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ISU

Iowa State 14 at Oklahoma State 20

OKST
2022 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2022 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:03 · Logan Ward punt for 32 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingBlowout margin
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 120Home team on offense−3.9Garbage-time factor−4.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Score differential−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7Blowout margin−1.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:31: Gunnar Gundy pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 83 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK) — OKST win probability +8.9 pts (now 57%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:39: Jirehl Brock run for 1 yd for a TD, (Drake Nettles KICK) — ISU win probability +12.6 pts (now 59%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:42: Spencer Sanders run for 1 yd to the IowSt 45 — OKST win probability +11.9 pts (now 46%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q4 9:18: Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 14 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK) — OKST win probability +31.0 pts (now 76%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 4:19: Tanner Brown 40 yd FG GOOD — OKST win probability +8.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 7 of 13ISU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:11OKST 4th & 4 at OKST 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:45ISU 4th & 9 at ISU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:55OKST 4th & 4 at OKST 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:14OKST 4th & 1 at ISU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    46.7%−0.6
    34% to make
    Punt
    46.8%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:50OKST 4th & 21 at OKST 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−1.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:10OKST 4th & 2 at ISU 20, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.7%−0.4
    75% to make
    Punt
    47.2%−2.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:08ISU 4th & 13 at ISU 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%−1.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:23OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−1.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:23ISU 4th & 6 at ISU 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:36ISU 4th & 3 at OKST 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%−0.8
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    41.2%−5.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:31OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−2.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:49OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%−2.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:49OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%−2.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:46ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 29, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.3 ptsPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.2%−4.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:03OKST 4th & 3 at ISU 39, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.3 ptsPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    38.4%−3.5
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%−3.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:42ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 26, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.1 ptsPunted · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%−4.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:18ISU 4th & 20 at ISU 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%−5.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:46OKST 4th & 6 at ISU 45, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    65.7%−5.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.2%−1.7
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:06ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    26.3%−3.9
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:19OKST 4th & 9 at ISU 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%−2.6
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    58.5%−17.6
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:37ISU 4th & 23 at ISU 27, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−0.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:09OKST 4th & 7 at OKST 39, up 6
    Close callPunted · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%−0.1
    average punt
  23. Q4 0:19ISU 4th & 10 at OKST 23, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.6%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    9.0%−4.6
    70% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−6.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ISU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 7:20ISU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:31OKST Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:39ISU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:18OKST Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.9%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:4450% → 50%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
49.6%
Dominic Richardson run for 11 yds to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
49.6%
Dominic Richardson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 31Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+5
49.6%
Dominic Richardson run for 5 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
49.6%
Gunnar Gundy pass incomplete to Rashod OwensSimilar
Q1 13:11
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
49.9%
Logan Ward punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2650% → 50%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
49.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+4
49.9%
Cartevious Norton run for 4 yds to the IowSt 14Similar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 14
OWN 14
+5
50.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 5 yds to the IowSt 19Similar
Q1 11:45
4TH & 9
OWN 19
0
50.5%
Tyler Perkins punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5050% → 50%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
50.3%
Dominic Richardson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
50.3%
Gunnar Gundy run for no gain to the OKSt 34Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+4
50.1%
Gunnar Gundy pass complete to Braden Cassity for 4 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q1 9:55
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
50.4%
Logan Ward punt for 38 yds , Jaylin Noel returns for no gain to the IowSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4FUMBLE
5 plays · 37 yds · 1:3750% → 50%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+20
50.5%
Cartevious Norton run for 20 yds to the IowSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
