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TULN

Tulane 17 at Kansas State 10

KSU
2022 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2022 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:38 · Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the Tulan 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 155Pregame prior+3.4Home team on offense+3.6Garbage-time factor−1.4Score differential−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:43: Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 21 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK) — KSU win probability +11.6 pts (now 74%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:28: Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the Tulan 20 — KSU win probability +10.6 pts (now 73%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:36: Iverson Celestine run for 3 yds to the Tulan 48 — TULN win probability +8.9 pts (now 43%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:38: Michael Pratt run for 11 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST down — TULN win probability +13.0 pts (now 50%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:27: Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 4 yds for a TD, (Kriston Esnard KICK) — TULN win probability +34.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 13 of 17TULN made the numbers' call on 6 of 11
  1. Q1 12:05TULN 4th & 11 at TULN 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:24KSU 4th & 11 at KSU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:55TULN 4th & 6 at KSU 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    19.3%−<0.1
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:45KSU 4th & 3 at KSU 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:04KSU 4th & 5 at KSU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.0%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 39, up 7
    Close callPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:03TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 39, up 7
    Close callPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:09KSU 4th & 1 at KSU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    69.2%−1.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:00KSU 4th & 1 at TULN 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    65.1%−2.3
    56% to make
    Punt
    63.7%−3.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:00TULN 4th & 9 at TULN 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−1.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:06TULN 4th & 9 at TULN 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−1.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.1%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:00KSU 4th & 1 at TULN 4, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%
    65% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.5%−2.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    67.8%−8.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 14:55KSU 4th & 8 at TULN 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    74.2%−0.8
    32% to make
    Punt
    74.7%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:11KSU 4th & 8 at TULN 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    74.3%−0.8
    32% to make
    Punt
    74.8%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:51TULN 4th & 4 at KSU 13, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.5%−0.3
    85% to make
    Punt
    19.4%−8.4
    average punt
  16. Q3 8:51KSU 4th & 3 at KSU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−0.8
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%
    average punt
  17. Q3 6:49KSU 4th & 3 at KSU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.0%
    average punt
  18. Q3 6:02TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%−1.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%
    average punt
  19. Q3 6:02KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%−1.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%
    average punt
  20. Q3 4:39KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%−1.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%
    average punt
  21. Q3 3:44TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  22. Q3 3:44KSU 4th & 2 at TULN 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    65.0%−4.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    67.1%−2.1
    average punt
  23. Q3 0:36KSU 4th & 2 at TULN 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    63.0%−4.8
    25% to make
    Punt
    65.2%−2.6
    average punt
  24. Q4 11:32KSU 4th & 2 at KSU 41, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.1%−1.6
    average punt
  25. Q4 9:05TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%−0.2
    average punt
  26. Q4 6:38KSU 4th & 1 at TULN 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    49.4%−12.9
    27% to make
    Punt
    52.9%−9.4
    average punt
  27. Q4 2:18KSU 4th & 12 at KSU 48, down 7
    Close callPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%−0.5
    average punt
  28. Q4 2:03TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    86.1%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1TULN made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 3:13TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:43KSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 4:27TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.0 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.8%−1.0
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:5522% → 22%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
78.5%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+7
78.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
0
78.5%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Shae WyattSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
50
+1
78.5%
Tyjae Spears run for 1 yd to the Tulan 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 49
-5
78.5%
PENALTY TUL False Start (Spears,Tyjae) 5 yards from TUL49 to TUL44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 49
0
78.5%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Dea Dea McDougleSimilar
Q1 12:05
4TH & 11
OWN 49
0
77.9%
Casey Glover punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:4178% → 77%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
77.8%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+1
77.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 8Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 12
OWN 5
+1
77.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 1 yd to the KanSt 6Similar
Q1 10:24
4TH & 11
OWN 6
+10
77.1%
Ty Zentner punt for 43 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 10 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2923% → 23%
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
76.9%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Tyrick JamesSimilar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+2
76.9%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
Q1 10:24
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+2
77.0%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q1 8:55
4TH & 6
OPP 35
0
76.7%
Casey Glover punt for 35 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:1077% → 76%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
76.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the KanSt 25Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+9
77.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Sammy Wheeler for 9 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
77.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 4 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+3
77.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 3
OWN 41
0
77.1%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q1 6:45
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
76.2%
Ty Zentner punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5TD
9 plays · 91 yds · 3:3224% → 30%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
76.3%
Iverson Celestine run for 7 yds to the Tulan 16Similar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+38
76.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Dea Dea McDougle for 38 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
75.6%
Iverson Celestine run for 4 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+9
75.5%
Michael Pratt run for 9 yds to the KanSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-3
75.4%
Michael Pratt sacked by Austin Moore for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 31Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 13
OPP 31
+13
