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KSU

Kansas State 10 at Iowa State 9

ISU
2022 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2022 · Jack Trice Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadKSU aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreKSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Kneel down by MARTINEZ, Adrian at ISU27 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingGarbage-time factor
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 9:22: Jace Gilbert 35 yd FG GOOD — ISU win probability +0.8 pts (now 47%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 0:48: Jace Gilbert 43 yd FG GOOD — ISU win probability +12.6 pts (now 59%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 7:14: Chris Tennant 30 yd FG GOOD — KSU win probability +17.4 pts (now 62%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 7:14: Timeout IOWA ST, clock 07:14 — ISU win probability +15.3 pts (now 53%) (top driver: Offense has -3 timeouts left).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00: Kneel down by MARTINEZ, Adrian at ISU27 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00. — KSU win probability +22.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10KSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 13:17ISU 4th & 4 at ISU 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:22ISU 4th & 7 at KSU 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.1%
    79% to make
    Punt
    47.0%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:30KSU 4th & 10 at KSU 46, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:47ISU 4th & 7 at KSU 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    46.3%−3.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:19KSU 4th & 14 at ISU 45, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    48.9%−0.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    49.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:26ISU 4th & 6 at ISU 16, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−0.8
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:12ISU 4th & 9 at ISU 48, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:29KSU 4th & 3 at KSU 36, up 1
    Close callPunted · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:28KSU 4th & 8 at KSU 27, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%−1.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:07ISU 4th & 3 at ISU 31, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:15KSU 4th & 2 at ISU 15, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.0%−1.5
    83% to make
    Punt
    39.6%−12.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:48ISU 4th & 2 at KSU 25, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.1%−2.7
    66% to make
    Punt
    35.7%−16.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:33KSU 4th & 2 at KSU 44, down 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%−1.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:17ISU 4th & 11 at ISU 16, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−5.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:14KSU 4th & 4 at ISU 12, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−4.5
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    26.0%−18.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:37ISU 4th & 6 at KSU 45, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    43.9%−2.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%−2.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:24KSU 4th & 4 at KSU 14, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−4.9
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:29ISU 4th & 7 at KSU 49, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    38.1%−3.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:23KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 1:4347% → 47%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
46.6%
Jirehl Brock run for 5 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
46.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
46.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 9 yds to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
46.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+6
46.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 6 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
46.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:17
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
47.0%
Tyler Perkins punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2TD
4 plays · 86 yds · 0:5453% → 54%
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
47.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the KanSt 19Similar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 5
OWN 19
0
47.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:23
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+81
46.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 81 yds for a TD, (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3FG
9 plays · 74 yds · 2:5446% → 47%
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
46.0%
Jirehl Brock run for no gain to the IowSt 8Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+3
46.0%
Jirehl Brock run for 3 yds to the IowSt 11Similar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 7
OWN 11
+5
46.0%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Offsides (Eli Huggins) to the IowSt 16Similar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+38
46.0%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 38 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+25
46.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to DeShawn Hanika for 25 yds to the KanSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
46.5%
Jirehl Brock run for 3 yds to the KanSt 18Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 7
OPP 18
0
46.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 7
OPP 18
0
46.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:22
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+35
47.2%
Jace Gilbert 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:5253% → 53%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
47.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 21 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
46.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 45Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+1
46.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd to the KanSt 46Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
47.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:30
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
47.5%
Ty Zentner punt for 50 yds, downed at the IowSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5FG
16 plays · 69 yds · 7:4345% → 47%
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
45.3%
Jirehl Brock run for 4 yds to the IowSt 8Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+4
45.1%
Jirehl Brock run for 4 yds to the IowSt 12Similar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 2
OWN 12
+4
44.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 4 yds to the IowSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
45.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for no gain to the IowSt 16Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+11
45.2%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 11 yds to the IowSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
45.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 9 yds to the IowSt 36Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+13
46.0%
Deon Silas run for 13 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-4
46.1%
Hunter Dekkers sacked by Brendan Mott for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 45Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 14
OWN 45
-10
45.5%
IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dimitri Stanley) to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
46.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 8 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 2
OPP 33
0
46.6%
Jirehl Brock run for no gain to the KanSt 33Similar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+3
46.2%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 3 yds to the KanSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
47.4%
Jirehl Brock run for 3 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
47.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 27
0
46.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:47
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+44
47.1%
Jace Gilbert 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 5:1953% → 52%
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
47.4%
Adrian Martinez run for 9 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q2 14:38
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
46.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
46.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q2 14:38
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+5
46.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 5 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
46.2%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the KanSt 47Similar
Q2 14:38
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+12
46.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 12 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-3
45.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 44Similar
Q2 14:38
2ND & 13
OPP 44
+3
46.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q2 14:38
3RD & 10
OPP 41
-4
46.3%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Will McDonald IV for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 45Similar
Q2 9:19
4TH & 14
OPP 45
0
48.3%
Ty Zentner punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:5346% → 43%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
45.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 6 yds to the IowSt 18Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+2
45.7%
Jirehl Brock run for 2 yds to the IowSt 20Similar
Q2 9:19
3RD & 2
OWN 20
-4
44.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jirehl Brock for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 16Similar
Q2 7:26
4TH & 6
OWN 16
0
43.1%
Tyler Perkins punt for 52 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for no gain to the KanSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8FUMBLE
3 plays · 68 yds · 1:0154% → 53%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
45.7%
Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the KanSt 32Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
46.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:25
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+68
