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OKST

Oklahoma State 16 at Kansas 37

KU
2022 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2022 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of GameFG—KU 98.2%Jacob Borcila 20 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 34 · Q4 12:52
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:52 · Jacob Borcila 20 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 138Home team on offense+29.8Score differential+21.4Garbage-time factor+11.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+4.4Pregame prior+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:59: Garret Rangel pass complete to Stephon Johnson Jr. for 8 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK) — OKST win probability +7.0 pts (now 48%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:10: Jason Bean run for 73 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK) — KU win probability +5.9 pts (now 62%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:22: Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 8 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK) — KU win probability +8.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:08: Jason Bean pass complete to Jared Casey for 2 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK) — KU win probability +4.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:21: Garret Rangel pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 35 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed) — OKST win probability +2.8 pts (now 4%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 2 of 8OKST made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 8:48KU 4th & 8 at OKST 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    61.8%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:18OKST 4th & 6 at KU 41, down 7
    Close callPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    37.4%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:09KU 4th & 4 at OKST 4, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.6%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    61.4%−3.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:58OKST 4th & 3 at OKST 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:31KU 4th & 4 at KU 28, up 10
    Close callPunted · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.4%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:26OKST 4th & 1 at KU 14, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    27.5%−1.9
    84% to make
    Punt
    22.3%−7.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:01KU 4th & 1 at KU 46, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    86.7%−2.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:52KU 4th & 3 at OKST 22, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    89.5%−0.5
    72% to make
    Punt
    83.3%−6.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:27OKST 4th & 9 at KU 18, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−2.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:52KU 4th & 3 at OKST 3, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.1%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−1.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:00KU 4th & 3 at OKST 14, up 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.0%−0.2
    84% to make
    Punt
    96.5%−1.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:40KU 4th & 12 at OKST 38, up 21
    Close callPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4OKST made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 11:21KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:59OKST Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:10KU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:22KU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:08KU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:21OKST Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1INT
9 plays · 40 yds · 1:5848% → 48%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
52.0%
Dominic Richardson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q1 14:38
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
52.0%
Garret Rangel pass incomplete to Lyrik RawlsSimilar
Q1 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
52.0%
Garret Rangel run for 5 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+4
52.0%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Brennan Presley for 4 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q1 13:52
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+7
52.0%
Dominic Richardson run for 7 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
52.0%
Dominic Richardson run for 5 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
52.0%
Garret Rangel pass incomplete to Stephon Johnson Jr.Similar
Q1 12:53
3RD & 5
OPP 35
0
52.1%
Garret Rangel pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 1:2052% → 54%
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+24
52.4%
Devin Neal run for 24 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
52.8%
Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 8 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+15
53.0%
(11:35) Shotgun Bean,Jason pass incomplete short middle to Arnold,Lawrence broken up by Black,Korie PENALTY OSU Roughing The Passer (Lacy,Tyler) 15 yards from OSU46 to OSU31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
53.1%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Torry LocklinSimilar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+31
54.3%
Devin Neal run for 31 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3INT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:0046% → 46%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
53.9%
Dominic Richardson run for 3 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+13
54.0%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Langston Anderson for 13 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
53.9%
Garret Rangel run for 3 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
54.0%
Garret Rangel pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:0955% → 55%
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
55.1%
Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 13 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
55.5%
Devin Neal run for 7 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 3
OPP 35
0
55.8%
Ky Thomas run for no gain to the OKSt 35Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+30
55.6%
Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 30 yds to the OKSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
55.0%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Devin NealSimilar
Q1 8:48
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
54.7%
Reis Vernon punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 43 yds · 2:1845% → 44%
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
55.1%
Dominic Richardson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 20Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+10
55.4%
Dominic Richardson run for 10 yds to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
55.2%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Bryson Green for 15 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
55.0%
Dominic Richardson run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 5
50
+5
54.8%
Dominic Richardson run for 5 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
54.9%
Dominic Richardson run for 4 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
55.0%
Ollie Gordon run for no gain to the Kans 41Similar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 6
OPP 41
0
55.3%
