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OKST

Oklahoma State 13 at Oklahoma 28

OU
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2022 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:20 · Michael Turk punt for 56 yds , Brennan Presley returns for 13 yds to the OKSt 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 144Home team on offense+26.7Score differential+18.0Pregame prior+4.5Garbage-time factor+10.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.8Blowout margin−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:09: Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 23 yds for a TD, (Zach Schmit KICK) — OU win probability +6.2 pts (now 86%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 4:05: Tanner Brown 24 Yd Field Goal — OKST win probability +10.9 pts (now 16%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 3:56: Tanner Brown kickoff for 62 yds , Billy Bowman return for 3 yds to the Okla 44 , Marvin Mims Jr. return for 38 yds to the Okla 44 — OU win probability +5.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:03: Quinton Stewart 2 Yd pass from Spencer Sanders (Tanner Brown Kick) — OKST win probability +4.4 pts (now 7%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 12:37: Tanner Brown 25 Yd Field Goal — OKST win probability +3.2 pts (now 8%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 8 of 12OKST made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 12:29OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:53OU 4th & 12 at OU 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:04OKST 4th & 16 at OKST 13, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−1.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:40OKST 4th & 4 at OKST 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:29OU 4th & 4 at OU 21, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%−0.8
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:04OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 48, down 28
    Close callPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:40OU 4th & 9 at OU 5, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:42OU 4th & 5 at OKST 36, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    91.7%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    91.3%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:09OKST 4th & 2 at OKST 40, down 22
    Close callPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:54OKST 4th & 6 at OKST 29, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:32OU 4th & 15 at OU 33, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%−1.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:33OKST 4th & 2 at OU 17, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    4.6%−0.7
    80% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−5.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:24OU 4th & 6 at OU 33, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:33OKST 4th & 14 at OU 41, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:20OU 4th & 5 at OU 18, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:52OU 4th & 8 at OU 24, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:37OKST 4th & 6 at OU 8, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.4%
    90% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−4.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:25OU 4th & 3 at OU 25, up 15
    Close callPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%−0.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:03OKST 4th & 19 at OKST 18, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  20. Q4 8:36OU 4th & 2 at OU 48, up 15
    Close callPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%−0.5
    average punt
  21. Q4 4:24OU 4th & 1 at OU 29, up 15
    Close callPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%−0.6
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:48OKST 4th & 26 at OKST 11, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  23. Q4 1:48OU 4th & 5 at OU 42, up 15
    Close callPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  24. Q4 0:16OKST 4th & 5 at OU 27, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    2.4%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 13:43OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:44OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 7:57OU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:09OU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:1365% → 66%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
65.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 13 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
65.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marvin Mims Jr. for 7 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+20
65.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Eric Gray for 20 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+33
65.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 33 yds to the OKSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
65.5%
Dillon Gabriel run for 2 yds for a TD, (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:0235% → 34%
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
65.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 4 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
65.4%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:59
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+1
65.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 1 yd to the OKSt 30Similar
Q1 12:29
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
65.8%
Logan Ward punt for 63 yds, downed at the Okla 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 93 yds · 2:3466% → 69%
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
65.7%
Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the Okla 9Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+19
65.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marvin Mims Jr. for 19 yds to the Okla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
65.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 12 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
66.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+12
66.2%
Eric Gray run for 12 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
66.6%
Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+11
66.7%
Dillon Gabriel run for 11 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
66.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 4 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+30
68.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 30 yds for a TD, (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
68.1%
Spencer Sanders pass intercepted C.J. Coldon return for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:2869% → 69%
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
50
-2
69.1%
Gavin Freeman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 48Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 12
OWN 48
0
69.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:02
3RD & 12
OWN 48
0
68.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:53
4TH & 12
OWN 48
0
68.5%
Michael Turk punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Braylin Presley at the OKSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6INT
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:3431% → 31%
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
