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Notre Dame 27 at USC 38

USC
2022 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2022 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
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Win probability · USC
modelUSC aheadND aheadconfidence bandkey playUSC scoreND score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:20 · Jon Sot punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Michael Jackson III at the USC 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 14Home team on offense+1.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Pregame prior+3.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:14: Michael Mayer 22 Yd pass from Drew Pyne (Blake Grupe Kick) — ND win probability +10.1 pts (now 45%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:21: Raleek Brown 5 Yd Run (Denis Lynch Kick) — USC win probability +11.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:54: Deion Colzie 23 Yd pass from Drew Pyne (Blake Grupe Kick) — ND win probability +13.7 pts (now 27%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:53: Caleb Williams 3 Yd Run (Denis Lynch Kick) — USC win probability +9.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:29: Logan Diggs 5 Yd Run (Blake Grupe Kick) — ND win probability +13.8 pts (now 20%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USC made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ND made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:20ND 4th & 6 at ND 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:29USC 4th & 14 at ND 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    63.8%−2.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:52ND 4th & 1 at USC 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    30.6%−1.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    27.5%−4.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:07USC 4th & 8 at USC 42, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.5%
    average punt
  5. Q4 6:03USC 4th & 15 at ND 36, up 10
    Close callPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    90.5%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q4 2:35USC 4th & 2 at ND 16, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    93.5%−0.4
    81% to make
    Punt
    91.3%−2.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USC made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ND made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 10:36USC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:14ND Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:34USC Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:21USC Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:54ND Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:53USC Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:29ND Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:35USC Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:02ND Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.2%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USCDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:2454% → 57%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
54.1%
Austin Jones run for 7 yds to the USC 32Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
54.2%
Austin Jones run for 1 yd to the USC 33Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+31
54.3%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Lake McRee for 31 yds to the NDame 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+13
54.6%
Jordan Addison run for 13 yds to the NDame 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
54.8%
Caleb Williams run for 7 yds to the NDame 16Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+2
55.0%
Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the NDame 14Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+3
54.9%
Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the NDame 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
56.8%
Tahj Washington 11 Yd pass from Caleb Williams (Denis Lynch Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:1044% → 42%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
56.2%
Logan Diggs run for 6 yds to the NDame 14Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+2
56.5%
Logan Diggs run for 2 yds to the NDame 16Similar
Q1 9:09
3RD & 2
OWN 16
-4
57.1%
Logan Diggs run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 12Similar
Q1 8:20
4TH & 6
OWN 12
0
57.8%
Jon Sot punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Michael Jackson III at the USC 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 3FG
11 plays · 37 yds · 4:5158% → 60%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
58.0%
Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the NDame 46Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
58.3%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Jordan AddisonSimilar
Q1 7:47
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+23
58.1%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jordan Addison for 23 yds Jordan Addison fumbled, forced by Isaiah Foskey, recovered by USC Jordan Addison for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
58.6%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyle Ford for 5 yds to the NDame 18Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+16
59.0%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Austin Jones for 16 yds to the NDame 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
59.4%
Darwin Barlow run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 5Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 0
OPP 5
0
60.3%
Williams, Caleb pass incomplete to Addison, Jordan, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (Mickey, Jaden) off-setting, PENALTY USC Ineligible Downfield on Pass off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 0
OPP 5
-15
60.4%
Williams, Mario pass incomplete to Williams, Caleb, PENALTY USC pass interference (Williams, Caleb) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 0
OPP 20
-6
60.3%
Caleb Williams sacked by Isaiah Foskey for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 26Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 0
OPP 26
+12
60.0%
Austin Jones run for 12 yds to the NDame 14Similar
Q1 3:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+31
60.1%
Denis Lynch 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 4DOWNS
10 plays · 54 yds · 4:3140% → 38%
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
59.9%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 5 yds to the NDame 24Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+3
60.0%
Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the NDame 27Similar
Q1 2:04
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+3
60.8%
Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the NDame 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
60.9%
Logan Diggs run for 4 yds to the NDame 34Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+30
60.9%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Audric Estime for 30 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
