Try the model
OU

Oklahoma 49 at Nebraska 14

NEB
2022 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2022 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:04 · Jovantae Barnes run for 15 yds to the Neb 15 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 158Home team on offense−47.1Score differential−23.3Pregame prior−10.3Garbage-time factor−10.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:19: C. Thompson pass,to T. Palmer for 32 yds for a TD, (T. Bleekrode KICK) — NEB win probability +2.1 pts (now 28%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:57: D. Gabriel pass,to J. Farooq for 25 yds for a TD, (Z. Schmit KICK) — OU win probability +3.7 pts (now 75%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:48: Marcus Major 1 Yd Run (Zach Schmit Kick) — OU win probability +3.7 pts (now 79%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 11:35: Marcus Major 24 Yd pass from Brayden Willis (Zach Schmit Kick) — OU win probability +7.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:44: Eric Gray 16 Yd Run (Zach Schmit Kick) — OU win probability +5.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 13 of 15OU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00OU 4th & 13 at OU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.2%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:16OU 4th & 13 at OU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:30NEB 4th & 4 at NEB 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:02NEB 4th & 4 at NEB 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 8:02OU 4th & 6 at OU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.6%
    average punt
  6. Q1 7:22OU 4th & 6 at OU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%
    average punt
  7. Q1 4:14NEB 4th & 19 at NEB 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−0.8
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%
    average punt
  8. Q1 1:57NEB 4th & 22 at NEB 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%−1.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%
    average punt
  9. Q1 0:43NEB 4th & 22 at NEB 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%−1.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 14:48NEB 4th & 15 at NEB 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 13:30NEB 4th & 15 at NEB 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%
    average punt
  12. Q2 7:01NEB 4th & 2 at OU 19, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    15.5%−0.5
    77% to make
    Punt
    13.1%−2.9
    average punt
  13. Q2 4:58OU 4th & 10 at NEB 22, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.0%
    72% to make
    Punt
    85.9%−2.1
    average punt
  14. Q2 4:58NEB 4th & 14 at NEB 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  15. Q2 2:54NEB 4th & 14 at NEB 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.5%
    average punt
  16. Q3 13:13NEB 4th & 4 at NEB 31, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  17. Q3 12:09NEB 4th & 4 at NEB 31, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  18. Q3 7:04NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 34, down 42
    Close callPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q3 7:04OU 4th & 4 at NEB 30, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    98.1%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q3 3:24NEB 4th & 3 at OU 35, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.2
    average punt
  21. Q3 0:09NEB 4th & 3 at OU 35, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.2
    average punt
  22. Q4 11:47OU 4th & 1 at NEB 28, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.5
    average punt
  23. Q4 10:14OU 4th & 4 at OU 26, up 42
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  24. Q4 8:21OU 4th & 4 at OU 26, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2OU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 11:19NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:30OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:57OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:48OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:35OU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:44OU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 13:13OU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 8:59OU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:17NEB Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 1:4476% → 75%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
24.4%
Eric Gray run for 6 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
24.4%
Eric Gray run for 9 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-4
24.4%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Luke Reimer for a loss of 4 yards to the Okla 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 36
+1
24.4%
Eric Gray run for 1 yd to the Okla 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 37
0
24.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Theo WeaseSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 37
0
24.4%
Michael Turk punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the Neb 23Similar
Q1 13:16
4TH & 13
OWN 37
0
25.3%
Michael Turk punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the Neb 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 1:5725% → 28%
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
25.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Alante Brown for 11 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+16
25.3%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
50
+11
25.4%
Anthony Grant run for 11 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
25.4%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 9 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+3
25.4%
Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the Okla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
25.4%
PENALTY NEB False Start (Palmer,Trey) 5 yards from OU 27 to OU 32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 15
OPP 32
+32
27.6%
C. Thompson pass,to T. Palmer for 32 yds for a TD, (T. Bleekrode KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4973% → 73%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
27.2%
Marcus Major run for 2 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
27.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marvin Mims for 9 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
27.1%
Marcus Major run for 1 yd to the Okla 35Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+4
27.2%
Marvin Mims run for 4 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+61
27.0%
D. Gabriel run for 61 yds for a TD, (Z. Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:2827% → 28%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
27.2%
Anthony Grant run for 12 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
27.3%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 8 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+2
27.6%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
27.4%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Marcus WashingtonSimilar
Q1 9:30
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
27.1%
Brian Buschini punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims at the Okla 13Similar
Q1 8:02
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
27.7%
Brian Buschini punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims at the Okla 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4072% → 72%
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
27.7%
Dillon Gabriel run for 4 yds to the Okla 17Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 6
