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Oklahoma 48 at Texas Tech 51

TTU
2022 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2022 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of GameTD-29.7TTU 44.2%Dillon Gabriel pass complete to JalilFarooq for 1 yd for a TD, (Zach SchmitKICK)AWAY 45 - HOME 45 · Q4 7:24
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:24 · Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 1 yd for a TD, (Zach Schmit KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remainingBlowout margin
+18.5+9.30−9.3−18.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 178Home team on offense−7.3Score differential−4.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.4Time remaining−0.3Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 2:46: Tyler Shough pass complete to Donovan Smith for 15 yds for a TD, (X. White Run For Two-point Conversion) — TTU win probability +21.9 pts (now 79%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:37: Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brayden Willis for 5 yds for a TD, (Zach Schmit KICK) — OU win probability +27.6 pts (now 56%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:43: Tyler Shough pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 44 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK) — TTU win probability +29.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:24: Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 1 yd for a TD, (Zach Schmit KICK) — OU win probability +29.7 pts (now 56%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:03: Trey Wolff 43 yd FG GOOD — TTU win probability +29.7 pts (now 63%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8OU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 13:19OU 4th & 2 at TTU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    52.0%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    52.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:22TTU 4th & 10 at TTU 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:22TTU 4th & 17 at TTU 2, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−1.8
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:05OU 4th & 8 at TTU 12, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.2%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    58.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    54.9%−3.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:51TTU 4th & 5 at TTU 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:04OU 4th & 24 at TTU 24, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%−2.4
    6% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    58.2%−5.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:04TTU 4th & 4 at TTU 43, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    35.4%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:40OU 4th & 1 at OU 17, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.0%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:38TTU 4th & 6 at TTU 31, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:48OU 4th & 9 at OU 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%−2.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:47OU 4th & 4 at TTU 32, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    51.2%−1.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    49.8%−2.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:51TTU 4th & 2 at TTU 28, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.9%−1.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:06OU 4th & 2 at TTU 35, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    50.2%−3.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    48.8%−4.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:12OU 4th & 10 at OU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−1.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:02TTU 4th & 9 at TTU 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%−1.8
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:04OU 4th & 2 at TTU 25, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.1%−4.2
    66% to make
    Punt
    27.5%−25.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:03TTU 4th & 1 at OU 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−5.8
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−25.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6OU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 13:19OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:24OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:45TTU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    39.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:25OU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:09TTU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:28TTU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:52TTU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 10:09OU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:46TTU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    67.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    67.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 10:37OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.4%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 8:43TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.6%−0.4
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 7:24OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1FUMBLE
1 play · -10 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q1 14:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-10
48.7%
SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 10 yards to the TexTc 45 SaRodorick Thompson fumbled, recovered by Okla Ethan DownsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2TD
4 plays · 3 yds · 13:1952% → 57%
Q1 13:19
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+37
48.2%
Marvin Mims Jr. 37 Yd pass from Dillon Gabriel (Zach Schmit Kick)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
43.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 7 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 38
0
43.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+1
43.3%
Eric Gray run for 1 yd to the TexTc 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:5748% → 48%
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
48.3%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 8 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
48.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
48.4%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
48.4%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:19
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
48.3%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:22
4TH & 10
OWN 38
+18
47.9%
Austin McNamara punt for 49 yds , Marvin Mims Jr. returns for 18 yds to the Okla 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4TD
12 plays · 93 yds · 2:5852% → 55%
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+9
48.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 9 yds to the Okla 16Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 1
OWN 16
+9
48.1%
Eric Gray run for 9 yds to the Okla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
48.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brayden Willis for 12 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
48.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 1 yd to the Okla 38Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+19
48.0%
Eric Gray run for 19 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
47.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+17
47.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marvin Mims Jr. for 17 yds to the TexTc 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+10
46.9%
Dillon Gabriel run for 10 yds to the TexTc 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
46.9%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Kosi Eldridge for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 17Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+10
