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KSU

Kansas State 48 at West Virginia 31

WVU
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2022 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadKSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreKSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:50 · Ty Zentner punt for 56 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+52.5+26.30−26.3−52.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 106Home team on offense−27.6Pregame prior−7.8Score differential−12.4Garbage-time factor−6.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:22: Garrett Greene pass complete to Sam James for 71 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg PAT MISSED) — WVU win probability +4.4 pts (now 28%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:28: Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 15 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK) — KSU win probability +6.3 pts (now 79%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:55: Garrett Greene pass complete to Sam James for 5 yds for a TD, (G. Greene Run For Two-point Conversion) — WVU win probability +4.3 pts (now 28%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:24: Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 43 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK) — KSU win probability +5.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:30: Garrett Greene 13 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — WVU win probability +4.1 pts (now 7%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 11:51WVU 4th & 4 at KSU 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    30.6%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    30.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:31WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 34, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.0%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 1:46KSU 4th & 8 at WVU 28, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    70.2%−2.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:20WVU 4th & 13 at WVU 22, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−1.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:01KSU 4th & 18 at WVU 35, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%−1.5
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.5%
    45% to make
    Punt
    78.0%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 6:25WVU 4th & 22 at KSU 26, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−2.3
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    11.5%−4.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:50KSU 4th & 2 at KSU 44, up 16
    Close callPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.7%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:37WVU 4th & 24 at WVU 6, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−3.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:35KSU 4th & 2 at WVU 19, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    91.1%−0.8
    77% to make
    Punt
    85.9%−6.0
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:24WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 34, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.4%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:36KSU 4th & 6 at WVU 31, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    96.8%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    96.3%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:03WVU 4th & 8 at WVU 33, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5KSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:52KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:51KSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 8:26WVU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 6:41WVU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    34.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 5:12KSU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q1 2:17KSU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q1 1:22WVU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    32.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 13:28KSU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q2 6:55WVU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    29.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    29.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 12:24KSU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 9:30WVU Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    6.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    5.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 2:0073% → 73%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
27.0%
Will Howard run for 13 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
27.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 45Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+33
27.0%
Will Howard pass complete to Sammy Wheeler for 33 yds to the WVirg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
27.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+15
27.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 15 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 2INT TD
3 plays · 2 yds · 1:0127% → 27%
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
27.3%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 2 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
27.3%
Garrett Greene run for no gain to the WVirg 27Similar
Q1 11:51
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-37
26.6%
Cincere Mason 37 Yd Interception Return (Ty Zentner Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2527% → 29%
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
26.6%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 7 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
26.7%
Garrett Greene run for 8 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
26.8%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 13 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
26.8%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+6
26.8%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q1 11:51
3RD & 4
OPP 41
0
26.8%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the KanSt 41Similar
Q1 11:51
4TH & 4
OPP 41
+15
26.8%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Cortez Braham for 15 yds to the KanSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
28.8%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Sam James for 26 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4INT TD
4 plays · 14 yds · 1:4572% → 70%
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
27.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 6 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
27.5%
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 8 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
27.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the KanSt 39Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-43
30.3%
Malachi Ruffin 43 Yd Interception Return (Casey Legg PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5TD
3 plays · 68 yds · 1:2270% → 73%
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
30.5%
DJ Giddens run for no gain to the KanSt 32Similar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+19
30.6%
Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 19 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
26.9%
DJ Giddens run for 49 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 6DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4128% → 28%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
27.6%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 8 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
