Try the model
TTU

Texas Tech 31 at Oklahoma State 41

OKST
2022 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2022 · Boone Pickens Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadTTU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreTTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:14 · Austin McNamara punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 181Pregame prior+7.3Home team on offense+3.6Score differential+1.0Garbage-time factor+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.7Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:33: Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 4 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK) — TTU win probability +5.6 pts (now 30%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:35: Trey Wolff 23 yd FG GOOD — TTU win probability +6.8 pts (now 40%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:42: SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK) — TTU win probability +18.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:18: Spencer Sanders 2 Yd Run (Spencer Sanders Pass to Jaden Bray for Two-Point Conversion) — OKST win probability +21.3 pts (now 70%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:27: Dominic Richardson 7 Yd Run (Tanner Brown Kick) — OKST win probability +8.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 8 of 10TTU made the numbers' call on 13 of 14
  1. Q1 15:00TTU 4th & 1 at TTU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:40TTU 4th & 12 at OKST 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    22.6%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:39OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:32TTU 4th & 3 at TTU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:32TTU 4th & 3 at TTU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:59TTU 4th & 4 at TTU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  7. Q1 2:31OKST 4th & 6 at TTU 25, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.6%
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.6%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    76.9%−1.7
    average punt
  8. Q1 2:31TTU 4th & 3 at OKST 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.4%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    20.9%−0.5
    47% to make
    Punt
    20.6%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 14:39OKST 4th & 11 at OKST 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.0%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 12:03OKST 4th & 5 at TTU 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    71.0%−0.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    70.6%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q2 7:18OKST 4th & 5 at TTU 5, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.6%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    62.2%−5.5
    average punt
  12. Q2 7:18TTU 4th & 3 at OKST 22, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    31.9%−0.4
    72% to make
    Punt
    27.9%−4.5
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:35TTU 4th & 5 at OKST 5, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    30.4%−6.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 11:25OKST 4th & 6 at TTU 17, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%−0.8
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    51.8%−9.0
    average punt
  15. Q3 11:25TTU 4th & 2 at OKST 17, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    36.8%−1.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    28.5%−9.5
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:03OKST 4th & 7 at OKST 49, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.2%
    average punt
  17. Q3 5:37TTU 4th & 8 at TTU 7, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−1.9
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.0%
    average punt
  18. Q3 0:03OKST 4th & 7 at TTU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    52.4%−12.0
    average punt
  19. Q4 14:14TTU 4th & 4 at TTU 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−1.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%
    average punt
  20. Q4 12:00OKST 4th & 5 at TTU 40, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    72.1%−2.7
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.6%−2.2
    average punt
  21. Q4 9:39TTU 4th & 2 at OKST 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    25.9%−5.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    27.8%−3.4
    average punt
  22. Q4 8:28OKST 4th & 6 at OKST 48, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.4%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.0%
    average punt
  23. Q4 6:17TTU 4th & 7 at OKST 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    27.6%−1.4
    28% to make
    Punt
    27.2%−1.8
    average punt
  24. Q4 0:00TTU 4th & 12 at TTU 46, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.8%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 3 of 4TTU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:17TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:48OKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:03OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:20TTU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 12:33TTU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:42TTU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:18OKST Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    59.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    58.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:27OKST Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 2:4321% → 23%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
78.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
78.9%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Trey ClevelandSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+11
78.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 11 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
78.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 1 yd to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
78.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 10 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
78.9%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Trey ClevelandSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+12
78.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 12 yds to the OKSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
78.9%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Mason TharpSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+9
78.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 9 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+7
78.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 7 yds to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
77.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 27 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2TD
2 plays · 34 yds · 0:2978% → 79%
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
77.9%
Dominic Richardson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+32
78.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Bryson Green for 32 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3MISSED FG
12 plays · 49 yds · 3:0822% → 23%
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
78.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Brady Boyd for 7 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
78.0%
Behren Morton pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 10 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
78.0%
Behren Morton run for 2 yds to the TexTc 44Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+6
77.9%
Behren Morton run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 2
50
+10
77.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 10 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
77.9%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Mason TharpSimilar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+16
77.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 16 yds to the OKSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
77.8%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to SaRodorick ThompsonSimilar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+6
77.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 16
OPP 30
+4
78.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jordan Brown for 4 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q1 8:40
4TH & 12
OPP 26
+44
77.2%
Trey Wolff 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0178% → 77%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
