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KU

Kansas 23 at Baylor 35

BAY
2022 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2022 · McLane Stadium
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Win probability · BAY
modelBAY aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playBAY scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:05 · punt for 41 yds, downed at the Bayl 1
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 75Home team on offense+13.1Pregame prior+17.0Garbage-time factor+0.5Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.2Blowout margin+2.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:18: Kyron Drones run for 4 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) — BAY win probability +6.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:42: Jordan Nabors run for 10 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) — BAY win probability +8.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:33: Quentin Skinner 24 Yd pass from Jason Bean (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — KU win probability +9.7 pts (now 16%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:29: Jason Bean run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK) — KU win probability +22.7 pts (now 34%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:37: Richard Reese run for 2 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) — BAY win probability +9.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BAY made the numbers' call on 5 of 5KU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 13:57KU 4th & 8 at KU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:13KU 4th & 5 at BAY 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    17.2%−2.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00BAY 4th & 1 at KU 16, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    77.5%−1.0
    81% to make
    Punt
    74.5%−4.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:46KU 4th & 4 at KU 32, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:04BAY 4th & 6 at KU 46, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    86.6%−0.9
    23% to make
    Punt
    87.2%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:05KU 4th & 7 at BAY 42, down 25
    Close callPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    13.1%−0.6
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:18BAY 4th & 1 at BAY 48, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.4%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:40BAY 4th & 11 at BAY 49, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:25BAY 4th & 1 at KU 7, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    90.6%−2.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    84.4%−8.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:02KU 4th & 11 at KU 24, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BAY made the numbers' call on 5 of 5KU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 11:05BAY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:15BAY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:18BAY Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:42BAY Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:35KU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:33KU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    11.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    11.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:29KU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.2%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.8%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:37BAY Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0324% → 24%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.2%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
76.2%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
76.2%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:57
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
76.0%
Reis Vernon punt for 14 yds, downed at the Kans 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 2TD
7 plays · 41 yds · 2:5276% → 77%
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
76.1%
Richard Reese run for 13 yds to the Kans 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
76.1%
Qualan Jones run for 3 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
76.1%
Blake Shapen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:57
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+9
76.1%
Richard Reese run for 9 yds to the Kans 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-7
76.1%
Blake Shapen sacked by Caleb Sampson for a loss of 7 yards to the Kans 23Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 17
OPP 23
+6
76.1%
Richard Reese run for 6 yds to the Kans 17Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 11
OPP 17
+17
76.7%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 17 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for no gain Quentin Skinner fumbled, recovered by Bayl Jackie MarshallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 4TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:4077% → 78%
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
76.8%
Qualan Jones run for 11 yds to the Kans 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
78.2%
Richard Reese run for 14 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5FG
16 plays · 62 yds · 7:0222% → 23%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
77.6%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
77.6%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
77.7%
Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 15 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
77.5%
Jason Bean run for no gain to the Kans 42Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
77.5%
Sevion Morrison run for 2 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+15
77.5%
BEAN, Jason pass to the right incomplete intended for ARNOLD, Lawrence thrown to the BAY35. PENALTY BAY Pass Interference on MILTON, Mark enforced 15 yards to the BAY41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
77.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Sevion Morrison for 12 yds to the Bayl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
77.2%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the Bayl 28Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+10
77.2%
Jason Bean run for 10 yds to the Bayl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
77.2%
Jason Bean pass complete to Tanaka Scott for 3 yds to the Bayl 15Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+4
77.2%
Jason Bean run for 4 yds to the Bayl 11Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 3
OPP 11
-2
77.3%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 13 fumbled, recovered by Kans Mason FairchildSimilar
Q1 10:15
4TH & 5
OPP 13
-5
77.4%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 18Similar
Q1 10:15
4TH & 10
OPP 18
+5
77.6%
BAYLOR Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the Bayl 13Similar
Q1 10:15
4TH & 10
OPP 18
+5
77.6%
BAYLOR Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the Bayl 13Similar
Q1 3:13
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+30
77.2%