60.5%
Audric Estime run for 5 yds to the USC 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+3
59.7%
Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the USC 28Similar
Q2 14:25
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+1
60.6%
Drew Pyne run for 1 yd to the USC 27Similar
Q2 13:52
4TH & 1
OPP 27
0
61.9%
Mitchell Evans run for no gain to the USC 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:4563% → 63%
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
62.7%
Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the USC 31Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
63.1%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Brenden RiceSimilar
Q2 13:25
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+9
62.4%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 9 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
63.9%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Terrell BynumSimilar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-10
63.6%
Caleb Williams sacked by Jayson Ademilola and Isaiah Foskey for a loss of 10 yards to the USC 30Similar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 20
OWN 30
+12
62.6%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 12 yds to the USC 42Similar
Q2 11:07
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
63.3%
Caleb Williams punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 6TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:5336% → 45%
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
64.2%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Lorenzo Styles for 7 yds to the NDame 27Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+1
63.8%
Audric Estime run for 1 yd to the NDame 28Similar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+2
64.8%
Logan Diggs run for 2 yds to the NDame 30 Logan Diggs fumbled, forced by Eric Gentry, recovered by NDame Logan Diggs for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
65.0%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 1 yd to the NDame 31Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 9
OWN 31
-1
65.4%
Audric Estime run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 30Similar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+30
66.7%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Deion Colzie for 30 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
64.8%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Lorenzo Styles for no gain to the USC 40Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+18
65.1%
Chris Tyree run for 18 yds to the USC 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
55.0%
Michael Mayer 22 Yd pass from Drew Pyne (Blake Grupe Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 7TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:4059% → 73%
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
59.2%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 5 yds to the USC 30Similar
Q2 5:53
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
59.7%
Austin Jones run for 9 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
60.4%
Austin Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 37Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+11
59.6%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 11 yds to the USC 48Similar
Q2 3:49
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+2
61.1%
Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
50
+2
62.3%
Raleek Brown run for 2 yds to the NDame 48Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+23
62.3%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jordan Addison for 23 yds to the NDame 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
63.5%
Austin Jones run for 12 yds to the NDame 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
63.7%
Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the NDame 11Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+6
63.5%
Williams, Caleb pass incomplete to Washington, Tahj, PENALTY NOTREDAME offside declined, NO PLAY, PENALTY NOTREDAME holding (Henderson, Ramon) 6 yards to the NOTREDAME5, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN USC.Similar
Q2 0:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
73.1%
Caleb Williams 5 Yd Run (Denis Lynch Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 8END OF HALF
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:1130% → 30%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
70.0%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Lorenzo Styles for 11 yds to the NDame 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-6
70.0%
Drew Pyne sacked by Tuli Tuipulotu for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9FUMBLE
8 plays · 49 yds · 3:4629% → 29%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
71.2%
Logan Diggs run for 2 yds to the NDame 27Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
71.3%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 15 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+20
72.1%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 20 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
71.3%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Logan Diggs for 3 yds to the USC 35Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+3
70.2%
Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the USC 32Similar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+9
71.8%
Audric Estime run for 9 yds to the USC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-3
70.8%
Drew Pyne run for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 26 Drew Pyne fumbled, recovered by USC Ralen GoforthSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 10TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:5375% → 91%
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
75.4%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 14 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+24
76.9%
Austin Jones run for 24 yds to the NDame 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+13
78.0%
Austin Jones run for 13 yds to the NDame 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+18
78.6%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 18 yds to the NDame 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
78.7%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for no gain to the NDame 5Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
79.0%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Lake McReeSimilar
Q3 8:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
90.6%
Raleek Brown 5 Yd Run (Denis Lynch Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:2713% → 27%
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.3%
Audric Estime run for 5 yds to the NDame 30Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+24
86.9%
Audric Estime run for 24 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+16
87.7%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Lorenzo Styles for 16 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
87.2%
Drew Pyne run for 7 yds to the USC 23Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+23
73.5%
