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BC

Boston College 0 at Notre Dame 44

ND
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2022 · Notre Dame Stadium
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Win probability · ND
modelND aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey playND scoreBC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Cam Barfield run for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 12:50: Blake Grupe 26 yd FG GOOD — BC win probability +0.5 pts (now 11%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:15: Drew Pyne pass complete to Matt Salerno for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK) — ND win probability +2.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 14:07: Blake Grupe 41 yd FG GOOD — ND win probability +1.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 8:27: Blake Grupe 46 yd FG GOOD — BC win probability +0.4 pts (now 4%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 3:04: Audric Estime run for 7 yds for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK) — ND win probability +2.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ND made the numbers' call on 4 of 5BC made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 12:50ND 4th & 6 at BC 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    89.0%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:41BC 4th & 3 at BC 42, down 10
    Close callPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:07ND 4th & 10 at BC 23, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    90.3%−1.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:27ND 4th & 6 at BC 28, up 20
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.7%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    93.4%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:10BC 4th & 6 at BC 39, down 30
    Close callPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:35BC 4th & 5 at BC 30, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 1:47BC 4th & 16 at ND 34, down 44
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 11:10ND 4th & 1 at BC 7, up 44
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q4 6:12BC 4th & 9 at BC 33, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:15ND 4th & 5 at ND 34, up 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:30BC 4th & 1 at BC 45, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 10:05ND Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:15ND Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:04ND Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:14ND Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:54ND Touchdown, up 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1FG
6 plays · 67 yds · 2:1090% → 90%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+51
89.9%
Logan Diggs run for 51 yds to the BC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
89.9%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 12 yds to the BC 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
89.9%
Logan Diggs run for 4 yds to the BC 8Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 8
0
89.9%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 8
0
89.9%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:50
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+26
89.5%
Blake Grupe 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:1511% → 11%
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
89.4%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
89.4%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 10
OWN 13
0
89.4%
Emmett Morehead pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3TD
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:2290% → 90%
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
89.5%
Logan Diggs run for 5 yds to the BC 15Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+9
89.3%
Logan Diggs run for 9 yds to the BC 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
89.3%
Logan Diggs run for 4 yds to the BC 2Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
89.3%
Logan Diggs run for 1 yd to the BC 1Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.5%
Logan Diggs run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2411% → 11%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
89.1%
Alex Broome run for 4 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
89.1%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:26
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+3
89.1%
Emmett Morehead run for 3 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q1 8:41
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
89.0%
Danny Longman punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Matt Salerno at the NDame 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5TD
8 plays · 81 yds · 4:2689% → 91%
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
89.1%
Audric Estime run for 4 yds to the NDame 23Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+9
89.1%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 9 yds to the NDame 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
89.1%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+2
89.0%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Chris Tyree for 2 yds to the NDame 34Similar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+23
89.0%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Deion Colzie for 23 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+28
89.2%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Logan Diggs for 28 yds to the BC 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+14
89.2%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 14 yds to the BC 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.4%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Matt Salerno for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6INT
4 plays · 41 yds · 1:259% → 10%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
90.9%
Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
90.9%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:31
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+39
91.0%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Zay Flowers for 39 yds to the NDame 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
90.5%
Emmett Morehead pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 3:3791% → 93%
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
91.3%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Chris Tyree for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 19Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+6
91.6%
Audric Estime run for 6 yds to the NDame 25Similar
Q1 1:14
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+23
91.2%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 23 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
91.9%
Audric Estime run for 17 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
91.9%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+12
91.9%
Audric Estime run for 12 yds to the BC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
91.9%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
91.9%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
92.1%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+41
93.1%
Blake Grupe 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8FUMBLE
5 plays · 18 yds · 2:186% → 6%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
93.6%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Zay Flowers for 9 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
93.2%
Alex Broome run for no gain to the BC 34Similar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+14
93.7%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Alex Broome for 14 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
93.5%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-5
93.8%
Emmett Morehead sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9FG
9 plays · 15 yds · 3:2294% → 96%
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
94.3%
Chris Tyree run for no gain to the BC 43Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+9
94.2%
Logan Diggs run for 9 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q2 10:34
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+2
94.2%
run for 2 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
96.3%
Chris Tyree run for 5 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 5
OPP 27
0
96.3%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+4
96.3%
Drew Pyne run for 4 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q2 9:11
4TH & 1
OPP 23
-5
96.2%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Josh Lugg) to the BC 28Similar
Q2 8:27
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+46
95.8%
Blake Grupe 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10FUMBLE
6 plays · 17 yds · 3:195% → 5%
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.9%
Alex Broome run for 3 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-2
94.7%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Zay Flowers for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 26Similar
Q2 8:27
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+11