47.0%
Eric Gray run for 10 yds to the TexTc 7Similar
Q1 9:24
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+7
45.1%
D. Gabriel pass,to B. Willis for 7 yds for a TD, (Z. Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 2:0246% → 44%
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
46.2%
SHOUGH, Tyler pass to the left incomplete intended for CUPP, Baylor thrown to the TTU27. PENALTY Before the snap, TTU False Start on JACKSON, Jacoby enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the TTU9 to the TTU5. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:24
1ST & 14
OWN 5
+4
46.3%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Xavier White for 4 yds to the TexTc 9Similar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+7
46.2%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Myles Price for 7 yds to the TexTc 16Similar
Q1 9:24
3RD & 3
OWN 16
-5
46.3%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 11Similar
Q1 9:24
3RD & 8
OWN 11
-9
46.2%
Tyler Shough sacked by Jalen Redmond for a loss of 9 yards to the TexTc 2Similar
Q1 7:22
4TH & 17
OWN 2
0
43.9%
Austin McNamara punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims Jr. at the Okla 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6DOWNS
7 plays · 39 yds · 2:1757% → 58%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+17
42.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 17 yds to the TexTc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
42.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jovantae Barnes for 5 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 5
OPP 29
0
42.9%
GABRIEL, Dillon pass to the right incomplete intended for STOOPS, Drake thrown to the TTU0. PENALTY TTU Pass Interference on WATERS, Marquis enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the TTU15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
42.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+2
42.8%
Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the TexTc 12Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 8
OPP 12
0
42.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for no gain to the TexTc 12Similar
Q1 5:05
4TH & 8
OPP 12
0
41.9%
Michael Turk pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 2:1443% → 41%
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
42.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TexTc 13Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+21
42.5%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 21 yds to the TexTc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
42.7%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
42.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TexTc 36Similar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+3
42.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
Q1 2:51
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
40.5%
Austin McNamara punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims Jr. at the Okla 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8FG
16 plays · 64 yds · 4:4760% → 67%
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
40.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marvin Mims Jr. for 1 yd to the Okla 13Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 9
OWN 13
-2
40.6%
Eric Gray run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 11Similar
Q1 2:51
3RD & 11
OWN 11
+13
40.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Theo Wease for 13 yds to the Okla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
40.4%
Eric Gray run for 8 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+12
40.1%
Eric Gray run for 12 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
39.7%
LV Bunkley-Shelton run for no gain to the Okla 44Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+1
37.7%
Jovantae Barnes run for 1 yd to the Okla 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+30
37.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marvin Mims Jr. for 30 yds to the TexTc 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
37.4%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Kosi Eldridge) to the TexTc 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
37.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brayden Willis for 3 yds to the TexTc 6Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
37.3%
Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the TexTc 4Similar
Q2 13:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
36.1%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 9Similar
Q2 13:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-15
36.2%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Theo Wease) to the TexTc 24Similar
Q2 13:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 24
0
36.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 24
+41
33.0%
Zach Schmit 41 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:1935% → 42%
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
34.7%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 12 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
35.3%
SaRodorick Thompson run for no gain to the TexTc 37Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
35.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q2 13:04
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+2
35.7%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q2 13:04
4TH & 4
OWN 43
+7
35.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
50
+34
36.1%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 34 yds to the Okla 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
36.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the Okla 10Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+3
36.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the Okla 7Similar
Q2 13:04
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+6
36.2%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Myles Price for 6 yds to the Okla 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
37.0%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
41.8%
J. Hutchings run for 1 yd for a TD, (T. Wolff PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0561% → 62%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
39.2%
Jovantae Barnes run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 7Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+1
39.4%
Jovantae Barnes run for 1 yd to the Okla 8Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 10
OWN 8
+9
39.8%
Jovantae Barnes run for 9 yds to the Okla 17Similar
Q2 7:40
4TH & 1
OWN 17
0
38.5%
Michael Turk punt for 56 yds, downed at the TexTc 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0237% → 36%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
36.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+6
36.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 6 yds to the TexTc 36Similar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 1
OWN 36
-5
37.2%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 31Similar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
36.4%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:38
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
35.5%
Austin McNamara punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims Jr. at the Okla 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12TD
1 play · 77 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+77
24.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marvin Mims Jr. for 77 yds for a TD, (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1628% → 38%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
28.4%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
28.2%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 14 yds to the TexTc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
29.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 7 yds to the TexTc 46Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+6
30.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Myles Price for 6 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
