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ISU

Iowa State 14 at TCU 62

TCU
2022 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2022 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
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Win probability · TCU
modelTCU aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playTCU scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+0.9TCU 78.5%Max Duggan pass complete toGeor'Quarius Spivey for 19 yds for aTD, (Griffin Kell KICK)AWAY 0 - HOME 7 · Q1 10:13
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:13 · Max Duggan pass complete to Geor'Quarius Spivey for 19 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 10Home team on offense+1.1Score differential+0.2Pregame prior+26.1Blowout margin−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:15: Kendre Miller run for 25 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK) — TCU win probability +4.7 pts (now 84%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:03: Hunter Dekkers pass intercepted for a TD Millard Bradford return for 36 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK) — TCU win probability +3.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:16: Hunter Dekkers pass complete to DeShawn Hanika for 15 yds for a TD, (Jace Gilbert KICK) — ISU win probability +3.8 pts (now 15%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 11:29: Griffin Kell 54 yd FG GOOD — TCU win probability +3.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:14: Kendre Miller run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK) — TCU win probability +4.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8ISU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 10:13TCU 4th & 2 at ISU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    73.8%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    73.3%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:16ISU 4th & 11 at ISU 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:54TCU 4th & 5 at ISU 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    73.9%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:31ISU 4th & 8 at ISU 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:16ISU 4th & 6 at TCU 15, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.1%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    12.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    8.3%−4.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:29TCU 4th & 10 at ISU 36, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.6%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    84.3%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:54ISU 4th & 11 at TCU 40, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    9.7%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:25TCU 4th & 10 at TCU 5, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:53ISU 4th & 15 at TCU 28, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−3.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:00TCU 4th & 5 at TCU 33, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:23ISU 4th & 15 at ISU 39, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.9%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:14TCU 4th & 1 at ISU 1, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    92.9%−1.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    89.3%−5.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:28TCU 4th & 2 at TCU 38, up 41
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:11ISU 4th & 9 at TCU 48, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:48TCU 4th & 6 at ISU 33, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:13ISU 4th & 6 at ISU 46, down 48
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TCU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8ISU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:13TCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:15TCU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:03TCU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:16ISU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:14TCU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:25TCU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:00TCU Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:02TCU Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:46ISU Touchdown, down 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:18TCU Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TCUDrive 1TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 4:3778% → 79%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
78.2%
Kendre Miller run for 3 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+2
78.0%
Max Duggan pass complete to Savion Williams for 2 yds to the TCU 32Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+19
77.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Trent Battle for 19 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
77.9%
Kendre Miller run for 10 yds to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
77.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Kendre Miller for 12 yds to the IowSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
77.8%
Emari Demercado run for 2 yds to the IowSt 25Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+4
77.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to Geor'Quarius Spivey for 4 yds to the IowSt 21Similar
Q1 11:04
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+2
77.6%
Kendre Miller run for 2 yds to the IowSt 19Similar
Q1 10:13
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+19
78.5%
Max Duggan pass complete to Geor'Quarius Spivey for 19 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:4622% → 21%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
78.2%
Hunter Dekkers run for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 16Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+10
78.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Easton Dean for 10 yds to the IowSt 26Similar
Q1 8:54
3RD & 4
OWN 26
-7
78.3%
Hunter Dekkers sacked by Jamoi Hodge for a loss of 7 yards to the IowSt 19Similar
Q1 8:16
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
78.6%
Tyler Perkins punt for 52 yds, downed at the TCU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 3FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 3:0778% → 79%
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
78.4%
Kendre Miller run for 4 yds to the TCU 33Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+4
78.4%
Max Duggan pass complete to Savion Williams for 4 yds to the TCU 37Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+4
78.5%
Kendre Miller run for 4 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
78.8%
Kendre Miller run for 4 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
78.9%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Gunnar HendersonSimilar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+17
78.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 17 yds to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
79.0%
Duggan, Max pass complete to Demercado, Emari for no gain to the IOWAST38, PENALTY IOWAST illegal use of hands 15 yards to the IOWAST23, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TCU.Similar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
79.1%
Emari Demercado run for 5 yds to the IowSt 18Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 5
OPP 18
0
79.1%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Derius DavisSimilar
Q1 4:58
3RD & 5
OPP 18
0
78.9%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Derius DavisSimilar
Q1 4:54
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+36
79.0%
Griffin Kell 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1322% → 21%
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
78.2%
Cartevious Norton run for 2 yds to the IowSt 17Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
78.2%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Jaylin NoelSimilar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 8
OWN 17
0
78.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for no gain to the IowSt 17Similar
Q1 3:31
4TH & 8
OWN 17
+8
79.2%
Tyler Perkins punt for 36 yds , Gunnar Henderson returns for 8 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 5TD
3 plays · 45 yds · 1:0580% → 84%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
79.7%
Kendre Miller run for 2 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+18
79.7%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jared Wiley for 18 yds to the IowSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
84.3%
Kendre Miller run for 25 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-36
