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TCU

TCU 38 at Kansas 31

KU
2022 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2022 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadTCU aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreTCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:01 · Jordy Sandy punt for 59 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 88Pregame prior−11.4Home team on offense−1.9Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−2.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 6:29: Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 51 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK) — TCU win probability +19.1 pts (now 61%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:50: Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 38 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK) — KU win probability +24.2 pts (now 54%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:23: Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 25 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK) — TCU win probability +19.4 pts (now 79%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:21: Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 29 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK) — KU win probability +42.0 pts (now 63%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:36: Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 24 yds for a TD KANSAS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference ( Yards) declined, (Griffin Kell KICK) — TCU win probability +32.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9TCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 10:46TCU 4th & 7 at KU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    64.4%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:25KU 4th & 10 at KU 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:59TCU 4th & 1 at KU 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    62.4%−0.9
    38% to make
    Punt
    62.4%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:21KU 4th & 5 at KU 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:15TCU 4th & 4 at TCU 29, up 3
    Close callPunted · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:22KU 4th & 5 at TCU 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    39.2%−0.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    38.6%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:33TCU 4th & 7 at TCU 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%−0.9
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:36KU 4th & 11 at TCU 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    24.0%−3.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:01TCU 4th & 6 at TCU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:52KU 4th & 1 at KU 29, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.2 ptsPunted · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%−3.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:39KU 4th & 2 at TCU 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    27.4%−2.0
    79% to make
    Punt
    15.5%−13.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:03KU 4th & 9 at TCU 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−3.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    12.8%−13.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:40TCU 4th & 4 at TCU 26, up 7
    Close callPunted · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.8%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:37KU 4th & 9 at TCU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    10.7%−3.7
    47% to make
    Punt
    9.8%−4.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:37KU 4th & 9 at TCU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    10.7%−3.7
    47% to make
    Punt
    9.8%−4.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q2 3:26TCU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 12:59KU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:36KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:29TCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:59TCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:50KU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:23TCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:21KU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.6%−1.4
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:36TCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.0 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.8%−1.0
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TCUDrive 1FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 3:5573% → 72%
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
26.7%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 13 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
26.8%
Kendre Miller run for 4 yds to the TCU 39Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+10
26.9%
Max Duggan run for 10 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+17
27.1%
Kendre Miller run for 17 yds to the Kans 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
27.3%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 8 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+2
27.4%
Emari Demercado run for 2 yds to the Kans 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
27.6%
Emari Demercado run for no gain to the Kans 24Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
27.9%
Max Duggan run for 3 yds to the Kans 21Similar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 7
OPP 21
0
28.1%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Savion WilliamsSimilar
Q1 10:46
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+39
28.2%
Griffin Kell 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:0928% → 29%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
28.3%
Jalon Daniels run for 5 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+14
28.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 14 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
29.2%
Jalon Daniels run for no gain to the Kans 44Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
29.1%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Lawrence ArnoldSimilar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
28.9%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Quentin SkinnerSimilar
Q1 8:25
4TH & 10
OWN 44
+4
28.9%
Reis Vernon punt for 37 yds , Derius Davis returns for 4 yds to the TCU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 3DOWNS
8 plays · 39 yds · 4:1671% → 69%
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+20
29.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 20 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
29.0%
Kendre Miller run for 2 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+7
29.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 7 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+1
29.4%
Kendre Miller run for 1 yd to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
29.5%
Max Duggan run for 7 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+2
29.6%
Kendre Miller run for 2 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q1 4:31
3RD & 1
OPP 38
0
29.9%
Kendre Miller run for no gain to the Kans 38Similar
Q1 3:59
4TH & 1
OPP 38
0
30.6%
Emari Demercado run for no gain to the Kans 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3131% → 31%
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
31.0%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Quentin SkinnerSimilar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
30.9%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q1 2:53
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+1
31.6%
Jalon Daniels run for 1 yd to the Kans 43Similar
Q1 2:21
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
30.8%
Reis Vernon punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 10 , Derius Davis returns for no gain to the TCU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:4969% → 67%
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
31.3%
Max Duggan pass complete to Kendre Miller for 2 yds to the TCU 8Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 12
OWN 8
+7
31.7%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 7 yds to the TCU 15Similar
