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Oklahoma 20 at West Virginia 23

WVU
2022 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2022 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:36 · Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 82Pregame prior−15.5Home team on offense−4.2Score differential−2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Garbage-time factor−0.2Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:06: Eric Gray 12 Yd Run (Zach Schmit Kick) — OU win probability +12.4 pts (now 79%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:33: Garrett Greene 5 Yd Run (Kolton McGhee Run for Two-Point Conversion) — WVU win probability +14.9 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Offense has -1 timeouts left).
  3. TD · Q3 1:22: Eric Gray 5 Yd Run (Dillon Gabriel Run for Two-Point Conversion) — OU win probability +24.1 pts (now 81%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:20: Garrett Greene 11 Yd Run (Casey Legg Kick) — WVU win probability +27.3 pts (now 58%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Casey Legg 25 Yd Field Goal — WVU win probability +27.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11OU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:36OU 4th & 9 at WVU 37, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.3%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    69.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:17WVU 4th & 3 at OU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    31.3%−0.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    31.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:53OU 4th & 9 at OU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:09WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.5%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 8:01WVU 4th & 11 at WVU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%
    average punt
  6. Q1 6:17OU 4th & 10 at OU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.1%
    average punt
  7. Q1 4:25WVU 4th & 10 at WVU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.2%
    average punt
  8. Q1 3:28OU 4th & 15 at OU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 13:00WVU 4th & 17 at OU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−0.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    37.0%−0.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:42OU 4th & 10 at WVU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    58.8%−3.5
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:36OU 4th & 6 at WVU 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    63.5%−1.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    63.7%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:08WVU 4th & 18 at OU 39, down 3
    Close callPunted · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    35.2%
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.8%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:56WVU 4th & 11 at WVU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−2.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:54OU 4th & 3 at WVU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    56.5%−2.6
    40% to make
    Punt
    56.2%−2.9
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:17WVU 4th & 4 at WVU 34, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.6%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    29.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:25WVU 4th & 10 at OU 31, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.4%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    25.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    23.1%−2.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:14OU 4th & 6 at OU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−1.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:25WVU 4th & 12 at WVU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−5.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.3%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:24OU 4th & 3 at WVU 29, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.1%−3.6
    58% to make
    Punt
    32.6%−21.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:25WVU 4th & 3 at OU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    50.5%−7.5
    36% to make
    Punt
    48.5%−9.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2OU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 1:06OU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:33WVU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    36.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    36.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:22OU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    69.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:20WVU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1MISSED FG
8 plays · 38 yds · 1:2474% → 74%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
25.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Eric Gray for 12 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
25.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marvin Mims Jr. for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+12
25.8%
Eric Gray run for 12 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
25.8%
Dillon Gabriel run for 1 yd to the WVirg 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
25.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 9
OPP 37
0
26.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:36
4TH & 9
OPP 37
+54
26.5%
Zach Schmit 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 2DOWNS
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:1927% → 27%
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
26.6%
JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 10 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
26.6%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+9
26.6%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 9 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 1
OPP 44
-2
26.7%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 46Similar
Q1 12:17
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
27.4%
JT Daniels pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2473% → 72%
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
27.0%
Dillon Gabriel run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 8
50
+3
26.9%
Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q1 12:17
3RD & 5
OPP 47
-4
27.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Eric Gray for a loss of 4 yards to the Okla 49Similar
Q1 10:53
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
27.9%
Michael Turk punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 2:5228% → 29%
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+17
27.9%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 17 yds to the WVirg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
