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ND

Notre Dame 41 at Syracuse 24

SYR
2022 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2022 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadND aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreND score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:50 · TEAM punt blocked by Clarence Lewis, recovered by Jordan Botelho at the Syrac 2
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 147Home team on offense−31.0Score differential−14.4Garbage-time factor−12.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.0Pregame prior−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:23: Logan Diggs 3 Yd Run (Blake Grupe Kick) — ND win probability +7.6 pts (now 61%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:17: Jayden Thomas 3 Yd pass from Drew Pyne (Blake Grupe Kick) — ND win probability +9.6 pts (now 78%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:25: Sean Tucker 4 Yd Run (Andre Szmyt Kick) — SYR win probability +18.9 pts (now 36%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:11: Audric Estime run for 11 yds for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK) — ND win probability +10.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:44: Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to D'Marcus Adams for 13 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +5.2 pts (now 7%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 8 of 9ND made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 5:32ND 4th & 3 at SYR 21, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.9%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    48.5%−1.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:00SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:36ND 4th & 11 at SYR 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    48.6%−0.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    49.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:48SYR 4th & 7 at SYR 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:49SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:48ND 4th & 5 at ND 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−0.9
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:00SYR 4th & 11 at SYR 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:18SYR 4th & 7 at ND 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    39.8%−0.5
    36% to make
    Punt
    39.2%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:20ND 4th & 1 at SYR 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    71.7%−4.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    72.7%−3.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:18ND 4th & 8 at SYR 40, up 14
    Close callPunted · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    75.7%−0.9
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.1%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:35SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 7, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−0.9
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:41ND 4th & 6 at SYR 13, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    72.2%−7.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:57SYR 4th & 9 at ND 36, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.7%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    17.3%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:46ND 4th & 10 at ND 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−2.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:57ND 4th & 5 at ND 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:50SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:58ND 4th & 2 at SYR 2, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.7%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    94.8%−2.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:05SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ND made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 14:53ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:11SYR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:23ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:17ND Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:25SYR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:11ND Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.0%−0.6
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:47ND Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:44SYR Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1INT TD
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-29
46.1%
Brandon Joseph 29 Yd Interception Return (Blake Grupe Kick)Similar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
46.1%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the NDame 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2TD
8 plays · 53 yds · 3:1946% → 48%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
46.1%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+21
46.1%
Sean Tucker run for 21 yds to the NDame 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-4
46.1%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 34Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 14
OPP 34
+7
46.0%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Trebor Pena for 7 yds to the NDame 27Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+11
46.0%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Trebor Pena for 11 yds to the NDame 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
46.1%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the NDame 13Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+13
47.6%
Oronde Gadsden II 13 Yd pass from Garrett Shrader (Andre Szmyt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3MISSED FG
13 plays · 54 yds · 5:2853% → 53%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
47.0%
Audric Estime run for 5 yds to the NDame 30Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
46.9%
Audric Estime run for 4 yds to the NDame 34Similar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
47.1%
Mitchell Evans run for 1 yd to the NDame 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
47.2%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Deion Colzie for 12 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
46.8%
Logan Diggs run for 6 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+7
46.7%
Logan Diggs run for 7 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
46.8%
Drew Pyne run for 9 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+3
46.5%
Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the Syrac 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-3
46.5%
Chris Tyree run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 31Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 13
OPP 31
+10
46.9%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Chris Tyree for 10 yds to the Syrac 21Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 3
OPP 21
0
47.0%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Michael MayerSimilar
Q1 5:32
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+39
47.5%
Blake Grupe 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2048% → 48%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
48.2%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 20Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+5
48.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Trebor Pena for 5 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
47.9%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Oronde Gadsden IISimilar
Q1 4:00
4TH & 6
OWN 25
+3
47.6%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 41 yds , Brandon Joseph returns for 3 yds to the NDame 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 3:0952% → 51%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
47.9%
Audric Estime run for 6 yds to the NDame 43Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+12
47.4%
Audric Estime run for 12 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
47.2%
Audric Estime run for 6 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 4
OPP 39
-5
46.7%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Jayden Thomas) to the Syrac 44Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+3
46.9%
Audric Estime run for 3 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 6
OPP 41
-6
47.2%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (-6 Yards) to the Syrac 46Similar
Q1 0:43
3RD & 11
OPP 46
0
47.8%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:36
4TH & 11
OPP 46
0
48.9%
