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TEX

Texas 34 at Kansas State 27

KSU
2022 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2022 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadTEX aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreTEX score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:43 · Daniel Trejo punt for 55 yds, downed at the KanSt 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 173Home team on offense−26.7Pregame prior−0.6Score differential−4.3Garbage-time factor−13.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−7.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:24: Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 13 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK) — TEX win probability +6.6 pts (now 69%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:13: Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 3 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK) — TEX win probability +8.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:37: Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK) — KSU win probability +9.2 pts (now 23%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:54: Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 25 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK) — KSU win probability +19.5 pts (now 37%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 4:26: Ty Zentner 28 yd FG GOOD — KSU win probability +9.8 pts (now 23%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7TEX made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q2 13:40KSU 4th & 3 at TEX 4, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.4%−0.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    36.1%−6.0
    average punt
  2. Q2 8:16KSU 4th & 10 at KSU 15, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:06TEX 4th & 1 at KSU 47, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    64.2%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:37KSU 4th & 2 at TEX 16, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    32.3%−0.7
    81% to make
    Punt
    27.9%−5.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:35TEX 4th & 10 at KSU 10, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%−0.8
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    63.9%−4.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:40KSU 4th & 1 at KSU 35, down 21
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:37TEX 4th & 15 at KSU 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−2.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    83.5%−1.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:33KSU 4th & 13 at KSU 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−1.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:57TEX 4th & 4 at TEX 33, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−0.6
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:29TEX 4th & 7 at KSU 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    66.5%−9.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:26KSU 4th & 10 at TEX 10, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.8%−0.2
    88% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−5.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:43TEX 4th & 9 at TEX 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−1.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:33KSU 4th & 6 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.8%−2.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TEX made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:30TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:41KSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:20TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:24TEX Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:13TEX Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:37KSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:54KSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:2464% → 64%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.4%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Ja'Tavion SandersSimilar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
36.5%
Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the Texas 26Similar
Q1 14:09
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+9
36.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 9 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
36.9%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Jordan Whittington for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Julius Brents) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
50
+9
36.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Keilan Robinson for 9 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+5
36.9%
Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
37.0%
Quinn Ewers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+36
36.3%
Bijan Robinson run for 36 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:1937% → 40%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
36.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Sammy Wheeler for 8 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+3
36.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
36.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+10
37.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for 10 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
37.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for 8 yds to the Texas 33Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+5
37.4%
Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds to the Texas 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
39.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 28 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 3TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1861% → 65%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
38.6%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Jordan WhittingtonSimilar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
38.7%
Ewers, Quinn pass incomplete to Worthy, Xavier, PENALTY KANSASST offside 5 yards to the TEXAS30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+21
38.6%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 21 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
38.2%
Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 47Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+6
38.2%
Bijan Robinson run for 6 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+3
38.4%
Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+18
38.7%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 18 yds to the KanSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
38.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Keilan Robinson for 11 yds to the KanSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
35.1%
Roschon Johnson run for 9 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4FG
17 plays · 84 yds · 6:2536% → 40%
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
36.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 9 yds to the KanSt 21Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 1
OWN 21
-1
36.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 20Similar
Q1 3:39
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+9
36.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 9 yds to the KanSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
36.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 8 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 2
OWN 37
-2
37.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 35Similar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+14
36.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 14 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
37.2%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q1 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+9
37.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 9 yds to the Texas 42Similar
Q1 1:08
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+5
37.5%
DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
37.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 15 yds to the Texas 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
38.2%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q1 0:17
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+11
38.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for 11 yds to the Texas 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
