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TOW

Towson 7 at West Virginia 65

WVU
2022 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2022 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadTOW aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreTOW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:54 · Riley Williams punt for 34 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 77Pregame prior+40.8Home team on offense+23.5Score differential+19.1Blowout margin+8.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.5Garbage-time factor+4.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:27: Kaden Prather 2 Yd pass from JT Daniels (Casey Legg Kick) — TOW win probability +0.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:40: T. Mathis Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (C. Legg KICK) — TOW win probability +0.3 pts (now 1%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 3:40: C. Donaldson run for 82 yds for a TD, (C. Legg KICK) — WVU win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 12:59: C. Donaldson run for 3 yds for a TD, (C. Legg KICK) — WVU win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 5:59: Tony Mathis Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK) — WVU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6TOW made the numbers' call on 13 of 14
  1. Q1 11:14WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:53TOW 4th & 8 at TOW 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:07TOW 4th & 8 at TOW 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:01TOW 4th & 8 at TOW 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:01TOW 4th & 8 at TOW 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00WVU 4th & 9 at TOW 32, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    98.1%
    51% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:52TOW 4th & 12 at TOW 19, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:39TOW 4th & 12 at TOW 19, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:54TOW 4th & 9 at TOW 26, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:18TOW 4th & 9 at TOW 26, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:42WVU 4th & 9 at TOW 9, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:11TOW 4th & 14 at TOW 49, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:06WVU 4th & 1 at TOW 1, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 13:35TOW 4th & 7 at TOW 33, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 13:35WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 25, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 8:14TOW 4th & 1 at TOW 40, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00WVU 4th & 1 at TOW 37, up 44
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:22TOW 4th & 6 at TOW 44, down 51
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:41TOW 4th & 1 at TOW 48, down 58
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:41TOW 4th & 2 at WVU 42, down 58
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−<0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 11:27WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:40WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:40WVU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:59WVU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:06WVU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:21WVU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:12WVU Touchdown, up 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:42WVU Touchdown, up 57 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:3399% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
99.2%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+12
99.2%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 12 yds to the Tows 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
99.2%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 6 yds to the Tows 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+4
99.2%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 4 yds to the Tows 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
99.2%
JT Daniels pass complete to Reese Smith for 3 yds to the Tows 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+5
99.2%
TOWSON Penalty, Offsides (Tramar Reece) to the Tows 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+4
99.2%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 4 yds to the Tows 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.2%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+14
99.2%
JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 14 yds to the Tows 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.2%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for no gain to the Tows 2Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.0%
Kaden Prather 2 Yd pass from JT Daniels (Casey Legg Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 2TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 5:3499% → 99%
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.0%
CJ Donaldson run for 3 yds to the WVirg 28 CJ Donaldson run for 3 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
99.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Jeremiah Aaron for 10 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
99.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Jeremiah Aaron for 10 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
99.0%
CJ Donaldson run for 3 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+6
99.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 6 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+6
99.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 6 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q1 11:14
3RD & 1
OWN 47
0
99.0%
CJ Donaldson run for no gain to the WVirg 47Similar
Q1 11:14
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+5
99.0%
CJ Donaldson run for 5 yds to the Tows 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.0%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.0%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+15
99.0%
MATHIS, Tony rush to the right for a loss of 6 yards to the WVU46 (FAISON, Damir). PENALTY TOW Face mask on FAISON, Damir enforced 15 yards from the TOW48 to the TOW33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+15
99.0%
MATHIS, Tony rush to the right for a loss of 6 yards to the WVU46 (FAISON, Damir). PENALTY TOW Face mask on FAISON, Damir enforced 15 yards from the TOW48 to the TOW33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
99.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 12 yds to the Tows 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
99.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 12 yds to the Tows 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.0%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 16
OPP 27
+4
99.0%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 4 yds to the Tows 23 Tony Mathis Jr. run for 4 yds to the Tows 23Similar
Q1 11:14
3RD & 12
OPP 23
+20
99.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 20 yds to the Tows 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
3RD & 12
OPP 23
+20
99.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 20 yds to the Tows 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.7%
T. Mathis Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (C. Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:391% → 2%
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
98.6%
D'Ago Hunter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tows 27Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 11
OWN 27
0
98.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 11
OWN 27
+8
98.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to D'Ago Hunter for 8 yds to the Tows 35Similar
Q1 5:32
4TH & 3
OWN 35
-5
98.6%
TOWSON Penalty, Delay Of Game (D'Ago Hunter) to the Tows 30Similar
Q1 3:53
4TH & 8
OWN 30
+51
98.5%
Riley Williams punt for 51 yds , Reese Smith returns for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 4TD
1 play · 82 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+82
98.8%
C. Donaldson run for 82 yds for a TD, (C. Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 1:341% → 1%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
