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ISU

Iowa State 11 at Kansas 14

KU
2022 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2022 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:29 · Jace Gilbert 38 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialBlowout margin
+24.0+12.00−12.0−24.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 32Pregame prior−7.0Home team on offense−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−1.0Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:30: Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK) — KU win probability +6.2 pts (now 55%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:25: Jalon Daniels run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK) — KU win probability +9.2 pts (now 70%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:51: Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Easton Dean for 9 yds for a TD, (B. Clark Run For Two-point Conversion) — ISU win probability +10.4 pts (now 44%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:57: Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Jaylin Noel — ISU win probability +12.7 pts (now 31%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00: Jalon Daniels run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 18 — KU win probability +15.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7ISU made the numbers' call on 10 of 13
  1. Q1 11:41ISU 4th & 16 at ISU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:06KU 4th & 17 at ISU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:00ISU 4th & 7 at KU 28, tied
    Close callWent for it · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.8%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    54.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    53.4%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:29ISU 4th & 11 at KU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.3%
    74% to make
    Punt
    52.0%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:10ISU 4th & 9 at ISU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:10ISU 4th & 9 at ISU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:16KU 4th & 8 at midfield, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:50KU 4th & 5 at ISU 32, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%−0.3
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.4%
    51% to make
    Punt
    59.3%−2.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00ISU 4th & 5 at KU 47, down 6
    Close callWent for it · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.8%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    42.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:52KU 4th & 3 at ISU 45, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    61.8%−3.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:27ISU 4th & 7 at KU 18, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−1.5
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.2%
    79% to make
    Punt
    25.1%−12.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:44KU 4th & 8 at ISU 38, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    60.6%−0.9
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.5%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:22ISU 4th & 7 at KU 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    35.5%−1.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    35.5%−1.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:26ISU 4th & 8 at KU 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−1.9
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    26.4%−11.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:57KU 4th & 10 at KU 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%−3.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:03ISU 4th & 1 at KU 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.7%−5.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:21ISU 4th & 12 at KU 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−1.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:02KU 4th & 18 at KU 12, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−14.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:33ISU 4th & 3 at KU 36, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.1%−1.0
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    25.0%
    42% to make
    Punt
    13.8%−11.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:27ISU 4th & 1 at KU 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−9.4
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    8.4%−25.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ISU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q2 11:30KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:25KU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:51ISU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    39.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    38.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:5359% → 58%
Q1 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
41.0%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 10 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
41.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 6 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+8
41.2%
Jirehl Brock run for 8 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
41.2%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 5 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+1
41.3%
Deon Silas run for 1 yd to the Kans 47Similar
Q1 12:28
3RD & 6
OPP 47
-10
41.4%
Hunter Dekkers sacked by Taiwan Berryhill for a loss of 10 yards to the IowSt 43Similar
Q1 11:41
4TH & 16
OWN 43
0
42.1%
Tyler Perkins punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 3:2542% → 43%
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
42.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 6 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+3
42.2%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+30
42.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Jared Casey for 30 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
43.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Lawrence ArnoldSimilar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+1
43.3%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the IowSt 40Similar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+6
43.3%
Jason Bean run for 16 yds to the IowSt 24 KANSAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jared Casey) to the IowSt 48Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 17
OPP 48
0
42.8%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for no gain to the IowSt 48Similar
Q1 8:06
4TH & 17
OPP 48
0
42.7%
Reis Vernon punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3MISSED FG
16 plays · 63 yds · 7:2057% → 56%
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+18
42.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 18 yds to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
42.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+9
42.9%
Deon Silas run for 9 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+6
42.5%
(06:48) Dekkers,Hunter rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU45 (Young,Craig) PENALTY KAN Offside (Phelps,Lonnie) 6 yards from ISU43 to ISU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
42.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
42.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 5 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+15
42.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 15 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
42.2%
Hunter Dekkers run for no gain to the Kans 31Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+10
42.3%
run for 10 yds to the Kans 41 fumbled, recovered by IowSt Eli SandersSimilar
Q1 3:43
3RD & 20
OPP 41
+13
43.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 13 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q1 3:00
4TH & 7
OPP 28
+8
43.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 8 yds to the Kans 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
41.8%
Eli Sanders run for 3 yds to the Kans 17Similar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 7