38.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the Texas 7Similar
Q2 14:24
2ND & 6
OPP 7
0
38.3%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+3
37.6%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the Texas 4Similar
Q2 13:40
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+22
40.2%
Ty Zentner 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 5TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:0861% → 69%
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
39.5%
Bijan Robinson run for 6 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+18
38.9%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 18 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+18
38.0%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 18 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
37.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Savion Red for 9 yds to the KanSt 24Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+7
37.3%
Bijan Robinson run for 7 yds to the KanSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
37.3%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+4
37.3%
Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the KanSt 13Similar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+13
30.7%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 13 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:5132% → 30%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
32.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 18Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 7
OWN 18
-10
31.6%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Barryn Sorrell for a loss of 10 yards to the KanSt 8Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 17
OWN 8
+7
30.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 7 yds to the KanSt 15Similar
Q2 8:16
4TH & 10
OWN 15
0
29.6%
Ty Zentner punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Xavier Worthy at the Texas 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 7FUMBLE
4 plays · 46 yds · 1:0469% → 70%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
30.6%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
30.6%
Bijan Robinson run for 9 yds to the KanSt 47Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 1
OPP 47
0
29.8%
Quinn Ewers run for no gain to the KanSt 47Similar
Q2 7:06
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+37
30.4%
Roschon Johnson run for 37 yds to the KanSt 10 Roschon Johnson fumbled, forced by Ekow Boye-Doe, recovered by KanSt Jacob ParrishSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8DOWNS
8 plays · 74 yds · 3:2330% → 29%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
29.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Kade WarnerSimilar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+4
29.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the KanSt 14Similar
Q2 5:51
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+62
28.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Malik Knowles for 62 yds to the Texas 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
32.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Texas 23Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+1
32.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Texas 22Similar
Q2 4:08
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+6
30.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Malik Knowles for 6 yds to the Texas 16Similar
Q2 3:37
4TH & 2
OPP 16
0
29.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 9FG
8 plays · 74 yds · 1:5371% → 78%
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
28.7%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jahleel Billingsley for 5 yds to the Texas 21Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+2
28.5%
Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Texas 23Similar
Q2 2:22
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+68
28.4%
Bijan Robinson run for 68 yds to the KanSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
25.7%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Jahleel BillingsleySimilar
Q2 1:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
25.6%
Keilan Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 10Similar
Q2 1:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
26.1%
Quinn Ewers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
21.9%
Bert Auburn 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10INT
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:1523% → 23%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
23.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 13 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-18
23.1%
Adrian Martinez pass intercepted Jaylan Ford return for 18 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11TD
9 plays · 27 yds · 0:3680% → 92%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
20.0%
Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the KanSt 24Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+11
20.0%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Savion Red for 11 yds to the KanSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
19.9%
Bijan Robinson run for 9 yds to the KanSt 4Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+1
18.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 1 yd to the KanSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
18.7%
Bijan Robinson run for no gain to the KanSt 3Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
16.5%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Jordan WhittingtonSimilar
Q2 0:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
8.5%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 3 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
15.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:0915% → 14%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
14.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 11 yds to the KanSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
14.5%
TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the KanSt 31Similar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 5
OWN 31
0
14.9%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Ben SinnottSimilar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+1
14.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 32Similar
Q3 13:07
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+3
14.2%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q3 12:40
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
13.9%
Ty Zentner punt for 61 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14FUMBLE
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:0190% → 93%
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+10
9.7%
Bijan Robinson run for 10 yds to the Texas 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
9.2%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (Cole Hutson) to the Texas 9Similar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 15
OWN 9
+5
8.8%
Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Texas 14Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+9
8.5%
Bijan Robinson run for 9 yds to the Texas 23Similar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 1
OWN 23
-5
7.4%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (Ja'Tavion Sanders) to the Texas 18Similar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 6
OWN 18
+6
7.3%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 6 yds Xavier Worthy fumbled, forced by Josh Hayes, recovered by KanSt Eli HugginsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:4814% → 23%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-15
14.4%
Vaughn, Deuce rush for 21 yards to the TEXAS3, PENALTY KANSASST holding 10 yards to the TEXAS34, NO PLAY, PENALTY KANSASST unsportsmanlike conduct 15 yards to the TEXAS49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 35
OPP 49
+21
12.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 21 yds to the Texas 28Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 14
OPP 28
+14
13.2%
TEXAS Penalty, Personal Foul (Jerrin Thompson) to the Texas 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
13.5%
DJ Giddens run for 9 yds to the Texas 5Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+4
14.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the Texas 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
23.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16PUNT
12 plays · 29 yds · 3:4385% → 87%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
