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ULM

UL Monroe 24 at Army 48

ARMY
2022 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2022 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:07 · Devyn McCormick punt for 36 yds , Isaiah Morris returns for no gain to the Army 35 Isaiah Morris fumbled, recovered by LaMon Jimmy Ciarlo
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 74Home team on offense−3.7Pregame prior+7.0Score differential−2.3Garbage-time factor−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:43: Andrew Henry run for 10 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK) — ULM win probability +10.4 pts (now 55%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:38: Jemel Jones run for 2 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK) — ARMY win probability +10.2 pts (now 60%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q3 3:40: Jemel Jones run for 6 yds for a TD UL MONROE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Caleb Thomas) to the LaMon 0, (Quinn Maretzki KICK) — ARMY win probability +14.3 pts (now 80%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:12: Tyson Riley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK) — ARMY win probability +10.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:03: Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jevin Frett for 23 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK) — ULM win probability +7.3 pts (now 8%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 4 of 5ULM made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 9:19ULM 4th & 5 at ARMY 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.8%
    92% to make
    Punt
    32.0%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:02ARMY 4th & 4 at ULM 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    66.0%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    65.8%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:57ULM 4th & 3 at ARMY 3, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    32.8%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    30.1%−3.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:55ARMY 4th & 1 at ARMY 13, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    66.3%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:16ARMY 4th & 6 at ULM 39, down 3
    Close callPunted · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    61.6%−0.9
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.7%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:07ULM 4th & 12 at ULM 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−2.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:23ARMY 4th & 12 at ULM 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%−2.6
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.3%
    74% to make
    Punt
    43.9%−9.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:24ULM 4th & 4 at ULM 20, down 7
    Close callPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:42ULM 4th & 5 at ARMY 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    8.0%−1.0
    28% to make
    Punt
    8.3%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:48ARMY 4th & 5 at ULM 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    94.7%−2.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:16ULM 4th & 8 at ULM 14, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 4 of 6ULM made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 6:02ARMY Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:49ULM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:43ULM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:38ARMY Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:40ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:12ARMY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:35ARMY Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:03ULM Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.4%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:22ARMY Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULMDrive 1FG
14 plays · 70 yds · 5:4136% → 37%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
64.2%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Boogie Knight for 8 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+14
64.2%
Chandler Rogers run for 14 yds to the LaMon 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
64.2%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
50
0
64.2%
Chandler Rogers pass incomplete to Boogie KnightSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
50
-8
64.2%
Chandler Rogers sacked by Leo Lowin for a loss of 8 yards to the LaMon 42Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 42
+15
64.2%
McCormick,Devyn punt 37 yards to the ARMY21 Bellan,Maurice return 3 yards to the ARMY24 (Batton,Michael) PENALTY ARMY Roughing The Kicker (DiDomenico,Max) 15 yards from ULM42 to ARMY43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
64.2%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 15 yds to the Army 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
64.2%
Bugs Mortimer run for 6 yds to the Army 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+17
64.2%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jevin Frett for 17 yds to the Army 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
64.2%
Andrew Henry run for no gain to the Army 5Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
64.2%
Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the Army 4Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
64.2%
Chandler Rogers run for 1 yd to the Army 5Similar
Q1 9:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
63.3%
Calum Sutherland 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:1763% → 65%
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
63.3%
Jemel Jones run for 2 yds to the Army 23Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+40
63.2%
Braheam Murphy run for 40 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
64.0%
Jemel Jones run for 2 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+2
64.1%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
Q1 9:19
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+2
63.9%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q1 6:02
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+31
65.0%
Jemel Jones run for 31 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 3DOWNS
13 plays · 72 yds · 6:0535% → 36%
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
64.9%
Chandler Rogers run for 8 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
64.4%
Andrew Henry run for 3 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
64.6%
Malik Jackson run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
50
+6
64.0%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Jackson for 6 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+3
63.9%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 3 yds to the Army 41Similar
Q1 6:02
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+2
63.9%
