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KU

Kansas 28 at Texas Tech 43

TTU
2022 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2022 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:44 · Austin McNamara punt for 27 yds, fair catch by O.J. Burroughs at the Kans 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 157Home team on offense+21.4Pregame prior+2.3Garbage-time factor+12.2Score differential+7.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.9Blowout margin−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:31: Luke Grimm 3 Yd pass from Jason Bean (Jacob Borcila Kick) — KU win probability +9.4 pts (now 40%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Trey Wolff 51 Yd Field Goal — TTU win probability +5.6 pts (now 76%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:52: Tyler Shough 9 Yd Run (Tyler Shough Run for Two-Point Conversion) — TTU win probability +8.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:06: Quentin Skinner 20 Yd pass from Jason Bean (Jacob Borcila Kick) — KU win probability +20.5 pts (now 31%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 4:19: Trey Wolff 30 Yd Field Goal — TTU win probability +8.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 10 of 10KU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 9:40KU 4th & 1 at KU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:40TTU 4th & 1 at TTU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    60.7%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:53TTU 4th & 7 at KU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    59.4%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:14KU 4th & 13 at TTU 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−0.6
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    35.5%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:14KU 4th & 13 at TTU 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−0.6
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    35.5%−2.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:27KU 4th & 4 at TTU 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    32.3%−0.9
    36% to make
    Punt
    32.4%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:27KU 4th & 4 at TTU 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    32.3%−0.9
    36% to make
    Punt
    32.4%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:18TTU 4th & 15 at TTU 10, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%−2.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:18TTU 4th & 15 at TTU 10, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%−2.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:56TTU 4th & 2 at KU 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    63.5%−0.6
    40% to make
    Punt
    62.3%−1.8
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:56TTU 4th & 2 at KU 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    63.5%−0.6
    40% to make
    Punt
    62.3%−1.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:55KU 4th & 9 at TTU 19, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−1.9
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    21.5%−10.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:55KU 4th & 9 at TTU 19, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−1.9
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    21.5%−10.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:15TTU 4th & 23 at TTU 26, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−5.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:15TTU 4th & 23 at TTU 26, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−5.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:32KU 4th & 2 at KU 32, down 6
    Close callPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.6%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q3 3:32KU 4th & 2 at KU 32, down 6
    Close callPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.6%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:48KU 4th & 6 at KU 35, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:44TTU 4th & 6 at TTU 33, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%−1.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:19TTU 4th & 6 at KU 12, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    72.8%−11.9
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:13KU 4th & 4 at TTU 16, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%−0.3
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−1.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4KU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 11:51TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:40KU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:48TTU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:44KU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    29.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:31KU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    38.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:52TTU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    88.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    88.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:06KU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.0%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:33TTU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 3:0964% → 66%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
64.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
64.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
64.4%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 18 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
64.4%
Tyler Shough run for 14 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
64.4%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Xavier White for 4 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+18
64.4%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Myles Price for 18 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
64.4%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Myles Price for 3 yds to the Kans 6Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
65.7%
Donovan Smith 6 Yd Run (Trey Wolff Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 2:1135% → 36%
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
65.3%
Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
65.2%
Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 2 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q1 11:51
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
65.2%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the Kans 34Similar
Q1 9:40
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+66
64.2%
Jason Bean pass complete to Jared Casey for 66 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3FG
12 plays · 60 yds · 3:4764% → 65%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