15.5%
Bijan Robinson run for 6 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
15.3%
Bijan Robinson run for no gain to the Texas 31Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
15.3%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 4 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
15.0%
Roschon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-1
13.5%
Roschon Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 39Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+20
13.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 20 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
12.8%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (Savion Red) to the KanSt 46Similar
Q3 5:27
1ST & 15
OPP 46
0
12.7%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 15
OPP 46
0
12.4%
Bijan Robinson run for no gain to the KanSt 46Similar
Q3 4:43
3RD & 15
OPP 46
0
12.5%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Bijan RobinsonSimilar
Q3 4:37
4TH & 15
OPP 46
0
13.4%
Daniel Trejo punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:5116% → 15%
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
16.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 7 yds to the KanSt 24Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 3
OWN 24
0
16.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the KanSt 24Similar
Q3 3:28
3RD & 3
OWN 24
-5
16.1%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (KT Leveston) to the KanSt 19Similar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 8
OWN 19
-5
15.4%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (KT Leveston) to the KanSt 14Similar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 13
OWN 14
0
15.1%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:33
4TH & 13
OWN 14
0
14.7%
Ty Zentner punt for 59 yds, downed at the Texas 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3089% → 89%
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
11.5%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-5
11.5%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (Jahleel Billingsley) to the Texas 22Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 15
OWN 22
+13
11.6%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 13 yds to the Texas 35Similar
Q3 1:09
3RD & 2
OWN 35
-2
10.8%
Bijan Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 33Similar
Q3 0:57
4TH & 4
OWN 33
+7
10.8%
Daniel Trejo punt for 45 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for 7 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 71 yds · 0:5014% → 37%
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+20
14.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 20 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+25
15.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Malik Knowles for 25 yds Malik Knowles fumbled, forced by Jaylan Ford, recovered by KanSt Ben Sinnott for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
17.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Texas 25Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+25
36.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 25 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20FG
12 plays · 64 yds · 4:1774% → 83%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
26.4%
Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the Texas 26Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
24.7%
Bijan Robinson run for 7 yds to the Texas 33Similar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
23.9%
Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
23.0%
Roschon Johnson run for 5 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Daniel Green) to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+16
21.0%
Roschon Johnson run for 6 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Eli Huggins) to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
20.2%
Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+8
20.2%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 8 yds to the KanSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
20.2%
Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 12Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+1
20.1%
Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd to the KanSt 11Similar
Q4 10:40
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
20.1%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Bijan RobinsonSimilar
Q4 10:29
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+29
16.6%
Bert Auburn 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21FG
16 plays · 65 yds · 5:4215% → 23%
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
15.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 12 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
16.2%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
15.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 38Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+16
15.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 16 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
17.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Deuce VaughnSimilar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+11
16.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 11 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
19.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 3 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+14
18.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 14 yds to the Texas 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
18.5%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 23Similar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+2
16.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Texas 21Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 13
OPP 21
+10
16.2%
Vaughn, Deuce rush for no gain to the TEXAS21, PENALTY TEXAS face mask (Sorrell, Barryn) 10 yards to the TEXAS11, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KANSASST.Similar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
16.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Texas 8Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 7
OPP 8
-2
15.8%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 10Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
13.3%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
23.0%
Ty Zentner 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:3286% → 88%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
14.2%
Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
13.5%
Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
11.7%
Bijan Robinson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 26Similar
Q4 2:43
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
12.3%
Daniel Trejo punt for 55 yds, downed at the KanSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23FUMBLE
9 plays · 38 yds · 2:0618% → 17%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
18.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 3 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+9
15.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 9 yds to the KanSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
16.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 2 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+13
15.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 13 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
17.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Deuce VaughnSimilar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-2
16.3%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Moro Ojomo for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 44 Adrian Martinez fumbled, forced by Moro Ojomo, recovered by KanStSimilar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 12
OWN 44
+6
13.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:33
4TH & 6
50
+7
12.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 7 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
16.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the Texas 39 Adrian Martinez fumbled, forced by Keondre Coburn, recovered by Texas Jaylan FordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
4.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:54
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 25 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK)
+19.5
FG · Q4 4:26
Ty Zentner 28 yd FG GOOD
+9.8
TD · Q3 8:37
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK)
+9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com