Jacob Borcila 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 6TD
16 plays · 73 yds · 6:5578% → 86%
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
78.0%
Blake Shapen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+11
77.9%
Richard Reese run for 11 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
78.3%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Drake Dabney for 14 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
78.6%
Blake Shapen run for 3 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-10
78.5%
BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Bayl 48Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 14
OWN 48
0
78.2%
Blake Shapen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:13
3RD & 14
OWN 48
+17
77.9%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Ben Sims for 17 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
78.6%
Blake Shapen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+10
79.0%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Ben Sims for 10 yds to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
79.1%
Richard Reese run for 7 yds to the Kans 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+2
79.1%
Richard Reese run for 2 yds to the Kans 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
0
78.7%
Richard Reese run for no gain to the Kans 16Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+4
78.3%
Dillon Doyle run for 4 yds to the Kans 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
79.1%
Qualan Jones run for 3 yds to the Kans 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+5
79.1%
Kyron Drones run for 5 yds to the Kans 4Similar
Q2 11:18
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+4
85.5%
Kyron Drones run for 4 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3215% → 14%
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
85.0%
Sevion Morrison run for 1 yd to the Kans 27Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
85.1%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:18
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+5
85.2%
Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 5 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q2 9:46
4TH & 4
OWN 32
+22
85.6%
Reis Vernon punt for 49 yds , Gavin Holmes returns for 22 yds to the Bayl 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 8INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 9:4187% → 89%
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
86.6%
Richard Reese run for 1 yd to the Bayl 42Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
87.0%
Blake Shapen pass interceptedSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
89.1%
Blake Shapen pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 9TD
16 plays · 99 yds · 7:2385% → 96%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
85.2%
Blake Shapen run for 1 yd to the Bayl 2Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+1
85.2%
Qualan Jones run for 1 yd to the Bayl 3Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 8
OWN 3
+16
84.8%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Hal Presley for 16 yds to the Bayl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
86.3%
Blake Shapen run for 6 yds to the Bayl 25Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+12
86.3%
Qualan Jones run for 12 yds to the Bayl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
86.4%
Richard Reese run for 3 yds to the Bayl 40Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+3
86.6%
Richard Reese run for 3 yds to the Bayl 43Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+7
86.3%
Richard Reese run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
50
0
86.7%
Blake Shapen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 10
50
+1
86.6%
Richard Reese run for 1 yd to the Kans 49Similar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+3
88.1%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Josh Cameron for 3 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q2 2:04
4TH & 6
OPP 46
+12
86.4%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 12 yds to the Kans 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
87.6%
Richard Reese run for 14 yds to the Kans 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
87.3%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Hal Presley for 10 yds to the Kans 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
95.7%
Jordan Nabors run for 10 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10FUMBLE
1 play · 20 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+20
88.3%
Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 20 yds Quentin Skinner fumbled, recovered by Bayl Devin LemearSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 11INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:1696% → 96%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
95.6%
Blake Shapen run for 1 yd to the Kans 13Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
95.4%
Blake Shapen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 9
OPP 13
0
95.8%
Blake Shapen pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 8:0015% → 10%
Q2 8:05
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
84.6%
punt for 41 yds, downed at the Bayl 1Similar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
89.6%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+3
90.1%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the Bayl 42Similar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 7
OPP 42
0
89.8%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 7
OPP 42
0
89.8%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
91.9%
Kneel down by KAN at KAN15 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 14FUMBLE
12 plays · 33 yds · 5:3695% → 98%
Q3 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.7%
Richard Reese run for 4 yds to the Bayl 29Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
94.8%
Jordan Nabors run for 3 yds to the Bayl 32Similar
Q3 14:18
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
94.7%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Josh Cameron for 7 yds to the Bayl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
95.5%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 5 yds to the Bayl 44Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+3
95.9%
Richard Reese run for 3 yds to the Bayl 47Similar
Q3 14:18
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+1
95.9%
Richard Reese run for 1 yd to the Bayl 48Similar
Q3 14:18
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+2
95.6%
Dillon Doyle run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:18
1ST & 10
50
+9
96.0%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Ben Sims for 9 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+6
96.0%
Blake Shapen run for 6 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
96.0%
Qualan Jones run for 8 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 2
OPP 27
-15
97.9%
Blake Shapen sacked for a loss of 15 yards to the Bayl 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15TD
3 plays · 9 yds · 1:076% → 10%
Q3 8:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
94.1%
Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the Bayl 3Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
