Try the model
OHIO

Ohio 10 at Iowa State 43

ISU
2022 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2022 · Jack Trice Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of GameFG+0.1ISU 96.2%Nathanial Vakos 45 Yd Field GoalAWAY 3 - HOME 24 · Q2 3:35
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:35 · Nathanial Vakos 45 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 106Pregame prior+28.0Home team on offense+14.5Score differential+11.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.7Garbage-time factor+3.3Blowout margin+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:44: Hunter Dekkers run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jace Gilbert KICK) — OHIO win probability +0.4 pts (now 8%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:00: Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 5 yds to the Ohio 6 for a 1ST down — OHIO win probability +0.2 pts (now 10%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 14:57: Jace Gilbert 19 yd FG GOOD — ISU win probability +1.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 13:07: Deon Silas run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jace Gilbert KICK) — ISU win probability +1.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:24: Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 15 yds for a TD, (Jace Gilbert PAT BLOCKED) — ISU win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 5 of 11OHIO made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 9:51OHIO 4th & 10 at OHIO 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:41ISU 4th & 13 at ISU 44, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:39OHIO 4th & 2 at OHIO 34, down 13
    Close callPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:48ISU 4th & 2 at OHIO 31, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    90.3%−0.3
    54% to make
    Punt
    90.0%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:57ISU 4th & 2 at OHIO 2, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.2%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    87.7%−3.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:01OHIO 4th & 2 at OHIO 46, down 24
    Close callPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:43OHIO 4th & 2 at OHIO 46, down 24
    Close callPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:35OHIO 4th & 5 at ISU 28, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−1.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:24ISU 4th & 2 at OHIO 15, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.1%−0.2
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    96.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    94.1%−2.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:56OHIO 4th & 24 at OHIO 39, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:56ISU 4th & 23 at ISU 34, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−1.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:57ISU 4th & 23 at ISU 34, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−1.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:57OHIO 4th & 3 at ISU 37, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.4
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:32OHIO 4th & 3 at ISU 37, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.4
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:49ISU 4th & 7 at OHIO 46, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    98.1%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:07OHIO 4th & 26 at OHIO 44, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:07ISU 4th & 2 at ISU 47, up 20
    Close callPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%−0.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:48ISU 4th & 2 at ISU 47, up 20
    Close callPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%−0.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:14ISU 4th & 4 at OHIO 4, up 20
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−1.5
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:00OHIO 4th & 2 at OHIO 32, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:29ISU 4th & 3 at OHIO 22, up 20
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:44ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:07ISU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:24ISU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:22ISU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1TD
23 plays · 69 yds · 14:5592% → 90%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
92.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 5 yds to the IowSt 36Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+9
92.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 9 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
92.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 7 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+8
92.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 8 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
92.3%
Jirehl Brock run for 12 yds to the Ohio 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
92.3%
Jirehl Brock run for 2 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+9
92.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 9 yds to the Ohio 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
92.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+6
92.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jared Rus for 6 yds to the Ohio 11Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+5
92.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 5 yds to the Ohio 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
91.9%
Hunter Dekkers run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jace Gilbert KICK)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
89.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 5 yds to the IowSt 36Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+9
90.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 9 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
90.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 7 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+8
90.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 8 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
90.4%
Jirehl Brock run for 12 yds to the Ohio 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
90.4%
Jirehl Brock run for 2 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+9
90.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 9 yds to the Ohio 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
90.4%
pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+6
90.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jared Rus for 6 yds to the Ohio 11Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+5
90.2%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 5 yds to the Ohio 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 10:388% → 9%
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
91.6%
Sieh Bangura run for no gain to the Ohio 30Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
91.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
91.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:51
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
91.6%
Jonah Wieland punt for 23 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
91.2%
Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
91.4%
pass incomplete to Sieh BanguraSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
91.5%
pass incomplete to Miles CrossSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · -3 yds · 9:5192% → 92%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
92.2%
Eli Sanders run for 2 yds to the IowSt 49Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
92.2%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 8
OWN 49
-5
92.2%
DEKKERS, Hunter pass up the middle complete for 21 yards to NOEL, Jaylin caught at the OHI36 and advanced to the OHI30 (BIRCHETTE, Justin). PENALTY Before the snap, ISU Illegal Shift on NOEL, Jaylin enforced 5 yards from the ISU49 to the ISU44. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 13
OWN 44
0
92.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:41
4TH & 13
OWN 44
+53
92.0%
Tyler Perkins punt for 53 yds , Tyler Walton returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 2Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
92.4%
Eli Sanders run for 2 yds to the IowSt 49Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
92.4%