Q1 0:53
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+8
32.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 8 yds to the TCU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-9
31.7%
Max Duggan sacked by Lonnie Phelps for a loss of 9 yards to the TCU 14Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 19
OWN 14
+3
31.7%
Max Duggan pass complete to Emani Bailey for 3 yds to the TCU 11Similar
Q2 14:43
3RD & 22
OWN 11
+18
32.3%
Max Duggan run for 18 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 4
OWN 29
0
32.7%
Jordy Sandy punt for 41 yds, fair catch by O.J. Burroughs at the Kans 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6DOWNS
7 plays · 38 yds · 3:3832% → 35%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
32.4%
Jalon Daniels run for 3 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+16
32.8%
Ky Thomas run for 16 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+14
34.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 14 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
35.0%
Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 4
OPP 31
0
36.0%
Jalon Daniels run for no gain to the TCU 31Similar
Q2 10:47
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+1
35.5%
Ky Thomas run for 1 yd to the TCU 32 Ky Thomas fumbled, recovered by Kans Ky ThomasSimilar
Q2 10:22
4TH & 5
OPP 32
0
34.6%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Quentin SkinnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:3967% → 65%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
32.8%
Kendre Miller run for 9 yds to the TCU 41Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+2
31.9%
Kendre Miller run for 2 yds to the TCU 39Similar
Q2 9:19
3RD & 3
OWN 39
-5
32.6%
PENALTY TCU False Start (Harris,Wes) 5 yards from TCU39 to TCU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+1
34.2%
Max Duggan run for 1 yd to the TCU 35Similar
Q2 8:33
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
35.0%
Jordy Sandy punt for 46 yds, fair catch by O.J. Burroughs at the Kans 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8FUMBLE
5 plays · 80 yds · 2:2435% → 39%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
34.7%
Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+48
34.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 48 yds to the TCU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+21
37.9%
Devin Neal run for 21 yds to the TCU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
38.3%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the TCU 3Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
38.6%
Jalon Daniels run for 2 yds to the TCU 1 Jalon Daniels fumbled, recovered by TCU Shadrach BanksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 99 yds · 2:2365% → 76%
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+53
34.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 53 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+29
32.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 29 yds to the Kans 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
31.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 1 yd to the Kans 16Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+15
31.7%
Max Duggan run for 15 yds to the Kans 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
31.8%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Jared WileySimilar
Q2 3:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
23.6%
Kendre Miller run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 2:3926% → 28%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
25.8%
Sevion Morrison run for 40 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
28.7%
Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the TCU 32Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+2
29.0%
Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+9
26.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 9 yds to the TCU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
28.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Trevor Kardell for 4 yds to the TCU 17Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 6
OPP 17
0
27.1%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 6
OPP 17
-5
26.0%
Jalon Daniels sacked by Jamoi Hodge for a loss of 5 yards to the TCU 22Similar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 11
OPP 22
+40
28.2%
Jacob Borcila 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 11INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:1775% → 76%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
25.1%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Gunnar HendersonSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
25.4%
Max Duggan run for 7 yds to the TCU 42Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+4
24.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Emani Bailey for 4 yds to the TCU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
23.9%
Max Duggan pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
26.4%
J. Bean takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:5228% → 47%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
28.2%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+52
28.7%
Jason Bean pass complete to Tanaka Scott for 52 yds to the TCU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
32.7%
Jason Bean run for 6 yds to the TCU 12Similar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+12
47.3%
Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 12 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4861% → 59%
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
38.6%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Savion WilliamsSimilar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
39.0%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 4 yds to the TCU 41Similar
Q3 12:09
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
38.5%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Derius DavisSimilar
Q3 12:01
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
40.9%
Jordy Sandy punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5543% → 43%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
43.2%
Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+1
43.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Sevion Morrison for 1 yd to the Kans 23Similar
Q3 10:28
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+6
42.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 6 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q3 9:52
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
42.9%
Reis Vernon punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16FUMBLE
1 play · 10 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
41.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Geor'Quarius Spivey for 10 yds Geor'Quarius Spivey fumbled, recovered by Kans Kenny Logan Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 40 yds · 1:5449% → 69%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
48.8%
Devin Neal run for 8 yds to the TCU 32Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 2
OPP 32
0
50.3%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Torry LocklinSimilar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+4
48.7%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the TCU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+20
50.8%
Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 20 yds to the TCU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
68.9%
Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 8 yds for a TD TCU Penalty, Defensive Holding (Tre'Vius Hodges-Tomlinson) declined, (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 0:5341% → 61%
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
58.8%
Kendre Miller run for 2 yds to the TCU 41Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
59.2%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin JohnstonSimilar
Q3 6:57
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+5
60.3%
(06:57) PENALTY KAN Offside (Phelps,Lonnie) 5 yards from TCU41 to TCU46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:41
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+3
58.4%
Max Duggan pass complete to Savion Williams for 3 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