64.2%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TexTc 26Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
64.1%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 6 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
64.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
64.2%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
64.2%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+9
63.9%
Tyler Shough run for 9 yds to the TexTc 44Similar
Q1 9:40
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+4
64.2%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+34
64.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 34 yds to the Kans 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
64.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the Kans 17Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
64.9%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+2
64.7%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Myles Price for 2 yds to the Kans 15Similar
Q1 5:53
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+33
64.9%
Trey Wolff 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4MISSED FG
8 plays · 57 yds · 2:3235% → 35%
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+60
64.9%
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 60 yds to the TexTc 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
63.6%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (Jr Earl Bostick) to the TexTc 26Similar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 15
OPP 26
+1
63.8%
Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 1 yd to the TexTc 25Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 14
OPP 25
+5
64.1%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the TexTc 20Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
63.6%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 9
OPP 20
-4
64.1%
Kevin Terry run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 24Similar
Q1 3:14
4TH & 13
OPP 24
+41
65.3%
Jacob Borcila 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q1 3:14
4TH & 13
OPP 24
+41
65.3%
Jacob Borcila 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 2:2665% → 70%
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
64.6%
Cam'Ron Valdez run for 7 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+5
65.1%
Cam'Ron Valdez run for 5 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
65.0%
Cam'Ron Valdez run for 2 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+18
65.0%
Cam'Ron Valdez run for 18 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
65.8%
Cam'Ron Valdez run for 3 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+5
65.8%
THOMPSON, SaRodorick rush up the middle for no gain to the KAN41 (GRANT, Marvin). PENALTY KAN Offsides on PHELPS, Lonnie enforced 5 yards from the KAN41 to the KAN36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+36
70.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 36 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6DOWNS
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:2131% → 31%
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
68.8%
QB Keeper BEAN, Jason rush to the right for a gain of 15 yards to the KAN40, out of bounds. PENALTY KAN Holding on CABELDUE, Bryce enforced 10 yards from the KAN25 to the KAN15 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+7
69.2%
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 7 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+33
69.3%
Devin Neal run for 33 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
67.9%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the TexTc 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+6
68.0%
Jason Bean run for 6 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 39
0
68.0%
KANSAS Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on SKINNER, Quentin ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 13:27
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
69.4%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:27
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
69.4%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7TD
13 plays · 61 yds · 0:5070% → 70%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
70.4%
Cam'Ron Valdez run for 2 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+2
70.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Mason Tharp for 2 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
71.1%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+16
71.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 16 yds to the Kans 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
71.2%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+4
71.2%
Cam'Ron Valdez run for 4 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+9
70.6%
Tyler Shough run for 9 yds to the Kans 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
71.2%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+7
71.2%
Tyler Shough run for 7 yds to the Kans 6Similar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+15
70.3%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Xavier White for 15 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+5
69.6%
Tyler Shough run for 5 yds to the Kans 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
70.1%
KANSAS Penalty, Offsides (Malcolm Lee) to the Kans 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 3:5224% → 31%
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+14
76.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 14 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
75.6%
Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 4
OWN 43
-3
75.2%
Jason Bean sacked by Jesiah Pierre for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 40Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+31
75.7%
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 31 yds to the TexTc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
73.9%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+11
73.9%
Devin Neal run for 11 yds to the TexTc 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+16
68.9%
Jason Bean 16 Yd Run (Jacob Borcila Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:2672% → 71%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-11
72.0%
SHOUGH, Tyler pass to the right complete for 11 yards to MARTINEZ, Nehemiah caught at the TTU18 and advanced to the TTU26 (LOGAN JR., Kenny). PENALTY TTU Pass Interference on EAKIN, Coy enforced half the distance from the goal, 7 yards to the TTU8 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 17
OWN 8
0
71.5%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 17
OWN 8
+2
71.3%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 2 yds to the TexTc 10Similar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 15
OWN 10
0
71.0%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:18
4TH & 15
OWN 10
0
70.7%
Austin McNamara punt for 63 yds, downed at the Kans 27Similar
Q2 4:18
4TH & 15
OWN 10