Jon Sot punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Trebor Pena at the Syrac 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:4849% → 48%
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+10
49.2%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Syrac 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
49.5%
Sean Tucker run for 9 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 1
OWN 27
-6
50.3%
Courtney Jackson run for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 21Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 21
0
48.8%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Umari HatcherSimilar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 7
OWN 21
0
48.4%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Brandon Joseph at the NDame 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7TD
11 plays · 55 yds · 6:2553% → 61%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
47.4%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Lorenzo Styles for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 5
50
+8
47.1%
Logan Diggs run for 8 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+16
47.1%
Logan Diggs run for 16 yds to the Syrac 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
46.5%
Logan Diggs run for 4 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+2
46.5%
Chris Tyree run for 2 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+6
47.2%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 6 yds to the Syrac 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
46.5%
Audric Estime run for 6 yds to the Syrac 8Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+3
46.5%
Audric Estime run for 3 yds to the Syrac 5Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+3
47.0%
Audric Estime run for 3 yds to the Syrac 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
46.3%
Audric Estime run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 3Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
38.7%
Logan Diggs 3 Yd Run (Blake Grupe Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3441% → 39%
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.4%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Sean TuckerSimilar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
40.4%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-1
39.4%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 27Similar
Q2 6:49
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+13
38.7%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 50 yds , Brandon Joseph returns for 13 yds to the NDame 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9FUMBLE
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0162% → 61%
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
38.2%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
38.5%
Audric Estime run for 5 yds to the NDame 41Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
37.6%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Matt SalernoSimilar
Q2 5:48
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+1
38.8%
Jon Sot punt for 34 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 1 yd to the Syrac 26 Trebor Pena fumbled, recovered by Syrac Trebor PenaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:4840% → 38%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
40.0%
Garrett Shrader run for 9 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 1
OWN 35
0
41.3%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+5
40.4%
Sean Tucker run for 5 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
41.2%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Syrac 45Similar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 5
OWN 45
+1
41.9%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Syrac 46Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 4
OWN 46
-7
41.7%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Isaiah Foskey for a loss of 7 yards to the Syrac 39Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 11
OWN 39
0
38.8%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Devaughn CooperSimilar
Q2 3:00
4TH & 11
OWN 39
+7
37.8%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 39 yds , Brandon Joseph returns for 7 yds to the NDame 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11INT
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:4864% → 67%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
36.1%
Logan Diggs run for 2 yds to the NDame 31Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+21
35.9%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Deion Colzie for 21 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-34
33.2%
Drew Pyne pass intercepted Ja'Had Carter return for 34 yds to the NDame 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12DOWNS
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:2442% → 38%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
41.7%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
41.4%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+3
40.4%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the NDame 39Similar
Q2 1:18
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
38.1%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Devaughn CooperSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 13TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 0:5367% → 78%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
33.2%
Drew Pyne run for 3 yds to the NDame 42Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+7
32.9%
Chris Tyree run for 7 yds to the NDame 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
32.3%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Michael MayerSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+37
32.4%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 37 yds to the Syrac 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
31.7%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 11 yds to the Syrac 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
22.1%
Jayden Thomas 3 Yd pass from Drew Pyne (Blake Grupe Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
25.3%
Sean Tucker run for no gain to the Syrac 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 3:3275% → 77%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
25.3%
Logan Diggs run for 14 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
24.0%
Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+5
23.5%
Logan Diggs run for 5 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+1
22.7%
Logan Diggs run for 1 yd to the Syrac 43Similar
Q3 12:20
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+1
23.5%
Mitchell Evans run for 1 yd to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
21.7%
Audric Estime run for 2 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
21.2%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Tobias MerriweatherSimilar
Q3 11:26
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
21.3%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Lorenzo StylesSimilar
Q3 11:18
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
22.6%
Jon Sot punt for 35 yds, fair catch by D'Marcus Adams at the Syrac 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4324% → 23%
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
23.5%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the Syrac 7Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 8
OWN 7
0
23.2%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incomplete to Courtney JacksonSimilar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 8
OWN 7
0
22.7%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incomplete to Devaughn CooperSimilar
Q3 10:35
4TH & 8
OWN 7
0
22.6%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 17FG
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:5480% → 84%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
20.0%
Audric Estime run for 4 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+14
18.4%
Audric Estime run for 14 yds to the Syrac 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
18.1%
Audric Estime run for 2 yds to the Syrac 15Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+2
17.8%
Logan Diggs run for 2 yds to the Syrac 13Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 6
OPP 13
0
17.3%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Michael MayerSimilar
Q3 7:41
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+31
16.5%
Blake Grupe 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18FG
9 plays · 39 yds · 2:4418% → 19%
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
