army 5 Victor Rosa fumbled, recovered by UConn Noel Ofori-NyaduSimilar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+4
66.2%
Robert Burns run for 4 yds to the Army 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
49.4%
Zion Turner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
70.4%
Braheam Murphy run for 75 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2432% → 30%
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
68.5%
Zion Turner pass complete to Aaron Turner for 7 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 3
OWN 34
0
66.9%
Zion Turner pass incomplete to Kevens ClerciusSimilar
Q3 8:14
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+1
68.2%
Victor Rosa run for 1 yd to the UConn 33Similar
Q3 6:50
4TH & 4
OWN 33
0
70.1%
Bruno Perlicki punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13DOWNS
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:2273% → 71%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
50
+2
73.1%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the UConn 48Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+8
73.2%
Maurice Bellan run for 8 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
73.5%
Tyhier Tyler pass incomplete to Joshua LingenfelterSimilar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
73.2%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+5
72.7%
Braheam Murphy run for 5 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q3 4:28
4TH & 3
OPP 33
0
70.5%
Tyson Riley run for no gain to the UConn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 1:2633% → 27%
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
67.4%
Zion Turner pass incomplete to Keelan MarionSimilar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
67.9%
Devontae Houston run for 3 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 12
OWN 31
0
69.8%
Zion Turner pass incomplete to Keelan MarionSimilar
Q3 3:02
4TH & 22
OWN 21
+12
72.6%
Bruno Perlicki punt for 29 yds , Cameron Jones returns for 12 yds to the UConn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15TD
5 plays · 38 yds · 2:4373% → 87%
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
73.1%
Tyhier Tyler run for no gain to the UConn 38Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+25
72.9%
Tyhier Tyler run for 25 yds to the UConn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
74.0%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 6 yds to the UConn 7Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+3
74.0%
Tyson Riley run for 3 yds to the UConn 4Similar
Q3 0:19
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+4
87.0%
Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 3:3814% → 12%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
86.2%
Devontae Houston run for 14 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+12
86.2%
Justin Joly run for 12 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+3
83.9%
Devontae Houston run for 3 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 18
OWN 41
+3
85.9%
Victor Rosa run for 3 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 44
+4
85.9%
Zion Turner pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 4 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 40
-6
86.5%
Zion Turner sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the UConn 34Similar
Q4 11:22
4TH & 25
OWN 34
0
88.2%
Bruno Perlicki punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:5487% → 90%
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
87.4%
Tyson Riley run for 4 yds to the Army 23Similar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+6
87.5%
Miles Stewart run for 6 yds to the Army 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
87.6%
PENALTY ARMY False Start (Dellinger,Simon) 5 yards from ARMY29 to ARMY24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:22
1ST & 15
OWN 24
0
87.3%
Tyhier Tyler run for no gain to the Army 24 Tyhier Tyler fumbled, recovered by UConn Tyhier TylerSimilar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 15
OWN 24
+7
87.1%
Braheam Murphy run for 7 yds to the Army 31Similar
Q4 11:22
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+3
87.0%
Maurice Bellan run for 3 yds to the Army 34Similar
Q4 7:28
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
89.9%
Billy Boehlke punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
90.1%
Zion Turner pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
90.1%
Zion Turner pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 19TD
12 plays · 27 yds · 2:5092% → 99%
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
92.3%
PENALTY ARMY UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting CONN UNR: Unnecessary Roughness offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
92.3%
Maurice Bellan run for 8 yds to the UConn 19Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+1
92.3%
Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the UConn 18Similar
Q4 7:13
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+3
91.9%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the UConn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
93.8%
Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the UConn 13Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+7
94.2%
Tyhier Tyler run for 7 yds to the UConn 6Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+2
93.8%
Tyson Riley run for 2 yds to the UConn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
94.2%
Tyson Riley run for 2 yds to the UConn 2Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.6%
Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 20INT
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:591% → 1%
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.3%
Zion Turner pass complete to Keelan Marion for 7 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+16
99.2%
Zion Turner pass complete to Aaron Turner for 16 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
99.2%
Zion Turner pass complete to Robert Burns for 4 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
99.2%
Zion Turner pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 21END OF GAME
5 plays · 13 yds · 3:2499% → 99%
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.6%
Cade Ballard run for 2 yds to the Army 27Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
98.6%
Cade Ballard run for 7 yds to the Army 34Similar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
98.7%
Cade Ballard run for no gain to the Army 34Similar
Q4 3:24
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+7
98.6%
Hayden Reed run for 7 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
99.1%
C. Ballard takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:20
Braheam Murphy run for 75 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)
+17
TD · Q3 8:33
Zion Turner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Noe Ruelas KICK)
-16.8
TD · Q3 0:19
Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)
+13
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com