28.0%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+6
28.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Cortez Braham for 6 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q1 9:09
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+1
28.7%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 1 yd to the WVirg 33Similar
Q1 9:09
4TH & 1
OWN 33
+3
28.5%
JT Daniels run for 3 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
28.9%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
28.8%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 35Similar
Q1 9:09
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
28.5%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:01
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
28.7%
Oliver Straw punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims Jr. at the Okla 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 1:4471% → 70%
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
29.0%
Eric Gray run for 1 yd to the Okla 17Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+11
29.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 11 yds to the Okla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
28.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 9 yds to the Okla 37Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+6
28.7%
Eric Gray run for 6 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
28.5%
Eric Gray run for no gain to the Okla 43Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
28.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:01
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
28.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:17
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
30.2%
Michael Turk punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:5230% → 30%
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
30.0%
Hershey McLaurin run for 5 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
30.1%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 1 yd to the WVirg 31Similar
Q1 6:17
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-6
29.8%
JT Daniels sacked by Ethan Downs for a loss of 6 yards to the WVirg 25Similar
Q1 4:25
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+10
30.1%
Oliver Straw punt for 45 yds , Marvin Mims Jr. returns for 10 yds to the Okla 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:5770% → 68%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
30.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
30.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 10
OWN 40
-5
30.6%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Sean Martin for a loss of 5 yards to the Okla 35Similar
Q1 3:28
4TH & 15
OWN 35
0
31.9%
Michael Turk punt for 55 yds, downed at the WVirg 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8PUNT
13 plays · 44 yds · 5:2831% → 34%
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
31.2%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for no gain to the WVirg 10Similar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+26
31.2%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Sam James for 26 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
31.6%
Garrett Greene run for 1 yd to the WVirg 37Similar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+3
31.5%
Garrett Greene run for 3 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q1 3:28
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+9
31.4%
Garrett Greene run for 9 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
32.3%
Garrett Greene run for 9 yds to the Okla 42Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 42
0
34.8%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for no gain to the Okla 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+3
34.5%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 3 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
34.8%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-1
34.7%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 40
-6
33.8%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-6 Yards) to the WVirg 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 17
OPP 46
0
33.2%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:00
4TH & 17
OPP 46
0
33.5%
Oliver Straw punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims Jr. at the Okla 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9FG
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1867% → 68%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
33.2%
Eric Gray run for 7 yds to the Okla 17Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+1
33.1%
Eric Gray run for 1 yd to the Okla 18Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+2
33.7%
Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the Okla 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
33.1%
Dillon Gabriel run for 11 yds to the Okla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+54
32.7%
Eric Gray run for 54 yds to the WVirg 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
30.6%
Eric Gray run for 7 yds to the WVirg 8Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+2
30.6%
Jovantae Barnes run for 2 yds to the WVirg 6Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 1
OPP 6
-15
32.0%
GABRIEL, Dillon pass to the right complete for 6 yards to WILLIS, Brayden caught at the WVU5 and advanced to the WVU0, TOUCHDOWN OKL, score nullified by penalty, clock 10:30 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY OKL Pass Interference on WEASE, Theo enforced 15 yards to the WVU21 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 16
OPP 21
+6
33.1%
Dillon Gabriel run for 6 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q2 9:42
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+32
31.6%
Zach Schmit 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10FUMBLE
7 plays · 38 yds · 2:0633% → 33%
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
32.6%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 17 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
34.6%
JT Daniels pass complete to Reese Smith for 5 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+6
34.7%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
34.7%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the Okla 37Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+3
33.2%
JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 3 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q2 7:36
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+7
33.1%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 7 yds to the Okla 27 fumbled, recovered by Okla Jordan KelleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11DOWNS
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:0068% → 68%
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
31.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 12 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
