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COLG

Colgate 17 at Army 42

ARMY
2022 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2022 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadCOLG aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreCOLG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:17 · Michael Brescia pass incomplete to Garrett Oakey
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 133Pregame prior+11.0Home team on offense+32.3Score differential+16.4Garbage-time factor+10.9Blowout margin+13.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:31: Michael Brescia run for 1 yd for a TD, (Spencer Biscoe KICK) — COLG win probability +0.9 pts (now 4%) (top driver: COLG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:27: Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 11 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK) — ARMY win probability +1.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:23: Michael Brescia pass complete to Treyvohn Saunders for 19 yds for a TD, (Spencer Biscoe KICK) — COLG win probability +2.3 pts (now 7%) (top driver: COLG has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:33: Jemel Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK) — ARMY win probability +3.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:15: Markel Johnson run for 24 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK) — ARMY win probability +2.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 1 of 2COLG made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 11:04COLG 4th & 4 at ARMY 32, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.9%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:17COLG 4th & 15 at ARMY 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.1%
    45% to make
    Punt
    6.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:30COLG 4th & 5 at COLG 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:54COLG 4th & 1 at ARMY 24, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%−0.5
    68% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−1.8
    average punt
  5. Q3 0:46COLG 4th & 16 at ARMY 43, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  6. Q4 12:39ARMY 4th & 3 at ARMY 27, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q4 8:17COLG 4th & 6 at ARMY 8, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q4 4:41ARMY 4th & 10 at ARMY 35, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  9. Q4 0:53COLG 4th & 6 at ARMY 23, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 6 of 6COLG made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:52ARMY Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:31COLG Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:29ARMY Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:09ARMY Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:27ARMY Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:23COLG Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:33ARMY Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:15ARMY Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLGDrive 1FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 3:563% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
97.2%
Max Hurleman run for 23 yds to the Colg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
97.2%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Brady Hutchison for 5 yds to the Army 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+1
97.2%
Michael Brescia run for 1 yd to the Army 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+10
97.2%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Treyvohn Saunders for 10 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
97.2%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Myles Bradley for 1 yd to the Army 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
97.2%
Michael Brescia pass incomplete to Treyvohn SaundersSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+5
97.2%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Brady Hutchison for 5 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q1 11:04
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+49
96.6%
Spencer Biscoe 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
96.7%
Jemel Jones run for 75 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 3TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:213% → 4%
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
96.7%
PENALTY COL Delay Of Game 5 yards from COL25 to COL20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:52
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+14
96.7%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Garrett Oakey for 14 yds to the Colg 34Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
96.6%
Max Hurleman run for 2 yds to the Colg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+49
96.7%
Max Hurleman run for 34 yds to the ARMY 30 for a 1ST down ARMY Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Quindrelin Hammonds) to the Army 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
96.6%
Max Hurleman run for no gain to the Army 15Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+12
96.6%
Michael Brescia run for 12 yds to the Army 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
96.6%
Michael Brescia pass incomplete to Garrett OakeySimilar
Q1 10:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
96.6%
Michael Brescia run for 2 yds to the Army 1Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.7%
Michael Brescia run for 1 yd for a TD, (Spencer Biscoe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:0296% → 96%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+45
95.8%
Hayden Reed run for 45 yds to the Colg 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
96.0%
Jemel Jones run for 6 yds to the Colg 24Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+1
96.0%
Markel Johnson run for 1 yd to the Colg 23Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+7
96.0%
Hayden Reed run for 7 yds to the Colg 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
96.0%
Hayden Reed run for 2 yds to the Colg 14Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+5
96.0%
Jemel Jones run for 5 yds to the Colg 9Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+7
96.0%
Hayden Reed run for 7 yds to the Colg 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.6%
Hayden Reed run for 2 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 5MISSED FG
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:025% → 5%
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
95.3%
Michael Brescia run for 6 yds to the Colg 43Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+27
95.2%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Garrett Oakey for 27 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
95.0%
Max Hurleman pass incomplete to Garrett OakeySimilar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-15
95.0%
