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KU

Kansas 27 at Kansas State 47

KSU
2022 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2022 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:14 · Reis Vernon punt for 41 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 124Pregame prior+5.1Home team on offense+19.5Score differential+8.2Garbage-time factor+5.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:57: Devin Neal 3 Yd Run (Owen Piepergerdes Kick) — KU win probability +4.9 pts (now 21%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:59: Deuce Vaughn 1 Yd Run (Ty Zentner Kick) — KSU win probability +8.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:39: Jalon Daniels 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — KU win probability +7.8 pts (now 17%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 11:00: Ty Zentner 27 Yd Field Goal — KSU win probability +6.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:30: DJ Giddens 5 Yd Run (Ty Zentner Kick) — KSU win probability +4.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5KU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 13:10KSU 4th & 1 at KSU 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 3:32KSU 4th & 12 at KSU 23, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%−1.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 1:42KU 4th & 1 at KU 14, down 9
    Close callPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:42KU 4th & 9 at KU 33, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−1.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:26KU 4th & 7 at KU 28, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−0.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:37KSU 4th & 5 at KSU 39, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:59KSU 4th & 1 at KU 1, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    80.5%−2.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    73.4%−9.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:59KU 4th & 1 at KSU 48, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.4%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:00KSU 4th & 9 at KU 9, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    82.4%−5.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:14KU 4th & 6 at KU 29, down 13
    Close callPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:10KU 4th & 10 at KU 25, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4KU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 13:05KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:49KU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:06KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:57KU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:59KSU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:39KU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    13.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    13.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:30KSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4480% → 80%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
80.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+3
80.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+2
80.3%
Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 2 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q1 13:10
4TH & 1
OWN 38
-2
79.8%
Ty Zentner punt for 55 yds , O.J. Burroughs returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2TD
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 13:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
80.5%
Malik Knowles run for 5 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 5:1620% → 22%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
80.3%
Torry Locklin run for 4 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
80.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 9 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
80.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 3 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+3
80.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 3 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+16
80.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 16 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
80.1%
Torry Locklin run for 7 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+4
80.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Devin Neal for 4 yds to the KanSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
80.1%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the KanSt 24Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 5
OPP 24
-5
80.1%
QB Keeper DANIELS, Jalon rush to the left for a loss of 6 yards, DANIELS, Jalon fumbled at KSU30 , recovered by KAN DANIELS, Jalon at the KSU30, returned -5 yards to the KSU35 (PURNELL, Desmond). PENALTY KSU Face mask on PURNELL, Desmond enforced half the distance from the goal, 12 yards from the KSU24 to the KSU12 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
77.6%
Torry Locklin run for 12 yds for a TD, (Owen Piepergerdes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4378% → 81%
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
78.3%
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 24Similar
Q1 7:49
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
78.3%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:49
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+11
78.0%
Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 11 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
78.4%
KANSAS Penalty, Illegal Substitution (O.J. Burroughs) declinedSimilar
Q1 7:49
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+3
78.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
78.8%
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 11 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
80.8%
Will Howard pass complete to Sammy Wheeler for 42 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5SF
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
80.1%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (Mason Fairchild) to the Kans 3Similar
Q1 5:02
1ST & 12
OWN 3
+3
80.1%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the Kans 6Similar
Q1 5:02
2ND & 9
OWN 6
0
80.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 61 yds · 2:2881% → 85%
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
81.4%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+32
81.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 32 yds to the Kans 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
81.6%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
81.6%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+13
81.4%
Will Howard pass complete to Kade Warner for 13 yds to the Kans 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
81.6%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+4
81.6%
Will Howard run for 4 yds to the Kans 12Similar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+8
81.4%
Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for 8 yds to the Kans 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
85.0%
Malik Knowles run for 4 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:4115% → 14%
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
85.5%
Devin Neal run for 7 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
85.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kevin Terry for 6 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
85.7%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+25
85.5%
Jalon Daniels run for 25 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
85.1%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+11
85.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 11 yds to the KanSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
84.9%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+5
85.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 5 yds to the KanSt 17Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+6
85.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Devin Neal for 6 yds to the KanSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
84.9%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
85.6%
Devin Neal 11 Yd Run (Owen Piepergerdes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 92 yds · 2:4286% → 88%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
86.0%
DJ Giddens run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 7Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 11
OWN 7
-1
85.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 6Similar
Q2 11:51
3RD & 12
OWN 6
+80
85.1%
Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 80 yds to the Kans 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
87.5%
DJ Giddens run for no gain to the Kans 14Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
88.2%
Phillip Brooks 14 Yd pass from Will Howard (Ty Zentner Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 4:1215% → 21%
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.4%
Jalon Daniels run for no gain to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+33
85.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 33 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
84.6%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+4
84.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Jared Casey for 4 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q2 9:09
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+15
84.4%
Jalon Daniels run for 15 yds to the KanSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
83.9%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the KanSt 18Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+15
83.9%
DANIELS, Jalon pass to the right incomplete intended for GRIMM, Luke thrown to the KSU0; QB hurried by ALLEN, Nick. PENALTY KSU Pass Interference on BOYE-DOE, Ekow enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the KSU3 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
79.0%
Devin Neal 3 Yd Run (Owen Piepergerdes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2582% → 80%