68.6%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+9
68.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaden Bray for 9 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 1
OWN 24
-26
69.0%
Spencer Sanders pass intercepted Jonah Laulu return for 26 yds to the OKSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7TD
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0970% → 73%
Q1 8:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
70.4%
Dillon Gabriel run for 2 yds to the OKSt 2Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
73.2%
Eric Gray run for 2 yds for a TD, (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:2827% → 25%
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
73.3%
Ollie Gordon run for 5 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 5
OWN 24
-2
73.4%
Ollie Gordon run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 22Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 7
OWN 22
-9
74.6%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Jordan Kelley for a loss of 9 yards to the OKSt 13Similar
Q1 6:04
4TH & 16
OWN 13
0
74.9%
Logan Ward punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims Jr. at the Okla 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9FUMBLE
3 plays · 54 yds · 0:3575% → 76%
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
75.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 3 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+35
75.4%
Eric Gray run for 35 yds to the OKSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+16
75.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brayden Willis for 16 yds Brayden Willis fumbled, forced by Jabbar Muhammad, recovered by OKSt Jason Taylor IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:3024% → 21%
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+9
75.9%
Jaden Nixon run for 9 yds to the OKSt 12Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 1
OWN 12
-1
75.1%
Jaden Nixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 11Similar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 2
OWN 11
+8
76.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braden Cassity for 8 yds to the OKSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
76.1%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+2
77.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 2 yds to the OKSt 21Similar
Q1 3:14
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+4
78.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 4 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q1 2:40
4TH & 4
OWN 25
0
78.7%
Logan Ward punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims Jr. at the Okla 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2678% → 86%
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
77.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brayden Willis for 6 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+16
78.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marvin Mims Jr. for 16 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
79.2%
Jovantae Barnes run for 8 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+22
79.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marvin Mims Jr. for 22 yds to the OKSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
85.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 23 yds for a TD, (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12INT
10 plays · 51 yds · 3:1712% → 10%
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+20
87.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 20 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
87.8%
Ollie Gordon run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
50
+7
87.8%
Spencer Sanders run for 7 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
88.1%
Spencer Sanders run for 5 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 5
OPP 38
0
88.3%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:55
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+14
88.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 14 yds to the Okla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
88.9%
Spencer Sanders run for a loss of 5 yards to the Okla 29Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 15
OPP 29
+6
90.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 6 yds to the Okla 23Similar
Q2 12:32
3RD & 9
OPP 23
-8
90.3%
Spencer Sanders pass intercepted Billy Bowman return for 8 yds to the Okla 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5191% → 91%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
90.5%
Eric Gray run for no gain to the Okla 15Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+6
90.8%
Eric Gray run for 6 yds to the Okla 21Similar
Q2 11:38
3RD & 4
OWN 21
0
91.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:29
4TH & 4
OWN 21
0
90.8%
Michael Turk punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:169% → 8%
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
91.2%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+13
91.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 13 yds to the OKSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
91.3%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
91.5%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+5
91.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Rashod Owens for 5 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q2 10:04
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
91.6%
Logan Ward punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1692% → 91%
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
91.5%
Eric Gray run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 3Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 11
OWN 3
+2
92.1%
Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the Okla 5Similar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 9
OWN 5
0
92.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:40
4TH & 9
OWN 5
+5
91.1%
Michael Turk punt for 55 yds , Brennan Presley returns for 5 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 4:247% → 16%
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
92.9%
Deondre Jackson run for 6 yds to the Okla 49Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+5
92.5%
Spencer Sanders run for 5 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
94.5%
Jaden Nixon run for 5 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+17
94.3%
Braydon Johnson run for 17 yds to the Okla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
94.8%
Spencer Sanders run for 4 yds to the Okla 18Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+8
94.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 8 yds to the Okla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-10
95.7%
John Paul Richardson sacked by Jonah Laulu and Jordan Kelley for a loss of 10 yards to the Okla 20 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Okla 20Similar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 0
OPP 20
-3
94.8%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Ethan Downs for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 23Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 0
OPP 23
+16
94.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Rashod Owens for 16 yds to the Okla 7Similar
Q2 4:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
84.0%
Tanner Brown 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:0092% → 91%
Q2 3:42