47.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Malik Knowles for 68 yds Malik Knowles fumbled, recovered by IowSt Colby ReederSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:1345% → 44%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
44.6%
Jirehl Brock run for 3 yds to the IowSt 23Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+24
44.5%
Hunter Dekkers run for 24 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
47.3%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 42Similar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+6
45.4%
Hunter Dekkers run for 6 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
47.0%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:25
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
45.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:12
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
43.9%
Tyler Perkins punt for 46 yds, downed at the KanSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:4353% → 50%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
47.1%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+4
47.4%
DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the KanSt 10Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 6
OWN 10
+19
48.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 19 yds to the KanSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-12
46.2%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Will McDonald IV for a loss of 12 yards to the KanSt 17Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 22
OWN 17
+15
47.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 15 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+4
49.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
50.5%
Ty Zentner punt for 29 yds, downed at the IowSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -7 yds · 1:2947% → 46%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-11
46.5%
Hunter Dekkers sacked by Felix Anudike-Uzomah for a loss of 11 yards to the IowSt 24Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 21
OWN 24
+4
45.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 4 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:3253% → 51%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
47.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 7 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
45.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the KanSt 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
47.0%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
48.1%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:28
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+1
49.5%
Ty Zentner punt for 50 yds , Jaylin Noel returns for 1 yd to the IowSt 24Similar
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
49.4%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Darrell Simmons Jr.) to the IowSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2149% → 48%
Q3 13:28
1ST & 15
OWN 19
0
49.1%
Jirehl Brock run for no gain to the IowSt 19Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 15
OWN 19
0
49.0%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 15
OWN 19
+12
47.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 12 yds to the IowSt 31Similar
Q3 12:07
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
47.8%
Tyler Perkins punt for 47 yds, downed at the KanSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14MISSED FG
12 plays · 63 yds · 5:5253% → 55%
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
47.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Malik Knowles for 7 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+1
45.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 30Similar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+4
46.6%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
45.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Malik Knowles for 13 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
43.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 9 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+8
43.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Malik Knowles for 8 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+13
43.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 13 yds to the IowSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
41.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the IowSt 20Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+6
41.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 6 yds to the IowSt 14Similar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 1
OPP 14
-1
43.2%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Colby Reeder for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 15Similar
Q3 6:15
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+33
44.9%
Chris Tennant 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 5:2749% → 59%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
48.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 13 yds to the IowSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
49.4%
Deon Silas run for 6 yds to the IowSt 39Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+6
52.8%
Jirehl Brock run for 6 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
52.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
50.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+12
49.0%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 12 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
54.0%
Deon Silas run for 7 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+3
53.9%
Deon Silas run for 3 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
55.4%
Deon Silas run for 5 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+3
55.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 3 yds to the KanSt 25Similar
Q3 0:53
3RD & 2
OPP 25
0
46.0%
Jirehl Brock run for no gain to the KanSt 25Similar
Q3 0:48
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+43
58.6%
Jace Gilbert 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:0944% → 44%
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
56.5%
MARTINEZ, Adrian pass up the middle incomplete intended for WARNER, Kade thrown to the ISU38. PENALTY ISU Pass Interference on TAMPA, T.J. enforced 15 yards to the KSU36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
54.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
56.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 8 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 44
0
53.0%
Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the KanSt 44Similar
Q4 14:33
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
55.6%
Ty Zentner punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:1658% → 55%
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
57.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 5 yds to the IowSt 22Similar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 5
OWN 22
-5
57.7%
Deon Silas run for a loss of 5 yards to the IowSt 17Similar
Q4 14:33
3RD & 10
OWN 17
-5
55.7%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (DeShawn Hanika) to the IowSt 12Similar
Q4 14:33
3RD & 15
OWN 12
+4
55.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Eli Sanders for 4 yds to the IowSt 16Similar
Q4 12:17
4TH & 11
OWN 16
0
55.4%
Tyler Perkins punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18FG
12 plays · 45 yds · 5:0346% → 62%
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
54.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+12
53.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Malik Knowles for 12 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
55.6%
Malik Knowles pass complete to Adrian Martinez for 11 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
53.7%
DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+4
53.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the IowSt 25Similar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+7
55.2%
Adrian Martinez run for 7 yds to the IowSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
53.0%
DJ Giddens run for 1 yd to the IowSt 17Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+5
53.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 5 yds to the IowSt 12Similar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 4
OPP 12
0
55.1%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:14
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+30
37.7%
Chris Tennant 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3151% → 43%
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
50.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+1
49.9%
Deon Silas run for 1 yd to the KanSt 48Similar
Q4 7:08
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+3
48.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 3 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q4 5:37
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
43.1%
Tyler Perkins punt for 37 yds, downed at the KanSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:1359% → 59%
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
41.5%
DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the KanSt 12Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+5
42.4%
DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the KanSt 17Similar
Q4 5:37
3RD & 1
OWN 17
-3
44.3%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 14Similar
Q4 3:24
4TH & 4
OWN 14
+14
40.8%
Ty Zentner punt for 52 yds , Jaylin Noel returns for 14 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5538% → 32%
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
38.2%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
37.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:36
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+3
31.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 3 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q4 2:29
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
31.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22END OF GAME
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:2270% → 96%
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
29.8%
DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+9
29.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 9 yds to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
29.1%
DJ Giddens run for 8 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+4
26.2%
DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the IowSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
4.0%
Kneel down by MARTINEZ, Adrian at ISU27 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00
Kneel down by MARTINEZ, Adrian at ISU27 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.
-22.3
FG · Q4 7:14
Chris Tennant 30 yd FG GOOD
-17.4
FG · Q4 7:14
Timeout IOWA ST, clock 07:14
+15.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com