OPP 17
-11
41.9%
Hunter Dekkers sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the Kans 28Similar
Q1 0:59
3RD & 18
OPP 28
+7
43.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 7 yds to the Kans 21Similar
Q1 0:29
4TH & 11
OPP 21
+38
44.1%
Jace Gilbert 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 3:3045% → 55%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
45.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 8 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+14
46.1%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 14 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
46.9%
(14:31) Shotgun Daniels,Jalon pass incomplete short left to Grimm,Luke broken up by Purchase,Myles PENALTY ISU Pass Interference (Purchase,Myles) 15 yards from KAN43 to ISU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
47.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Tanaka Scott for 4 yds to the IowSt 38Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+3
47.7%
Jalon Daniels run for 3 yds to the IowSt 35Similar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+30
47.7%
Devin Neal run for 30 yds to the IowSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
48.8%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the IowSt 4Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
54.9%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · -14 yds · 1:1047% → 45%
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
52.8%
Deon Silas run for 1 yd to the IowSt 26Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
53.2%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Deon SilasSimilar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
54.0%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Deon Silas for no gain to the IowSt 26Similar
Q2 10:10
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
55.0%
Tyler Perkins punt for 41 yds, fair catch by O.J. Burroughs at the Kans 33Similar
Q2 10:10
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
55.0%
Tyler Perkins punt for 41 yds, fair catch by O.J. Burroughs at the Kans 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:3860% → 58%
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
59.8%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 8
50
0
59.6%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Lawrence ArnoldSimilar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 8
50
0
58.7%
KANSAS Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 9:16
4TH & 8
50
0
57.7%
Reis Vernon punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7INT
3 plays · -2 yds · 1:0445% → 43%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
55.0%
Deon Silas run for 5 yds to the IowSt 2Similar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 15
OWN 2
+3
55.4%
Deon Silas run for 3 yds to the IowSt 5Similar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 12
OWN 5
0
57.0%
Hunter Dekkers pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:1962% → 70%
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
62.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 10 yds to the IowSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
61.4%
Jalon Daniels run for 6 yds to the IowSt 3Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
60.7%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the IowSt 2Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
70.0%
Jalon Daniels run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:3432% → 44%
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
67.8%
PENALTY ISU Delay Of Game 5 yards from ISU25 to ISU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
68.3%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the IowSt 21Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+6
69.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 6 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
69.4%
(04:26) No Huddle-Shotgun Dekkers,Hunter pass incomplete short left to Hutchinson,Xavier PENALTY KAN Pass Interference (Bryant,Cobee) 15 yards from ISU27 to ISU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+53
68.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 53 yds to the Kans 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
65.7%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the Kans 4Similar
Q2 3:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
66.0%
PENALTY ISU False Start (Miller,Tyler) 5 yards from KAN04 to KAN09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
66.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Dimitri StanleySimilar
Q2 2:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
56.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Easton Dean for 9 yds for a TD, (B. Clark Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10MISSED FG
7 plays · 43 yds · 1:5360% → 61%
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
60.4%
Devin Neal run for 13 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+25
60.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 25 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
62.8%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 5 yds to the IowSt 32Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 5
OPP 32
0
63.4%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 5
OPP 32
0
62.5%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Lawrence ArnoldSimilar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+50
61.0%
Jacob Borcila 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11DOWNS
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:4540% → 37%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
59.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Easton Dean for 15 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
57.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Dimitri StanleySimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
58.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Dimitri StanleySimilar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+5
59.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Eli Sanders for 5 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 47
-8
62.9%
Hunter Dekkers sacked by Craig Young for a loss of 8 yards to the IowSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:5361% → 64%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
61.4%
Jalon Daniels run for 2 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q3 13:49
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+11
61.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Douglas Emilien for 11 yds to the Kans 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
62.6%
Devin Neal run for 14 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
64.9%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the Kans 48Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
64.6%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 4 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+3
64.5%
Jalon Daniels run for 3 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
Q3 10:52
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
63.7%
Reis Vernon punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13FG
13 plays · 62 yds · 5:1439% → 44%
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
60.8%
Deon Silas run for 6 yds to the IowSt 26Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+3
60.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Deon Silas for 3 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
61.4%
Deon Silas run for 2 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
61.2%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Deon Silas for 3 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+7
61.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 7 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+23
60.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 23 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
58.7%
Hunter Dekkers run for 8 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+7
56.8%
Eli Sanders run for 7 yds to the Kans 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
57.0%
Eli Sanders run for 3 yds to the Kans 18Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 7
OPP 18
0