Deion Colzie 23 Yd pass from Drew Pyne (Blake Grupe Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 12TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 6:0179% → 95%
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
79.1%
Austin Jones run for 6 yds to the USC 31Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+14
79.9%
Austin Jones run for 14 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
81.6%
Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the USC 47Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+4
81.8%
Caleb Williams run for 4 yds to the NDame 49Similar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+12
81.3%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Raleek Brown for 12 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
82.7%
Caleb Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 40Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 13
OPP 40
+19
82.8%
Caleb Williams run for 19 yds to the NDame 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
84.5%
Austin Jones run for 12 yds to the NDame 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
84.7%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Lake McRee for 6 yds to the NDame 3Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
94.5%
Caleb Williams 3 Yd Run (Denis Lynch Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 13TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:247% → 20%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.4%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 5 yds to the NDame 30Similar
Q4 14:24
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
93.4%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 6 yds to the NDame 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
93.9%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Lorenzo StylesSimilar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+18
94.0%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 18 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+25
94.1%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 25 yds to the USC 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
93.5%
Pyne, Drew pass incomplete to Thomas, Jayden, PENALTY USC holding (Blackmon, Mekhi) 10 yards to the USC11, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.Similar
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
93.5%
Chris Tyree run for 6 yds to the USC 5Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
79.7%
Logan Diggs 5 Yd Run (Blake Grupe Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 14PUNT
12 plays · 39 yds · 5:2686% → 90%
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
85.6%
Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the USC 30Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
86.0%
Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the USC 34Similar
Q4 10:05
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
86.3%
USC Penalty, False Start (Malcolm Epps) to the USC 29Similar
Q4 9:46
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+40
86.0%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 25 yds to the NOTREDAME 46 for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jaden Mickey) to the NDame 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
88.2%
Austin Jones run for 9 yds to the NDame 22Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 1
OPP 22
-10
89.9%
Jones, Austin rush for 4 yards to the NOTREDAME18, PENALTY USC holding (Monheim, Jonah) 10 yards to the NOTREDAME32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 11
OPP 32
-5
90.7%
USC Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the NDame 37Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 16
OPP 37
-10
90.4%
Williams, Caleb pass incomplete to Jones, Austin, PENALTY USC holding (Monheim, Jonah) 10 yards to the NOTREDAME47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 26
OPP 47
-1
90.4%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jordan Addison for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 48Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 27
OPP 48
+12
90.2%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Raleek Brown for 12 yds to the NDame 36Similar
Q4 6:03
4TH & 15
OPP 36
0
90.2%
Caleb Williams punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Brandon Joseph at the NDame 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 15INT
4 plays · 10 yds · 1:078% → 8%
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
91.7%
Logan Diggs run for 5 yds to the NDame 15Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+5
91.7%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 5 yds to the NDame 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
91.8%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Michael MayerSimilar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-11
91.9%
Drew Pyne pass intercepted Calen Bullock return for 11 yds to the NDame 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 16TD
4 plays · 24 yds · 2:2193% → 98%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-6
92.8%
Austin Jones run for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 30Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 16
OPP 30
-1
92.8%
Austin Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 31Similar
Q4 3:26
3RD & 17
OPP 31
+15
93.6%
Austin Jones run for 15 yds to the NDame 16Similar
Q4 2:35
4TH & 2
OPP 16
+16
98.1%
Caleb Williams 16 Yd Run (Denis Lynch Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 17TD
9 plays · 56 yds · 1:252% → 6%
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
97.9%
Pyne, Drew pass complete to Diggs, Logan for 8 yards to the USC48, PENALTY NOTREDAME holding (Lugg, Josh) 10 yards to the NOTREDAME34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 20
OWN 34
+1
98.1%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Audric Estime for 1 yd to the NDame 35Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 19
OWN 35
+15
98.1%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Logan Diggs for 15 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 4
50
+14
98.0%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Logan Diggs for 14 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
97.8%
Drew Pyne sacked by Solomon Byrd for a loss of 10 yards to the USC 46Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 20
OPP 46
+22
98.1%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Deion Colzie for 22 yds to the USC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
93.9%
Michael Mayer 24 Yd pass from Drew Pyne (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 18END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:4797% → 97%
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
97.3%
Austin Jones run for no gain to the NDame 46Similar
Q4 0:14
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-2
97.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:29
Logan Diggs 5 Yd Run (Blake Grupe Kick)
-13.8
TD · Q3 5:54
Deion Colzie 23 Yd pass from Drew Pyne (Blake Grupe Kick)
-13.7
TD · Q3 8:21
Raleek Brown 5 Yd Run (Denis Lynch Kick)
+11.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com