86.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass intercepted for a TD Millard Bradford return for 36 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:3913% → 15%
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.0%
Cartevious Norton run for 5 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
87.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 2 yds to the IowSt 32Similar
Q1 0:45
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+8
87.4%
Cartevious Norton run for 8 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+23
87.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Cartevious Norton for 23 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
87.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 3 yds to the TCU 34Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+15
87.5%
Cartevious Norton run for 15 yds to the TCU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
87.6%
Hunter Dekkers run for 7 yds to the TCU 12Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 3
OPP 12
0
87.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q2 14:01
3RD & 3
OPP 12
-5
88.2%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TCU 17Similar
Q2 13:52
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+2
88.4%
Hunter Dekkers run for 2 yds to the TCU 15Similar
Q2 13:16
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+15
84.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to DeShawn Hanika for 15 yds for a TD, (Jace Gilbert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 8FG
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:3487% → 90%
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
86.7%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Jared WileySimilar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+5
86.7%
Max Duggan run for 5 yds to the IowSt 31Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 5
OPP 31
0
87.0%
Kendre Miller run for no gain to the IowSt 31Similar
Q2 11:56
4TH & 5
OPP 31
-5
86.7%
TCU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 36Similar
Q2 11:29
4TH & 10
OPP 36
+54
89.7%
Griffin Kell 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 35 yds · 2:3010% → 9%
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
90.0%
Dekkers, Hunter pass incomplete to Hanika, DeShawn, PENALTY TCU pass interference 12 yards to the IOWAST37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWAST.Similar
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
89.9%
Cartevious Norton run for 6 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
89.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+8
90.0%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 8 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
89.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to DeShawn Hanika for 10 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
90.1%
Eli Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 40Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 11
OPP 40
0
90.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Dimitri StanleySimilar
Q2 9:02
3RD & 11
OPP 40
0
91.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to DeShawn HanikaSimilar
Q2 8:54
4TH & 11
OPP 40
0
91.3%
Tyler Perkins punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2191% → 90%
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
90.9%
Kendre Miller run for 3 yds to the TCU 8Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 7
OWN 8
-3
90.6%
Max Duggan run for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 5Similar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 10
OWN 5
0
90.5%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Derius DavisSimilar
Q2 7:25
4TH & 10
OWN 5
0
90.3%
Jordy Sandy punt for 46 yds, downed at the IowSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11MISSED FG
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:259% → 8%
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
90.9%
Cartevious Norton run for 16 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
90.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 8 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+4
90.4%
Cartevious Norton run for 4 yds to the TCU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
90.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
90.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Jaylin NoelSimilar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 10
OPP 23
-5
91.3%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TCU 28Similar
Q2 5:58
3RD & 15
OPP 28
0
91.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Sean Shaw Jr.Similar
Q2 5:53
4TH & 15
OPP 28
+45
92.1%
Jace Gilbert 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:4293% → 93%
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
92.6%
Emari Demercado run for 3 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+4
92.7%
Emari Demercado run for 4 yds to the TCU 35Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 3
OWN 35
-2
92.8%
Emari Demercado run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 33Similar
Q2 4:00
4TH & 5
OWN 33
0
92.9%
Jordy Sandy punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13FUMBLE
9 plays · -5 yds · 2:298% → 7%
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
92.5%
Hunter Dekkers run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 26Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+8
93.0%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 8 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q2 2:48
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+10
92.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 10 yds to the IowSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
92.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
92.9%
Deon Silas run for no gain to the IowSt 44Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 10
OWN 44
-10
93.2%
Dekkers, Hunter pass complete to Norton, Cartevious for 14 yards to the TCU42, PENALTY IOWAST holding 10 yards to the IOWAST34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 20
OWN 34
+5
93.6%
Cartevious Norton run for 5 yds to the IowSt 39Similar
Q2 1:23
4TH & 15
OWN 39
-17
93.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 17 yards to the IowSt 22 TEAM fumbled, recovered by IowSt Tyler PerkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 14TD
10 plays · 22 yds · 0:5695% → 98%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
94.7%
Kendre Miller run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 23Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 11
OPP 23
+20
94.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to Geor'Quarius Spivey for 20 yds to the IowSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
94.9%
Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the IowSt 1Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.2%
Emari Demercado run for no gain to the IowSt 1Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
93.9%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Derius DavisSimilar
Q2 0:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.3%
Kendre Miller run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.6%
Cartevious Norton run for 3 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16MISSED FG
15 plays · 50 yds · 4:004% → 2%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
95.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 9 yds to the IowSt 42Similar
Q3 14:32
2ND & 1
OWN 42
0
95.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Dimitri StanleySimilar
Q3 14:17
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+3
96.3%
Hunter Dekkers run for 3 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
96.1%
Cartevious Norton run for no gain to the IowSt 45Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+15
96.4%
Becht, Rocco pass incomplete to Hutchinson, Xavier, PENALTY TCU pass interference 15 yards to the TCU40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWAST.Similar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
95.9%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TCU 45Similar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 15
OPP 45
-15
96.1%
Sanders, Eli rush for loss of 1 yard to the TCU46, PENALTY IOWAST personal foul 15 yards to the IOWAST40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 30
OWN 40
+24
97.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to DeShawn Hanika for 24 yds to the TCU 36Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+6
98.7%
Eli Sanders run for 6 yds to the TCU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+20
98.8%
Eli Sanders run for 20 yds to the TCU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-7