30.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 9 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+6
30.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 6 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
29.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
30.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 5 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q2 7:36
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+4
30.2%
Jalil Farooq run for 4 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q2 7:36
4TH & 1
OPP 37
-5
31.1%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 42Similar
Q2 5:36
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
31.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 3:2833% → 34%
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
33.2%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-2
32.2%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 40Similar
Q2 4:37
3RD & 12
OWN 40
+29
33.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Sam James for 29 yds to the Okla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
37.4%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for no gain to the Okla 31Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+3
39.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 3 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q2 3:06
3RD & 7
OPP 28
-11
37.7%
JT Daniels sacked by Danny Stutsman and Reggie Grimes for a loss of 11 yards to the Okla 39Similar
Q2 2:08
4TH & 18
OPP 39
0
34.0%
Oliver Straw punt for 35 yds, downed at the Okla 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13TD
4 plays · 96 yds · 1:0266% → 79%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
33.8%
Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Okla 8Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+13
34.1%
Eric Gray run for 13 yds to the Okla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+67
33.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marvin Mims Jr. for 67 yds to the WVirg 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
20.9%
Eric Gray 12 Yd Run (Zach Schmit Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14TD
3 plays · 53 yds · 0:2625% → 41%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
25.4%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kaden Prather for 15 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+33
26.0%
Garrett Greene run for 33 yds to the Okla 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
40.9%
Garrett Greene 5 Yd Run (Kolton McGhee Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:2762% → 63%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
38.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 15 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
36.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-7
36.9%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Sean Martin for a loss of 7 yards to the Okla 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:5942% → 40%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+14
41.6%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 14 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
42.1%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 11
OWN 31
0
41.6%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 11
OWN 31
0
40.3%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:56
4TH & 11
OWN 31
0
40.1%
Oliver Straw punt for 51 yds, downed at the Okla 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17DOWNS
12 plays · 45 yds · 4:0261% → 60%
Q3 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
38.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Eric Gray for 9 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+4
37.1%
Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Okla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
38.0%
Dillon Gabriel run for a loss of 4 yards to the Okla 27Similar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+15
39.1%
GABRIEL, Dillon pass to the left incomplete intended for MIMS JR., Marvin broken up by RUFFIN, Malachi at the WVU30. PENALTY WVU Pass Interference on RUFFIN, Malachi enforced 15 yards to the OKL42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
36.5%
Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+4
36.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:56
3RD & 2
50
+1
36.0%
Dillon Gabriel run for 1 yd to the WVirg 49Similar
Q3 13:56
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+5
37.4%
GRAY, Eric rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the WVU48 (BARTLETT, Jared). PENALTY Before the snap, WVU Illegal Substitution on MARTIN, Sean enforced 5 yards from the WVU49 to the WVU44 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-6
35.5%
Dillon Gabriel sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 16
50
+14
37.3%
Jovantae Barnes run for 14 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q3 13:56
3RD & 2
OPP 36
-1
35.6%
Jovantae Barnes run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 37Similar
Q3 9:54
4TH & 3
OPP 37
0
39.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18TD
14 plays · 63 yds · 6:1845% → 56%
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
45.2%
Garrett Greene run for 7 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 3
OWN 44
-1
47.4%
Jaylen Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 43Similar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+8
46.0%
Garrett Greene run for 8 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
47.9%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+15
47.4%
GREENE, Garrett sacked for a loss of 12 yards at the WVU39 (THOMAS, R Mason). PENALTY OKL Face mask on THOMAS, R Mason enforced 15 yards from the OKL49 to the OKL34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
49.1%
Jaylen Anderson run for 4 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+4
49.2%
Jaylen Anderson run for 4 yds to the Okla 26Similar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+2
47.6%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 2 yds to the Okla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
49.2%
Jaylen Anderson run for 5 yds to the Okla 19Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+17
49.1%
Garrett Greene run for 17 yds to the Okla 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
49.2%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the Okla 7Similar
Q3 9:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
49.1%
Garrett Greene run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 8Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
49.1%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
56.2%
Bryce Ford-Wheaton 8 Yd pass from Garrett Greene (Casey Legg Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 2:0753% → 81%
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
47.1%
Eric Gray run for 7 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+10
