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BYU

BYU 20 at Notre Dame 28

ND
2022 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2022 · Allegiant Stadium
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Win probability · ND
modelND aheadBYU aheadconfidence bandkey playND scoreBYU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:37 · Lopini Katoa run for no gain to the NDame 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 127Home team on offense+14.8Pregame prior+0.7Garbage-time factor+4.9Score differential+4.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.5Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:03: Jayden Thomas 30 Yd pass from Drew Pyne (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — ND win probability +7.8 pts (now 82%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:05: Michael Mayer 19 Yd pass from Drew Pyne (Blake Grupe Kick) — ND win probability +12.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:27: Kody Epps 53 Yd pass from Jaren Hall (Justen Smith Kick) — BYU win probability +7.9 pts (now 18%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:18: Christopher Brooks 28 Yd Run (Justen Smith Kick) — BYU win probability +23.5 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. FG · Q4 6:07: Blake Grupe 20 Yd Field Goal — ND win probability +3.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ND made the numbers' call on 4 of 5BYU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 11:25ND 4th & 5 at BYU 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    60.5%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:33BYU 4th & 3 at BYU 45, down 3
    Close callPunted · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:21ND 4th & 9 at ND 9, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:32BYU 4th & 2 at ND 2, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    38.2%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    36.0%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:51BYU 4th & 4 at BYU 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:57ND 4th & 1 at BYU 4, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.4%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    62.7%−1.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    58.5%−6.0
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:59ND 4th & 2 at ND 33, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.1%
    average punt
  8. Q4 10:54BYU 4th & 7 at BYU 20, down 5
    Close callPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 6:07ND 4th & 2 at BYU 2, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.9%−3.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    67.5%−16.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:37BYU 4th & 1 at ND 27, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    9.7%−3.0
    62% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−9.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 2 of 3BYU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 4:32BYU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    41.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:19ND Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:03ND Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    79.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    79.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:05ND Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:27BYU Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:18BYU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.4%
Jaren Hall pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 2FG
9 plays · 36 yds · 3:2661% → 62%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
61.4%
Chris Tyree run for 5 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+9
61.4%
Chris Tyree run for 9 yds to the BYU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
61.4%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 9 yds to the BYU 21Similar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+8
61.4%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 8 yds to the BYU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
61.4%
Logan Diggs run for 1 yd to the BYU 12Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+4
62.1%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Chris Tyree for 4 yds to the BYU 8Similar
Q1 11:32
3RD & 5
OPP 8
0
61.9%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:25
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+26
62.0%
Blake Grupe 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:5238% → 38%
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
61.9%
Christopher Brooks run for 13 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
61.7%
Christopher Brooks run for 3 yds to the BYU 41Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+4
61.6%
Christopher Brooks run for 4 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
61.6%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:33
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
62.1%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Brandon Joseph at the NDame 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:1262% → 63%
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
62.0%
Chris Tyree run for 1 yd to the NDame 9Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 9
OWN 9
0
63.1%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:46
3RD & 9
OWN 9
0
62.9%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:21
4TH & 9
OWN 9
+42
62.6%
Jon Sot punt for 59 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 42 yds to the NDame 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 26 yds · 3:4938% → 40%
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
62.3%
Hinckley Ropati run for 4 yds to the NDame 22 Hinckley Ropati fumbled, recovered by BYUSimilar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+9
62.3%
Jaren Hall run for 9 yds to the NDame 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
62.3%
Christopher Brooks run for 10 yds to the NDame 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
62.4%
Christopher Brooks run for 1 yd to the NDame 2Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
62.4%
Christopher Brooks run for 1 yd to the NDame 1Similar
Q1 8:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
62.7%
Christopher Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 2Similar
Q1 4:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
60.1%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Kody Epps for 2 yds for a TD, (Justen Smith PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 6TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 5:1361% → 66%
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
61.2%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 8 yds to the NDame 33Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
62.1%
Audric Estime run for 5 yds to the NDame 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
61.7%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+1
61.6%
Audric Estime run for 1 yd to the NDame 39Similar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+11
61.3%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
50
+5
62.4%
Logan Diggs run for 5 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+3
62.6%
Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+13
61.2%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 13 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
62.1%
Audric Estime run for 5 yds to the BYU 24Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+24
65.7%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 24 yds for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2834% → 33%
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
65.6%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Isaac Rex for 6 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
65.0%
Lopini Katoa run for no gain to the BYU 31Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
65.6%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:51
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
66.7%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Brandon Joseph at the NDame 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 8DOWNS
11 plays · 68 yds · 5:5464% → 67%
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+26
64.2%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Lorenzo Styles for 26 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
65.5%
Logan Diggs run for 8 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+9
65.5%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 9 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
66.1%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 31Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+6
65.8%
Logan Diggs run for 6 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+12
65.4%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 12 yds to the BYU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
66.0%
Audric Estime run for 4 yds to the BYU 9Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+4
66.0%
Audric Estime run for 4 yds to the BYU 5Similar
Q2 7:01
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+1
67.8%
Logan Diggs run for 1 yd to the BYU 4Similar
Q2 6:57
4TH & 1
OPP 4
0
67.1%
Audric Estime run for no gain to the BYU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 9SF
1 play · -4 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-4
69.9%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 10TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 5:4270% → 82%