28.1%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 1 yd to the WVirg 34Similar
Q1 5:12
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
27.8%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for no gain to the WVirg 34Similar
Q1 3:31
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
27.5%
Garrett Greene run for no gain to the WVirg 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 34 yds · 1:1473% → 77%
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
26.8%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+7
26.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q1 3:31
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+26
27.0%
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 26 yds to the WVirg 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
23.0%
Will Howard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 81 yds · 0:4824% → 28%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
23.5%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+10
23.5%
QB Keeper GREENE, Garrett rush up the middle for no gain to the WVU19 (CHEATUM, Drake;HUGGINS, Eli). PENALTY KSU Holding on HAYES, Josh enforced 10 yards from the WVU19 to the WVU29 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+71
27.9%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Sam James for 71 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 2:4773% → 79%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
27.5%
Will Howard pass complete to Kade Warner for 5 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+5
27.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+39
27.4%
Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 39 yds to the WVirg 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
27.2%
DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the WVirg 7Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 7
-7
27.2%
run for a loss of 7 yards to the WVirg 15 fumbled, recovered by KanSt DJ GiddensSimilar
Q2 13:28
3RD & 14
OPP 15
+15
20.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 15 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10TD
11 plays · 87 yds · 6:2622% → 28%
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
22.4%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 12 yds to the WVirg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
22.5%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Brian Polendey for 6 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
23.0%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
22.8%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+8
23.3%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Treylan Davis for 8 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
23.6%
Garrett Greene run for 11 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
23.6%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 13 yds to the KanSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
23.9%
Garrett Greene run for 2 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+21
23.9%
Jaylen Anderson run for 21 yds to the KanSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
23.9%
Garrett Greene run for 1 yd to the KanSt 5Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
28.2%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Sam James for 5 yds for a TD, (G. Greene Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11FG
14 plays · 37 yds · 5:0975% → 80%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
25.5%
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 8 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+1
24.9%
Malik Knowles run for 1 yd to the KanSt 44Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
25.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
24.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Kade Warner for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 43Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 13
OWN 43
+2
25.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 11
OWN 45
0
25.6%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jacolby Spells) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
24.8%
Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 9 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+1
24.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the WVirg 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
23.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 31Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+3
22.6%
Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 3 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q2 1:57
3RD & 8
OPP 28
0
23.0%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:46
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+46
19.8%
Ty Zentner 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:2622% → 22%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
22.2%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Reese Smith for 1 yd to the WVirg 26Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-7
22.0%
Garrett Greene sacked by Brendan Mott for a loss of 7 yards to the WVirg 19Similar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+3
22.2%
Garrett Greene run for 3 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q2 1:20
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
22.1%
Oliver Straw punt for 43 yds , returns for no gain to the KanSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13FG
8 plays · 30 yds · 1:1981% → 87%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
18.6%
Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 7 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+31
17.8%
Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 31 yds to the WVirg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
16.7%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-1
15.7%
Will Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 28Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 11
OPP 28
-7
15.0%
Will Howard sacked by Jordan Jefferson for a loss of 7 yards to the WVirg 35Similar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 18
OPP 35
+53
13.5%
Ty Zentner 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14MISSED FG
21 plays · 49 yds · 8:3518% → 15%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
18.1%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the WVirg 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
18.0%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Jeremiah Aaron for 10 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
18.6%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+9
19.2%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Cortez Braham for 9 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-6
19.8%
JOHNSON JR., Justin rush to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the KSU49 (PAYNE, VJ). PENALTY WVU Holding on FRAZIER, Zach enforced 6 yards from the WVU48 to the WVU42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 16
OWN 42
-5
18.8%
QB Keeper GREENE, Garrett rush up the middle for a gain of 6 yards to the WVU48 (MOORE, Austin;SEUMALO, Uso). PENALTY Before the snap, WVU Illegal Shift on JOHNSON JR., Justin enforced 5 yards from the WVU42 to the WVU37. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 21
OWN 37
-5
18.1%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Sam James) to the WVirg 32Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 26
OWN 32
+10
18.1%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 10 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 42
+5
18.7%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Justin Johnson Jr. for 5 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 47
+18
18.8%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Cortez Braham for 18 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
