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ARMY

Army 28 at Coastal Carolina 38

CCU
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2022 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadARMY aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreARMY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:21 · Jakobi Buchanan run for 5 yds to the CCaro 20 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 54Pregame prior+8.2Home team on offense+2.1Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Blowout margin+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 5:23: Tyhier Tyler pass complete to Ay'Jaun Marshall for 54 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK) — ARMY win probability +17.6 pts (now 56%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:27: Grayson McCall pass complete to Reese White for 14 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +16.3 pts (now 71%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:51: Reese White run for 2 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +16.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:58: Cade Ballard pass complete to Braheam Murphy for 73 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK) — ARMY win probability +20.5 pts (now 33%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:01: Grayson McCall run for 5 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +17.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6ARMY made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 11:05ARMY 4th & 14 at ARMY 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:08CCU 4th & 3 at CCU 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:18CCU 4th & 1 at ARMY 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    53.1%−0.5
    81% to make
    Punt
    51.6%−2.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:54CCU 4th & 1 at ARMY 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.5%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    49.7%−1.8
    91% to make
    Punt
    45.3%−6.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:54ARMY 4th & 3 at ARMY 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:21ARMY 4th & 2 at CCU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    37.9%−0.7
    66% to make
    Punt
    34.3%−4.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:02ARMY 4th & 2 at CCU 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    34.7%−0.9
    86% to make
    Punt
    28.9%−6.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:02CCU 4th & 5 at CCU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−1.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00ARMY 4th & 7 at ARMY 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−1.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:30CCU 4th & 7 at ARMY 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    47.4%−10.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:23CCU 4th & 1 at ARMY 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    44.1%−4.4
    51% to make
    Punt
    42.4%−6.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:36ARMY 4th & 9 at ARMY 26, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:36ARMY 4th & 9 at ARMY 26, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ARMY made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 7:25ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:54CCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:21CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:09ARMY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:23ARMY Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:27CCU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:51CCU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.2%−0.4
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:58ARMY Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.0%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.6%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:01CCU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARMYDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 3:5538% → 38%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
61.7%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
61.7%
Tyrell Robinson run for 7 yds to the Army 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
61.7%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 9 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+1
61.7%
Tyson Riley run for 1 yd to the Army 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
61.7%
Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the Army 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 44
0
61.7%
Tyhier Tyler pass incomplete to Isaiah AlstonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+3
61.7%
Cade Ballard run for 3 yds to the Army 41Similar
Q1 11:05
4TH & 14
OWN 41
0
61.8%
Billy Boehlke punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tyson Mobley at the CCaro 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:5762% → 62%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
61.6%
Reese White run for 15 yds to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
61.7%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
61.7%
Reese White run for 8 yds to the CCaro 43Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
61.9%
Aaron Bedgood run for 1 yd to the CCaro 42Similar
Q1 9:08
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
61.5%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Robinson at the Army 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 3TD
4 plays · 84 yds · 1:4339% → 42%
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
61.5%
Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the Army 15Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+6
61.6%
Tyson Riley run for 6 yds to the Army 21Similar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+9
61.7%
Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 9 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
58.1%
Tyrell Robinson run for 70 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4TD
14 plays · 85 yds · 6:2459% → 62%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
58.5%
Reese White run for 12 yds to the CCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
58.6%
Reese White run for no gain to the CCaro 27Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+15
58.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun McCall,Grayson pass incomplete short left to Mobley,Tyson, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Army Pass Interference (Moore,Jabari) 15 yards from CCU27 to CCU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+23
59.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 23 yds to the Army 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
59.8%
Reese White run for 10 yds to the Army 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
59.8%
CJ Beasley run for 5 yds to the Army 20Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+4
59.8%