94.9%
Jason Bean run for 1 yd to the Bayl 2Similar
Q3 7:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
90.4%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:5593% → 94%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.1%
Richard Reese run for 5 yds to the Bayl 30Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
93.2%
Richard Reese run for 9 yds to the Bayl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
93.6%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Qualan Jones for 6 yds to the Bayl 45Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+5
93.6%
Richard Reese run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
50
+2
93.7%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 2 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 8
OPP 48
-3
93.6%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Qualan Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 49Similar
Q3 7:35
3RD & 11
OWN 49
0
93.3%
Blake Shapen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:40
4TH & 11
OWN 49
0
93.9%
Issac Power punt for 46 yds, downed at the Kans 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17TD
12 plays · 95 yds · 4:077% → 16%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
93.5%
Jason Bean pass complete to Devin Neal for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 3Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 12
OWN 3
0
93.6%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (Michael Ford Jr.) to the Kans 2Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 13
OWN 2
+4
93.6%
Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 4 yds to the Kans 6Similar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 9
OWN 6
+20
93.7%
Jason Bean pass complete to Jared Casey for 20 yds to the Kans 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
93.3%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+6
92.9%
Jason Bean run for 6 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+22
92.8%
Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 22 yds to the Bayl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
92.5%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-3
92.5%
Jason Bean sacked by Al Walcott for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 47Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 13
OPP 47
+16
94.6%
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 16 yds to the Bayl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
93.4%
Devin Neal run for 7 yds to the Bayl 24Similar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+24
83.8%
Quentin Skinner 24 Yd pass from Jason Bean (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 18DOWNS
11 plays · 68 yds · 5:0889% → 95%
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.4%
Richard Reese run for 5 yds to the Bayl 30Similar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
89.4%
Richard Reese run for 2 yds to the Bayl 32Similar
Q4 14:33
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+12
89.1%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Richard Reese for 12 yds to the Bayl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
90.4%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Hal Presley for 13 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
90.6%
Richard Reese run for 2 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+25
90.5%
Qualan Jones run for 25 yds to the Kans 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
90.6%
Richard Reese run for 2 yds to the Kans 14Similar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+3
90.6%
Richard Reese run for 3 yds to the Kans 11Similar
Q4 9:29
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+4
95.2%
Richard Reese run for 4 yds to the Kans 7Similar
Q4 9:25
4TH & 1
OPP 7
0
94.7%
Blake Shapen run for no gain to the Kans 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 93 yds · 2:568% → 34%
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
92.1%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the Kans 9Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+29
92.1%
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 29 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
90.8%
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 8 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+5
90.4%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the Bayl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+47
90.5%
Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 47 yds to the Bayl 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
88.8%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (Quentin Skinner) to the Bayl 7Similar
Q4 9:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
89.2%
Jason Bean run for 3 yds to the Bayl 4Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
89.2%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
66.4%
Jason Bean run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 20TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 3:5286% → 98%
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
85.5%
Richard Reese run for 2 yds to the Bayl 33Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+14
85.3%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Richard Reese for 14 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
87.6%
Qualan Jones run for 7 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+1
88.1%
Qualan Jones run for 1 yd to the Kans 45Similar
Q4 6:29
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+37
87.4%
Richard Reese run for 37 yds to the Kans 8Similar
Q4 6:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
88.3%
Richard Reese run for 6 yds to the Kans 2Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.6%
Richard Reese run for 2 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · -1 yds · 0:355% → 2%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.4%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
95.4%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-10
97.1%
BEAN, Jason pass to the right complete for 7 yards to FAIRCHILD, Mason caught at the KAN32 and advanced to the KAN32 (WALCOTT, Al). PENALTY KAN Holding on ADAMS-REED, Armaj enforced 10 yards from the KAN25 to the KAN15 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+9
97.9%
Jason Bean pass complete to Kevin Terry for 9 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q4 2:02
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
97.9%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 22END OF GAME
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:1899% → 99%
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.1%
Kneel down by BAY at KAN27 (team loss of 3).Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 13
OPP 27
0
99.1%
Kneel down by BAY at KAN29 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 15
OPP 29
0
99.0%
Kneel down by BAY at KAN31 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:29
Jason Bean run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)
-22.7
TD · Q4 14:33
Quentin Skinner 24 Yd pass from Jason Bean (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-9.7
TD · Q4 2:37
Richard Reese run for 2 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)
+9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com