0
70.7%
Austin McNamara punt for 63 yds, downed at the Kans 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 1:4727% → 40%
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
72.6%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+63
72.0%
Devin Neal run for 63 yds to the TexTc 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
69.4%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the TexTc 3Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
59.9%
Luke Grimm 3 Yd pass from Jason Bean (Jacob Borcila Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11DOWNS
9 plays · 34 yds · 1:3565% → 66%
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
64.7%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Myles Price for 2 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+18
64.7%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Myles Price for 18 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
66.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 8 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+2
67.5%
Tyler Shough run for 2 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
67.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 4 yds Loic Fouonji fumbled, recovered by TexTcSimilar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
67.5%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:31
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+4
66.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q2 0:56
4TH & 2
OPP 37
-4
65.6%
Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 41Similar
Q2 0:56
4TH & 2
OPP 37
-4
65.6%
Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12INT
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:4338% → 34%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
62.1%
Jason Bean pass complete to Devin Neal for 7 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 1
50
+4
61.0%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+2
61.1%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
61.4%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (Dominick Puni) to the Kans 49Similar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 15
OWN 49
0
65.9%
Jason Bean pass interceptedSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 15
OWN 49
0
65.9%
Jason Bean pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13FG
3 plays · 35 yds · 0:1366% → 76%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+35
66.2%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 35 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
70.0%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+51
75.6%
Trey Wolff 51 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14MISSED FG
17 plays · 56 yds · 7:0531% → 31%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.3%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
69.4%
Devin Neal run for 15 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
67.7%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
68.3%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+15
68.3%
BEAN, Jason pass up the middle complete for 0 yards to GRIMM, Luke caught at the KAN43 and advanced to the KAN43 (ELDRIDGE, Kosi). PENALTY TTU Roughing the Passer on WILSON, Tyree enforced 15 yards from the KAN43 to the TTU42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
66.3%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+5
66.0%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+2
66.2%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the TexTc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
65.1%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (Luke Grimm) to the TexTc 36Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+1
67.6%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the TexTc 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 35
+12
66.9%
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 12 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+3
66.2%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the TexTc 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-8
64.8%
Jason Bean pass complete to Devin Neal for a loss of 8 yards to the TexTc 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 18
OPP 28
0
66.7%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 18
OPP 28
+9
68.5%
Jason Bean pass complete to Devin Neal for 9 yds to the TexTc 19Similar
Q3 7:55
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+37
69.3%
Jacob Borcila 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
Q3 7:55
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+37
69.3%
Jacob Borcila 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 2:4073% → 71%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
73.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 6 yds to the TexTc 26Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+13
73.3%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 13 yds to the TexTc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
74.5%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 8
OWN 41
-5
75.0%
Tyler Shough sacked by Malcolm Lee for a loss of 5 yards to the TexTc 36Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 13
OWN 36
-10
72.3%
THOMPSON, SaRodorick rush to the right for a gain of 14 yards to the KAN50 (GRANT, Marvin). PENALTY TTU Holding on JACKSON, Jacoby enforced 10 yards from the TTU36 to the TTU26 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 23
OWN 26
0
71.6%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:15
4TH & 23
OWN 26
0
71.1%
Austin McNamara punt for 50 yds, fair catch by O.J. Burroughs at the Kans 24Similar
Q3 5:15
4TH & 23
OWN 26
0
71.1%
Austin McNamara punt for 50 yds, fair catch by O.J. Burroughs at the Kans 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:4329% → 28%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
71.0%
Devin Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 23Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+5
71.3%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the Kans 28Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+4
70.2%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 2
OWN 32
0
70.3%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:32
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
71.9%
Reis Vernon punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Myles Price at the TexTc 21Similar
Q3 3:32
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
71.9%
Reis Vernon punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Myles Price at the TexTc 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 3:4074% → 90%
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
74.2%
SaRodorick Thompson run for no gain to the TexTc 21Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+8
74.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 8 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q3 3:32
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+6
