Try the model
OU

Oklahoma 27 at Iowa State 13

ISU
2022 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2022 · Jack Trice Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:13 · Michael Turk punt for 61 yds, downed at the IowSt 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 167Home team on offense−19.5Garbage-time factor−11.5Score differential−3.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.2Pregame prior−0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:23: Michael Turk pass complete to Zach Schmit for 2 yds for a TD, (Zach Schmit KICK) — OU win probability +5.7 pts (now 63%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:45: Jace Gilbert 43 yd FG GOOD — ISU win probability +7.2 pts (now 32%) (top driver: Offense has -7 timeouts left).
  3. TD · Q3 4:18: Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 41 yds for a TD, (Zach Schmit KICK) — OU win probability +13.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:29: Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 15 yds for a TD, (Drake Nettles KICK) — ISU win probability +15.0 pts (now 25%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:36: Eric Gray 4 Yd Run (Zach Schmit Kick) — OU win probability +8.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 8 of 12OU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 13:09OU 4th & 1 at OU 31, tied
    Close callPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:09OU 4th & 1 at OU 31, tied
    Close callPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:32ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    48.8%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:31OU 4th & 2 at ISU 24, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.1%−0.2
    68% to make
    Punt
    49.9%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:08ISU 4th & 9 at OU 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    46.0%−2.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:23OU 4th & 2 at ISU 2, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    50.1%−0.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    46.7%−4.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:01ISU 4th & 10 at ISU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−1.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:30OU 4th & 10 at ISU 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%−0.8
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.8%
    80% to make
    Punt
    54.3%−5.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:20ISU 4th & 15 at ISU 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−1.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:55OU 4th & 12 at OU 2, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%−3.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:45ISU 4th & 10 at OU 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.7%
    64% to make
    Punt
    29.8%−3.9
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:00OU 4th & 3 at OU 32, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.4%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    62.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:17ISU 4th & 5 at ISU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−1.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:51OU 4th & 10 at ISU 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:05ISU 4th & 14 at ISU 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−3.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:05ISU 4th & 6 at ISU 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  17. Q3 0:22OU 4th & 7 at OU 10, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 15:00ISU 4th & 11 at OU 29, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.8%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    16.7%
    58% to make
    Punt
    12.6%−4.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:29ISU 4th & 12 at OU 15, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.4 ptsWent for it · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.9%−2.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    12.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    6.3%−5.9
    average punt
  20. Q4 9:13OU 4th & 27 at OU 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%−6.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.7%
    average punt
  21. Q4 6:16OU 4th & 5 at OU 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  22. Q4 4:36ISU 4th & 3 at OU 20, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.5 ptsWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%−1.5
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    7.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−4.3
    average punt
  23. Q4 0:58ISU 4th & 1 at OU 3, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.9%−0.7
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    4.6%
    93% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−2.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1OU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 12:23OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 4:18OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:29ISU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:36OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−1.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:5156% → 55%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-10
44.4%
GABRIEL, Dillon pass to the right incomplete dropped by MIMS, Marvin thrown to the OKL36. PENALTY OKL Holding on MORRIS, Wanya enforced 10 yards from the OKL22 to the OKL12 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 12
+5
44.4%
Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the Okla 17Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 17
+2
44.4%
Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the Okla 19Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 19
+12
44.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 12 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q1 13:09
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
44.9%
Michael Turk punt for 48 ydsSimilar
Q1 13:09
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
44.9%
Michael Turk punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:1145% → 45%
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
44.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
44.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3FUMBLE
6 plays · 45 yds · 1:3955% → 55%
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+19
44.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 19 yds to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
44.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brayden Willis for 3 yds to the IowSt 36Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+3
44.6%
Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q1 12:58
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+10
44.6%
Eric Gray run for 10 yds to the IowSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
44.7%
Eric Gray run for 10 yds to the IowSt 13 Eric Gray fumbled, recovered by IowSt Gerry VaughnSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4DOWNS
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:4745% → 46%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
45.3%
Cartevious Norton run for 1 yd to the IowSt 14Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+24
45.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 24 yds to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
45.5%
Cartevious Norton run for 4 yds to the IowSt 42Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+5
45.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Darren Wilson Jr. for 5 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 1
OWN 47
0
45.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for no gain to the IowSt 47Similar
Q1 8:32
4TH & 1
OWN 47
-1
46.2%
Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5FG
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:0156% → 55%
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
43.6%
run for 6 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+8
43.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 8 yds to the IowSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
43.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
43.4%
Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q1 8:32
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+3
43.7%
Marcus Major run for 3 yds to the IowSt 24Similar
Q1 6:31
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+41
44.9%
Zach Schmit 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6FG
11 plays · 66 yds · 4:2343% → 49%
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
43.0%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 13 yds to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
43.5%
Jirehl Brock run for 2 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+2
43.7%
Jirehl Brock run for 2 yds to the IowSt 42Similar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+23
43.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to DeShawn Hanika for 23 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
44.5%