75.6%
Michael Pratt run for 13 yds to the KanSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
75.4%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jha'Quan JacksonSimilar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+17
75.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 17 yds to the KanSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
70.3%
Tyjae Spears run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kriston Esnard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:0972% → 70%
Q1 3:13
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+7
71.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
71.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 11 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
72.1%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Kade WarnerSimilar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+1
72.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 37Similar
Q1 3:13
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+6
71.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 6 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q1 1:04
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
69.8%
Ty Zentner punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:0130% → 33%
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
69.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 4 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
69.5%
Iverson Celestine run for 7 yds to the Tulan 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
68.7%
Iverson Celestine run for 7 yds to the Tulan 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
68.6%
Iverson Celestine run for 5 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+2
68.2%
Iverson Celestine run for 2 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+1
68.1%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd to the Tulan 39Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
68.8%
Casey Glover punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q2 13:03
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
67.3%
Casey Glover punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8DOWNS
13 plays · 50 yds · 6:0368% → 63%
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
67.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the KanSt 20Similar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
67.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 21Similar
Q2 13:03
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+8
67.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 8 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q2 11:09
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+2
65.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the KanSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
66.2%
DJ Giddens run for 9 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+7
67.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
67.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 4 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+10
67.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 10 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
68.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the Tulan 39Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+2
67.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
Q2 11:09
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+7
67.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Malik Knowles for 7 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q2 7:00
4TH & 1
OPP 30
0
63.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the Tulan 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5440% → 39%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
59.9%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Lawrence Keys IIISimilar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
60.5%
Tyjae Spears run for 1 yd to the Tulan 31Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
61.4%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Shae WyattSimilar
Q2 7:00
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
62.0%
Casey Glover punt for 44 ydsSimilar
Q2 6:06
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
61.3%
Casey Glover punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2361% → 74%
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
60.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
60.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 10 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
61.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 8 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+1
62.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 46Similar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+17
62.3%
DJ Giddens run for 17 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
63.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Malik Knowles for 8 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+8
64.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Malik Knowles for 8 yds to the Tulan 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
73.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 21 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11INT
7 plays · 38 yds · 2:1133% → 37%
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
67.5%
TULANE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Tulan 18Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+23
67.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 23 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+9
64.9%
Michael Pratt run for 9 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:39
1ST & 15
OWN 18
+7
67.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 7 yds to the Tulan 25Similar
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
65.1%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
62.7%
Michael Pratt pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12FG
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:2873% → 74%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
73.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+7
73.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 7 yds to the Tulan 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
73.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 6 yds to the Tulan 7Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+3
73.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 3 yds to the Tulan 4Similar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 1
OPP 4
0
71.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+22
74.1%
Chris Tennant 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13DOWNS
8 plays · 41 yds · 2:4473% → 73%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
72.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+26
73.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 26 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
75.2%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+5
75.0%
DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 15
OPP 48
+7
72.6%
Adrian Martinez run for 7 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 8
OPP 41
+7
72.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 7 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q3 12:11
4TH & 8
OPP 41
+7
72.6%
Adrian Martinez run for 7 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14FG
7 plays · 53 yds · 3:2029% → 37%
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+22
71.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 22 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
69.0%
Duece Watts run for 1 yd to the KanSt 43Similar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+24
69.1%
Michael Pratt run for 24 yds to the KanSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-7
67.7%
Michael Pratt sacked by Felix Anudike-Uzomah for a loss of 7 yards to the KanSt 26Similar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 17
OPP 26
+5
69.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Reggie Brown for 5 yds to the KanSt 21Similar
Q3 12:11
3RD & 12
OPP 21
+8
69.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Dea Dea McDougle for 8 yds to the KanSt 13Similar
Q3 8:51
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+30
62.8%
Kriston Esnard 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:0267% → 65%
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
67.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
67.5%
DJ Giddens run for 6 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
67.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd to the KanSt 32Similar
Q3 8:51