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+15
91.5%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
91.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+2
91.8%
Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the OKSt 39Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+3
91.7%
Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q2 2:42
4TH & 5
OPP 36
+4
91.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marvin Mims Jr. for 4 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2710% → 9%
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
90.2%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+8
90.6%
Spencer Sanders run for 8 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 2
OWN 40
0
90.3%
Ollie Gordon run for no gain to the OKSt 40Similar
Q2 1:09
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
90.8%
Logan Ward punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Damond Harmon at the Okla 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19INT
9 plays · 50 yds · 0:5593% → 93%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
92.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Eric Gray for 7 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+13
92.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brayden Willis for 13 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
93.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marcus Major for 3 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+5
93.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 5 yds to the Okla 49Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+22
92.9%
Jovantae Barnes run for 22 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
93.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
93.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 10
OPP 29
-11
93.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass intercepted Jason Taylor II return for 11 yds to the OKSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
91.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:018% → 8%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
91.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 24Similar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
92.1%
Spencer Sanders run for 5 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q3 14:03
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
92.2%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:54
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
92.5%
Logan Ward punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims Jr. at the Okla 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:0893% → 93%
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
93.2%
Dillon Gabriel run for 13 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
93.6%
Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
93.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 5
OWN 43
-10
93.5%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Okla 33Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 15
OWN 33
0
93.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:32
4TH & 15
OWN 33
0
93.3%
Michael Turk punt for 63 yds, downed at the OKSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23DOWNS
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:547% → 6%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
93.4%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+6
93.5%
Ollie Gordon run for 6 yds to the OKSt 10Similar
Q3 12:11
3RD & 4
OWN 10
+47
93.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 47 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
93.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 18 yds to the Okla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
93.1%
Ollie Gordon run for 2 yds to the Okla 23Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
93.3%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+6
94.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 6 yds to the Okla 17Similar
Q3 9:33
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+1
94.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 1 yd to the Okla 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:0195% → 95%
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
95.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+13
95.0%
Jovantae Barnes run for 13 yds to the Okla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
95.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+4
95.1%
Jovantae Barnes run for 4 yds to the Okla 33Similar
Q3 8:33
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
95.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:24
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
95.1%
Michael Turk punt for 67 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:385% → 4%
Q3 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
95.0%
Jaden Nixon run for 2 yds to the OKSt 22Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
95.2%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+14
95.3%
Spencer Sanders run for 14 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+27
95.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 27 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
95.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 4 yds to the Okla 33Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 6
OPP 33
-1
95.2%
Jaden Nixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 34Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 7
OPP 34
-2
95.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaden Nixon for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 36Similar
Q3 4:57
4TH & 9
OPP 36
-5
96.3%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Okla 41Similar
Q3 4:33
4TH & 14
OPP 41
0
96.5%
Logan Ward punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims Jr. at the Okla 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5197% → 97%
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
96.6%
Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the Okla 15Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+3
96.7%
Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Okla 18Similar
Q3 3:32
3RD & 5
OWN 18
0
96.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:20
4TH & 5
OWN 18
+13
96.7%
Michael Turk punt for 56 yds , Brennan Presley returns for 13 yds to the OKSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 27TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 2:103% → 7%
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
96.8%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+20
96.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 20 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
96.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braden Cassity for 12 yds to the Okla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
96.4%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+16
97.2%
Spencer Sanders run for 16 yds to the Okla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
97.1%
Ollie Gordon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 15Similar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 12
OPP 15
+13
97.3%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Woodi Washington) to the Okla 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.9%
Quinton Stewart 2 Yd pass from Spencer Sanders (Tanner Brown Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5995% → 96%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