Hunter Dekkers run for 8 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+6
44.5%
Jirehl Brock run for 6 yds to the Okla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
44.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 11 yds to the Okla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
44.5%
Jirehl Brock run for 3 yds to the Okla 7Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
44.5%
Jirehl Brock run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 9Similar
Q1 6:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
44.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
48.5%
Jace Gilbert 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7TD
15 plays · 85 yds · 4:3855% → 63%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
44.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Eric Gray for 11 yds to the Okla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
44.6%
Gavin Freeman run for 9 yds to the Okla 35Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+9
44.0%
Dillon Gabriel run for 9 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
43.7%
Marcus Major run for 2 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+7
43.7%
Marcus Major run for 7 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+11
43.1%
Eric Gray run for 11 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
43.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+2
43.2%
Gavin Freeman run for 2 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+14
43.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 14 yds to the IowSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
42.5%
Marcus Major run for 9 yds to the IowSt 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+3
42.5%
Marcus Major run for 3 yds to the IowSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
42.5%
Dillon Gabriel run for 4 yds to the IowSt 4Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
42.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Eric Gray for 3 yds to the IowSt 1Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
42.7%
Eric Gray run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 2Similar
Q2 12:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
37.0%
Michael Turk pass complete to Zach Schmit for 2 yds for a TD, (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:2242% → 42%
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
42.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:23
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
41.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:01
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
41.5%
Tyler Perkins punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims at the Okla 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9FG
16 plays · 48 yds · 5:3165% → 64%
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
35.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marvin Mims for 8 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+3
34.7%
Dillon Gabriel run for 3 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
34.6%
Dillon Gabriel run for 3 yds to the Okla 49Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+6
34.6%
Eric Gray run for 6 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
33.9%
Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
37.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+15
37.1%
Eric Gray run for 15 yds to the IowSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-10
36.5%
QB Keeper GABRIEL, Dillon rush to the left for a gain of 10 yards to the ISU18, out of bounds. PENALTY OKL Holding on HARRISON, Anton enforced 10 yards from the ISU28 to the ISU38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 20
OPP 38
+5
37.3%
Gavin Freeman run for 5 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 15
OPP 33
+5
37.2%
Marcus Major run for 5 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+11
37.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 11 yds to the IowSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
36.5%
Dillon Gabriel run for no gain to the IowSt 17Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
36.5%
Eric Gray run for no gain to the IowSt 17Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
37.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:30
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+34
36.5%
Zach Schmit 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:0534% → 32%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
34.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Cartevious Norton for 4 yds to the IowSt 23Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+4
34.2%
Cartevious Norton run for 4 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q2 6:25
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+17
33.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 17 yds to the IowSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
35.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
35.0%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 9 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q2 6:25
3RD & 1
OPP 47
-14
35.8%
run for a loss of 14 yards to the IowSt 39 fumbled, recovered by IowSt Hunter DekkersSimilar
Q2 3:20
4TH & 15
OWN 39
0
32.0%
Tyler Perkins punt for 57 yds, downed at the Okla 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2563% → 60%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
37.1%
Marcus Major run for no gain to the Okla 4Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 4
-2
37.4%
Marcus Major run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 2Similar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 12
OWN 2
0
38.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:55
4TH & 12
OWN 2
0
39.8%
Michael Turk punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12FG
8 plays · 25 yds · 1:1035% → 32%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
35.0%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 2 yds to the Okla 49Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
35.2%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+23
34.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 23 yds to the Okla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-4
26.3%
Jirehl Brock run for a loss of 4 yards to the Okla 30Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 14
OPP 30
+4
25.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 4 yds to the Okla 26Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 10
OPP 26
0
25.0%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 10
OPP 26
+43
32.2%
Jace Gilbert 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13DOWNS
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:4555% → 63%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
45.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marcus Major for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 24Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
46.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brayden Willis for 5 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+3
34.4%
Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
36.8%
[NHSG] Kneel down by GABRIEL, Dillon at OKL25 (team loss of 7); OKL turnover on downs, clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:4337% → 35%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
36.5%
Jirehl Brock run for 4 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
36.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 7 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-9
37.4%
Hunter Dekkers sacked by Jordan Kelley for a loss of 9 yards to the IowSt 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 27
+9
36.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 9 yds to the IowSt 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+5
35.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 5 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q3 12:17
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
35.3%
Tyler Perkins punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims at the Okla 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 2:2667% → 68%
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+14
33.5%
Eric Gray run for 14 yds to the Okla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+20
32.1%
Jalil Farooq run for 20 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
30.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
30.4%
Eric Gray run for no gain to the IowSt 47Similar
Q3 12:17
3RD & 10
OPP 47
-5
31.2%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the Okla 48Similar
Q3 12:17
3RD & 15
OWN 48
+5
33.4%
GABRIEL, Dillon pass to the left complete for 11 yards to MIMS, Marvin caught at the ISU41 and advanced to the ISU41 (TAMPA, T.J.). PENALTY ISU Offsides on ANDERSON, M.J. enforced 5 yards from the OKL48 to the ISU47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:17
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
31.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:51
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
32.2%
Michael Turk punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 2:4633% → 32%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
