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TEX

Texas 55 at Kansas 14

KU
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2022 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadTEX aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreTEX score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-2.9KU 16.1%Bert Auburn 28 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 0 · Q2 12:18
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:18 · Bert Auburn 28 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 47Home team on offense−12.2Score differential−5.0Pregame prior−21.8Garbage-time factor−3.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:50: Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK) — TEX win probability +1.7 pts (now 78%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:33: Bijan Robinson run for 17 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK) — TEX win probability +2.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 12:18: Bert Auburn 28 yd FG GOOD — TEX win probability +2.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:56: Quinn Ewers pass complete to Keilan Robinson for 15 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK) — TEX win probability +3.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:00: Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK) — TEX win probability +3.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7TEX made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 13:21TEX 4th & 3 at TEX 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:48KU 4th & 7 at KU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:59KU 4th & 3 at KU 14, down 7
    Close callPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:58KU 4th & 2 at TEX 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    26.0%−1.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    26.3%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:18TEX 4th & 10 at KU 10, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%−0.8
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    70.5%−5.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:23KU 4th & 6 at TEX 17, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.0%
    80% to make
    Punt
    19.1%−2.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:22TEX 4th & 2 at KU 35, up 24
    Close callWent for it · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.5%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    90.6%
    45% to make
    Punt
    89.7%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:54KU 4th & 2 at KU 33, down 31
    Close callPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:28KU 4th & 2 at TEX 47, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.6%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:05TEX 4th & 1 at KU 41, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    97.7%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:16TEX 4th & 6 at KU 22, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:00TEX 4th & 3 at KU 29, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:15KU 4th & 4 at KU 39, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:21TEX 4th & 2 at KU 47, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TEX made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 7:50TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:33TEX Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:56TEX Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:00TEX Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:03TEX Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:55KU Touchdown, down 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:36TEX Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:33KU Touchdown, down 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:09TEX Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:2578% → 78%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
21.7%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 6 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
21.8%
Bijan Robinson run for 7 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
21.9%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Bijan RobinsonSimilar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+7
22.1%
Bijan Robinson run for 7 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
22.2%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Jordan WhittingtonSimilar
Q1 13:21
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
22.4%
Daniel Trejo punt for 23 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1823% → 23%
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
22.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for no gain to the Kans 32Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
22.8%
Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
23.1%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Quentin SkinnerSimilar
Q1 11:48
4TH & 7
OWN 35
+7
23.1%
Reis Vernon punt for 40 yds , Xavier Worthy returns for 7 yds to the Texas 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 3TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 3:4877% → 78%
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
23.2%
Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Texas 36 Bijan Robinson fumbled, recovered by TexasSimilar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+12
23.3%
Bijan Robinson run for 12 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
23.3%
Bijan Robinson run for 9 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+2
23.4%
Keilan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
23.7%
Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Kans 40Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+12
24.0%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 12 yds to the Kans 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+21
23.9%
Roschon Johnson run for 21 yds to the Kans 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
24.2%
Roschon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Kans 2Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
22.5%
Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3823% → 23%
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
23.1%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the Kans 10Similar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+4
23.3%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the Kans 14Similar
Q1 6:13
3RD & 3
OWN 14
0
23.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
Q1 5:59
4TH & 3
OWN 14
+22
23.1%
Reis Vernon punt for 36 yds , Xavier Worthy returns for 22 yds to the Kans 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 5TD
2 plays · 28 yds · 0:1877% → 80%
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
22.6%
Bijan Robinson run for 11 yds to the Kans 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
20.3%
Bijan Robinson run for 17 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6DOWNS
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:1321% → 21%
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
21.3%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the Kans 22Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
21.3%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
Q1 4:38
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+13
21.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 13 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
21.5%
Devin Neal run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
50
+1
21.3%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the Texas 49Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+8
21.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 8 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q1 2:29
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+1
21.5%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the Texas 42Similar
Q1 1:58
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+2
21.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Tanaka Scott for 2 yds to the Texas 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 7FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 4:2880% → 84%
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
19.8%
Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Texas 48Similar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
19.7%
Roschon Johnson run for no gain to the Texas 48Similar
Q1 0:44
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+24
19.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 24 yds to the Kans 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
19.4%
Roschon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+1
19.4%
Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+3
19.5%
Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+10
18.9%
Bijan Robinson run for 10 yds to the Kans 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
0
19.0%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Keilan RobinsonSimilar
Q2 12:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+3
18.9%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Savion Red for 3 yds to the Kans 10Similar
Q2 12:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
19.0%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Jordan WhittingtonSimilar
Q2 12:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
16.1%
Bert Auburn 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8MISSED FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 4:4618% → 18%
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
17.9%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
17.9%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Douglas EmilienSimilar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
17.6%
Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q2 10:47
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+18
17.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 18 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
18.2%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+31
18.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 31 yds to the Texas 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
18.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Devin Neal for 1 yd to the Texas 22Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+3
18.4%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the Texas 19Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+7
18.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 7 yds to the Texas 12Similar
Q2 7:23
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+34
18.4%
Jacob Borcila 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 9TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:1785% → 90%
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
15.2%
Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the Texas 21Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+21
15.1%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 21 yds to the Texas 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