OWN 17
0
27.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Theo WeaseSimilar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 6
OWN 17
0
27.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Eric GraySimilar
Q1 8:02
4TH & 6
OWN 17
0
28.2%
Michael Turk punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 32 , Trey Palmer returns for no gain to the Neb 32Similar
Q1 7:22
4TH & 6
OWN 17
0
28.5%
Michael Turk punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 32 , Trey Palmer returns for no gain to the Neb 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 3:0828% → 29%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
28.1%
PENALTY NEB False Start (Bando,Broc) 5 yards from NEB32 to NEB27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+10
28.0%
Ajay Allen run for 10 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+4
28.5%
Ajay Allen run for 4 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
28.4%
Ajay Allen run for 2 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
28.6%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 2 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 8
OWN 45
-4
28.7%
Casey Thompson sacked by DaShaun White for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 41Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 12
OWN 41
-7
27.9%
Casey Thompson sacked by Jonah Laulu for a loss of 7 yards to the Neb 34Similar
Q1 4:14
4TH & 19
OWN 34
+18
29.0%
Brian Buschini punt for 47 yds , Marvin Mims returns for 18 yds to the Okla 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 2:1771% → 75%
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
29.2%
Dillon Gabriel run for 3 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+13
29.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 13 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
28.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marvin Mims for 11 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
28.6%
Marcus Major run for 4 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 6
OPP 38
0
28.5%
Drake Stoops run for no gain to the Neb 38Similar
Q1 4:14
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+13
28.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 13 yds to the Neb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
25.1%
D. Gabriel pass,to J. Farooq for 25 yds for a TD, (Z. Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -12 yds · 1:1427% → 26%
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
26.5%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the Neb 24Similar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
26.4%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Alante BrownSimilar
Q1 1:57
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-11
26.0%
Casey Thompson sacked by Jalen Redmond for a loss of 11 yards to the Neb 13Similar
Q1 1:57
4TH & 22
OWN 13
+34
25.8%
Brian Buschini punt for 44 yds , Marvin Mims returns for 34 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q1 0:43
4TH & 22
OWN 13
+34
25.9%
Brian Buschini punt for 44 yds , Marvin Mims returns for 34 yds to the Neb 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:5575% → 79%
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
25.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Brayden WillisSimilar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+7
25.2%
Eric Gray run for 7 yds to the Neb 16Similar
Q1 0:43
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+7
25.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brayden Willis for 7 yds to the Neb 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+7
25.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brayden Willis for 7 yds to the Neb 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
25.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marvin Mims for 8 yds to the Neb 1Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
21.0%
Marcus Major 1 Yd Run (Zach Schmit Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:1822% → 21%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
22.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 6 yds to the Neb 19Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
22.1%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Alante BrownSimilar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+1
21.9%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the Neb 20Similar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
21.9%
Brian Buschini punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims at the Okla 37Similar
Q2 13:30
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
21.4%
Brian Buschini punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims at the Okla 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 1:5579% → 87%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
20.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Marvin MimsSimilar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
21.0%
Drake Stoops run for 5 yds to the Okla 42Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+5
20.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Daniel Parker for 5 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-15
20.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Gabriel,Dillon pass incomplete short middle to Mims,Marvin PENALTY NEB Pass Interference (Newsome,Quinton) 15 yards from OU 47 to NEB38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
20.2%
Marcus Major run for 2 yds to the Neb 36Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+12
20.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brayden Willis for 12 yds to the Neb 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
12.8%
Marcus Major 24 Yd pass from Brayden Willis (Zach Schmit Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12DOWNS
15 plays · 57 yds · 4:3415% → 12%
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
15.4%
Ajay Allen run for 3 yds to the Neb 22Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
15.3%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Trey PalmerSimilar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+15
15.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 15 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
15.8%
Ajay Allen run for 1 yd to the Neb 38Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+6
15.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Chancellor Brewington for 6 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 3
OWN 44
-5
15.9%
PENALTY NEB False Start (Brown,Alante) 5 yards from NEB44 to NEB39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+15
15.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Thompson,Casey pass incomplete short left to Palmer,Trey PENALTY OU Pass Interference (Davis,Jaden) 15 yards from NEB39 to OU 46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
14.9%
Ajay Allen run for 6 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+13
13.9%
Ajay Allen run for 13 yds to the Okla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
15.3%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 4 yds to the Okla 23Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+2
14.8%
Ajay Allen run for 2 yds to the Okla 21Similar
Q2 9:29
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+2
13.5%
Casey Thompson run for 2 yds to the Okla 19Similar
Q2 7:01
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+1
11.7%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the Okla 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13MISSED FG
10 plays · 60 yds · 2:0387% → 87%
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