33.1%
Cartevious Norton run for 4 yds to the IowSt 10Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+12
33.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 12 yds to the IowSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
34.0%
Cartevious Norton run for 8 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+12
35.9%
Cartevious Norton run for 12 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
36.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for no gain Jaylin Noel fumbled, recovered by IowStSimilar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 14
OWN 38
0
34.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Deon Silas for no gain to the IowSt 38Similar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 14
OWN 38
0
33.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:05
4TH & 14
OWN 38
0
31.8%
Tyler Perkins punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 2:4769% → 86%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
30.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marvin Mims for 8 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+5
28.9%
Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
29.1%
Dillon Gabriel run for 8 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+1
28.0%
Marcus Major run for 1 yd to the Okla 44Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+10
28.1%
IOWA ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Isaiah Lee) to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
27.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-1
27.3%
Marcus Major run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 41Similar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+41
13.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 41 yds for a TD, (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 2:1311% → 10%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
10.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 5 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
11.1%
Cartevious Norton run for no gain to the IowSt 30Similar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
10.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 7 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
11.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Cartevious Norton for 4 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
11.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
11.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:05
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
9.8%
Tyler Perkins punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims at the Okla 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:4390% → 90%
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
10.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 7
0
10.3%
Marcus Major run for no gain to the Okla 7Similar
Q3 2:05
3RD & 10
OWN 7
+3
10.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marcus Major for 3 yds to the Okla 10Similar
Q3 0:22
4TH & 7
OWN 10
0
9.6%
Michael Turk punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20TD
12 plays · 53 yds · 4:5310% → 25%
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
9.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 10 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
10.0%
Jirehl Brock run for 2 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+6
9.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 6 yds to the Okla 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+7
9.8%
Jirehl Brock run for 7 yds to the Okla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
10.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for no gain to the Okla 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
10.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 28
-1
9.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 29Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OPP 29
+16
9.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 16 yds to the Okla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
10.7%
Jirehl Brock run for 1 yd to the Okla 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 12
-3
10.7%
Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 15Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 15
0
10.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Cartevious Norton for no gain to the Okla 15Similar
Q4 10:29
4TH & 12
OPP 15
+15
25.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 15 yds for a TD, (Drake Nettles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -17 yds · 1:1682% → 81%
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
18.3%
Eric Gray run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 22Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
19.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:29
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-14
20.1%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by MJ Anderson for a loss of 14 yards to the Okla 8Similar
Q4 9:13
4TH & 27
OWN 8
0
19.3%
Michael Turk punt for 61 yds, downed at the IowSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 22INT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:3726% → 23%
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
26.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 11 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
25.6%
Jirehl Brock run for 1 yd to the IowSt 43Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+1
25.4%
Cartevious Norton run for 1 yd to the IowSt 44Similar
Q4 7:36
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
22.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2085% → 87%
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
15.0%
Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the Okla 35Similar
Q4 7:36
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+3
15.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 3 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q4 7:36
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
14.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:16
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
13.2%
Michael Turk punt for 60 yds, downed at the IowSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 24INT
3 plays · 28 yds · 0:5216% → 14%
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
16.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+28
15.7%
Hunter Dekkers run for 28 yds to the IowSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
14.2%
Hunter Dekkers pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 25TD
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:4890% → 99%
Q4 5:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
10.0%
Dillon Gabriel run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 4Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
1.4%
Eric Gray 4 Yd Run (Zach Schmit Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 26DOWNS
14 plays · 72 yds · 3:382% → 1%
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
1.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 3 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
1.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Easton Dean for 3 yds to the IowSt 31Similar
Q4 4:36
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
1.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Deon Silas for 8 yds to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
1.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Deon Silas for 8 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+26
1.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 26 yds to the Okla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
1.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Deon Silas for 3 yds to the Okla 24Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+4
1.8%
Hunter Dekkers run for 4 yds to the Okla 20Similar
Q4 4:36
3RD & 3
OPP 20
0
1.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:36
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+8
1.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 8 yds to the Okla 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-3
1.9%
Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 15Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 13
OPP 15
0
1.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:01
3RD & 13
OPP 15
+12
1.0%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 12 yds to the Okla 3Similar
Q4 0:58
4TH & 1
OPP 3
0
1.2%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 27END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:5899% → 99%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+8
1.1%
run for 8 yds to the Okla 11Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 11
+2
0.8%
Marcus Major run for 2 yds to the Okla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:29
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 15 yds for a TD, (Drake Nettles KICK)
+15
TD · Q3 4:18
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 41 yds for a TD, (Zach Schmit KICK)
-13.5
TD · Q4 4:36
Eric Gray 4 Yd Run (Zach Schmit Kick)
-8.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com