98.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the TCU 17 TEAM fumbled, recovered by IowSt Eli SandersSimilar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 0
OPP 17
0
98.7%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Dimitri StanleySimilar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 0
OPP 17
0
98.8%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q3 10:40
4TH & 0
OPP 17
+34
98.4%
Jace Gilbert 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:1099% → 100%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.0%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Kendre MillerSimilar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.0%
Kendre Miller run for 3 yds to the TCU 23Similar
Q3 9:45
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+37
99.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Savion Williams for 37 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
99.2%
Kendre Miller run for 9 yds to the IowSt 31Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+3
99.2%
Kendre Miller run for 3 yds to the IowSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
99.3%
Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 14 yds to the IowSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
99.3%
Max Duggan run for 1 yd to the IowSt 13Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+3
99.4%
Max Duggan pass complete to Savion Williams for 3 yds to the IowSt 10Similar
Q3 6:29
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+8
99.5%
Duggan, Max pass incomplete to Spivey, Geor'Quarius, PENALTY IOWAST pass interference 8 yards to the IOWAST2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TCU.Similar
Q3 6:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.5%
Max Duggan pass complete to Savion Williams for 2 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18FUMBLE
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:470% → 0%
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.6%
Cartevious Norton run for 2 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
99.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 11 yds Sean Shaw Jr. fumbled, forced by Kee'Yon Stewart, recovered by TCU Tymon MitchellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 19TD
7 plays · 38 yds · 3:15100% → 100%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
99.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Blake Nowell for 8 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+3
99.6%
Emani Bailey run for 3 yds to the IowSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
99.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jared Wiley for 4 yds to the IowSt 23Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+16
99.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Emani Bailey for 16 yds to the IowSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 0
OPP 7
-5
99.7%
TCU Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 12Similar
Q3 2:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
-1
99.7%
Emani Bailey run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 13Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
99.7%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 13 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20INT TD
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:480% → 0%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
99.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 3 yds to the TCU 46Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 7
OPP 46
-57
99.8%
Rocco Becht pass intercepted for a TD Josh Newton return for 57 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:090% → 0%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Cartevious Norton run for 5 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
99.8%
Deon Silas run for 1 yd to the IowSt 31Similar
Q3 0:01
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
99.8%
TCU Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+43
99.9%
Eli Sanders run for 43 yds to the TCU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
99.8%
Eli Sanders run for 2 yds to the TCU 19Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+19
99.8%
Deon Silas run for 19 yds for a TD, (Keegan Shackford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:02100% → 100%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.8%
Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the TCU 32Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+7
99.8%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Emani Bailey for 7 yds to the TCU 39Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 1
OWN 39
-1
99.9%
Emani Bailey run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 38Similar
Q4 11:28
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Jordy Sandy punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:070% → 0%
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.9%
Eli Sanders run for 2 yds to the IowSt 32Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+19
99.9%
Eli Sanders run for 19 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
99.9%
Deon Silas run for 1 yd to the TCU 48Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Jaylin Noel pass incomplete to Rocco BechtSimilar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 9
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jaylin NoelSimilar
Q4 9:11
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Tyler Perkins punt for 45 yds, downed at the TCU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 24TD
15 plays · 97 yds · 7:47100% → 100%
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
99.9%
Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the TCU 5Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+20
99.9%
Emani Bailey run for 20 yds to the TCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Gunnar HendersonSimilar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
Battle, Trent rush for no gain to the TCU25, PENALTY IOWAST face mask 15 yards to the TCU40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TCU.Similar
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
99.9%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Blake Nowell for 9 yds to the TCU 49Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+14
99.9%
Emani Bailey run for 14 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
99.9%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Gunnar Henderson for 2 yds to the IowSt 35Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Trent Battle run for no gain to the IowSt 35Similar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+2
99.9%
Chandler Morris run for 2 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q4 3:48
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+14
99.9%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Jared Wiley for 14 yds to the IowSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
99.9%
Emani Bailey run for 10 yds to the IowSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
99.9%
Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the IowSt 7Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
99.9%
Emani Bailey run for 5 yds to the IowSt 2Similar
Q4 1:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 2 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 25DOWNS
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:470% → 0%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
100.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Beau Coberley for 9 yds to the IowSt 32Similar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+10
100.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Tyler Moore for 10 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
100.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Tyler Moore for 4 yds to the IowSt 46Similar
Q4 0:27
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Beau CoberleySimilar
Q4 0:21
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Beau CoberleySimilar
Q4 0:13
4TH & 6
OWN 46
+4
100.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Beau Coberley for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · 16 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
50
+16
100.0%
TEAM run for 16 yds to the IowSt 34 TEAM fumbled, recovered by TCU Franklin Estrada for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 2:15
Kendre Miller run for 25 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)
+4.7
TD · Q2 0:14
Kendre Miller run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)
+4.5
TD · Q2 13:16
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to DeShawn Hanika for 15 yds for a TD, (Jace Gilbert KICK)
-3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com