Garret Rangel pass incomplete to Langston AndersonSimilar
Q1 6:18
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
56.0%
Logan Ward punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6FG
17 plays · 76 yds · 5:5756% → 60%
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
56.3%
Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 18 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
57.1%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+2
57.5%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+10
57.5%
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 10 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
58.3%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Mason FairchildSimilar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
58.3%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q1 3:38
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+16
58.2%
Jason Bean pass complete to Devin Neal for 16 yds to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
59.1%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+9
59.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 9 yds to the OKSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
59.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 5 yds to the OKSt 12Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+4
59.6%
Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 4 yds to the OKSt 8Similar
Q1 1:32
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+7
59.3%
Devin Neal run for 7 yds to the OKSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
60.1%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the OKSt 1Similar
Q1 0:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
60.3%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the OKSt 1Similar
Q1 0:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+3
60.0%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the OKSt 4Similar
Q1 0:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
59.6%
Jacob Borcila 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 5:0140% → 48%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
59.7%
Dominic Richardson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 26Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+9
59.9%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Brennan Presley for 9 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
59.5%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Bryson Green for 7 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+4
59.0%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Brennan Presley for 4 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
59.5%
Dominic Richardson run for no gain to the OKSt 46Similar
Q2 13:16
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-1
60.1%
G. Rangel takes a kneeSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
59.5%
Garret Rangel run for 2 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+1
59.5%
Garret Rangel run for 1 yd to the Kans 40Similar
Q2 11:53
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+9
59.5%
Brennan Presley run for 9 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
58.7%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Bryson Green for 1 yd to the Kans 32Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+14
59.3%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Bryson Green for 14 yds to the Kans 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
59.0%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Stephon Johnson Jr. for 8 yds to the Kans 10Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+2
59.2%
Jaden Nixon run for 2 yds to the Kans 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
59.2%
Garret Rangel pass incomplete to Bryson GreenSimilar
Q2 9:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
52.2%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Stephon Johnson Jr. for 8 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4057% → 62%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
56.5%
Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+73
62.3%
Jason Bean run for 73 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0837% → 35%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.4%
Garret Rangel pass incomplete to Stephon Johnson Jr.Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
63.7%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Bryson Green for 8 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q2 8:27
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
63.3%
Dominic Richardson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 32Similar
Q2 7:58
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
64.8%
Logan Ward punt for 46 yds, fair catch by O.J. Burroughs at the Kans 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2164% → 63%
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
63.7%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+4
63.6%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+2
63.2%
Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 2 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q2 6:31
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
62.7%
Reis Vernon punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11FUMBLE
7 plays · 47 yds · 2:5336% → 35%
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+20
63.8%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Bryson Green for 20 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
62.9%
Dominic Richardson run for 8 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+9
61.8%
Garret Rangel pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 9 yds to the Kans 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
62.0%
Dominic Richardson run for 4 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 14
OPP 27
+2
63.6%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Dominic Richardson for 2 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 3:57
3RD & 12
OPP 25
+11
65.1%
Garret Rangel pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 11 yds to the Kans 14Similar
Q2 3:26
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+1
65.2%
run for 1 yd to the Kans 13 fumbled, recovered by OKSt Lorenzo MccaskillSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 87 yds · 2:5867% → 82%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+19
66.9%
Devin Neal run for 19 yds to the Kans 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
67.8%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+37
68.0%
Devin Neal run for 37 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
71.2%
Jason Bean run for 11 yds to the OKSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
72.0%
Devin Neal run for 8 yds to the OKSt 10 Devin Neal fumbled, recovered by OKSt Luke GrimmSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+7
73.8%
Jason Bean run for 7 yds to the OKSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
82.0%
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 8 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:1421% → 21%
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
79.3%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Bryson Green for 13 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
78.3%
Garret Rangel pass incomplete to Dominic RichardsonSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-1
79.0%
Kneel down by Oklahoma St. at OSU37 for loss of 1 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 7:4282% → 95%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.2%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the Kans 25Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
82.6%
Jason Bean pass complete to Devin Neal for 2 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q3 13:37