14.6%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
14.3%
Bijan Robinson run for 6 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+31
14.2%
Bijan Robinson run for 31 yds to the Kans 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
14.0%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for no gain to the Kans 10Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
0
13.8%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Bijan RobinsonSimilar
Q2 4:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
9.9%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Keilan Robinson for 15 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10INT
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:3713% → 13%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
12.7%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Devin NealSimilar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+11
12.6%
Devin Neal run for 11 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
13.3%
Ky Thomas run for 1 yd to the Kans 46Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+3
13.2%
Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q2 3:21
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+12
12.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 12 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
13.0%
Sevion Morrison run for 2 yds to the Texas 37Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
12.8%
Jalon Daniels pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 1:5793% → 97%
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
7.4%
Quinn Ewers run for 7 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+10
7.3%
Bijan Robinson run for 10 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
7.0%
Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 6
OPP 39
0
6.8%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+4
6.7%
Keilan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+9
7.6%
Bijan Robinson run for 9 yds to the Kans 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
6.3%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 1 yd to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+24
6.3%
Bijan Robinson run for 24 yds to the Kans 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.8%
Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:534% → 4%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
3.5%
Ky Thomas run for 7 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
4.0%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the Kans 33Similar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
3.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Mason Fairchild for no gain to the Kans 33Similar
Q3 12:54
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
3.7%
Grayden Addison punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13TD
5 plays · 61 yds · 1:4097% → 98%
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
3.0%
Bijan Robinson run for 9 yds to the Texas 48Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+17
2.5%
Bijan Robinson run for 17 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
2.6%
Keilan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 7
OPP 32
0
2.5%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Keilan RobinsonSimilar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+32
1.8%
Bijan Robinson run for 32 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14DOWNS
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:232% → 1%
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
1.7%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+10
1.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 10 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
1.6%
Jalon Daniels run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 5
50
+3
1.5%
Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q3 9:33
3RD & 2
OPP 47
0
1.5%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
Q3 9:28
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+3
1.4%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 15FG
10 plays · 28 yds · 4:0599% → 99%
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
50
0
1.5%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 10
50
+1
1.5%
Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the Kans 49Similar
Q3 8:24
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+8
1.4%
Bijan Robinson run for 8 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q3 8:05
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+4
1.8%
Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
1.3%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 8 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+3
1.3%
Keilan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Kans 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 15
OPP 31
+3
1.2%
Keilan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 12
OPP 28
+4
1.2%
Quinn Ewers run for 4 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q3 5:43
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+2
1.1%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Keilan Robinson for 2 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q3 5:16
4TH & 6
OPP 22
+40
1.4%
Bert Auburn 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:571% → 1%
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
0.7%
Sevion Morrison run for 3 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+9
0.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Jared Casey for 9 yds to the Kans 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
0.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 2 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+42
0.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 42 yds to the Texas 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
0.6%
Devin Neal run for 10 yds to the Texas 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
0.6%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Devin NealSimilar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
0.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Torry Locklin for 14 yds for a TD, (Owen Piepergerdes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17TD
15 plays · 65 yds · 4:5199% → 100%
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
0.7%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Jordan WhittingtonSimilar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+3
0.7%
Jonathon Brooks run for 3 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q3 0:44
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+4
0.6%
Jonathon Brooks run for 4 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 29
+5
0.7%
Jonathon Brooks run for 5 yds to the Kans 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
0.5%
Jaydon Blue run for 2 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+10
0.5%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 10 yds to the Kans 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
0.5%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 5 yds to the Kans 7Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+3
0.5%
Jonathon Brooks run for 3 yds to the Kans 4Similar
Q4 12:47
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+3
0.4%
Jonathon Brooks run for 3 yds to the Kans 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+2
0.5%
Jonathon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Kans 3Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.4%
Jonathon Brooks run for 3 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 0:530% → 0%
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
0.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Torry LocklinSimilar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+55
0.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 55 yds to the Texas 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
0.3%
Jalon Daniels run for 7 yds to the Texas 12Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+12
0.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 12 yds for a TD, (Owen Piepergerdes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 19TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:12100% → 100%
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
0.5%
Jonathon Brooks run for 6 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
0.5%
Jonathon Brooks run for 1 yd to the Texas 30Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+70
0.4%
Jonathon Brooks run for 70 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:370% → 0%
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
0.2%
Sevion Morrison run for no gain to the Kans 21Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+12
0.2%
Jason Bean pass complete to Kevin Terry for 12 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
0.2%
Sevion Morrison run for 3 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+3
0.1%
Sevion Morrison run for 3 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q4 6:28
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
0.1%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Torry LocklinSimilar
Q4 6:15
4TH & 4
OWN 39
+15
0.1%
Reis Vernon punt for 42 yds , Tarique Milton returns for 15 yds to the Texas 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:34100% → 100%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
0.3%
Jaydon Blue run for 2 yds to the Texas 36Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+7
0.3%
Jaydon Blue run for 7 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+2
0.2%
Jaydon Blue run for 2 yds to the Texas 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
0.2%
Jaydon Blue run for no gain to the Texas 45Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
0.2%
Jaydon Blue run for 3 yds to the Texas 48Similar
Q4 2:46
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+5
0.2%
Hudson Card pass complete to Savion Red for 5 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q4 2:21
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
0.3%
Jaydon Blue run for no gain to the Kans 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22END OF GAME
5 plays · 15 yds · 2:070% → 0%
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
0.1%
Torry Locklin run for 7 yds to the Texas 46Similar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+1
0.1%
Torry Locklin run for 1 yd to the Texas 45Similar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+2
0.0%
Torry Locklin run for 2 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
0.0%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Douglas EmilienSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+5
0.0%
DeAndre Thomas Jr. run for 5 yds to the Texas 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:56
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Keilan Robinson for 15 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK)
-3.9
TD · Q2 0:00
Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK)
-3.5
FG · Q2 12:18
Bert Auburn 28 yd FG GOOD
-2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com