Try the model
WVU

West Virginia 20 at Texas 38

TEX
2022 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2022 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:34: Xavier Worthy pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 33 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK) — TEX win probability +4.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:54: Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Bryce Ford-Wheaton) declined, (Bert Auburn KICK) — TEX win probability +6.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:22: Hudson Card pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 13 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK) — TEX win probability +5.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:13: JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 8 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK) — WVU win probability +6.8 pts (now 8%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:03: Hudson Card pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 44 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK) — TEX win probability +4.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 2 of 3WVU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 12:32WVU 4th & 9 at WVU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:40TEX 4th & 24 at TEX 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:16WVU 4th & 2 at TEX 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    30.5%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    30.5%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:56WVU 4th & 16 at WVU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:08WVU 4th & 3 at WVU 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:35WVU 4th & 12 at WVU 46, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:52WVU 4th & 10 at TEX 41, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−0.3
    32% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:13WVU 4th & 15 at TEX 34, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%
    47% to make
    Punt
    1.5%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:27TEX 4th & 26 at TEX 30, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:27WVU 4th & 1 at TEX 10, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−0.3
    88% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:22TEX 4th & 4 at WVU 27, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:22WVU 4th & 2 at TEX 29, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WVU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 6:08TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:34TEX Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:54TEX Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:22TEX Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:13WVU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:03TEX Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:56WVU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:31WVU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    2.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:2324% → 24%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
76.2%
PENALTY WVU False Start (Hubbard,Ja'Quay) 5 yards from WVU17 to WVU12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 15
OWN 12
+2
76.2%
JT Daniels pass complete to Sam James for 2 yds to the WVirg 14Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 13
OWN 14
+27
76.2%
JT Daniels pass complete to Sam James for 27 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
76.2%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Kaden PratherSimilar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
76.2%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 1 yd to the WVirg 42Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
76.2%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q1 12:32
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
75.7%
Oliver Straw punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Xavier Worthy at the Texas 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:5276% → 75%
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+11
75.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 11 yds to the Texas 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
75.7%
Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Texas 26Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
75.7%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Bijan RobinsonSimilar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 8
OWN 26
-11
75.5%
Hudson Card sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the Texas 15Similar
Q1 12:32
4TH & 19
OWN 15
-5
75.5%
PENALTY TEX False Start (Robinson,Keilan) 5 yards from TEX15 to TEX10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 24
OWN 10
0
74.9%
Daniel Trejo punt for 38 yds , Mumu Bin-Wahad returns for no gain to the Texas 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2425% → 25%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
74.8%
CJ Donaldson run for 3 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+5
74.8%
JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 5 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 2
OPP 40
0
74.8%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Mike O'LaughlinSimilar
Q1 9:16
4TH & 2
OPP 40
0
74.7%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 3:0875% → 77%
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
75.2%
Hudson Card pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 11 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
75.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 15 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
75.6%
Bijan Robinson run for 7 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+2
75.6%
Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+5
75.4%
Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the WVirg 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
75.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 5 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+15
77.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 15 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:1223% → 23%
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
76.6%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 1 yd to the WVirg 24Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
76.6%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 3 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q1 6:08
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+18
76.8%
JT Daniels pass complete to Sam James for 18 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
76.1%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Brian PolendeySimilar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
76.3%
CJ Donaldson run for 2 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q1 6:08
3RD & 8
OWN 47
-8
76.3%
JT Daniels sacked by Moro Ojomo for a loss of 8 yards to the WVirg 39Similar
Q1 2:56
4TH & 16
OWN 39
0
77.2%
Oliver Straw punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Xavier Worthy at the Texas 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 2:2277% → 82%
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
76.9%
Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Texas 25Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+31
76.8%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 31 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
77.7%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+8
77.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Keilan Robinson for 8 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+3
77.4%
Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
82.1%
Xavier Worthy pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 33 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5220% → 19%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.4%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