13.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Gabriel,Dillon pass complete deep middle to Willis,Brayden for 13 yards to the OU 31 (Buford Jr.,Marques) PENALTY OU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Murray,Chris) 5 yards from OU 18 to OU 13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 15
OWN 13
+25
13.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 25 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
13.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Jalil FarooqSimilar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+25
13.1%
Eric Gray run for 25 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
12.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Marvin MimsSimilar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+15
12.8%
Eric Gray run for 15 yds to the Neb 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
12.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Theo WeaseSimilar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
12.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Brayden WillisSimilar
Q2 7:01
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
13.0%
Dillon Gabriel run for no gain to the Neb 22Similar
Q2 4:58
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+39
12.8%
Zach Schmit 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 2:0415% → 15%
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
14.5%
Anthony Grant run for 5 yds to the Neb 17Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 15
OWN 17
+15
14.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Thompson,Casey pass incomplete short left to Manning,Omar QB hurried by White,DaShaun PENALTY OU Targeting (White,DaShaun) 15 yards from NEB17 to NEB32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
14.7%
Ajay Allen run for 5 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+1
13.0%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 1 yd to the Neb 38Similar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 4
OWN 38
0
13.0%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Chop Block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 4:58
4TH & 14
OWN 28
+1
14.1%
Brian Buschini punt for 38 yds , Trevon West returns for 1 yd to the Okla 35 Trevon West fumbled, recovered by Okla Kani WalkerSimilar
Q2 2:54
4TH & 14
OWN 28
+1
14.7%
Brian Buschini punt for 38 yds , Trevon West returns for 1 yd to the Okla 35 Trevon West fumbled, recovered by Okla Kani WalkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:1088% → 94%
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
12.0%
Marcus Major run for 5 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
11.7%
Marcus Major run for 4 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
11.9%
Marcus Major run for 2 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+38
11.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marvin Mims for 38 yds to the Neb 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
6.4%
Eric Gray 16 Yd Run (Zach Schmit Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16END OF HALF
8 plays · 10 yds · 1:444% → 2%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
3.7%
Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
3.4%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 9 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
3.7%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 1 yd to the Neb 38Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-10
3.5%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Neb 31Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 16
OWN 31
+4
3.5%
Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the Neb 35Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 12
OWN 35
0
3.4%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Anthony GrantSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 35
0
1.8%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Anthony GrantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17FUMBLE
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:064% → 3%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
3.6%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 21 yds Trey Palmer fumbled, recovered by Okla Jaren KanakSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
3.3%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 21 yds Trey Palmer fumbled, recovered by Okla Jaren KanakSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18TD
7 plays · 46 yds · 1:4196% → 98%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
4.3%
Eric Gray run for 7 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+3
3.9%
Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
4.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Eric Gray for 4 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 6
OPP 32
0
4.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Jalil FarooqSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+8
4.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 8 yds to the Neb 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
4.1%
Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Neb 21Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+21
2.4%
Eric Gray 21 Yd Run (Zach Schmit Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:042% → 2%
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
2.4%
Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
2.3%
Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 31Similar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
2.3%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Travis VokolekSimilar
Q3 13:13
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
2.3%
Brian Buschini punt for 29 ydsSimilar
Q3 12:09
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
2.1%
Brian Buschini punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 3:1098% → 98%
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
2.2%
Marcus Major run for 11 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
2.2%
Marcus Major run for 3 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+2
2.2%
Marcus Major run for 2 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q3 12:09
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+6
2.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 6 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-3
2.2%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Devin Drew for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 41Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 13
OPP 41
+31
2.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Theo Wease for 31 yds to the Neb 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
2.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Gabriel,Dillon pass incomplete short middle to Parker,Daniel PENALTY OU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Guyton,Tyler) 5 yards from NEB10 to NEB15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
0
2.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Eric GraySimilar
Q3 12:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
0
2.1%
Marcus Major run for no gain to the Neb 15Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
1.6%
Theo Wease 15 Yd pass from Dillon Gabriel (Zach Schmit Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:551% → 1%
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
1.2%
Ajay Allen run for 9 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
1.2%
Ajay Allen run for no gain to the Neb 34Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
1.2%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda for no gain Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda fumbled, recovered by Neb Broc BandoSimilar