57.2%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Sean Shaw Jr.Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 7
OPP 18
0
59.2%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q3 5:27
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+35
56.4%
Jace Gilbert 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:2563% → 62%
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
63.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 7 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+8
64.1%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 8 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
64.5%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Quentin SkinnerSimilar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
64.2%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 2 yds to the IowSt 38Similar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 8
OPP 38
0
63.4%
Jason Bean run for no gain to the IowSt 38Similar
Q3 2:44
4TH & 8
OPP 38
0
61.5%
Reis Vernon punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15MISSED FG
20 plays · 72 yds · 5:5640% → 41%
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
60.5%
Hunter Dekkers run for 1 yd to the IowSt 2Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 9
OWN 2
0
61.2%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q3 1:52
3RD & 9
OWN 2
+11
62.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 11 yds to the IowSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
60.2%
Eli Sanders run for 3 yds to the IowSt 16Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+1
60.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 1 yd to the IowSt 17Similar
Q3 0:23
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+5
62.3%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun Dekkers,Hunter sacked for loss of 4 yards to the ISU13 (Sampson,Caleb) PENALTY KAN Offside (Phelps,Lonnie) 5 yards from ISU17 to ISU22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+2
61.1%
Eli Sanders run for 2 yds to the IowSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
60.4%
Hunter Dekkers run for 8 yds to the IowSt 32Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+12
58.6%
Deon Silas run for 12 yds to the IowSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
58.0%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Sean Shaw Jr.Similar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+13
59.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 13 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-6
56.2%
Hunter Dekkers sacked by Sam Burt for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 49Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 16
OPP 49
0
60.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Eli SandersSimilar
Q4 12:52
3RD & 16
OPP 49
+9
62.2%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 9 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q4 12:22
4TH & 7
OPP 40
+11
60.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 11 yds to the Kans 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
53.0%
Deon Silas run for 2 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
53.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Sean Shaw Jr.Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 8
OPP 27
0
56.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q4 11:26
4TH & 8
OPP 27
+45
59.4%
Jace Gilbert 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:1365% → 63%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
65.2%
Jalon Daniels run for 3 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+3
66.4%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
64.5%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Lawrence ArnoldSimilar
Q4 9:57
4TH & 10
OWN 28
+1
63.3%
Reis Vernon punt for 44 yds , Jaylin Noel returns for 1 yd to the IowSt 29 Jaylin Noel fumbled, recovered by Kans Torry LocklinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · -13 yds · 0:3672% → 70%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
71.7%
Jalon Daniels run for 4 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 14
OPP 33
+9
70.1%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 9 yds to the IowSt 42 Daniel Hishaw Jr. fumbled, recovered by IowSt O'Rien VanceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 3:3438% → 34%
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
61.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 6 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+4
60.1%
Deon Silas run for 4 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q4 7:37
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+7
63.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 7 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q4 7:03
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+3
61.5%
Deon Silas run for 3 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
59.0%
Deon Silas run for 1 yd to the Kans 45Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 9
OPP 45
-3
58.7%
Hunter Dekkers sacked by Lonnie Phelps for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 48Similar
Q4 5:28
3RD & 12
OPP 48
0
62.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Easton DeanSimilar
Q4 5:21
4TH & 12
OPP 48
0
66.3%
Tyler Perkins punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · -8 yds · 2:1373% → 82%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
73.3%
(05:21) Shotgun Neal,Devin rush right for 1 yard gain to the KAN21 (Vance,O'Rien; Jackson,Kendell) PENALTY KAN Holding (Puni,Dominick) 10 yards from KAN20 to KAN10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 20
OWN 10
-5
74.4%
(05:00) Shotgun Daniels,Jalon pass complete deep middle to Fairchild,Mason for 17 yards to the KAN27 (Tampa,T.J.) PENALTY KAN Ineligible Downfield on Pass 5 yards from KAN10 to KAN05. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 25
OWN 5
+7
79.1%
Devin Neal run for 7 yds to the Kans 12Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 18
OWN 12
+6
79.3%
Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the Kans 18Similar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 12
OWN 18
-6
81.3%
Jalon Daniels sacked by MJ Anderson for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 12Similar
Q4 3:02
4TH & 18
OWN 12
+7
81.8%
Reis Vernon punt for 38 yds , Jaylin Noel returns for 7 yds to the Kans 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20MISSED FG
10 plays · 23 yds · 2:3031% → 20%
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
69.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Jaylin NoelSimilar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+7
69.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 7 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q4 2:04
3RD & 3
OPP 36
0
72.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for no gain to the Kans 36Similar
Q4 1:33
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+7
73.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Deon Silas for 7 yds to the Kans 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
67.2%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Jaylin NoelSimilar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
69.0%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Jaylin NoelSimilar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+5
73.4%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun Dekkers,Hunter rush middle for 6 yards gain to the KAN23 (Miller,Rich) PENALTY KAN Illegal Substitution 5 yards from KAN29 to KAN24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+4
69.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 4 yds to the Kans 20Similar
Q4 0:27
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+37
80.3%
Jace Gilbert 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
95.7%
Jalon Daniels run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00
Jalon Daniels run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 18
+15.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:57
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Jaylin Noel
-12.7
TD · Q2 2:51
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Easton Dean for 9 yds for a TD, (B. Clark Run For Two-point Conversion)
-10.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com