77.5%
Dominic Richardson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 27Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+1
77.4%
Spencer Sanders run for 1 yd to the OKSt 26Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
77.2%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Bryson GreenSimilar
Q1 7:39
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
76.7%
Tom Hutton punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Xavier White at the TexTc 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0723% → 23%
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
76.9%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Mason TharpSimilar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+8
76.9%
Behren Morton run for 8 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q1 7:39
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+1
76.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 1 yd to the TexTc 31Similar
Q1 6:32
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
76.9%
Austin McNamara punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 32Similar
Q1 6:32
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
76.9%
Austin McNamara punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 1:2977% → 80%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+32
77.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Bryson Green for 32 yds to the TexTc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
77.7%
Spencer Sanders run for 4 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 6
OPP 27
0
77.7%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to John Paul RichardsonSimilar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+10
77.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 10 yds to the TexTc 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
77.7%
Dominic Richardson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 14Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+14
80.0%
Spencer Sanders run for 14 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0421% → 21%
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.8%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Trey ClevelandSimilar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
78.9%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Xavier WhiteSimilar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
79.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q1 3:59
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+7
79.1%
Austin McNamara punt for 44 yds , Brennan Presley returns for 7 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8FG
8 plays · 43 yds · 1:2879% → 80%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+23
79.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 23 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
80.0%
PENALTY TTU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting OSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
80.0%
Dominic Richardson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 47Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+18
79.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Stephon Johnson Jr. for 18 yds to the TexTc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
80.1%
Jaden Nixon run for 4 yds to the TexTc 25Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 6
OPP 25
0
80.1%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Jaden BraySimilar
Q1 3:59
3RD & 6
OPP 25
0
79.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Jaden NixonSimilar
Q1 2:31
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+42
79.8%
Tanner Brown 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9TD
11 plays · 81 yds · 2:1120% → 25%
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+19
79.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 19 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
79.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 7 yds to the TexTc 45Similar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 3
OWN 45
0
79.2%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Henry TeeterSimilar
Q1 2:31
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+14
79.2%
Behren Morton run for 14 yds to the OKSt 41 Behren Morton fumbled, recovered by TexTc Landon Peterson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
79.0%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Jerand BradleySimilar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
79.0%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to SaRodorick ThompsonSimilar
Q1 2:31
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+7
79.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 7 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q1 2:31
4TH & 3
OPP 34
+6
79.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to Henry Teeter for 6 yds to the OKSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+19
78.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 19 yds to the OKSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
74.7%
Behren Morton run for 9 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:4176% → 75%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
76.2%
PENALTY OSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from OSU25 to OSU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
76.1%
Spencer Sanders run for 4 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
76.0%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Bryson GreenSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
75.6%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Jaden BraySimilar
Q2 14:39
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+40
75.2%
Tom Hutton punt blocked by Nehemiah Martinez I blocked by Nehemiah Martinez ISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 2:0624% → 30%
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
75.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q2 14:39
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+12
75.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
50
0
74.9%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Trey ClevelandSimilar
Q2 14:39
2ND & 10
50
+10
75.1%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 10 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
74.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Mason Tharp for 2 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q2 14:39
2ND & 8
OPP 38
-2
74.9%
Behren Morton sacked by Samuela Tuihalamaka for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 40Similar
Q2 14:39
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+36
75.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 36 yds to the OKSt 4 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
69.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 4 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12FG
18 plays · 68 yds · 5:1572% → 71%
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
71.9%
Spencer Sanders run for no gain to the OKSt 27Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
71.6%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Jaden BraySimilar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+11
70.2%
Spencer Sanders run for 11 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
71.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 5 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+6
72.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Bryson Green for 6 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
72.6%
Dominic Richardson run for 5 yds to the TexTc 46Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+1
72.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Ollie Gordon for 1 yd to the TexTc 45Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+5
72.6%
Stephon Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
72.8%
Dominic Richardson run for 5 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
73.4%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Bryson GreenSimilar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 5
OPP 35
0
72.7%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Rashod OwensSimilar
Q2 12:03
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+28
71.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Bryson Green for 28 yds to the TexTc 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
73.4%
Ollie Gordon run for 2 yds to the TexTc 5Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
73.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaden Bray for no gain to the TexTc 5Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
72.7%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Jaden BraySimilar