50.0%
Cartevious Norton run for 1 yd to the IowSt 45Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+8
50.1%
Cartevious Norton run for 8 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+10
49.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Dekkers,Hunter pass incomplete short left to Rus,Jared PENALTY OSU Holding (Benson,Xavier) 10 yards from OSU47 to OSU37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
49.9%
Deon Silas run for 2 yds to the OKSt 39 Deon Silas fumbled, recovered by OKSt Kody WalterscheidSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5DOWNS
5 plays · 19 yds · 2:0451% → 51%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
51.0%
Dominic Richardson run for 12 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
51.5%
Dominic Richardson run for 3 yds to the IowSt 46Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+6
51.5%
Dominic Richardson run for 6 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
51.4%
Gunnar Gundy run for no gain to the IowSt 40Similar
Q1 6:14
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+2
51.4%
Zach Middleton run for 2 yds to the IowSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6INT
10 plays · 33 yds · 4:0050% → 50%
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
50.3%
Hunter Dekkers run for 1 yd to the IowSt 43Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+4
50.3%
Hunter Dekkers run for 4 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 5
OWN 47
-5
50.2%
PENALTY ISU False Start (Hufford,Jarrod) 5 yards from ISU47 to ISU42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+12
50.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 12 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
50.0%
Cartevious Norton run for 1 yd to the OKSt 45Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+12
50.0%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 12 yds to the OKSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
49.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Dimitri StanleySimilar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+8
50.0%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Easton Dean for 8 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q1 2:14
3RD & 2
OPP 25
0
49.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:2453% → 52%
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
52.6%
Gunnar Gundy pass complete to Jaden Bray for 13 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
53.3%
Gunnar Gundy pass incomplete to Jaden NixonSimilar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+13
52.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Gundy,Gunnar pass incomplete short right to Presley,Brennan PENALTY ISU Pass Interference (Johnson,Anthony) 13 yards from OSU40 to ISU47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
53.8%
Jaden Nixon run for 1 yd to the IowSt 46Similar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+1
53.8%
Ollie Gordon run for 1 yd to the IowSt 47Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 47
-11
53.5%
Gunnar Gundy sacked by MJ Anderson for a loss of 11 yards to the OKSt 42Similar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 21
OWN 42
0
52.2%
Logan Ward punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:4348% → 48%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
51.7%
Cartevious Norton run for no gain to the IowSt 20Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
51.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9FG
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5755% → 56%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
55.4%
Gunnar Gundy run for no gain to the IowSt 28Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
55.3%
Deondre Jackson run for 4 yds to the IowSt 24Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+4
54.8%
Gunnar Gundy run for 4 yds to the IowSt 20Similar
Q2 12:10
4TH & 2
OPP 20
+37
55.6%
Tanner Brown 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 2:0245% → 44%
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
54.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 13 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
53.5%
Cartevious Norton run for no gain to the IowSt 43Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-10
53.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Dekkers,Hunter pass incomplete short right to Brock,Jirehl PENALTY ISU Holding (Miller,Tyler) 10 yards from ISU43 to ISU33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 20
OWN 33
+7
55.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 7 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q2 12:10
3RD & 13
OWN 40
0
55.0%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Dimitri StanleySimilar
Q2 10:08
4TH & 13
OWN 40
0
56.4%
Tyler Perkins punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:4555% → 55%
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
55.3%
Gunnar Gundy pass incomplete to Jaden BraySimilar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+12
55.0%
Dominic Richardson run for 12 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
55.6%
Dominic Richardson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+2
55.7%
Gunnar Gundy run for 2 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q2 10:08
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
54.9%
Gunnar Gundy pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q2 8:23
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
54.7%
Logan Ward punt blocked by Darien Porter blocked by Darien Porter , Darien Porter returns for no gain to the OKSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12TD
3 plays · 9 yds · 1:0348% → 55%
Q2 8:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
52.4%
Cartevious Norton run for 1 yd to the OKSt 8Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
52.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 4 yds to the OKSt 4Similar
Q2 7:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
45.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 4 yds for a TD, (Jace Gilbert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13TD
3 plays · 81 yds · 0:4448% → 57%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
48.2%
Dominic Richardson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 17Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 12
OWN 17
+83
57.0%
Gunnar Gundy pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 83 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:0343% → 41%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
56.7%
Cartevious Norton run for 3 yds to the IowSt 19Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+2
56.7%
Cartevious Norton run for 2 yds to the IowSt 21Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+5
57.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 5 yds to the IowSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
56.6%
Jirehl Brock run for 1 yd to the IowSt 25Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+5
56.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 5 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