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
81.8%
Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 10 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
83.5%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+6
84.4%
Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q3 11:42
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+5
85.3%
Jason Bean pass complete to Devin Neal for 5 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q3 11:01
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+4
87.0%
Jason Bean pass complete to Jared Casey for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
50
+21
88.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Devin Neal for 21 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
88.7%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+4
89.6%
Ky Thomas run for 4 yds to the OKSt 22Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 3
OPP 22
0
89.6%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+13
88.9%
Jason Bean pass complete to Devin Neal for 13 yds to the OKSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
90.5%
Devin Neal run for 7 yds to the OKSt 2Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
90.8%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the OKSt 2Similar
Q3 7:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
94.8%
Jason Bean pass complete to Jared Casey for 2 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15FG
12 plays · 54 yds · 3:335% → 4%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
94.6%
Deondre Jackson run for 3 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+9
94.9%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Brennan Presley for 9 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
95.0%
Deondre Jackson run for 8 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+1
94.9%
Garret Rangel run for 1 yd to the OKSt 49Similar
Q3 5:37
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+3
95.3%
Garret Rangel run for 3 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
95.7%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Bryson Green for 7 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+22
95.7%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Langston Anderson for 22 yds to the Kans 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
95.4%
Garret Rangel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+5
95.6%
Deondre Jackson run for 5 yds to the Kans 14Similar
Q3 4:09
3RD & 5
OPP 14
-4
96.0%
Garret Rangel sacked by Rich Miller for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 18Similar
Q3 3:27
4TH & 9
OPP 18
+35
95.8%
Tanner Brown 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16FG
11 plays · 72 yds · 5:2596% → 98%
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.1%
Ky Thomas run for 5 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
96.5%
Ky Thomas run for 5 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
97.2%
Ky Thomas run for 7 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+3
97.5%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
97.7%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
50
+42
97.8%
Devin Neal run for 42 yds to the OKSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
97.8%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the OKSt 8Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
98.1%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the OKSt 5Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
98.2%
Jason Bean run for 2 yds to the OKSt 3Similar
Q4 12:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
98.2%
Jacob Borcila 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:192% → 4%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.4%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Ollie Gordon for 1 yd to the OKSt 24Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-4
98.4%
Garret Rangel sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 20Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+22
98.6%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Bryson Green for 22 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
98.5%
Garret Rangel run for 4 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+7
98.5%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Brennan Presley for 7 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
98.5%
Garret Rangel run for 3 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
98.6%
Garret Rangel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+9
98.7%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Brennan Presley for 9 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
98.5%
Garret Rangel pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+35
95.6%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 35 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18FG
9 plays · 64 yds · 4:0697% → 99%
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
97.1%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+1
97.3%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the Kans 26Similar
Q4 7:40
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+53
97.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Devin Neal for 53 yds to the OKSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
97.8%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the OKSt 16Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+2
98.0%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the OKSt 14Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 3
OPP 14
0
98.1%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the OKSt 14Similar
Q4 5:00
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+31
99.4%
Jacob Borcila 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19INT
7 plays · 50 yds · 1:111% → 1%
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Garret Rangel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
99.2%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Brennan Presley for 17 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+26
99.2%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Langston Anderson for 26 yds to the Kans 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.1%
Garret Rangel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+7
99.1%
Garret Rangel pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 7 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q4 3:41
3RD & 3
OPP 25
0
99.1%
Garret Rangel pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:45100% → 100%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
99.6%
Ky Thomas run for 13 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
99.6%
Ky Thomas run for 6 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+3
99.7%
Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q4 1:17
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+5
99.7%
Ky Thomas run for 5 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q4 0:40
4TH & 12
OPP 38
0
99.8%
Reis Vernon punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21END OF GAME
2 plays · 18 yds · 0:321% → 1%
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.4%
Deondre Jackson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+14
99.4%
Deondre Jackson run for 14 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:22
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 8 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)
+8.2
TD · Q2 9:59
Garret Rangel pass complete to Stephon Johnson Jr. for 8 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)
-7
TD · Q2 9:10
Jason Bean run for 73 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)
+5.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com