46.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marvin Mims Jr. for 10 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
45.6%
Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+8
45.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marvin Mims Jr. for 8 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+21
43.5%
Eric Gray run for 21 yds to the WVirg 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
43.4%
Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the WVirg 5Similar
Q3 1:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
19.3%
Eric Gray 5 Yd Run (Dillon Gabriel Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20TD
14 plays · 72 yds · 4:5727% → 58%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
27.1%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 6 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 4
OWN 34
0
28.6%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for no gain to the WVirg 34Similar
Q3 1:17
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
26.7%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:17
4TH & 4
OWN 34
+5
26.0%
Sam James run for 5 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
26.4%
GREENE, Garrett sacked for a loss of 1 yard at the WVU38 (STUTSMAN, Danny), clock 00:00. PENALTY WVU Holding on ANDERSON, Jaylen enforced 10 yards from the WVU39 to the WVU29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 29
+5
24.5%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kaden Prather for 5 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 34
+35
24.3%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Sam James for 35 yds to the Okla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
30.8%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+3
30.6%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 28
-8
29.0%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 8 yards to the Okla 36 fumbled, recovered by WVirg Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 15
OPP 36
+5
23.3%
GREENE, Garrett pass to the right intercepted by COLDON, C.J. at the OKL0 intended for JAMES, Sam. Coldon return for 0 yards to the OKL0, touchback., clock 12:25. PENALTY OKL Offsides on HALTON, Gracen enforced 5 yards from the OKL36 to the OKL31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 10
OPP 31
+15
24.4%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kaden Prather for 15 yds to the Okla 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
30.5%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kaden Prather for 5 yds to the Okla 11Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+11
57.7%
Garrett Greene 11 Yd Run (Casey Legg Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0655% → 50%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
45.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Eric Gray for a loss of 5 yards to the Okla 20Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+9
46.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 9 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
46.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:14
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
49.6%
Michael Turk punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:4952% → 48%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
52.0%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-2
51.4%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 29Similar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 12
OWN 29
0
48.7%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Chop Block (Doug Nester) declinedSimilar
Q4 9:25
4TH & 12
OWN 29
0
47.7%
Oliver Straw punt for 47 yds, downed at the Okla 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 23MISSED FG
8 plays · 47 yds · 3:0153% → 56%
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
46.7%
Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+5
45.2%
Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the Okla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
45.1%
Eric Gray run for 6 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+24
42.6%
Eric Gray run for 24 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
40.7%
Jovantae Barnes run for 2 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+5
38.8%
Jovantae Barnes run for 5 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 3
OPP 29
0
40.3%
Eric Gray run for no gain to the WVirg 29Similar
Q4 6:24
4TH & 3
OPP 29
+46
43.8%
Zach Schmit 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24FG
22 plays · 65 yds · 6:2454% → 96%
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
53.8%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 1 yd to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+10
53.5%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kaden Prather for 10 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
57.2%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 6 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+3
58.6%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q4 6:24
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+5
57.3%
QB Keeper GREENE, Garrett rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the WVU50 (ELLISON, Josh). PENALTY OKL Offsides on ELLISON, Josh enforced 5 yards from the WVU49 to the OKL46 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
59.8%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 6 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+3
59.8%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 3 yds to the Okla 37Similar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 1
OPP 37
-2
58.8%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 39Similar
Q4 2:25
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+5
55.6%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 5 yds to the Okla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
61.9%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Tony Mathis Jr. for 7 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+6
66.3%
Garrett Greene run for 6 yds to the Okla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
66.3%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for no gain to the Okla 21Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+4
66.6%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 4 yds to the Okla 17Similar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+7
67.0%
Garrett Greene run for 7 yds to the Okla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
68.9%
Garrett Greene run for 4 yds to the Okla 6Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+25
96.0%
Casey Legg 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:20
Garrett Greene 11 Yd Run (Casey Legg Kick)
+27.3
FG · Q4 0:00
Casey Legg 25 Yd Field Goal
+27.2
TD · Q3 1:22
Eric Gray 5 Yd Run (Dillon Gabriel Run for Two-Point Conversion)
-24.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com