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OKST

Oklahoma State 0 at Kansas State 48

KSU
2022 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2022 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:29 · Tom Hutton punt for 51 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for 19 yds to the KanSt 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 96Home team on offense+29.8Score differential+22.9Blowout margin+11.8Garbage-time factor+7.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:02: Will Howard pass complete to Kade Warner for 38 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK) — KSU win probability +1.3 pts (now 55%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 8:15: Deuce Vaughn run for 62 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK) — KSU win probability +3.2 pts (now 60%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:17: Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 31 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK) — KSU win probability +9.2 pts (now 80%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:06: Will Howard pass complete to Kade Warner for 41 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK) — KSU win probability +6.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:07: Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 1 yd for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK) — KSU win probability +0.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9OKST made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 11:02KSU 4th & 10 at OKST 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.3%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    58.3%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    58.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:31OKST 4th & 8 at KSU 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.3%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    39.3%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    39.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:04OKST 4th & 6 at OKST 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:59KSU 4th & 1 at KSU 13, up 14
    Close callPunted · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.5%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:45KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 22, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%−0.9
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:49OKST 4th & 9 at OKST 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:42OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 40, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:20KSU 4th & 2 at OKST 24, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    94.8%−0.4
    68% to make
    Punt
    92.2%−3.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:29OKST 4th & 17 at OKST 28, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:14KSU 4th & 5 at OKST 44, up 35
    Close callPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:13OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 11, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:51KSU 4th & 5 at OKST 5, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:13OKST 4th & 5 at KSU 43, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:55KSU 4th & 1 at OKST 20, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:17KSU 4th & 2 at OKST 11, up 38
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:16OKST 4th & 5 at KSU 41, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:44KSU 4th & 5 at OKST 43, up 41
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:16OKST 4th & 15 at OKST 3, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:55OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 44, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:02KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:15KSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:17KSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:06KSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:07KSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:43KSU Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 3:4853% → 55%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
52.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 24Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+11
52.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 11 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
52.8%
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
50
+9
53.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 9 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+3
53.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
53.4%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Will SwansonSimilar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
53.4%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+5
53.3%
Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 5 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q1 11:24
4TH & 5
OPP 33
-5
53.3%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 38Similar
Q1 11:02
4TH & 10
OPP 38
+38
54.6%
Will Howard pass complete to Kade Warner for 38 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2DOWNS
9 plays · 37 yds · 2:1445% → 44%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
54.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Bryson Green for 11 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
54.6%
Jaden Nixon run for 3 yds to the OKSt 39Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+2
54.7%
Jaden Nixon run for 2 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+19
55.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 19 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
54.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Stephon Johnson Jr.Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
55.0%
Jaden Nixon run for 2 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 8
OPP 38
0
55.2%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Stephon Johnson Jr.Similar
Q1 8:31
4TH & 8
OPP 38
0
55.8%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to John Paul RichardsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3TD
2 plays · 62 yds · 0:1056% → 60%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
56.4%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+62
59.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 62 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 39 yds · 3:0141% → 39%
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
58.8%
Jaden Nixon run for 2 yds to the OKSt 12Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+5
59.3%
Spencer Sanders run for 5 yds to the OKSt 17Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+15
59.3%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the OKSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
59.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Stephon Johnson Jr. for 6 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+7
59.4%
Jaden Nixon run for 7 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
59.8%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Bryson GreenSimilar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+9
60.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 9 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q1 5:53
3RD & 1
OPP 46
0
59.7%
Jaden Nixon run for no gain to the KanSt 46Similar
Q1 5:17
4TH & 1
OPP 46
-5
60.6%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 49Similar
Q1 5:04
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
61.2%
Tom Hutton punt for 47 yds, downed at the KanSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5763% → 63%
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
62.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 7Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+5
62.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the KanSt 12Similar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 2
OWN 12
+1
63.2%
Will Howard run for 1 yd to the KanSt 13Similar
Q1 2:59
4TH & 1
OWN 13
0
63.3%