Q2 7:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
71.2%
Tanner Brown 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13FG
20 plays · 70 yds · 6:4332% → 40%
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
68.5%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
68.4%
Behren Morton run for no gain to the TexTc 27Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+11
69.3%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 11 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
67.4%
Behren Morton pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 3 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+2
67.2%
Behren Morton pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 2 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+16
67.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 16 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
66.5%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Nehemiah Martinez ISimilar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+12
66.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to Brady Boyd for 12 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-7
65.6%
Behren Morton sacked by Ben Kopenski for a loss of 7 yards to the OKSt 36Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 17
OPP 36
+15
67.2%
Behren Morton run for 15 yds to the OKSt 21Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+1
66.5%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 22Similar
Q2 7:18
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+4
67.7%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
65.6%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Xavier WhiteSimilar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+9
65.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 9 yds to the OKSt 9Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+5
66.4%
PENALTY OSU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from OSU09 to OSU04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
65.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to Baylor Cupp for no gain to the OKSt 4Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
65.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 5Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
66.5%
Donovan Smith pass incomplete to SaRodorick ThompsonSimilar
Q2 0:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
59.7%
Trey Wolff 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:2963% → 65%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
62.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 16 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-6
64.7%
Spencer Sanders sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the OKSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15FG
14 plays · 58 yds · 3:3563% → 66%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.8%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Jaden BraySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+24
62.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaden Bray for 24 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
65.6%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Krishon Merriweather for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 47
0
64.0%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Dominic RichardsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 47
+5
62.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Sanders,Spencer pass complete short right to Richardson,Dominic for 4 yards loss to the OSU43 (Eldridge,Kosi), out of bounds PENALTY TTU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from OSU47 to TTU48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+11
65.3%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dominic Richardson for 11 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
66.1%
Dominic Richardson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+2
67.6%
Jaden Bray run for 2 yds to the TexTc 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+15
65.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 15 yds to the TexTc 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
67.5%
Dominic Richardson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 17Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 17
0
67.5%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Stephon Johnson Jr.Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 17
0
65.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Jaden BraySimilar
Q3 11:25
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+34
66.2%
Tanner Brown 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 2:4337% → 60%
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
62.6%
Behren Morton run for 1 yd to the TexTc 34Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+21
63.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 21 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+20
60.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 20 yds to the OKSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-8
58.9%
Behren Morton sacked by Brock Martin for a loss of 8 yards to the OKSt 33Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 18
OPP 33
+7
60.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 7 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+9
60.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 9 yds to the OKSt 17Similar
Q3 11:25
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+2
62.1%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+13
58.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Morton,Behren pass incomplete short right to Bradley,Jerand PENALTY OSU Pass Interference (Smith,Cam) 13 yards from OSU15 to OSU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
40.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:3247% → 44%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
46.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Braden CassitySimilar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+10
46.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 10 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
48.9%
Dominic Richardson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 6
50
0
50.0%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to John Paul RichardsonSimilar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 6
50
-1
48.9%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Jesiah Pierre for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 49Similar
Q3 7:03
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
43.7%
Tom Hutton punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Xavier White at the TexTc 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2657% → 56%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
42.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jerand Bradley for no gain to the TexTc 5Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+9
43.0%
Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 9 yds to the TexTc 14Similar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+7
43.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 7 yds to the TexTc 7Similar
Q3 5:37
4TH & 8
OWN 7
0
43.6%
Austin McNamara punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 2:1946% → 70%
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
46.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dominic Richardson for 13 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
47.3%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Jaden BraySimilar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+23
47.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 23 yds to the TexTc 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
49.0%
Dominic Richardson run for 9 yds to the TexTc 8Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+6
49.0%
Spencer Sanders run for 6 yds to the TexTc 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
49.0%
Dominic Richardson run for no gain to the TexTc 2Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
70.4%
Spencer Sanders 2 Yd Run (Spencer Sanders Pass to Jaden Bray for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20INT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:0338% → 37%
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
61.6%
PENALTY TTU False Start (Wilburn,Dennis) 5 yards from TTU25 to TTU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:18
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
61.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 21Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+1
62.2%