CJ Beasley run for 4 yds to the Army 16Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 1
OPP 16
0
59.4%
Reese White run for no gain to the Army 16Similar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+1
59.1%
Reese White run for 1 yd to the Army 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
59.8%
CJ Beasley run for 2 yds to the Army 13Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+2
59.8%
CJ Beasley run for 2 yds to the Army 11Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+5
59.4%
Grayson McCall run for 5 yds to the Army 6Similar
Q1 0:54
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+6
61.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Reese White for 6 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0040% → 39%
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.4%
Cade Ballard pass incomplete to Isaiah AlstonSimilar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
60.4%
Tyrell Robinson run for 1 yd to the Army 26Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+6
60.8%
Cade Ballard pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 6 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
61.0%
Billy Boehlke punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Tyson Mobley at the CCaro 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:3362% → 68%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
61.5%
Reese White run for 2 yds to the CCaro 37Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+18
61.8%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 18 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
62.9%
PENALTY CCU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from Army45 to Army50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 15
50
+23
62.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 23 yds to the Army 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
63.2%
CJ Beasley run for 1 yd to the Army 26Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 9
OPP 26
0
63.2%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+26
68.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 26 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 7TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 9:1233% → 45%
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
66.7%
Tyson Riley run for 5 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
66.2%
Tyson Riley run for no gain to the Army 30Similar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
66.8%
PENALTY Army False Start (Alston,Isaiah) 5 yards from Army30 to Army25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+30
67.3%
Tyrell Robinson run for 30 yds to the CCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
65.0%
Tyrell Robinson run for 12 yds to the CCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
64.2%
Tyson Riley run for 6 yds to the CCaro 27Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+1
64.0%
Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the CCaro 26Similar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+1
64.9%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the CCaro 25Similar
Q2 12:21
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+5
65.6%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 5 yds to the CCaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
64.0%
Tyson Riley run for 3 yds to the CCaro 17Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+2
64.0%
Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the CCaro 15Similar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+3
67.9%
Tyrell Robinson run for 3 yds to the CCaro 12Similar
Q2 6:02
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+7
68.9%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 7 yds to the CCaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
66.7%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the CCaro 2Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
66.7%
PENALTY CCU Offside (Proche,Jacob) 1 yard from CCU02 to CCU01. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
66.7%
Jakobi Buchanan run for no gain to the CCaro 1Similar
Q2 3:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
55.3%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:0162% → 60%
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
61.8%
Reese White run for 11 yds to the CCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
62.2%
Reese White run for 1 yd to the CCaro 28Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+3
62.1%
Grayson McCall run for 3 yds to the CCaro 31Similar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
61.4%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 1:02
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
60.3%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 48 yds , Tyrell Robinson returns for no gain to the Army 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0242% → 41%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
57.8%
Tyson Riley run for 2 yds to the Army 22Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+4
57.9%
Tyson Riley run for 4 yds to the Army 26Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 4
OWN 26
-3
58.3%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 23Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
58.9%
Billy Boehlke punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CCaro 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10FG
14 plays · 68 yds · 6:3061% → 67%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
60.6%
Reese White run for 6 yds to the CCaro 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
61.9%
Reese White run for 3 yds to the CCaro 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+10
61.0%
Grayson McCall run for 10 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+20
63.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 20 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
63.7%
Reese White run for 7 yds to the Army 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+14
64.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyler Roberts for 14 yds to the Army 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
64.4%
CJ Beasley run for 5 yds to the Army 10Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+4
64.4%
CJ Beasley run for 4 yds to the Army 6Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+1
63.2%
Bryce Carpenter run for 1 yd to the Army 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
64.4%
CJ Beasley run for no gain to the Army 5Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
64.4%
Bryce Carpenter run for 2 yds to the Army 7Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
63.3%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q3 8:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
66.7%
Kade Hensley 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:0736% → 56%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
64.3%
Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 5 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
63.3%
Tyson Riley run for 3 yds to the Army 33Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