No Huddle Henry,Jaedon rush left for 2 yards gain to the AWP28 (Nicolas-Paul,Bo; Lowin,Leo) PENALTY COL Clipping (Gashi,Bardhyl) 15 yards from AWP30 to AWP45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 25
OPP 45
0
95.2%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Brady Hutchison for no gain to the Army 45Similar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 25
OPP 45
+10
95.3%
Jaedon Henry run for 10 yds to the Army 35Similar
Q1 0:17
4TH & 15
OPP 35
+52
94.7%
Spencer Biscoe 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:5195% → 96%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
94.5%
Hayden Reed run for 2 yds to the Army 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+3
94.6%
Jemel Jones run for 3 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+25
94.6%
Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 25 yds to the Colg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
94.9%
Jemel Jones run for 5 yds to the Colg 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+10
94.9%
Markel Johnson run for 10 yds to the Colg 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
94.9%
Hayden Reed run for 4 yds to the Colg 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+5
94.9%
Hayden Reed run for 5 yds to the Colg 11Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+5
94.7%
Hayden Reed run for 5 yds to the Colg 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
94.9%
PENALTY AWP False Start (Law,Jordyn) 5 yards from COL06 to COL11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
95.6%
Braheam Murphy run for 11 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:395% → 5%
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.0%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Max Hurleman for no gain to the Colg 25Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
95.0%
Max Hurleman run for no gain to the Colg 25Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
95.1%
Michael Brescia pass incomplete to Treyvohn SaundersSimilar
Q2 10:09
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.2%
Pruett,Shelby punt 21 yards to the COL46, out of bounds at COL46 PENALTY AWP Running Into The Kicker (Smith,Daelan) 5 yards from COL25 to COL30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:30
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+4
95.0%
Shelby Pruett punt for 31 yds , Cameron Jones returns for 4 yds to the Army 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 3:0395% → 97%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
95.3%
Braheam Murphy run for 6 yds to the Army 49Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+6
95.3%
Markel Johnson run for 6 yds to the Colg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
95.4%
Jemel Jones pass incomplete to Braheam MurphySimilar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+21
95.4%
Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 21 yds to the Colg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
95.4%
Jarel Dickson run for 7 yds to the Colg 17Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+6
95.4%
Jemel Jones run for 6 yds to the Colg 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
96.6%
Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 11 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 9FUMBLE
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:544% → 4%
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
96.4%
Jaedon Henry run for 7 yds to the Colg 32Similar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
96.2%
Michael Brescia run for no gain to the Colg 32Similar
Q2 4:16
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
96.3%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Treyvohn Saunders for 5 yds to the Colg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
96.2%
Michael Brescia run for 19 yds to the Army 47 Michael Brescia fumbled, recovered by Army Cameron JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:3997% → 97%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
96.9%
Maurice Bellan run for 6 yds to the Colg 47Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+6
96.7%
Jemel Jones run for 6 yds to the Army 47 Jemel Jones fumbled, recovered by Colg Danny NoroceaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 11TD
9 plays · 47 yds · 2:314% → 7%
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
96.1%
Michael Brescia run for 7 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+1
96.0%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Jaedon Henry for 1 yd to the Army 39Similar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+6
96.0%
Zach Osborne run for 6 yds to the Army 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
95.8%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Jake Ryan for 9 yds to the Army 24Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 1
OPP 24
0
95.8%
Michael Brescia pass incomplete to Jake RyanSimilar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 1
OPP 24
0
96.0%
Max Hurleman run for no gain to the Army 24Similar
Q2 2:54
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+5
96.0%
Michael Brescia run for 5 yds to the Army 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
95.8%
Michael Brescia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
93.5%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Treyvohn Saunders for 19 yds for a TD, (Spencer Biscoe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:1395% → 95%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
95.1%
Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 4 yds to the Army 46Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
94.8%
Jemel Jones pass incomplete to Casey ReynoldsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13TD
17 plays · 77 yds · 8:2294% → 98%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
94.3%
Hayden Reed run for 3 yds to the Army 26Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+4
94.3%
Jemel Jones run for 4 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+5
94.1%
Hayden Reed run for 5 yds to the Army 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
94.3%
Braheam Murphy run for 2 yds to the Army 37Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+4
94.4%
Jemel Jones run for 4 yds to the Army 41Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+5
94.4%
Markel Johnson run for 5 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
94.6%
Braheam Murphy run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
50
+4
94.6%
Jarel Dickson run for 4 yds to the Colg 46Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+4
94.4%
Jemel Jones run for 4 yds to the Colg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
94.7%
Markel Johnson run for 2 yds to the Colg 40Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+23
94.7%
Markel Johnson run for 23 yds to the Colg 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
94.7%
Jemel Jones run for 6 yds to the Colg 11Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+5
94.7%
Jarel Dickson run for 5 yds to the Colg 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