80.2%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
80.2%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q2 14:08
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
80.6%
Oliver Straw punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 2:1482% → 89%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
81.9%
Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+22
81.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 22 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+24
82.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 24 yds to the WVirg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
82.6%
Bijan Robinson run for 7 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+13
82.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Card,Hudson pass incomplete short middle to Cain,Casey PENALTY WVU Pass Interference (McLaurin,Hershey) 13 yards from WVU15 to WVU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
82.6%
Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the WVirg 1Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.0%
Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Bryce Ford-Wheaton) declined, (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 4:1911% → 10%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
88.6%
JT Daniels pass complete to Reese Smith for 9 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
88.1%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 4 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
88.3%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+6
88.3%
JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 6 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+2
88.1%
CJ Donaldson run for 2 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
88.2%
JT Daniels sacked by Barryn Sorrell for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 43Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 15
OWN 43
+3
88.8%
JT Daniels pass complete to Sam James for 3 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 12
OWN 46
0
88.8%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q2 7:35
4TH & 12
OWN 46
0
90.4%
Oliver Straw punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Xavier Worthy at the Texas 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 3:1391% → 97%
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+10
91.3%
Hudson Card run for 10 yds to the Texas 3Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 20
OWN 3
+15
91.2%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jordan Jefferson) to the Texas 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
91.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Card,Hudson pass complete short middle to Robinson,Keilan for 1 yard loss to the TEX20 (Floyd,Marcis; Martin,Sean) PENALTY TEX Holding (Sanders,Ja'Tavion) 10 yards from TEX21 to TEX11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 20
OWN 11
+32
91.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Keilan Robinson for 17 yds to the Texas 28 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Lee Kpogba) to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+45
91.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 45 yds to the WVirg 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
91.6%
Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the WVirg 13Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+13
97.0%
Hudson Card pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 13 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11TD
17 plays · 83 yds · 4:043% → 8%
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
97.5%
JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 11 yds to the WVirg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
97.4%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 14 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
97.3%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+17
97.3%
JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 17 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
97.2%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Texas 37Similar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 6
OPP 37
0
97.1%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Brian PolendeySimilar
Q2 4:17
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+4
97.2%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 4 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 10
OPP 41
+21
98.3%
JT Daniels pass complete to Sam James for 21 yds to the Texas 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
98.0%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Texas 19Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
98.0%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Kaden PratherSimilar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+11
98.2%
JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 11 yds to the Texas 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
98.0%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q2 0:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
91.6%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 8 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12END OF HALF
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:1295% → 96%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
95.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 6 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
95.4%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Tarique MiltonSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
95.6%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Agiye HallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 1:5194% → 99%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
94.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Keilan Robinson for 1 yd to the Texas 31Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+6
94.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 6 yds to the Texas 37Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+6
94.2%
Bijan Robinson run for 6 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
94.5%
Bijan Robinson run for 13 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
98.7%
Hudson Card pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 44 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14DOWNS
8 plays · 41 yds · 1:501% → 2%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.8%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 9 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
98.5%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+32
98.7%
JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 32 yds to the Texas 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
98.5%
JT Daniels sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 34Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 15
OPP 34
0
98.6%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Cortez BrahamSimilar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 15
OPP 34
0
98.7%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q3 11:13
4TH & 15
OPP 34
0
98.5%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Kaden PratherSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · -4 yds · 3:4699% → 99%
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
98.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 5 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+4
98.9%
Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q3 11:13
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+3
98.8%
Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
98.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Card,Hudson pass complete deep middle to Worthy,Xavier for 18 yards to the WVU36 (Spells,Jacolby) PENALTY TEX Holding (Conner,Hayden) 10 yards from TEX46 to TEX36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:13
1ST & 20
OWN 36