95.3%
Dillon Gabriel run for 5 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 5
OWN 27
0
95.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 27
-3
95.9%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Nathan Latu for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 24Similar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 8
OWN 24
0
95.5%
Michael Turk punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 29FG
6 plays · 59 yds · 2:096% → 8%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
94.5%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+55
94.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 55 yds to the Okla 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
94.2%
Jaden Nixon run for 2 yds to the Okla 10Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
94.3%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+2
94.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 2 yds to the Okla 8Similar
Q4 12:37
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+25
91.7%
Tanner Brown 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 30PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5995% → 95%
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
94.5%
Eric Gray run for 7 yds to the Okla 25Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 3
OWN 25
0
94.8%
Eric Gray run for no gain to the Okla 25Similar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 3
OWN 25
0
94.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:25
4TH & 3
OWN 25
0
94.6%
Michael Turk punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 31PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:577% → 5%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
93.1%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Isaiah Coe and Jordan Kelley for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 22Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 15
OWN 22
-4
93.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Ollie Gordon for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 18Similar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 19
OWN 18
0
94.3%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:03
4TH & 19
OWN 18
0
94.8%
Logan Ward punt for 42 yds, downed at the Okla 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 32PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2196% → 96%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
95.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
95.8%
Jovantae Barnes run for 5 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q4 9:19
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+3
95.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Eric Gray for 3 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q4 8:36
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
95.8%
Michael Turk punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 33INT
13 plays · 70 yds · 2:455% → 6%
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+21
95.0%
Jaden Nixon run for 21 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
94.6%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
94.7%
Spencer Sanders run for 4 yds to the OKSt 39Similar
Q4 7:38
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+6
94.7%
Spencer Sanders run for 6 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
94.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 12 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
94.8%
Spencer Sanders run for 6 yds to the Okla 37Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+11
94.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Bryson Green for 11 yds to the Okla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
94.3%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
94.7%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+10
94.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 10 yds to the Okla 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
93.5%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
93.6%
Spencer Sanders pass intercepted, touchback. DaShaun White return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 34PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0597% → 97%
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
96.8%
Jovantae Barnes run for 7 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+2
97.0%
Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
97.1%
Eric Gray run for no gain to the Okla 29Similar
Q4 4:24
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
97.1%
Michael Turk punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 35PUNT
4 plays · -16 yds · 1:323% → 2%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
97.1%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-12
97.3%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Jalen Redmond for a loss of 12 yards to the OKSt 15Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 22
OWN 15
-4
97.5%
Spencer Sanders sacked by DaShaun White for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 11Similar
Q4 2:48
4TH & 26
OWN 11
0
97.6%
Logan Ward punt for 52 yds, downed at the Okla 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 36PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5398% → 99%
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
98.1%
Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+3
98.3%
Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Okla 42Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
98.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:48
4TH & 5
OWN 42
+3
98.6%
Michael Turk punt for 39 yds , Brennan Presley returns for 3 yds to the OKSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 37DOWNS
12 plays · 51 yds · 1:272% → 1%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
97.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 11 yds to the OKSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
97.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 11 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
97.6%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+10
97.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 10 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
97.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for no gain to the Okla 46Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
99.0%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:41
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+14
99.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 14 yds to the Okla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
98.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 5 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q4 0:26
2ND & 5
OPP 27
0
98.6%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:21
3RD & 5
OPP 27
0
98.7%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:16
4TH & 5
OPP 27
0
98.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 38END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
98.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 4:05
Tanner Brown 24 Yd Field Goal
-10.9
TD · Q1 1:09
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 23 yds for a TD, (Zach Schmit KICK)
+6.2
KEY PLAY · Q2 3:56
Tanner Brown kickoff for 62 yds , Billy Bowman return for 3 yds to the Okla 44 , Marvin Mims Jr. return for 38 yds to the Okla 44
+5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com