30.1%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 9 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+9
30.5%
Tyler Shough run for 9 yds to the Okla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
31.2%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+16
31.1%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 16 yds to the Okla 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
31.4%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 8 yds to the Okla 6Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+6
37.5%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:5365% → 65%
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
34.8%
Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Okla 18Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+2
34.8%
Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the Okla 20Similar
Q2 2:16
3RD & 4
OWN 20
0
34.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15TD
4 plays · 29 yds · 0:4837% → 51%
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
36.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the Okla 24Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+10
36.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 10 yds to the Okla 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
36.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 8 yds to the Okla 6Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+6
51.2%
Donovan Smith run for 6 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4056% → 54%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
44.0%
Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
43.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for a loss of 5 yards to the Okla 25Similar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
45.0%
Eric Gray run for 1 yd to the Okla 26Similar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
45.7%
Michael Turk punt for 54 yds , Myles Price returns for no gain to the TexTc 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 17FG
8 plays · 77 yds · 0:4843% → 55%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+10
43.4%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 10 yds to the TexTc 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
43.6%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
43.3%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+24
42.3%
Tyler Shough pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 24 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
46.3%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+43
44.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 43 yds to the Okla 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
49.4%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+29
54.8%
Trey Wolff 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:1352% → 52%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
48.0%
Eric Gray run for 24 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
45.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+8
45.8%
Eric Gray run for 8 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+5
45.3%
Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
45.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+3
45.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 3 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+3
45.7%
Jovantae Barnes run for 3 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q3 12:47
4TH & 4
OPP 32
-6
47.8%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Tony Bradford Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the TexTc 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 1:5552% → 70%
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+33
51.5%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 33 yds to the Okla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
55.3%
Tyler Shough pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 1 yd to the Okla 28Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+6
55.3%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 6 yds to the Okla 22Similar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+15
53.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 15 yds to the Okla 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
69.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4336% → 54%
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
63.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brayden Willis for 6 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
62.4%
Eric Gray run for 8 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
46.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Theo Wease for 61 yds for a TD, (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1850% → 48%
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
50.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
49.9%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:09
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+5
48.3%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q3 8:51
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
48.3%
Austin McNamara punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims Jr. at the Okla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22DOWNS
8 plays · 42 yds · 2:4551% → 52%
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+23
48.6%
Eric Gray run for 23 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
46.2%
Eric Gray run for 6 yds to the Okla 49Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+3
45.4%
Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the TexTc 48Similar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+5
45.6%
Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
45.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brayden Willis for 4 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+1
44.8%
Jovantae Barnes run for 1 yd to the TexTc 38Similar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+3
45.7%
Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q3 6:06
4TH & 2
OPP 35
-3
47.7%
Dillon Gabriel run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexTc 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 3:2052% → 79%
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+24
52.1%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 24 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
55.1%
SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 39Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+19
54.9%
Tyler Shough run for 19 yds to the Okla 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
56.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the Okla 17Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+4
56.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the Okla 13Similar
Q3 6:06
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+3
54.6%
Tyler Shough run for 3 yds to the Okla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
56.6%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 15Similar
Q3 2:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
78.5%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Donovan Smith for 15 yds for a TD, (X. White Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:3428% → 25%
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
71.7%
Eric Gray run for 1 yd to the Okla 26Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
71.7%
Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q3 2:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+18
71.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 18 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
68.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
69.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:46
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
70.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:12
4TH & 10
OWN 48
+2
75.2%
Michael Turk punt for 43 yds , Myles Price returns for 2 yds to the TexTc 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:1079% → 78%