Andrew Henry run for 2 yds to the Army 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+19
64.0%
Chandler Rogers run for 19 yds to the Army 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
63.6%
ARMY Penalty, Illegal Use Of Hands (Jabari Moore) to the Army 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
63.6%
Malik Jackson run for 5 yds to the Army 3Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
63.6%
Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the Army 5Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
63.2%
Andrew Henry run for 2 yds to the Army 3Similar
Q2 14:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
64.0%
Chandler Rogers pass incomplete to Alred LukeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0265% → 64%
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
64.6%
Tyson Riley run for 5 yds to the Army 9Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+3
64.5%
Tyson Riley run for 3 yds to the Army 12Similar
Q2 14:57
3RD & 2
OWN 12
+1
63.9%
Jemel Jones run for 1 yd to the Army 13Similar
Q2 12:55
4TH & 1
OWN 13
+1
63.5%
Jemel Jones run for 1 yd to the Army 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 5TD
1 play · 12 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
57.8%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Boogie Knight for 12 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 4:3360% → 60%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
60.4%
Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 8 yds to the Army 33Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+13
61.6%
Tyson Riley run for 13 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
62.0%
Jemel Jones pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 5 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+6
62.4%
Jemel Jones run for 6 yds to the LaMon 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
62.4%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the LaMon 39Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+3
62.5%
Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 3 yds to the LaMon 42Similar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+3
61.8%
Braheam Murphy run for 3 yds to the LaMon 39Similar
Q2 8:16
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
59.7%
Billy Boehlke punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 7TD
6 plays · 98 yds · 2:3341% → 55%
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
58.9%
Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 4Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+5
59.1%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jevin Frett for 5 yds to the LaMon 9Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 3
OWN 9
+8
59.8%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Rylan Green for 8 yds to the LaMon 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+69
58.4%
Bugs Mortimer run for 69 yds to the Army 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
55.8%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Rylan Green for 4 yds to the Army 10Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+10
45.3%
Andrew Henry run for 10 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:0547% → 60%
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.9%
Jemel Jones pass incomplete to Braheam MurphySimilar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
46.8%
Jemel Jones run for 15 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
48.0%
Tyson Riley run for 5 yds to the Army 45Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+12
48.5%
Jemel Jones run for 12 yds to the LaMon 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
49.2%
Braheam Murphy run for 6 yds to the LaMon 37Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+9
49.2%
Jemel Jones run for 9 yds to the LaMon 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
50.3%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the LaMon 25Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+7
50.3%
Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 7 yds to the LaMon 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
50.2%
Tyson Riley run for 10 yds to the LaMon 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
50.2%
Tyson Riley run for 6 yds to the LaMon 2Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
60.4%
Jemel Jones run for 2 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · -2 yds · 0:3146% → 45%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
53.8%
PENALTY ULM Delay Of Game 5 yards from ULM25 to ULM20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
54.0%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Alred Luke for no gain to the LaMon 20Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+1
53.5%
Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 21Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
54.5%
UL MONROE Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
55.2%
Devyn McCormick punt for 36 yds , Isaiah Morris returns for no gain to the Army 35 Isaiah Morris fumbled, recovered by LaMon Jimmy CiarloSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
54.2%
J. Jones takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11FG
10 plays · 34 yds · 5:2458% → 60%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
58.3%
Tyson Riley run for 6 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+4
59.2%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the LaMon 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
59.2%
Maurice Bellan run for 11 yds to the LaMon 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
60.3%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 6 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+3
60.3%
Jemel Jones run for 3 yds to the LaMon 25Similar
Q3 14:47
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+6
58.8%
Jemel Jones run for 6 yds to the LaMon 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
60.3%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the LaMon 21Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 12
OPP 21
0
60.1%
Jemel Jones run for no gain to the LaMon 21Similar
Q3 14:47
3RD & 12
OPP 21
0
58.2%
Jemel Jones pass incomplete to Braheam MurphySimilar
Q3 9:23
4TH & 12
OPP 21
+38
60.2%
Quinn Maretzki 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 12INT
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:3142% → 45%
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
57.8%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Boogie Knight for 15 yds to the LaMon 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
55.4%
Chandler Rogers pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 5:1265% → 80%
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
64.5%
Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 5 yds to the LaMon 44Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+14
64.8%
Tyson Riley run for 14 yds to the LaMon 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
65.7%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 5 yds to the LaMon 25Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+5