Behren Morton pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 1 yd to the TexTc 22Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
63.1%
Behren Morton pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21FG
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:1270% → 72%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
70.1%
Dominic Richardson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 15Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 6
OPP 15
0
70.1%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Jaden BraySimilar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+9
68.6%
Spencer Sanders run for 9 yds to the TexTc 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
70.1%
Spencer Sanders run for 4 yds to the TexTc 2Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
70.1%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Braden CassitySimilar
Q3 2:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+5
68.6%
Spencer Sanders run for 5 yds to the TexTc 7Similar
Q3 0:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
71.8%
Tanner Brown 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:4629% → 27%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
71.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TexTc 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
71.4%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Jacob RodriguezSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-7
72.9%
B. Morton takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 14:14
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
73.5%
Austin McNamara punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:1475% → 75%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
74.5%
Spencer Sanders run for 10 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
76.3%
Dominic Richardson run for 5 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
76.8%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to John Paul RichardsonSimilar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+10
75.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Sanders,Spencer pass incomplete short right to Cassity,Braden QB hurried by Pierre,Jesiah PENALTY TTU Holding (Taylor-Demerson,Dadrion) 10 yards from OSU45 to TTU45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
77.6%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Bryson GreenSimilar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+2
77.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 2 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+3
76.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jake Schultz for 3 yds to the TexTc 40Similar
Q4 12:00
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
74.8%
Tom Hutton punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexTc 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 24DOWNS
9 plays · 46 yds · 2:2128% → 32%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
71.8%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Jordan BrownSimilar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
72.2%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Trey ClevelandSimilar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+15
73.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Morton,Behren sacked for loss of 8 yards to the TTU02 (Daniels,Kendal, Oliver,Collin) PENALTY OSU Targeting (Daniels,Kendal) 15 yards from TTU10 to TTU25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
71.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+18
70.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 18 yds to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
67.4%
Behren Morton pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 6 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+3
66.1%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+1
66.5%
Behren Morton run for 1 yd to the OKSt 45Similar
Q4 9:39
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+1
68.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1177% → 74%
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
77.3%
Dominic Richardson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+2
77.4%
Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q4 9:39
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
76.4%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to John Paul RichardsonSimilar
Q4 8:28
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
74.0%
Tom Hutton punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 26DOWNS
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:1129% → 31%
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+31
70.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 31 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
67.2%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Trey ClevelandSimilar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+11
68.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 11 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
65.0%
Behren Morton pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 4 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+1
65.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 43Similar
Q4 8:28
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
65.7%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Jordan BrownSimilar
Q4 6:17
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
68.9%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Nehemiah Martinez ISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 27TD
13 plays · 57 yds · 3:5078% → 96%
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
78.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 3
50
+2
79.0%
Dominic Richardson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 48Similar
Q4 6:17
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+2
78.4%
Dominic Richardson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
79.3%
Dominic Richardson run for 9 yds to the TexTc 37Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+2
79.2%
Dominic Richardson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
80.2%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Jake SchultzSimilar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+17
80.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Bryson Green for 17 yds to the TexTc 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
80.2%
Jaden Nixon run for 5 yds to the TexTc 13Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+1
87.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 1 yd to the TexTc 12Similar
Q4 3:11
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+5
87.6%
Spencer Sanders run for 5 yds to the TexTc 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
96.3%
Dominic Richardson 7 Yd Run (Tanner Brown Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 28DOWNS
13 plays · 32 yds · 2:223% → 3%
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
96.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 4 yds to the TexTc 18Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 6
OWN 18
-4
96.7%
Behren Morton sacked by Brock Martin for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 14Similar
Q4 2:22
3RD & 10
OWN 14
+12
96.9%
Behren Morton run for 12 yds to the TexTc 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
96.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 5 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+2
96.3%
Behren Morton run for 2 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q4 2:22
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+15
96.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jacob Rodriguez for 15 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
96.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Morton,Behren rush left for 1 yard gain to the TTU49, out of bounds at TTU49 PENALTY TTU Holding (Mills,Monroe) 10 yards from TTU48 to TTU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 20
OWN 38
+1
96.6%
Behren Morton run for 1 yd to the TexTc 39Similar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 19
OWN 39
0
97.0%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Jacob RodriguezSimilar
Q4 0:32
3RD & 19
OWN 39
+7
97.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 7 yds to the TexTc 46Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 12
OWN 46
0
97.4%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:18
Spencer Sanders 2 Yd Run (Spencer Sanders Pass to Jaden Bray for Two-Point Conversion)
+21.3
TD · Q3 8:42
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)
-18.9
TD · Q4 2:27
Dominic Richardson 7 Yd Run (Tanner Brown Kick)
+8.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com