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
79.2%
Tyler Shough run for 9 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+5
81.5%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the TexTc 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
81.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
81.2%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Baylor Cupp for 10 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
82.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TexTc 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
81.9%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
81.1%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:02
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
81.2%
Austin McNamara punt for 38 ydsSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+38
78.2%
GABRIEL, Dillon pass to the left complete for 38 yards to MIMS JR., Marvin caught at the TTU42 and advanced to the TTU42, End of Play, 1ST DOWN. PENALTY OOU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on MONTGOMERY, Cullen TTU Offsides on WILLIAMS, Rayshad , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 26TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:2522% → 56%
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.2%
Eric Gray run for no gain to the Okla 25Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
78.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Eric Gray for 5 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+16
78.2%
Dillon Gabriel run for 16 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
75.3%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Rayshad Williams) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
71.8%
Eric Gray run for no gain to the TexTc 5Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
44.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brayden Willis for 5 yds for a TD, (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 27TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5456% → 88%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.2%
SaRodorick Thompson run for no gain to the TexTc 25Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
55.9%
Tyler Shough run for 4 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
54.9%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offsides (Woodi Washington) to the TexTc 34Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
57.2%
Tyler Shough run for 3 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
57.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Myles Price for 19 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
87.7%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 44 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 28TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:1919% → 56%
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
80.8%
Jalil Farooq run for 13 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+37
78.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brayden Willis for 37 yds to the TexTc 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+24
73.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 24 yds to the TexTc 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
44.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 1 yd for a TD, (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 29INT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:0857% → 57%
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
57.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 2 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
57.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q4 7:24
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
55.8%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 10 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
60.3%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (Nehemiah Martinez I) to the TexTc 35Similar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 15
OWN 35
-4
56.8%
Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 31Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 19
OWN 31
0
56.7%
Tyler Shough pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 30FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1257% → 75%
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
43.0%
Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
42.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:16
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+5
45.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Eric Gray for 5 yds to the TexTc 25Similar
Q4 4:04
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+42
25.1%
Zach Schmit 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 31FG
14 plays · 50 yds · 4:0137% → 63%
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
37.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 26Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
36.4%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:04
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+11
34.3%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 11 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
38.3%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
38.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 3 yds to the TexTc 40Similar
Q4 4:04
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
37.5%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:04
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
35.4%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Holding (C.J. Coldon) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
43.8%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Myles Price for 9 yds to the Okla 37Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+3
43.9%
Tyler Shough run for 3 yds to the Okla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
46.1%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+6
46.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q4 0:08
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+3
37.1%
Tyler Shough run for 3 yds to the Okla 25Similar
Q4 0:03
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+43
63.3%
Trey Wolff 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 32END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
51.7%
[NHSG] Kneel down by OOU at OOU21 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 33MISSED FG
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0059% → 44%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
41.1%
Drake Stoops pass complete to Dillon Gabriel for 13 yds to the TexTc 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
41.1%
run for 2 yds to the TexTc 10Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 10
-5
41.1%
Eric Gray run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexTc 15Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 13
OPP 15
-2
45.5%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Joseph Adedire for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 17Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 15
OPP 17
+34
55.9%
Zach Schmit 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 34FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0066% → 79%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
65.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the Okla 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
-1
65.6%
Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 24Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+7
63.1%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Myles Price for 7 yds to the Okla 17Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+35
79.4%
Trey Wolff 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:43
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 44 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)
+29.8
TD · Q4 7:24
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 1 yd for a TD, (Zach Schmit KICK)
-29.7
FG · Q4 0:03
Trey Wolff 43 yd FG GOOD
+29.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com