63.6%
Tyrell Robinson run for 6 yds to the Army 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
62.2%
Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the Army 43Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+3
61.2%
Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 3 yds to the Army 46Similar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+54
43.6%
Tyhier Tyler pass complete to Ay'Jaun Marshall for 54 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:5649% → 71%
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
48.5%
Reese White run for 14 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
52.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 10 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
52.8%
CJ Beasley run for 2 yds to the Army 39Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+5
52.7%
CJ Beasley run for 5 yds to the Army 34Similar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+2
52.4%
Reese White run for 2 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q3 5:23
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+3
50.6%
Reese White run for 3 yds to the Army 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
54.9%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+15
54.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun White,Reese rush middle for 2 yards loss to the Army31 (Bonsu,Kwabena) PENALTY Army Face Mask (Bonsu,Kwabena) 15 yards from Army29 to Army14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
71.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Reese White for 14 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2734% → 33%
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
66.4%
Tyrell Robinson run for 4 yds to the Army 29Similar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
65.4%
Tyson Riley run for no gain to the Army 29Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
67.3%
Tyhier Tyler pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14TD
15 plays · 56 yds · 5:0969% → 89%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
69.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 5 yds to the CCaro 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+3
69.7%
Grayson McCall run for 3 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+6
69.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 6 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
70.4%
CJ Beasley run for 7 yds to the Army 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+4
71.4%
CJ Beasley run for 4 yds to the Army 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
71.4%
CJ Beasley run for 6 yds to the Army 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+18
71.4%
Reese White run for 18 yds to the Army 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
71.4%
Reese White run for 1 yd to the Army 6Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-10
76.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Carpenter,Bryce rush left for 6 yards gain to the Army00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 10:48 PENALTY CCU Holding (Lampkin,Willie) 10 yards from Army06 to Army16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
+9
75.7%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 9 yds to the Army 7Similar
Q4 10:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
75.0%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
Q4 10:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
72.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun McCall,Grayson pass incomplete short left to Pinckney,Sam PENALTY Army Pass Interference (Jones,Cameron) 5 yards from Army07 to Army02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.6%
Reese White run for 2 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
Q4 9:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
88.6%
PENALTY Army Offside (Moore,Jabari) 2 yards from Army03 to Army01. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
88.6%
PENALTY CCU False Start (Lindsay,Zovon) 5 yards from Army01 to Army03. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:5312% → 33%
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.1%
Tyrell Robinson run for 2 yds to the Army 27Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+73
67.5%
Cade Ballard pass complete to Braheam Murphy for 73 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:5772% → 95%
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
72.4%
Reese White run for 16 yds to the CCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
74.9%
CJ Beasley run for 6 yds to the CCaro 47Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+5
75.5%
Bryce Carpenter run for 5 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
76.1%
Jared Brown run for 11 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
76.2%
CJ Beasley run for 9 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+10
77.2%
CJ Beasley run for 10 yds to the Army 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
77.2%
CJ Beasley run for 4 yds to the Army 14Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+3
77.2%
CJ Beasley run for 3 yds to the Army 11Similar
Q4 8:58
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+5
75.6%
PENALTY Army Offside (Komorowski,Tyler) 5 yards from Army11 to Army06, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
77.2%
Reese White run for 1 yd to the Army 5Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
94.5%
Grayson McCall run for 5 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:196% → 5%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
94.4%
Cade Ballard sacked by Jahmar Brown for a loss of 7 yards to the Army 18Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+9
94.5%
Cade Ballard pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 9 yds to the Army 27Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+1
94.8%
Tyson Riley run for 1 yd to the Army 26Similar
Q4 1:36
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
95.4%
Cade Ballard pass incomplete to Tyrell RobinsonSimilar
Q4 1:36
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
95.4%
Cade Ballard pass incomplete to Tyrell RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18END OF GAME
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:3696% → 96%
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
95.8%
Bryce Carpenter run for no gain to the Army 26Similar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+12
95.7%
CJ Beasley run for 12 yds to the Army 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
95.8%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:58
Cade Ballard pass complete to Braheam Murphy for 73 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)
-20.5
TD · Q3 5:23
Tyhier Tyler pass complete to Ay'Jaun Marshall for 54 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)
-17.6
TD · Q4 3:01
Grayson McCall run for 5 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)
+17.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com