39.3%
Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 51 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19INT
4 plays · -11 yds · 1:1647% → 45%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
46.9%
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 1 yd to the Kans 31Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+12
47.4%
Jason Bean run for 12 yds to the Kans 19 Jason Bean fumbled, recovered by Kans Ky ThomasSimilar
Q3 4:59
3RD & 21
OWN 19
0
44.6%
Jason Bean pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 20TD
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:5563% → 78%
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
37.5%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Savion WilliamsSimilar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+10
38.1%
Kendre Miller run for 10 yds to the Kans 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
37.6%
Kendre Miller run for 6 yds to the Kans 10Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+7
37.7%
Kendre Miller run for 7 yds to the Kans 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
21.9%
Max Duggan run for 3 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 72 yds · 1:5529% → 49%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
28.5%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+5
28.7%
Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 5 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q3 2:21
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+26
29.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 26 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
53.6%
Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 38 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
49.2%
PENALTY KAN UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Skinner,Quentin) 15 yards from KAN35 to KAN20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 22TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 1:1960% → 79%
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
50
+14
40.3%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 14 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
40.3%
Kendre Miller run for 6 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 4
OPP 30
0
38.7%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Derius DavisSimilar
Q3 0:55
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+5
40.5%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 5 yds to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
21.0%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 25 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23MISSED FG
16 plays · 61 yds · 6:5726% → 26%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
26.2%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the Kans 25Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
26.1%
Devin Neal run for 12 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
27.3%
Devin Neal run for 14 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
30.0%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Lawrence ArnoldSimilar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+8
29.2%
Jason Bean run for 8 yds to the TCU 41Similar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+4
30.0%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
30.4%
Jason Bean run for 11 yds to the TCU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
32.3%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+4
32.3%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the TCU 30 Devin Neal fumbled, recovered by Kans Devin NealSimilar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 14
OPP 30
+12
27.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 12 yds to the TCU 18Similar
Q4 10:39
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+3
28.1%
Quentin Skinner run for 3 yds to the TCU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
30.6%
Jason Bean pass complete to Ky Thomas for 1 yd to the TCU 14Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+3
31.1%
Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the TCU 17Similar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 12
OPP 17
+3
27.9%
Jason Bean run for 3 yds to the TCU 14Similar
Q4 8:03
4TH & 9
OPP 14
+31
25.5%
Jacob Borcila 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1281% → 81%
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
18.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 3 yds to the TCU 23Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
18.0%
Kendre Miller run for 3 yds to the TCU 26Similar
Q4 6:47
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
17.9%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin JohnstonSimilar
Q4 6:40
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
19.4%
Jordy Sandy punt for 35 yds, fair catch by O.J. Burroughs at the Kans 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 25TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 2:0723% → 63%
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
23.2%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+9
23.4%
Jason Bean run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
50
-10
24.9%
(05:33) Shotgun Locklin,Torry rush right for 4 yards gain to the TCU46, out of bounds at TCU46 PENALTY KAN Holding (Cabeldue,Bryce) 10 yards from KAN50 to KAN40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 20
OWN 40
+31
21.3%
Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 31 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
63.3%
Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 29 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 26TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 2:2052% → 92%
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
47.7%
Max Duggan pass complete to Kendre Miller for 7 yds to the TCU 39Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+17
44.7%
Kendre Miller run for 17 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
43.2%
Kendre Miller run for 1 yd to the Kans 43Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+17
43.4%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 17 yds to the Kans 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
40.7%
Kendre Miller run for 2 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+24
7.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 24 yds for a TD KANSAS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference ( Yards) declined, (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 27DOWNS
11 plays · 19 yds · 0:4619% → 14%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
19.0%
(01:28) Shotgun Neal,Devin rush middle for 0 yards to the KAN47 (Hodges-Tomlinson,Tre'Vius), out of bounds PENALTY KAN Holding (Novitsky,Mike) 10 yards from KAN47 to KAN37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 20
OWN 37
0
16.0%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 20
OWN 37
+9
15.0%
Jason Bean run for 9 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q4 0:58
3RD & 11
OWN 46
+19
15.0%
Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 19 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
23.1%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Douglas EmilienSimilar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
22.3%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Devin NealSimilar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+1
16.7%
Jason Bean pass complete to Devin Neal for 1 yd to the TCU 34Similar
Q4 0:37
4TH & 9
OPP 34
0
14.3%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Lawrence ArnoldSimilar
Q4 0:37
4TH & 9
OPP 34
0
14.3%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Lawrence ArnoldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
4.7%
M. Duggan takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:21
Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 29 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)
+42
TD · Q4 1:36
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 24 yds for a TD KANSAS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference ( Yards) declined, (Griffin Kell KICK)
-32.8
TD · Q3 1:50
Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 38 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)
+24.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com