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
70.3%
Audric Estime run for 12 yds to the NDame 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
70.5%
Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the NDame 36Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+6
71.3%
Logan Diggs run for 6 yds to the NDame 42Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+4
71.3%
Logan Diggs run for 4 yds to the NDame 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
71.8%
Chris Tyree run for 2 yds to the NDame 48Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+4
71.8%
Chris Tyree run for 4 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+11
71.5%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Holden Staes for 11 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
72.0%
Audric Estime run for 4 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+3
74.2%
Audric Estime run for 3 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+30
81.9%
Jayden Thomas 30 Yd pass from Drew Pyne (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11END OF HALF
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:0320% → 19%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
80.3%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 3 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
80.1%
Jaren Hall run for 9 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
79.8%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
80.0%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+7
80.8%
Lopini Katoa run for 7 yds to the BYU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 12TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 6:5580% → 94%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
80.2%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Lorenzo Styles for 7 yds to the NDame 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
80.6%
Chris Tyree run for 8 yds to the NDame 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
81.0%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Lorenzo Styles for 6 yds to the NDame 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+6
81.1%
Chris Tyree run for 6 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-6
81.3%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Chris Tyree for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 46
+3
80.6%
Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the NDame 49Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 49
+15
79.9%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 15 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+13
81.3%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Audric Estime for 13 yds to the BYU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
81.3%
Audric Estime run for 3 yds to the BYU 20Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+1
81.3%
Chris Tyree run for 1 yd to the BYU 19Similar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+19
94.0%
Michael Mayer 19 Yd pass from Drew Pyne (Blake Grupe Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:389% → 18%
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
90.7%
Christopher Brooks run for 6 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
90.1%
Christopher Brooks run for 1 yd to the BYU 32Similar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+10
90.2%
Puka Nacua run for 10 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
90.1%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 5 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+53
82.2%
Kody Epps 53 Yd pass from Jaren Hall (Justen Smith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2885% → 85%
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.1%
Logan Diggs run for 1 yd to the NDame 26Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
85.1%
Logan Diggs run for 7 yds to the NDame 33Similar
Q3 5:27
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
84.7%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:59
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
85.4%
Jon Sot punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Hobbs Nyberg at the BYU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 87 yds · 4:4115% → 39%
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-6
85.2%
Jaren Hall sacked by Prince Kollie for a loss of 6 yards to the BYU 7Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 16
OWN 7
-2
85.6%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Brayden Cosper for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 5Similar
Q3 3:59
3RD & 18
OWN 5
+20
85.9%
Lopini Katoa run for 20 yds to the BYU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.1%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
85.2%
Lopini Katoa run for 6 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q3 3:59
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
84.5%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 8 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
83.7%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Kody Epps for 18 yds to the NDame 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
84.2%
Lopini Katoa run for no gain to the NDame 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+15
84.7%
Christopher Brooks run for 15 yds to the NDame 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
61.2%
Christopher Brooks 28 Yd Run (Justen Smith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 16INT
5 plays · 49 yds · 2:3671% → 80%
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
71.3%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 32 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
74.8%
Chris Tyree run for 5 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 5
OPP 38
0
74.8%
Chris Tyree run for no gain to the BYU 38Similar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+12
74.1%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 12 yds to the BYU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
80.3%
Drew Pyne pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4831% → 28%
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
68.7%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+3
69.3%
Lopini Katoa run for 3 yds to the BYU 20Similar
Q4 11:11
3RD & 7
OWN 20
0
70.5%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:54
4TH & 7
OWN 20
+6
71.8%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 50 yds , Brandon Joseph returns for 6 yds to the NDame 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 18FG
9 plays · 62 yds · 4:4778% → 90%
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
78.1%
Logan Diggs run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 35Similar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+7
76.9%
Logan Diggs run for 7 yds to the NDame 42Similar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+5
78.3%
Drew Pyne run for 5 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+46
80.0%
Audric Estime run for 46 yds to the BYU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
80.8%
Audric Estime run for 3 yds to the BYU 4Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
87.1%
Chris Tyree run for 1 yd to the BYU 3Similar
Q4 6:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
86.2%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 1 yd to the BYU 2Similar
Q4 6:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
90.1%
Blake Grupe 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 48 yds · 2:3012% → 14%
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
88.0%
Lopini Katoa run for 9 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
85.5%
Jaren Hall run for 3 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+27
86.2%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Kody Epps for 27 yds to the NDame 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
83.8%
Christopher Brooks run for 5 yds to the NDame 31Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+3
81.8%
Christopher Brooks run for 3 yds to the NDame 28Similar
Q4 3:42
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+1
85.3%
Christopher Brooks run for 1 yd to the NDame 27Similar
Q4 3:37
4TH & 1
OPP 27
0
86.4%
Lopini Katoa run for no gain to the NDame 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 20END OF GAME
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:3794% → 98%
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
93.9%
Audric Estime run for 3 yds to the NDame 30Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 7
OWN 30
-10
93.9%
ESTIME, Audric rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the UND32 (ALFREY, Talan;FAUATEA, Lorenzo). PENALTY UND Holding on LUGG, Josh enforced 10 yards from the UND30 to the UND20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 17
OWN 20
+33
93.4%
Logan Diggs run for 33 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
95.9%
Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+3
96.9%
Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the BYU 41Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+4
96.8%
Audric Estime run for 4 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
97.0%
[NH] Kneel down by PYNE, Drew at BYU38 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 38
0
97.6%
[NH] Kneel down by PYNE, Drew at BYU40 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:18
Christopher Brooks 28 Yd Run (Justen Smith Kick)
-23.5
TD · Q3 8:05
Michael Mayer 19 Yd pass from Drew Pyne (Blake Grupe Kick)
+12.7
TD · Q3 5:27
Kody Epps 53 Yd pass from Jaren Hall (Justen Smith Kick)
-7.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com