98.7%
Sam Reynolds run for 3 yds to the Tows 20Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
98.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 7
OWN 20
-1
98.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tows 19Similar
Q1 2:07
3RD & 7
OWN 20
-1
98.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tows 19Similar
Q1 2:07
4TH & 8
OWN 19
0
98.7%
Riley Williams punt for 27 ydsSimilar
Q1 2:01
4TH & 8
OWN 19
0
98.7%
Riley Williams punt for 27 ydsSimilar
Q1 2:01
4TH & 8
OWN 19
0
98.7%
Riley Williams punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 6TD
13 plays · 46 yds · 4:0299% → 99%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
98.8%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Tows 40Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+7
98.8%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 7 yds to the Tows 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
98.8%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-1
98.8%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tows 34Similar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+2
98.8%
JT Daniels pass complete to Sam James for 2 yds to the Tows 32Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+2
98.7%
JT Daniels pass complete to Sam James for 2 yds to the Tows 32Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 32
+13
98.6%
JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 13 yds to the Tows 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
98.7%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tows 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 17
0
98.7%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+14
98.7%
JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 14 yds to the Tows 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
98.6%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
98.6%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.1%
C. Donaldson run for 3 yds for a TD, (C. Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 2:131% → 1%
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
99.5%
Devin Matthews run for 2 yds to the Tows 23Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 8
OWN 23
-10
99.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Davis Mallinger for a loss of 10 yards to the Tows 13Similar
Q2 12:52
3RD & 18
OWN 13
-5
99.6%
TOWSON Penalty, False Start (D'Ago Hunter) to the Tows 8Similar
Q2 12:52
3RD & 23
OWN 8
+11
99.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 11 yds to the Tows 19Similar
Q2 12:52
4TH & 12
OWN 19
0
99.5%
Riley Williams punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Reese Smith at the WVirg 43Similar
Q2 10:39
4TH & 12
OWN 19
0
99.5%
Riley Williams punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Reese Smith at the WVirg 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 57 yds · 4:40100% → 100%
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
99.5%
JT Daniels pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 1 yd to the WVirg 44Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+4
99.5%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 4 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q2 10:39
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+7
99.5%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 7 yds to the Tows 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
99.5%
JT Daniels pass complete to Cortez Braham for 8 yds to the Tows 37Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+11
99.5%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 11 yds to the Tows 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
99.5%
JT Daniels pass complete to Cortez Braham for 7 yds to the Tows 19Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+17
99.5%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 17 yds to the Tows 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.6%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:360% → 0%
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Da'Kendall James for 4 yds to the Tows 29Similar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-3
99.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Jordan Jefferson for a loss of 3 yards to the Tows 26Similar
Q2 5:54
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.7%
Riley Williams punt for 34 ydsSimilar
Q2 4:18
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.7%
Riley Williams punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10FG
5 plays · 51 yds · 1:36100% → 100%
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+51
99.6%
JT Daniels pass complete to Sam James for 51 yds to the Tows 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.6%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.6%
CJ Donaldson run for no gain to the Tows 9Similar
Q2 4:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.6%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
99.7%
Casey Legg 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 11DOWNS
11 plays · 24 yds · 1:310% → 0%
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Daniel Thompson IV for 7 yds to the Tows 32Similar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
99.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Da'Kendall James for 5 yds to the Tows 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Da'Kendall James for 6 yds to the Tows 43Similar
Q2 2:42
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+10
99.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Da'Kendall James for 10 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
99.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:42
3RD & 10
OPP 47
-4
99.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Dante Stills for a loss of 4 yards to the Tows 49Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 10
OPP 47
-4
99.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Dante Stills for a loss of 4 yards to the Tows 49Similar
Q2 1:11
4TH & 14
OWN 49
0
99.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12TD
9 plays · 49 yds · 1:05100% → 100%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.7%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
99.7%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kaden Prather for 6 yds to the Tows 43Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+39
99.7%
Garrett Greene run for 39 yds to the Tows 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.7%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tows 2Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.7%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.7%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Tows 1Similar
Q2 0:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.7%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Tows 1Similar
Q2 0:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
CJ Donaldson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 19 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+19
99.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Da'Kendall James for 19 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:180% → 0%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.8%
D'Ago Hunter run for 3 yds to the Tows 33Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
99.8%
Scott Smith III run for no gain to the Tows 33Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
99.8%
Scott Smith III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:35
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
99.8%
Riley Williams punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Reese Smith at the WVirg 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15TD
14 plays · 84 yds · 5:14100% → 100%
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
99.8%
CJ Donaldson run for 4 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+5
99.8%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 1
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for no gain to the WVirg 25Similar
Q3 13:35
4TH & 1
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVirg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
99.8%
Garrett Greene run for 9 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 1
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+3