95.0%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Alex Broome for 11 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
94.7%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 6 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+3
94.5%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to George Takacs for 3 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q2 5:08
3RD & 1
OWN 46
-4
94.8%
Emmett Morehead run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 42 Emmett Morehead fumbled, recovered by NDame Marist LiufauSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 2:0497% → 99%
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
96.5%
Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q2 5:08
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+26
96.5%
Logan Diggs run for 26 yds to the BC 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
96.5%
Lorenzo Styles run for 6 yds to the BC 7Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
98.6%
Audric Estime run for 7 yds for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:542% → 2%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
98.5%
Alex Broome run for 4 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
98.4%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
98.5%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:10
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+28
98.5%
Danny Longman punt for 38 yds , Matt Salerno returns for 28 yds to the BC 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 13TD
4 plays · 49 yds · 0:5699% → 99%
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+26
98.7%
Chris Tyree run for 26 yds to the BC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
98.7%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+11
98.7%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 11 yds to the BC 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.0%
Chris Tyree run for 12 yds for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -6 yds · 1:081% → 1%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
99.1%
Pat Garwo III run for 5 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 28
-11
99.1%
Emmett Morehead sacked by Isaiah Foskey for a loss of 11 yards to the BC 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:251% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.2%
Pat Garwo III run for 5 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.2%
Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the BC 30Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.2%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:35
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+2
99.3%
Danny Longman punt for 20 yds , Matt Salerno returns for 2 yds to the BC 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:121% → 1%
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.2%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
99.3%
Emmett Morehead pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 17TD
9 plays · 47 yds · 4:2999% → 100%
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
99.4%
Logan Diggs run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 49Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+3
99.4%
Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q3 13:23
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+9
99.4%
Audric Estime run for 9 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
99.5%
Audric Estime run for 1 yd to the BC 36Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+21
99.5%
Lorenzo Styles run for 21 yds to the BC 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
99.5%
Chris Tyree run for 9 yds to the BC 6Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 1
OPP 6
0
99.5%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+6
99.6%
Audric Estime run for 6 yds for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18DOWNS
13 plays · 33 yds · 7:070% → 0%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
Pat Garwo III run for 5 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
99.7%
Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
99.7%
Zay Flowers run for 7 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.7%
Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the BC 40Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 9
OWN 40
-5
99.8%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (Jack Conley) to the BC 35Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 14
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to George Takacs for 5 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+32
99.9%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Taji Johnson for 32 yds to the NDame 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
99.8%
Emmett Morehead run for 4 yds to the NDame 24Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+4
99.8%
Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the NDame 20Similar
Q3 3:07
3RD & 2
OPP 20
-9
99.8%
Emmett Morehead sacked by Xavier Watts for a loss of 9 yards to the NDame 29Similar
Q3 3:07
4TH & 11
OPP 29
-5
99.8%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jaelen Gill) to the NDame 34Similar
Q3 1:47
4TH & 16
OPP 34
-8
99.9%
Emmett Morehead sacked by Jordan Botelho and Justin Ademilola for a loss of 8 yards to the NDame 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 19DOWNS
12 plays · 49 yds · 5:37100% → 100%
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
99.8%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 10 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
99.8%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 5 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 43
-5
99.8%
Logan Diggs run for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+19
99.8%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Matt Salerno for 19 yds to the BC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
99.8%
Logan Diggs run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 30
0
99.8%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 11
OPP 30
+14
99.9%
Logan Diggs run for 14 yds to the BC 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
99.9%
Audric Estime run for 9 yds to the BC 7Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 1
OPP 7
0
99.9%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 1
OPP 7
0
99.9%
Audric Estime run for no gain to the BC 7Similar
Q4 11:10
4TH & 1
OPP 7
-2
99.9%
Chris Tyree run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 4:580% → 0%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
100.0%
Alex Broome run for 8 yds to the BC 17Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+3
99.9%
Alex Broome run for 3 yds to the BC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Alex Broome run for 3 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
100.0%
Cam Barfield run for 2 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q4 8:31
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+7
100.0%
Emmett Morehead run for 7 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
100.0%
Cam Barfield run for 3 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 7
OWN 35
-2
100.0%
Cam Barfield run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 33Similar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:12
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Danny Longman punt for 38 yds, downed at the NDame 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:57100% → 100%
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Audric Estime run for no gain to the NDame 29Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.9%
Gi'Bran Payne run for 2 yds to the NDame 31Similar
Q4 6:12
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+3
99.9%
Gi'Bran Payne run for 3 yds to the NDame 34Similar
Q4 4:15
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Jon Sot punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jaelen Gill at the BC 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 22END OF GAME
9 plays · 35 yds · 4:150% → 0%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Cam Barfield run for 3 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
100.0%
Cam Barfield run for 8 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
100.0%
Cam Barfield run for 3 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
100.0%
Cam Barfield run for 3 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+3
100.0%
Cam Barfield run for 3 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q4 1:30
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+3
100.0%
Cam Barfield run for 3 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
100.0%
Cam Barfield run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 8
50
+15
100.0%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Personal Foul (Jason Onye) to the NDame 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-6
100.0%
Cam Barfield run for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 4:15
Drew Pyne pass complete to Matt Salerno for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK)
+2.2
TD · Q2 3:04
Audric Estime run for 7 yds for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK)
+2.2
FG · Q2 14:07
Blake Grupe 41 yd FG GOOD
+1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com