57.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Dimitri StanleySimilar
Q2 3:23
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
59.5%
Tyler Perkins punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:4358% → 58%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
58.2%
Ollie Gordon run for 3 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
58.4%
Gunnar Gundy pass interceptedSimilar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 7
OWN 24
-15
58.4%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Rashod Owens) to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16MISSED FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0446% → 44%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
54.0%
Cartevious Norton run for 1 yd to the OKSt 31Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+3
53.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Cartevious Norton for 3 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+5
55.2%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 5 yds to the OKSt 23Similar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+41
56.3%
Jace Gilbert 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
59.0%
G. Gundy takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2142% → 59%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+37
57.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 37 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
54.6%
Hunter Dekkers run for 2 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+23
54.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Easton Dean for 23 yds to the OKSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
53.2%
Jirehl Brock run for 11 yds to the OKSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
53.2%
Jirehl Brock run for 1 yd to the OKSt 1Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
40.6%
Jirehl Brock run for 1 yd for a TD, (Drake Nettles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:0846% → 43%
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
45.7%
Dominic Richardson run for 12 yds to the OKSt 13 Dominic Richardson fumbled, recovered by OKSt Jake SpringfieldSimilar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+5
45.3%
Gunnar Gundy run for 5 yds to the OKSt 18Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+7
44.1%
Gunnar Gundy pass complete to Brennan Presley for 7 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q3 10:31
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
43.1%
Logan Ward punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20FUMBLE
8 plays · 53 yds · 4:2856% → 63%
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
44.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 10 yds to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
43.5%
Cartevious Norton run for 1 yd to the IowSt 33Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+27
44.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 27 yds to the OKLAST 40 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
41.4%
Hunter Dekkers run for 1 yd to the OKSt 39Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
41.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for no gain to the OKSt 39Similar
Q3 10:31
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+12
41.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 12 yds to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
39.9%
Cartevious Norton run for 3 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+1
37.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 1 yd Sean Shaw Jr. fumbled, recovered by OKSt Nathan LatuSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1444% → 40%
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
43.7%
Gunnar Gundy pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 4 yds to the OKSt 19Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 14
OWN 19
+6
43.1%
Ollie Gordon run for 6 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 8
OWN 25
0
41.9%
Gunnar Gundy pass incomplete to John Paul RichardsonSimilar
Q3 4:49
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
40.0%
Logan Ward punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 25Similar
Q3 4:49
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
40.0%
Logan Ward punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0359% → 60%
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
41.3%
Hunter Dekkers run for 2 yds to the IowSt 22Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+4
41.5%
Cartevious Norton run for 4 yds to the IowSt 26Similar
Q3 4:49
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+3
42.0%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 3 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q3 2:46
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
40.0%
Tyler Perkins punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23INT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:5342% → 38%
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
41.6%
Deondre Jackson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+3
43.3%
Jaden Nixon run for 3 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q3 2:46
3RD & 9
OWN 33
-10
39.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Gundy,Gunnar rush left for 12 yards gain to the OSU45, End Of Play PENALTY OSU Holding (Etienne,Caleb) 10 yards from OSU33 to OSU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:53
3RD & 19
OWN 23
0
38.4%
Gunnar Gundy pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 24INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
33.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3946% → 42%
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
45.5%
Spencer Sanders run for 1 yd to the IowSt 45Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+8
45.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Langston Anderson for 8 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+2
44.9%
Dominic Richardson run for 2 yds to the IowSt 39Similar
Q4 14:03
4TH & 3
OPP 39
0
42.2%
Logan Ward punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 2:2163% → 63%
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+10
36.6%
Cartevious Norton run for 10 yds to the IowSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
35.9%
Deon Silas run for 8 yds to the IowSt 25Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+1
34.7%
Deon Silas run for 1 yd to the IowSt 26Similar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 1
OWN 26
0
35.8%
Cartevious Norton run for no gain to the IowSt 26Similar
Q4 11:42
4TH & 1
OWN 26
0
36.9%
Tyler Perkins punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 27TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 2:2441% → 76%
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
40.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 4 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+7
43.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Bryson Green for 7 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
44.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 10 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+16