20.4%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+8
20.3%
Jaylen Anderson run for 8 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+4
20.1%
Jaylen Anderson run for 4 yds to the KanSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
20.6%
Jaylen Anderson run for 4 yds to the KanSt 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 19
-5
20.6%
ANDERSON, Jaylen rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the KSU15 (PAYNE, VJ). PENALTY Before the snap, WVU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the KSU19 to the KSU24. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 24
0
20.3%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 24
0
19.6%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Delay Of Game Unnecessary Roughness on ANUDIKE-UZOMAH, Felix enforced ( Yards) to the KanSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
20.6%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
20.6%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the KanSt 14Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 14
-12
19.7%
Garrett Greene sacked by Brendan Mott for a loss of 12 yards to the KanSt 26Similar
Q3 6:25
4TH & 22
OPP 26
+44
14.9%
Casey Legg 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:3587% → 89%
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
12.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Kade Warner for 8 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+2
12.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
12.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-2
11.9%
DJ Giddens run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 38Similar
Q3 6:25
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+6
12.2%
Will Howard pass complete to Kade Warner for 6 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q3 3:50
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
11.3%
Ty Zentner punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -14 yds · 2:1313% → 12%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
13.3%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 15Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 15
OWN 15
-5
13.1%
GREENE, Garrett pass to the right complete for 12 yards to BRAHAM, Cortez caught at the WVU27 and advanced to the WVU27 (PARRISH, Jacob), out of bounds. PENALTY WVU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on YATES, Brandon enforced 5 yards from the WVU15 to the WVU10 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 20
OWN 10
0
13.1%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 20
OWN 10
-4
12.9%
Garrett Greene sacked by Brendan Mott for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 6Similar
Q3 1:37
4TH & 24
OWN 6
0
12.1%
Oliver Straw punt for 38 yds, downed at the WVirg 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17DOWNS
7 plays · 25 yds · 3:0291% → 92%
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
9.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for 6 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 4
OPP 38
0
9.0%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:37
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+11
9.3%
Will Howard pass complete to Sammy Wheeler for 11 yds to the WVirg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
7.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+1
7.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the WVirg 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 19
0
7.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the WVirg 19Similar
Q4 13:35
4TH & 2
OPP 19
0
8.0%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
10.8%
Garrett Greene pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19TD
3 plays · 40 yds · 1:0493% → 98%
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
7.3%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-3
7.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 43Similar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 13
OPP 43
+43
2.1%
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 43 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:542% → 7%
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.4%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
2.3%
Jaylen Anderson run for 7 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
2.4%
Jaylen Anderson run for 2 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q4 12:24
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+23
2.4%
Jaylen Anderson run for 23 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
2.7%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Treylan Davis for 6 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+12
2.4%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Cortez Braham for 12 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
2.6%
Sam James pass complete to Garrett Greene for 12 yds to the KanSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
6.7%
Garrett Greene 13 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21DOWNS
16 plays · 44 yds · 5:5396% → 99%
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
3.9%
DJ Giddens run for 7 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
3.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 33Similar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
2.3%
DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
2.3%
DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+10
2.1%
HOWARD, Will pass to the left incomplete intended for KNOWLES, Malik thrown to the WVU48. PENALTY WVU Holding on SPELLS, Jacolby enforced 10 yards from the KSU39 to the KSU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
2.1%
DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
2.0%
DJ Giddens run for no gain to the WVirg 46Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+11
1.3%
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 11 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
1.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the WVirg 35Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
1.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the WVirg 35Similar
Q4 3:41
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+4
1.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q4 3:36
4TH & 6
OPP 31
0
1.3%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:331% → 1%
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
1.2%
Garrett Greene run for 2 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
1.2%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:36
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
1.2%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:03
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
1.1%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23END OF GAME
5 plays · 8 yds · 3:0399% → 99%
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
1.0%
DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+4
0.9%
DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the WVirg 24Similar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+1
1.0%
DJ Giddens run for 1 yd to the WVirg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
0.9%
[NH] Kneel down by KSU at WVU25 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 25
0
0.7%
[NH] Kneel down by KSU at WVU25 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:28
Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 15 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK)
-6.3
TD · Q4 12:24
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 43 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK)
-5.2
TD · Q1 1:22
Garrett Greene pass complete to Sam James for 71 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg PAT MISSED)
+4.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com