94.7%
Markel Johnson run for 4 yds to the Colg 2Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
94.7%
Markel Johnson run for 1 yd to the Colg 1Similar
Q3 6:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.7%
Jemel Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 14INT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:103% → 3%
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.9%
Jaedon Henry run for 4 yds to the Colg 29Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
96.7%
Michael Brescia pass complete to William Parker for 7 yds to the Colg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
96.7%
Jaedon Henry run for 2 yds to the Colg 34Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
97.1%
Michael Brescia pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15TD
1 play · 24 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
99.5%
Markel Johnson run for 24 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 3:291% → 1%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.3%
PENALTY COL False Start (Niesner,Chance) 5 yards from COL25 to COL20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+13
99.0%
Max Hurleman run for 13 yds to the Colg 33Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
99.2%
Max Hurleman run for 3 yds to the Colg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.2%
Michael Brescia pass incomplete to Garrett OakeySimilar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+27
99.3%
Michael Brescia run for 27 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
99.2%
Michael Brescia run for 1 yd to the Army 36Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 9
OPP 36
0
99.2%
Treyvohn Saunders pass incomplete to Brady HutchisonSimilar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 9
OPP 36
-7
99.3%
Michael Brescia sacked by Kwabena Bonsu for a loss of 7 yards to the Army 43 Michael Brescia fumbled, recovered by Colg Michael Brescia , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 0:46
4TH & 16
OPP 43
0
99.3%
Shelby Pruett punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:21100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
99.6%
Bryson Daily run for 10 yds to the Army 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
99.6%
PENALTY AWP False Start (Fortner,Liam) 5 yards from AWP20 to AWP15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+4
99.6%
Jarel Dickson run for 4 yds to the Army 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+4
99.6%
Jarel Dickson run for 4 yds to the Army 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+34
99.6%
Bryson Daily run for 44 yds to the ARMY 33 ARMY Penalty, Offensive Holding (Liam Fortner) to the Army 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+2
99.6%
Miles Stewart run for 2 yds to the Army 27Similar
Q4 12:39
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
99.6%
Billy Boehlke punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colg 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 18DOWNS
11 plays · 43 yds · 4:221% → 0%
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
99.5%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Garrett Oakey for 9 yds to the Army 42Similar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 1
OPP 42
0
99.4%
Michael Brescia pass incomplete to Jake RyanSimilar
Q4 12:39
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+12
99.4%
Zach Osborne run for 12 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
99.4%
Marco Maldonado run for 1 yd to the Army 29Similar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+4
99.4%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Treyvohn Saunders for 4 yds to the Army 25Similar
Q4 12:39
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+13
99.4%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Ryan Cekay for 13 yds to the Army 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
99.4%
Michael Brescia run for 6 yds to the Army 6Similar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+2
99.4%
Max Hurleman run for 2 yds to the Army 8Similar
Q4 12:39
3RD & 6
OPP 8
0
99.4%
Michael Brescia pass incomplete to Joshua SzottSimilar
Q4 8:17
4TH & 6
OPP 8
0
99.6%
Michael Brescia pass incomplete to Garrett OakeySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:36100% → 100%
Q4 8:17
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+26
99.8%
AJ Williams run for 26 yds to the Army 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.8%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-5
99.8%
PENALTY AWP False Start (Crossan,David) 5 yards from AWP40 to AWP35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.8%
Miles Stewart run for 5 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 5
OWN 40
-5
99.8%
PENALTY AWP False Start 5 yards from AWP40 to AWP35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Miles StewartSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
99.8%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the Army 14Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 5
OWN 14
-5
99.8%
PENALTY AWP False Start (Gaines,Aidan) 5 yards from AWP14 to AWP09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:41
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Matthew Rhodes punt for 7 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Army 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:480% → 0%
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.7%
Marco Maldonado run for no gain to the Army 42Similar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+2
99.7%
Marco Maldonado run for 2 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+13
99.7%
Harry Kirk pass complete to Nick Wamp for 13 yds to the Army 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.7%
Harry Kirk pass incomplete to Rory BoosSimilar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+2
99.7%
Marco Maldonado run for 2 yds to the Army 25Similar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 8
OPP 25
-5
99.7%
PENALTY COL False Start (Sawyer,Jariyah) 5 yards from AWP25 to AWP30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 13
OPP 30
+7
99.7%
Harry Kirk pass complete to Treyvohn Saunders for 7 yds to the Army 23Similar
Q4 0:53
4TH & 6
OPP 23
0
99.8%
Harry Kirk pass incomplete to Treyvohn SaundersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 21END OF GAME
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:53100% → 100%
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
99.9%
AJ Williams run for 7 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+5
99.9%
Maurice Bellan run for 5 yds to the Army 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:33
Jemel Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)
+3
TD · Q3 4:15
Markel Johnson run for 24 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)
+2.4
TD · Q2 0:23
Michael Brescia pass complete to Treyvohn Saunders for 19 yds for a TD, (Spencer Biscoe KICK)
-2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com