45.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 16 yds to the IowSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
47.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Bryson Green for 6 yds to the IowSt 20Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 4
OPP 20
0
47.2%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Bryson GreenSimilar
Q4 11:42
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+6
44.7%
Spencer Sanders run for 6 yds to the IowSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
75.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 14 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:5334% → 30%
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
66.2%
Hunter Dekkers sacked by Collin Oliver for a loss of 10 yards to the IowSt 15Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
66.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Cartevious NortonSimilar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 20
OWN 15
0
68.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q4 8:18
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
69.9%
Tyler Perkins punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the IowSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3275% → 71%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-15
74.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Sanders,Spencer pass complete short left to Green,Bryson for 8 yards to the ISU41 (Tampa,T.J.) PENALTY OSU Chop Block (Etienne,Caleb) 15 yards from ISU49 to OSU36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 25
OWN 36
+8
71.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaden Bray for 8 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 17
OWN 44
+11
71.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 11 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
74.1%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Bryson GreenSimilar
Q4 6:46
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
71.4%
Logan Ward punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 30DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4033% → 29%
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
67.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 5 yds to the IowSt 21Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+1
67.0%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 1 yd to the IowSt 20Similar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+5
69.0%
Hunter Dekkers run for 5 yds to the IowSt 25Similar
Q4 5:06
4TH & 1
OWN 25
+1
70.6%
Hunter Dekkers run for 1 yd to the IowSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 31FG
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4778% → 89%
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
78.4%
Dominic Richardson run for 1 yd to the IowSt 23Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 9
OPP 23
0
78.4%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Langston AndersonSimilar
Q4 4:29
3RD & 9
OPP 23
0
79.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q4 4:19
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+40
88.6%
Tanner Brown 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 32PUNT
10 plays · 5 yds · 1:3722% → 18%
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
78.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Jaylin NoelSimilar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+2
79.0%
Cartevious Norton run for 2 yds to the IowSt 24Similar
Q4 4:14
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+16
79.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 16 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
74.4%
Hunter Dekkers sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 37Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 13
OWN 37
0
78.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Darren Wilson Jr.Similar
Q4 4:14
3RD & 13
OWN 37
0
79.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q4 4:14
4TH & 13
OWN 37
-5
80.6%
PENALTY ISU False Start (Miller,Tyler) 5 yards from ISU37 to ISU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:14
4TH & 18
OWN 32
-5
80.9%
PENALTY ISU Delay Of Game (Michaud,Tristan) 5 yards from ISU32 to ISU27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:37
4TH & 23
OWN 27
0
82.5%
Tyler Perkins punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 33PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:2893% → 94%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
92.8%
Dominic Richardson run for no gain to the OKSt 36Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
93.2%
Spencer Sanders run for 1 yd to the OKSt 35Similar
Q4 2:26
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+4
93.5%
Jaden Nixon run for 4 yds to the OKSt 39Similar
Q4 2:09
4TH & 7
OWN 39
+16
93.9%
Logan Ward punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 28 , Jaylin Noel returns for 16 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 34DOWNS
14 plays · 38 yds · 1:509% → 12%
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-7
90.9%
Hunter Dekkers sacked by Nathan Latu for a loss of 7 yards to the IowSt 21Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 17
OWN 21
+16
92.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 16 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q4 2:09
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+6
90.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Cartevious Norton for 6 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
89.9%
PENALTY ISU False Start (Miller,Tyler) 5 yards from ISU43 to ISU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:09
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+18
91.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 18 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
88.7%
Hunter Dekkers run for 8 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+2
87.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 2 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
86.2%
PENALTY ISU False Start (Miller,Tyler) 5 yards from OSU34 to OSU39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:09
1ST & 15
OPP 39
+16
89.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 16 yds to the OKSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
85.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
86.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q4 2:09
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
88.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q4 0:19
4TH & 10
OPP 23
-11
88.3%
Hunter Dekkers sacked by Collin Oliver for a loss of 11 yards to the OKSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 35END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
96.3%
S. Sanders takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:18
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 14 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)
+31
TD · Q3 12:39
Jirehl Brock run for 1 yd for a TD, (Drake Nettles KICK)
-12.6
KEY PLAY · Q3 0:42
Spencer Sanders run for 1 yd to the IowSt 45
+11.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com