17.6%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to Sean Tucker for 8 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+30
18.0%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 30 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
19.0%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson sacked by Jordan Botelho for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 40Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 13
OPP 40
0
18.3%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incomplete to Oronde Gadsden IISimilar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 13
OPP 40
-9
17.7%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson run for 1 yd to the NDame 39 SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NDame 49Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 22
OPP 49
+13
17.2%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to Sean Tucker for 13 yds to the NDame 36Similar
Q3 4:57
4TH & 9
OPP 36
+54
18.7%
Andre Szmyt 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:4985% → 85%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
15.5%
Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the NDame 28Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-2
15.1%
Logan Diggs run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 26Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-1
14.6%
Drew Pyne sacked by Jatius Geer for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 25Similar
Q3 2:46
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
15.0%
Jon Sot punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Trebor Pena at the Syrac 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 2:0516% → 36%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
16.3%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
15.7%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incomplete to Umari HatcherSimilar
Q3 1:57
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+8
15.1%
Sean Tucker run for 8 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+23
16.6%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to Damien Alford for 23 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+30
17.2%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to D'Marcus Adams for 30 yds to the NDame 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
36.1%
Sean Tucker 4 Yd Run (Andre Szmyt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:0873% → 74%
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
26.8%
Drew Pyne run for 4 yds to the NDame 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
25.8%
Audric Estime run for 1 yd to the NDame 30Similar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
23.9%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Jayden ThomasSimilar
Q4 13:57
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+6
26.1%
Jon Sot punt for 51 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 6 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22INT
3 plays · 15 yds · 1:0628% → 31%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
28.2%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson run for 7 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
30.2%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson run for 8 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
30.9%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass intercepted Marist Liufau return for no gain to the NDame 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 23TD
8 plays · 54 yds · 3:3979% → 94%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
21.3%
Chris Tyree run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 6
50
+5
20.4%
Chris Tyree run for 5 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+4
20.2%
Chris Tyree run for 4 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
20.3%
Chris Tyree run for 2 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+2
20.4%
Chris Tyree run for 2 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+11
18.3%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Deion Colzie for 11 yds to the Syrac 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
15.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Syrac 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
5.9%
Audric Estime run for 11 yds for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:208% → 6%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
8.1%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
7.2%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incomplete to Oronde Gadsden IISimilar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-1
7.0%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson sacked by Jayson Ademilola and Howard Cross III for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 26Similar
Q4 7:50
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
6.4%
TEAM punt blocked by Clarence Lewis, recovered by Jordan Botelho at the Syrac 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 25TD
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 7:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
1.4%
Audric Estime run for 2 yds for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 26TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 1:572% → 7%
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.1%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incomplete to Oronde Gadsden IISimilar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
2.0%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to Sean Tucker for 12 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
2.1%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 32Similar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+15
1.8%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 15 yds to the Syrac 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+17
1.4%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 17 yds to the NDame 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
1.5%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
1.5%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incomplete to Courtney JacksonSimilar
Q4 6:10
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+5
1.4%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the NDame 31Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+18
1.6%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 18 yds to the NDame 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
6.8%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to D'Marcus Adams for 13 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 27FG
11 plays · 45 yds · 3:4296% → 98%
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
4.5%
Logan Diggs run for 4 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+2
4.4%
Logan Diggs run for 2 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+7
3.8%
Audric Estime run for 7 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+28
3.2%
Audric Estime run for 28 yds to the Syrac 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
2.7%
Logan Diggs run for 4 yds to the Syrac 2Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
2.6%
Logan Diggs run for no gain to the Syrac 2Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
2.5%
Logan Diggs run for no gain to the Syrac 2Similar
Q4 1:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
1.7%
Blake Grupe 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 28DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:451% → 1%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
0.9%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson sacked by Jordan Botelho for a loss of 7 yards to the Syrac 18Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
0.9%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+11
0.9%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 11 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q4 1:05
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
0.8%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 29END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:4599% → 99%
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
1.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 30Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 11
OPP 30
-1
1.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:25
Sean Tucker 4 Yd Run (Andre Szmyt Kick)
+18.9
TD · Q4 9:11
Audric Estime run for 11 yds for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK)
-10
TD · Q2 0:17
Jayden Thomas 3 Yd pass from Drew Pyne (Blake Grupe Kick)
-9.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com