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.5%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
81.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q2 4:57
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
80.8%
Will Howard sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 23Similar
Q2 3:32
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
80.1%
Ty Zentner punt for 72 yds, downed at the Kans 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5018% → 17%
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
81.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kevin Terry for 3 yds to the Kans 8Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 7
OWN 8
-4
81.9%
Torry Locklin run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 4Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 11
OWN 4
+10
82.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 10 yds to the Kans 14Similar
Q2 1:42
4TH & 1
OWN 14
0
82.7%
Reis Vernon punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12FUMBLE
2 plays · 21 yds · 0:1784% → 85%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+24
83.8%
Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 24 yds to the Kans 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-3
84.5%
Will Howard sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4319% → 18%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
81.3%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the Kans 33Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
81.6%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
82.1%
KANSAS Penalty, Chop Block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 0:42
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
82.5%
Reis Vernon punt for 34 yds, downed at the KanSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:4283% → 83%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
83.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
83.5%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+6
82.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 6 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3419% → 18%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
81.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Jared Casey for 1 yd to the Kans 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
81.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 2 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
81.9%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:26
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
82.4%
Reis Vernon punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4983% → 81%
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
82.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 5
OWN 39
0
83.4%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 5
OWN 39
0
82.6%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:37
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
81.3%
Ty Zentner punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17FUMBLE
3 plays · 18 yds · 1:2318% → 18%
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
82.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Torry Locklin for 20 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-4
81.1%
Torry Locklin run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 36Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 14
OWN 36
+2
82.3%
Torry Locklin run for 2 yds to the Kans 38 Torry Locklin fumbled, recovered by KanSt Desmond PurnellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18TD
9 plays · 38 yds · 4:1585% → 93%
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
84.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+4
84.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+12
84.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 12 yds to the Kans 19 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, Face mask (0 yards) (Craig Young) to the Kans 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
84.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Kans 6Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
84.8%
HOWARD, Will pass up the middle incomplete dropped by KNOWLES, Malik thrown to the KAN0. PENALTY KAN Holding on BRYANT, Cobee enforced half the distance from the goal, 3 yards from the KAN6 to the KAN3 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
84.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 4Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
84.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Kans 2Similar
Q3 11:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
84.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Kans 1Similar
Q3 6:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.6%
Deuce Vaughn 1 Yd Run (Ty Zentner Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 8:2010% → 17%
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
90.5%
Jalon Daniels run for 7 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+11
89.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 11 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
89.4%
Jalon Daniels sacked by Nate Matlack for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 41Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+11
90.1%
Devin Neal run for 11 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 1
OPP 48
0
89.0%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:59
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+4
89.5%
Jalon Daniels run for 4 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
88.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Jared Casey for 7 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 3
OPP 37
0
88.6%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the KanSt 37Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+3
88.8%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
88.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Torry Locklin for 3 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+1
87.9%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the KanSt 30Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+11
92.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Jared Casey for 11 yds to the KanSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
91.1%
Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 12 yds to the KanSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
91.2%
DANIELS, Jalon pass to the left incomplete intended for CASEY, Jared thrown to the KSU0, clock 14:15. PENALTY KSU Face mask on BOYE-DOE, Ekow enforced half the distance from the goal, 3 yards from the KSU7 to the KSU4 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
91.2%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the KanSt 1Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.3%
Jalon Daniels 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20FG
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:2889% → 94%
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
88.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 9 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+13
88.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 13 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
88.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the Kans 9Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
88.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the Kans 4Similar
Q4 13:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
88.3%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
87.4%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (KT Leveston) to the Kans 9Similar
Q4 11:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
94.0%
Ty Zentner 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:468% → 7%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
92.5%
Devin Neal run for 7 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
91.4%
Jalon Daniels run for 1 yd to the Kans 33Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-4
91.6%
Devin Neal run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 29Similar
Q4 9:14
4TH & 6
OWN 29
-5
93.3%
Reis Vernon punt for 41 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 4:4495% → 99%
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+29
94.6%
Malik Knowles run for 29 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
95.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the KanSt 44Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+6
95.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 4
50
+6
95.1%
Will Howard run for 6 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
95.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for 6 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+25
95.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for 25 yds to the Kans 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
95.2%
DJ Giddens run for 8 yds to the Kans 5Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+5
99.3%
DJ Giddens 5 Yd Run (Ty Zentner Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:201% → 1%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:10
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Reis Vernon punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 24END OF GAME
6 plays · 31 yds · 4:1099% → 100%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
99.4%
DJ Giddens run for 11 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.4%
DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+4
99.4%
DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+5
99.4%
DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
99.4%
DJ Giddens run for 9 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 31
0
99.7%
[SG] Kneel down by KSU at KAN32 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:59
Deuce Vaughn 1 Yd Run (Ty Zentner Kick)
+8.6
TD · Q4 13:39
Jalon Daniels 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-7.8
FG · Q4 11:00
Ty Zentner 27 Yd Field Goal
+6.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com