-10
98.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Card,Hudson pass complete short right to Sanders,Ja'Tavion for 9 yards to the TEX45 (Jefferson,Jordan; Kpogba,Lee) PENALTY TEX Illegal Block in Back (Jones,Christian) 10 yards from TEX36 to TEX26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:13
1ST & 30
OWN 26
-6
98.9%
Hudson Card sacked by Lee Kpogba for a loss of 6 yards to the Texas 20Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 36
OWN 20
+10
98.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 10 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q3 11:13
3RD & 26
OWN 30
0
98.9%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q3 7:27
4TH & 26
OWN 30
0
99.3%
Daniel Trejo punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Mumu Bin-Wahad at the WVirg 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16TD
19 plays · 65 yds · 7:311% → 2%
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.3%
JT Daniels pass complete to CJ Donaldson for 4 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+5
99.3%
JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 5 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
99.3%
CJ Donaldson run for 2 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.3%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 5 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+3
99.3%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 3 yds to the Texas 46Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+3
99.3%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 3 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.3%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for no gain to the Texas 43Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+6
99.3%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 6 yds to the Texas 37Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+8
99.3%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 8 yds to the Texas 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
99.2%
JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 6 yds to the Texas 23Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+4
99.1%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 4 yds to the Texas 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.2%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Reese SmithSimilar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+3
99.2%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 3 yds to the Texas 16Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+6
99.3%
JT Daniels pass complete to Reese Smith for 6 yds to the Texas 10Similar
Q3 7:27
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+4
98.7%
JT Daniels run for 4 yds to the Texas 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.2%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q3 7:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
99.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Mathis,Tony rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TEX03 (Ford,Jaylan) PENALTY TEX Offside offsetting WVU Holding offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
99.7%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 4 yds to the Texas 2 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (D'Shawn Jamison) to the Texas 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.6%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17FG
12 plays · 48 yds · 4:3498% → 99%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.1%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Roschon JohnsonSimilar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.1%
Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Texas 28Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+17
98.1%
Hudson Card run for 17 yds to the Texas 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
98.3%
Roschon Johnson run for 8 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+4
98.3%
Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
98.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 10 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
98.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 7 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+3
98.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 3 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+2
98.3%
Roschon Johnson run for 2 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q4 10:22
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+45
99.2%
Bert Auburn 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 5:511% → 3%
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.7%
JT Daniels pass complete to Reese Smith for 6 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
98.6%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the WVirg 31Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
98.6%
JT Daniels pass complete to Sam James for 6 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
98.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Daniels,JT pass incomplete short right to Johnson Jr.,Justin PENALTY TEX Roughing The Passer (Sweat,T'Vondre) 15 yards from WVU37 to TEX48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
98.6%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 1 yd to the Texas 49Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+3
98.6%
JT Daniels pass complete to Justin Johnson Jr. for 3 yds to the Texas 46Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+9
98.6%
JT Daniels pass complete to Sam James for 9 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
98.6%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
98.6%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 12
OPP 39
+10
98.6%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 10 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q4 10:22
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+6
98.5%
JT Daniels pass complete to Tony Mathis Jr. for 6 yds to the Texas 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
98.3%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 5 yds to the Texas 18Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+14
98.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Daniels,JT pass incomplete short left to James,Sam, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TEX Pass Interference (Barron,Jahdae) 14 yards from TEX18 to TEX04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.4%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Reese SmithSimilar
Q4 10:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.4%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q4 4:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.2%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 19END OF GAME
10 plays · 45 yds · 4:2598% → 99%
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
98.4%
Bijan Robinson run for 8 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+3
98.5%
Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
98.5%
Bijan Robinson run for 6 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+6
98.5%
Bijan Robinson run for 6 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
98.5%
Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+16
99.2%
Bijan Robinson run for 16 yds to the WVirg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
99.2%
Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the WVirg 18Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 18
-1
99.3%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:13
JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 8 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)
-6.8
TD · Q2 11:54
Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Bryce Ford-Wheaton) declined, (Bert Auburn KICK)
+6.4
TD · Q2 4:22
Hudson Card pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 13 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK)
+5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com