65.4%
Tyson Riley run for 5 yds to the LaMon 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
65.4%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the LaMon 18Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+6
65.4%
UL MONROE Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Keydrain Calligan) to the LaMon 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
65.4%
Jemel Jones run for 2 yds to the LaMon 3Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
65.4%
Jemel Jones run for 3 yds to the LaMon 6Similar
Q3 3:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
79.7%
Jemel Jones run for 6 yds for a TD UL MONROE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Caleb Thomas) to the LaMon 0, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1325% → 23%
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
74.9%
Chandler Rogers pass incomplete to Tyrone HowellSimilar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+2
75.2%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Alred Luke for 2 yds to the LaMon 16Similar
Q3 3:37
3RD & 8
OWN 16
0
76.3%
UL MONROE Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 2:24
4TH & 4
OWN 20
0
77.1%
Devyn McCormick punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 2:1281% → 93%
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
81.2%
Tyson Riley run for 14 yds to the LaMon 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
82.1%
Braheam Murphy run for 1 yd to the LaMon 45Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+36
81.8%
Jemel Jones pass complete to Ay'Jaun Marshall for 36 yds to the LaMon 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
82.3%
Tyson Riley run for 6 yds to the LaMon 3Similar
Q3 0:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
93.2%
Tyson Riley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 16DOWNS
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:1811% → 10%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
89.1%
Malik Jackson run for 14 yds to the LaMon 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
88.5%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Bugs Mortimer for 5 yds to the LaMon 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+4
88.1%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Bugs Mortimer for 4 yds to the Army 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+1
87.9%
Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the Army 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
88.0%
Chandler Rogers run for 5 yds to the Army 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 43
0
87.2%
UL MONROE Penalty, Illegal Formation (Lu Tillery) declinedSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
88.0%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Tyrone Howell for no gain to the Army 43Similar
Q4 11:42
4TH & 5
OPP 43
-2
90.1%
Chandler Rogers sacked by Max Didomenico for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 5:0795% → 99%
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
94.7%
Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 14 yds to the LaMon 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
94.7%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the LaMon 37Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+2
94.7%
Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
Q4 11:42
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+10
94.6%
Tyhier Tyler run for 10 yds to the LaMon 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
94.7%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 6 yds to the LaMon 19Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+6
94.7%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 6 yds to the LaMon 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
94.7%
Tyhier Tyler run for 10 yds to the LaMon 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.3%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:251% → 8%
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.1%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Andrew Henry for 4 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
99.0%
Chandler Rogers run for 5 yds to the Army 34Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 5
OPP 34
0
98.8%
Chandler Rogers pass incomplete to Jevin FrettSimilar
Q4 6:28
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+11
99.0%
Chandler Rogers run for 11 yds to the Army 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
91.7%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jevin Frett for 23 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 19FG
10 plays · 23 yds · 1:1397% → 99%
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
97.2%
Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 18 yds to the LaMon 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
97.2%
PENALTY ARMY False Start 5 yards from ULM25 to ULM30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:01
1ST & 15
OPP 30
-5
97.2%
Johnson,Markel rush middle for 7 yards gain to the ULM23 (Glass,Carl; Black,Tyrese) PENALTY ARMY Illegal Motion 5 yards from ULM30 to ULM35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:01
1ST & 20
OPP 35
+7
97.1%
Braheam Murphy run for 7 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 13
OPP 28
+1
97.6%
Markel Johnson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 27Similar
Q4 3:58
3RD & 12
OPP 27
+7
98.0%
Cade Ballard run for 7 yds to the LaMon 20Similar
Q4 3:48
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+37
98.6%
Quinn Maretzki 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:261% → 1%
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
99.2%
Chandler Rogers pass incomplete to Tyrone HowellSimilar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 10
OWN 12
-8
99.2%
Chandler Rogers sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the LaMon 4Similar
Q4 3:42
3RD & 18
OWN 4
+10
99.3%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Malik Jackson for 10 yds to the LaMon 14Similar
Q4 2:16
4TH & 8
OWN 14
0
99.3%
Devyn McCormick punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 21TD
2 plays · 65 yds · 0:5499% → 100%
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
98.9%
Markel Johnson run for 1 yd to the Army 36Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+64
99.8%
Bryson Daily run for 64 yds for a TD, (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 22Uncategorized
3 plays · 8 yds · 1:220% → 0%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Charlie Norman run for 3 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
99.8%
Charlie Norman run for 5 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:40
Jemel Jones run for 6 yds for a TD UL MONROE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Caleb Thomas) to the LaMon 0, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)
+14.3
TD · Q3 0:12
Tyson Riley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)
+10.9
TD · Q2 5:43
Andrew Henry run for 10 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)
-10.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com