Ty Zentner punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the KanSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6FUMBLE
1 play · 29 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+29
62.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 29 yds Brennan Presley fumbled, forced by Austin Moore, recovered by KanSt Brendan MottSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4565% → 64%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
64.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 6
OWN 22
0
64.8%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Deuce VaughnSimilar
Q1 1:54
3RD & 6
OWN 22
0
64.6%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q1 1:45
4TH & 6
OWN 22
0
64.3%
Ty Zentner punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:5237% → 35%
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
63.5%
Sanders, Spencer pass incomplete to Green, Bryson, PENALTY KANSASST pass interference 10 yards to the OKLAST37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
63.6%
Deondre Jackson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+4
63.6%
Deondre Jackson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q1 0:10
3RD & 2
OWN 45
-7
64.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for a loss of 7 yards to the OKSt 38Similar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 9
OWN 38
+1
65.2%
Tom Hutton punt for 46 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for 1 yd to the KanSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 83 yds · 3:2067% → 80%
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
67.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the KanSt 17Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+28
67.5%
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 28 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
69.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the KanSt 45Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-5
69.2%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 40Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 15
OWN 40
+10
69.2%
Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 5
50
+15
69.7%
Howard, Will pass incomplete to Knowles, Malik, PENALTY OKLAST pass interference 15 yards to the OKLAST35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KANSASST.Similar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
70.5%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Ben SinnottSimilar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+4
70.5%
DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q2 11:17
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+31
79.8%
Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 31 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:2720% → 20%
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
79.9%
Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
80.3%
Spencer Sanders pass intercepted Julius Brents return for no gain to the OKSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11TD
3 plays · 43 yds · 1:1681% → 90%
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
81.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the OKSt 43Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
83.5%
Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for 2 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+41
90.1%
Will Howard pass complete to Kade Warner for 41 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:1310% → 6%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
90.4%
Ollie Gordon run for 2 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
90.7%
Ollie Gordon run for 3 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
92.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Ollie Gordon for 8 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
93.1%
Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
93.4%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Bryson GreenSimilar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
93.5%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Bryson GreenSimilar
Q2 6:42
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
93.9%
Tom Hutton punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13TD
17 plays · 77 yds · 6:2393% → 97%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+18
92.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 18 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
93.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 39Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+10
94.0%
Will Howard pass complete to Kade Warner for 10 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q2 4:47
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+3
93.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 3 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+16
94.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 16 yds to the OKSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
95.0%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
95.0%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Kade WarnerSimilar
Q2 3:15
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+8
95.2%
Will Howard pass complete to Kade Warner for 8 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q2 2:20
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+4
94.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 4 yds to the OKSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
95.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the OKSt 18Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+17
96.4%
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 17 yds to the OKSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.8%
Will Howard run for no gain to the OKSt 1Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.7%
Will Howard run for no gain to the OKSt 1Similar
Q2 0:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.0%
Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 1 yd for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:222% → 2%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+16
97.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Bryson Green for 16 yds to the OKSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
97.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Bryson Green for 11 yds Bryson Green fumbled, recovered by OKSt Bryson Green for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
97.7%
Deondre Jackson run for 3 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+2
97.9%
Deondre Jackson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q3 13:04
3RD & 5
OWN 40
-12
98.2%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Brendan Mott for a loss of 12 yards to the OKSt 28Similar
Q3 12:29
4TH & 17
OWN 28
+19
98.4%
Tom Hutton punt for 51 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for 19 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:0698% → 99%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
98.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+7
98.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
98.7%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Sammy WheelerSimilar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
98.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
98.8%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Kade WarnerSimilar
Q3 10:14
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
98.7%
Ty Zentner punt for 33 yds, downed at the OKSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:551% → 1%
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
98.8%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Bryson GreenSimilar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
98.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to John Paul RichardsonSimilar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 10
OWN 11
0
98.9%
Spencer Sanders run for no gain to the OKSt 11Similar
Q3 9:13
4TH & 10
OWN 11
0
99.0%
Tom Hutton punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 4:1899% → 100%
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.0%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.0%
Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 1 yd to the KanSt 41Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+13
99.1%
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 13 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
99.1%
DJ Giddens run for 12 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
99.2%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 39Similar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 15
OPP 39
+8
99.2%
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 8 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+25
99.3%
Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 25 yds to the OKSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
99.3%
Will Howard run for 1 yd to the OKSt 5Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.4%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Kade WarnerSimilar
Q3 4:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.4%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Deuce VaughnSimilar
Q3 4:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
99.5%
Ty Zentner 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 32 yds · 2:271% → 0%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.5%
Deondre Jackson run for 5 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
99.5%
Deondre Jackson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+20
99.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 20 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.5%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to John Paul RichardsonSimilar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-5
99.6%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 47Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 15
OWN 47
+1
99.6%
Braylin Presley run for 1 yd to the OKSt 48Similar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 14
OWN 48
+9
99.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Deondre Jackson for 9 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q3 2:13
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
99.7%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Bryson GreenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:48100% → 100%
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
99.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+25
99.6%
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 25 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.7%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Ben SinnottSimilar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+4
99.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+5
99.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the OKSt 20Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+1
99.7%
Will Howard run for 1 yd to the OKSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
99.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the OKSt 15Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+4
99.8%
DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the OKSt 11Similar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 2
OPP 11
0
99.8%
Will Howard pass incomplete to DJ GiddensSimilar
Q4 13:17
4TH & 2
OPP 11
+29
99.8%
Ty Zentner 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 25 yds · 1:500% → 0%
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
99.8%
Sanders, Spencer pass incomplete to Johnson Jr., Stephon, PENALTY KANSASST pass interference 15 yards to the OKLAST38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
99.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Deondre Jackson for 1 yd to the OKSt 39Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+15
99.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Stephon Johnson Jr. for 15 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.8%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to John Paul RichardsonSimilar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
99.8%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Stephon Johnson Jr.Similar
Q4 11:48
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.8%
Spencer Sanders run for 5 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q4 11:16
4TH & 5
OPP 41
-11
99.8%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Felix Anudike-Uzomah for a loss of 11 yards to the OKSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:16100% → 100%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
99.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 5
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Kade Warner for no gain to the OKSt 43Similar
Q4 9:53
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Deuce VaughnSimilar
Q4 9:44
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Ty Zentner punt for 35 yds, downed at the OKSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:140% → 0%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-3
99.9%
Jaden Nixon run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 5Similar
Q4 9:12
2ND & 13
OWN 5
0
99.9%
Gunnar Gundy pass incomplete to Stephon Johnson Jr.Similar
Q4 9:07
3RD & 13
OWN 5
-2
99.9%
Jaden Nixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 3Similar
Q4 8:16
4TH & 15
OWN 3
+33
99.9%
Tom Hutton punt for 49 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for 33 yds to the OKSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 24TD
5 plays · 19 yds · 2:17100% → 100%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
99.9%
DJ Giddens run for 1 yd to the OKSt 18Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+12
99.9%
DJ Giddens run for 12 yds to the OKSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
99.9%
DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the OKSt 4Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 0
OPP 4
-5
99.9%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 9Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
DJ Giddens run for 9 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25DOWNS
12 plays · 21 yds · 3:380% → 0%
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Gunnar Gundy pass incomplete to John Paul RichardsonSimilar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Gunnar Gundy run for no gain to the OKSt 25Similar
Q4 4:57
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+10
100.0%
Gunnar Gundy pass complete to Deondre Jackson for 10 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
100.0%
Gunnar Gundy sacked by Krew Jackson for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 33Similar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+5
100.0%
Gunnar Gundy run for 5 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+6
100.0%
Gunnar Gundy pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 6 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q4 2:55
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+2
100.0%
Gunnar Gundy run for 2 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Gunnar Gundy pass incomplete to Stephon Johnson Jr.Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Gunnar Gundy pass incomplete to Stephon Johnson Jr.Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+22
100.0%
Gunnar Gundy run for 22 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-8
100.0%
Gunnar Gundy pass intercepted Krew Jackson return for 8 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · -6 yds · 1:50100% → 100%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 30Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 12
OWN 30
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 28Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 14
OWN 28
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:17
Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 31 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK)
+9.2
TD · Q2 9:06
Will Howard pass complete to Kade Warner for 41 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK)
+6.6
TD · Q1 8:15
Deuce Vaughn run for 62 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK)
+3.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com