99.8%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
99.8%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Jeremiah Aaron for 9 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+15
99.8%
TOWSON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Tows 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
99.8%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the Tows 41Similar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+30
99.8%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Cortez Braham for 30 yds to the Tows 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+30
99.8%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Cortez Braham for 30 yds to the Tows 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
Garrett Greene run for 11 yds for a TD, (Parker Grothaus PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 16FUMBLE
12 plays · 48 yds · 4:390% → 0%
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
99.9%
Devin Matthews run for 11 yds to the Tows 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
99.9%
Devin Matthews run for 1 yd to the Tows 32Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Scott Smith III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:14
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+8
99.9%
Scott Smith III run for 8 yds to the Tows 40Similar
Q3 8:14
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+8
99.9%
Devin Matthews run for 8 yds to the Tows 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
99.9%
D'Ago Hunter run for 9 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+5
99.9%
Devin Matthews run for 5 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Scott Smith III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+8
99.9%
Devin Matthews run for 8 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q3 8:14
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+3
99.9%
Devin Matthews run for 3 yds to the WVirg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Scott Smith III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-5
99.9%
Scott Smith III run for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 32 fumbled, recovered by WVirg Caden BiserSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17TD
15 plays · 68 yds · 7:23100% → 100%
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
99.9%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+2
99.9%
Will Crowder pass complete to Reese Smith for 2 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q3 3:35
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+5
99.9%
Will Crowder pass complete to Jeremiah Aaron for 5 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
99.9%
Will Crowder pass complete to Cortez Braham for 10 yds to the Tows 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.9%
Will Crowder pass complete to Cortez Braham for 5 yds to the Tows 41Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the Tows 41Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+4
99.9%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Tows 37Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+3
99.9%
Jaylen Anderson run for 3 yds to the Tows 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
99.9%
Will Crowder run for 4 yds to the Tows 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+4
99.9%
Jaylen Anderson run for 4 yds to the Tows 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 26
-5
99.9%
CROWDER, Will pass to the right complete for 13 yards to SMITH, Reese caught at the TOW13 and advanced to the TOW13 (TOPPS III, Robert). PENALTY WVU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on MALONE, Nick enforced 5 yards from the TOW26 to the TOW31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+30
99.9%
Will Crowder pass complete to Reese Smith for 30 yds to the Tows 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Jaylen Anderson run for no gain to the Tows 1Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
99.9%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the Tows 5Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Will Crowder pass complete to Jeremiah Aaron for 5 yds for a TD, (Parker Grothaus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:500% → 0%
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Curtis Murray run for 2 yds to the Tows 27Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
100.0%
Scott Smith III run for 3 yds to the Tows 30Similar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
100.0%
Scott Smith III run for 10 yds to the Tows 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
100.0%
Curtis Murray run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tows 39Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+2
100.0%
Joachim Bangda run for 2 yds to the Tows 41Similar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+3
100.0%
Joachim Bangda run for 3 yds to the Tows 44Similar
Q4 7:22
4TH & 6
OWN 44
+27
100.0%
Riley Williams punt for 41 yds , Preston Fox returns for 27 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 2:40100% → 100%
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
100.0%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Preston Fox for 6 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+14
100.0%
Jaylen Anderson run for 14 yds to the Tows 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
100.0%
Nicco Marchiol pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+9
100.0%
Jaylen Anderson run for 9 yds to the Tows 29Similar
Q4 7:22
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+3
100.0%
Jaylen Anderson run for 3 yds to the Tows 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
100.0%
Nicco Marchiol pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+26
100.0%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Preston Fox for 26 yds for a TD, (Parker Grothaus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 20END OF GAME
16 plays · 49 yds · 4:410% → 0%
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
100.0%
Curtis Murray run for 3 yds to the Tows 42Similar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Nathan Kent run for no gain to the Tows 42Similar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+6
100.0%
Nathan Kent pass complete to Matthew Akuchie for 6 yds to the Tows 48Similar
Q4 4:41
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+2
100.0%
Curtis Murray run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
50
0
100.0%
Curtis Murray run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 10
50
0
100.0%
Nathan Kent pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 10
50
+8
100.0%
Nathan Kent pass complete to Lukkas Londono for 8 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q4 4:41
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+3
100.0%
Nathan Kent run for 3 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+25
100.0%
Nathan Kent pass complete to Malik Jackson for 25 yds to the WVirg 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
100.0%
Nathan Kent pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+1
100.0%
Joachim Bangda run for 1 yd to the WVirg 13Similar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 9
OPP 13
-5
100.0%
QB Keeper KENT, Nathan rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the WVU10 (LATHAN, Trey). PENALTY Before the snap, TOW Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the WVU13 to the WVU18. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 9
OPP 13
-5
100.0%
QB Keeper KENT, Nathan rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the WVU10 (LATHAN, Trey). PENALTY Before the snap, TOW Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the WVU13 to the WVU18. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 14
OPP 18
+6
100.0%
Nathan Kent run for 6 yds to the WVirg 12Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 14
OPP 18
+6
100.0%
Nathan Kent run for 6 yds to the WVirg 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:59
C. Donaldson run for 3 yds for a TD, (C. Legg KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q1 5:40
T. Mathis Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (C. Legg KICK)
-0.3
TD · Q1 3:40
C. Donaldson run for 82 yds for a TD, (C. Legg KICK)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com