73.8%
Tyler Shough run for 6 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
74.6%
KANSAS Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Lorenzo McCaskill) to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
77.3%
Tyler Shough run for 18 yds to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
77.7%
Tyler Shough pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 7 yds to the Kans 18Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+4
77.7%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 4 yds to the Kans 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
77.7%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+5
81.3%
BROOKS, Tahj rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the KAN12 (LOGAN JR., Kenny), clock 00:00. PENALTY KAN Offsides on PHELPS, Lonnie enforced 5 yards from the KAN14 to the KAN9 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+9
90.0%
Tyler Shough 9 Yd Run (Tyler Shough Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 3:0413% → 11%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
87.1%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
87.4%
Devin Neal run for 11 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
86.1%
Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 6 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 4
OWN 37
-2
85.3%
Devin Neal run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 35Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
86.5%
Jason Bean pass complete to Devin Neal for no gain to the Kans 35Similar
Q4 11:48
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
89.4%
Reis Vernon punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:0492% → 92%
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
92.1%
SHOUGH, Tyler pass up the middle complete for 22 yards to PRICE, Myles caught at the TTU30 and advanced to the TTU38 (YOUNG, Craig). PENALTY TTU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on MILLS, Monroe enforced 5 yards from the TTU16 to the TTU11 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 15
OWN 11
+18
92.0%
Cam'Ron Valdez run for 18 yds to the TexTc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
92.3%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Xavier White for 4 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
92.3%
Cam'Ron Valdez run for no gain to the TexTc 33Similar
Q4 11:48
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
92.2%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:44
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
91.9%
Austin McNamara punt for 27 yds, fair catch by O.J. Burroughs at the Kans 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 1:389% → 31%
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
90.6%
Devin Neal run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
50
+17
90.3%
Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 17 yds to the TexTc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+23
89.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 23 yds to the TexTc 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-10
89.2%
BEAN, Jason pass to the right incomplete intended for ARNOLD, Lawrence thrown to the TTU0. PENALTY KAN Holding on CABELDUE, Bryce enforced 10 yards from the TTU10 to the TTU20 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
0
89.7%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 20
0
89.6%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 20
+20
69.1%
Quentin Skinner 20 Yd pass from Jason Bean (Jacob Borcila Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21FG
9 plays · 63 yds · 3:4781% → 93%
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
81.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 9 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
82.7%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:06
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
81.5%
Tyler Shough run for 2 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
82.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TexTc 37Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+47
82.1%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Xavier White for 47 yds to the Kans 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
85.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the Kans 12Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 6
OPP 12
0
85.3%
Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the Kans 12Similar
Q4 8:06
3RD & 6
OPP 12
0
84.1%
Tyler Shough run for no gain to the Kans 12Similar
Q4 4:19
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+30
93.0%
Trey Wolff 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22FUMBLE
1 play · -9 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
90.0%
Jason Bean sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the Kans 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23TD
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:1195% → 98%
Q4 3:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
95.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the Kans 2Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
95.8%
Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 5Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.2%
Tahj Brooks 5 Yd Run (Trey Wolff Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24DOWNS
8 plays · 59 yds · 1:202% → 3%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
97.6%
Ky Thomas run for 40 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
96.8%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+9
96.8%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 9 yds to the TexTc 26Similar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
96.7%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Quentin Skinner for no gain to the TexTc 22Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-11
96.8%
Ethan Vasko sacked by Marquis Waters for a loss of 11 yards to the TexTc 33Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+13
96.8%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 13 yds to the TexTc 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 21
OPP 33
+17
97.2%
Ethan Vasko run for 17 yds to the TexTc 16Similar
Q4 2:13
4TH & 4
OPP 16
0
97.2%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 25END OF 4TH QUARTER
3 plays · 4 yds · 2:1398% → 99%
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
98.2%
Cam'Ron Valdez run for 2 yds to the TexTc 18Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+5
98.2%
Cam'Ron Valdez run for 5 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 23
0
98.7%
[NHSG] Kneel down by TTU at TTU20 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:06
Quentin Skinner 20 Yd pass from Jason Bean (Jacob Borcila Kick)
-20.5
TD · Q2 2:31
Luke Grimm 3 Yd pass from Jason Bean (Jacob Borcila Kick)
-9.4
FG · Q4 4:19
Trey Wolff 30 Yd Field Goal
+8.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com