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
66.0%
Ty Zentner punt for 28 ydsSimilar
Q3 6:49
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
65.2%
Ty Zentner punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4739% → 35%
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
61.2%
Iverson Celestine run for no gain to the Tulan 40Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
61.9%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Dea Dea McDougleSimilar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
63.2%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Dea Dea McDougleSimilar
Q3 6:02
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
64.9%
Casey Glover punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2366% → 63%
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
66.2%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
66.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for 8 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q3 6:02
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+1
65.4%
DJ Giddens run for 1 yd to the KanSt 29Similar
Q3 6:02
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+8
63.8%
Ty Zentner punt for 39 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 8 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q3 4:39
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+8
62.7%
Ty Zentner punt for 39 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 8 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5541% → 38%
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
59.0%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Tyrick JamesSimilar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
59.9%
Michael Pratt run for 3 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
59.4%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Dea Dea McDougleSimilar
Q3 3:44
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
61.9%
Casey Glover punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 35 yds · 3:0865% → 66%
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
65.0%
DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+7
64.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 7 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q3 3:44
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+8
64.6%
DJ Giddens run for 8 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
66.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+10
65.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 10 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
68.6%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Ben SinnottSimilar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
67.9%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q3 3:44
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+8
65.6%
DJ Giddens run for 8 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q3 3:44
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
66.6%
DJ Giddens run for no gain to the Tulan 45Similar
Q3 0:36
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
65.5%
DJ Giddens run for no gain to the Tulan 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20INT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:1343% → 43%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
56.7%
Iverson Celestine run for 3 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+3
55.8%
Iverson Celestine run for 3 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+8
55.8%
Tyjae Spears run for 8 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
55.2%
Iverson Celestine run for 8 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 33
-10
53.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Pratt,Michael rush left for 5 yards gain to the KSTATE28, out of bounds at KSTATE28 PENALTY TUL Holding (Wallace,Will) 10 yards from KSTATE33 to KSTATE43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 43
0
56.3%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Dea Dea McDougleSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 43
0
57.8%
Michael Pratt pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 13:23
3RD & 12
OPP 43
0
56.9%
Michael Pratt pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5164% → 62%
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
63.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+2
65.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q4 13:23
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+6
62.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 6 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q4 11:32
4TH & 2
OWN 41
0
62.4%
Ty Zentner punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 2:2742% → 42%
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
58.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Dea Dea McDougle for 12 yds to the Tulan 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
57.6%
Iverson Celestine run for 3 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+2
56.9%
Iverson Celestine run for 2 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q4 11:32
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+6
59.5%
Iverson Celestine run for 6 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q4 9:05
4TH & 3
OWN 34
0
58.3%
Casey Glover punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:2762% → 63%
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
62.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 8 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+10
65.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Malik Knowles for 10 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
66.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+1
67.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Tulan 46Similar
Q4 9:05
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+2
65.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q4 6:38
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+4
62.6%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 24TD
5 plays · 52 yds · 2:1150% → 87%
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
49.6%
Michael Pratt run for 11 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
48.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 15 yds to the KanSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+21
46.6%
Michael Pratt run for 21 yds to the KanSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
46.6%
Iverson Celestine run for 1 yd to the KanSt 4Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
12.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 4 yds for a TD, (Kriston Esnard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:0924% → 19%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
23.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 6 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+19
25.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Malik Knowles for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
50
+1
28.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 1 yd to the Tulan 49Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
28.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Kade WarnerSimilar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+3
25.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 3 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q4 2:18
4TH & 12
OWN 48
0
19.3%
Ty Zentner punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 26END OF GAME
10 plays · 5 yds · 2:1887% → 95%
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
12.7%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Tulan 19Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+3
10.9%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q4 2:09
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+2
10.9%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
Q4 2:03
4TH & 1
OWN 24
+2
11.4%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the Tulan 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
9.7%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 24Similar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 12
OWN 24
-2
10.2%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 22Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 14
OWN 22
-2
5.2%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:27
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 4 yds for a TD, (Kriston Esnard KICK)
-34
KEY PLAY · Q4 6:38
Michael Pratt run for 11 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST down
-13
TD · Q2 2:43
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 21 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK)
+11.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com