Q3 7:04
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+8
0.7%
Timmy Bleekrode punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 23 , Marvin Mims returns for 8 yds to the Okla 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22FUMBLE
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:4099% → 99%
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
1.3%
Davis Beville pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 10 yds to the Okla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+31
1.2%
Jovantae Barnes run for 31 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
1.2%
Jovantae Barnes run for 3 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+2
1.1%
Jovantae Barnes run for 2 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+1
1.1%
Jovantae Barnes run for 1 yd to the Neb 30Similar
Q3 7:04
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+15
1.7%
Jovantae Barnes run for 15 yds to the Neb 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-10
1.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Beville,Davis pass complete short middle to Bunkley-Shelton,LV for 9 yards to the NEB06, out of bounds at NEB06 PENALTY OU Holding (Hester,JJ) 10 yards from NEB15 to NEB25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:04
1ST & 20
OPP 25
+1
1.1%
Davis Beville run for 1 yd to the Neb 24 Davis Beville fumbled, recovered by Neb Garrett NelsonSimilar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 20
OPP 25
+1
0.8%
Davis Beville run for 1 yd to the Neb 24 Davis Beville fumbled, recovered by Neb Garrett NelsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23DOWNS
8 plays · 42 yds · 3:150% → 0%
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
0.4%
Chubba Purdy run for 10 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
0.4%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 11 yds to the Neb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
0.4%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Trey Palmer for 13 yds to the Okla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
0.4%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Trey Palmer for 10 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 20
OWN 48
+7
0.4%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 7 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q3 3:24
3RD & 13
OPP 45
+10
0.4%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 10 yds to the Okla 35Similar
Q3 3:24
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+1
0.4%
Chubba Purdy run for 1 yd to the Okla 34Similar
Q3 0:09
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+1
0.3%
Chubba Purdy run for 1 yd to the Okla 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 24DOWNS
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:2299% → 100%
Q3 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
0.6%
Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
0.6%
Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+13
0.6%
Davis Beville run for 13 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
0.6%
Tawee Walker run for 7 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+1
0.5%
Jovantae Barnes run for 1 yd to the Neb 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+3
0.6%
Jovantae Barnes run for 3 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
0.6%
Jovantae Barnes run for no gain to the Neb 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+5
0.6%
Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+4
0.5%
Davis Beville pass complete to Kaden Helms for 4 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q4 11:47
4TH & 1
OPP 28
0
0.4%
Tawee Walker run for no gain to the Neb 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 25INT
6 plays · 34 yds · 1:330% → 0%
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
0.2%
Jaquez Yant run for 4 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+9
0.2%
Jaquez Yant run for 9 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+18
0.2%
Jaquez Yant run for 3 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jaren Kanak) to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
0.2%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Omar ManningSimilar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+3
0.2%
Jaquez Yant run for 3 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 7
OPP 38
0
0.1%
Chubba Purdy pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:53100% → 100%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
0.3%
Jovantae Barnes run for 2 yds to the Okla 22Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+5
0.3%
Jovantae Barnes run for 5 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+1
0.3%
Davis Beville run for 1 yd to the Okla 26Similar
Q4 10:14
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
0.3%
Michael Turk punt for 56 ydsSimilar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
0.3%
Michael Turk punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 27TD
13 plays · 82 yds · 5:040% → 0%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
0.1%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Wyatt Liewer for 5 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+1
0.1%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 1 yd to the Neb 24Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+18
0.1%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Oliver Martin for 18 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
0.1%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Brody Belt for no gain to the Neb 42Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
0.1%
Chubba Purdy run for 5 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+13
0.1%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 13 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
0.1%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to AJ RollinsSimilar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
0.1%
Chubba Purdy run for 5 yds to the Okla 35Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+14
0.1%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 14 yds to the Okla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
0.1%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Wyatt LiewerSimilar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+9
0.1%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Brody Belt for 9 yds to the Okla 12Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+4
0.1%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 4 yds to the Okla 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
0.1%
Chubba Purdy 8 Yd Run (Timmy Bleekrode Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 28END OF GAME
7 plays · 7 yds · 3:17100% → 100%
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.2%
Jovantae Barnes run for 5 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
0.1%
Jovantae Barnes run for 4 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
0.2%
Jovantae Barnes run for 5 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-4
0.1%
run for a loss of 4 yards to the Okla 35Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 14
OWN 35
-3
0.2%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 32Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 14
OWN 35
-3
0.1%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:35
Marcus Major 24 Yd pass from Brayden Willis (Zach Schmit Kick)
-7.4
TD · Q2 1:44
Eric Gray 16 Yd Run (Zach Schmit Kick)
-5.1
TD · Q1 1:57
D. Gabriel pass,to J. Farooq for 25 yds for a TD, (Z. Schmit KICK)
-3.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com