pass incomplete to Eli SandersSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 49
-5
92.2%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel IOWA ST Penalty, illegal shift (Jaylin Noel) to the IowSt 44Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 13
OWN 44
0
92.0%
pass incomplete to Jaylin NoelSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4PUNT
12 plays · 32 yds · 4:028% → 8%
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
92.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the Ohio 7Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 5
OWN 7
+6
92.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 6 yds to the Ohio 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
92.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 6 yds to the Ohio 19Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+7
92.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 7 yds to the Ohio 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
92.1%
OHIO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 21Similar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+6
92.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the Ohio 27 Sieh Bangura fumbled, recovered by OhioSimilar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+7
92.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 7 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 2
OWN 34
0
92.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
92.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the Ohio 7Similar
Q1 4:39
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
91.6%
Jonah Wieland punt for 21 ydsSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+6
91.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the Ohio 27 Sieh Bangura fumbled, recovered by Ohio Shedrick Rhodes Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5TD
13 plays · 55 yds · 2:5394% → 94%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
93.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 16 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
93.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
93.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 3 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+5
93.6%
DEKKERS, Hunter pass to the left incomplete dropped by HANIKA, DeShawn thrown to the OHI31. PENALTY OHI Offsides on WATKINS, Vonnie enforced 5 yards from the OHI36 to the OHI31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+5
93.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to DeShawn Hanika OHIO Penalty, off-side (Vonnie Watkins) to the Ohio 31Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 2
OPP 31
0
93.6%
Similar
Q1 2:48
3RD & 2
OPP 31
0
93.4%
Jirehl Brock run for no gain to the Ohio 31Similar
Q1 2:48
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+18
93.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 18 yds to the Ohio 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
93.9%
Deon Silas run for 1 yd to the Ohio 12Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 9
OPP 12
0
93.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:46
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+12
93.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to DeShawn Hanika for 12 yds for a TD, (Jace Gilbert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6FUMBLE
3 plays · -10 yds · 1:468% → 8%
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
91.8%
Sieh Bangura run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 23Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-8
91.8%
Kurtis Rourke sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the Ohio 9Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
91.7%
Sieh Bangura run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0194% → 95%
Q1 0:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
93.7%
Jirehl Brock run for 3 yds to the Ohio 6Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
93.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
93.8%
Jirehl Brock run for 3 yds to the Ohio 9Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
93.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 4 yds to the Ohio 2Similar
Q2 14:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
94.8%
Jace Gilbert 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
93.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 51 yds · 1:3895% → 96%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
95.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jared Rus for 6 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+16
95.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 16 yds to the Ohio 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+24
95.4%
Deon Silas run for 24 yds to the Ohio 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
95.0%
Deon Silas run for 2 yds to the Ohio 3Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.3%
Deon Silas run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jace Gilbert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 3:184% → 4%
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
95.6%
BANGURA, Sieh rush to the left for a gain of 7 yards to the OHI19 (SINGLETON, J.R.;MCGEE, Treyveon). PENALTY Before the snap, OHI Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the OHI12 to the OHI7. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 15
OWN 7
0
95.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 15
OWN 7
+9
95.6%
Sieh Bangura run for 9 yds to the Ohio 16Similar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+22
95.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 22 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
95.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+7
95.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Foster for 7 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+1
95.4%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the Ohio 46Similar
Q2 13:01
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
95.5%
Jack Wilson punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q2 9:43
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
95.8%
Jack Wilson punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11FUMBLE
3 plays · 57 yds · 0:3997% → 97%
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+61
96.8%
Jirehl Brock run for 61 yds to the Ohio 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-4
97.1%
Hunter Dekkers run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 23 Hunter Dekkers fumbled, recovered by Ohio Bradley WeaverSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12FG
14 plays · 49 yds · 5:294% → 4%
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
96.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Nolan McCormick for 8 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+10
96.1%
IOWA ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
96.1%
ROURKE, Kurtis pass to the left complete for 20 yards to WALTON, Ty caught at the ISU38 and advanced to the ISU37 (PURCHASE, Myles). PENALTY Before the snap, OHI Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the OHI43 to the OHI38. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+6
96.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Nolan McCormick for 6 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+7
96.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Nolan McCormick for 7 yds to the IowSt 49Similar
Q2 9:04
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+4
96.0%
Kurtis Rourke run for 4 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
95.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+12
96.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 12 yds to the IowSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
95.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+4
95.8%
Nolan McCormick run for 4 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q2 9:04
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+1
95.8%
Kurtis Rourke run for 1 yd to the IowSt 28Similar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+1
96.2%
Kurtis Rourke run for 1 yd to the IowSt 28Similar
Q2 3:35
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+45
96.2%
Nathanial Vakos 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 3:1198% → 99%
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
97.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to DeShawn Hanika for 26 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-10
97.7%
DEKKERS, Hunter pass to the right complete for 19 yards to HUTCHINSON, Xavier caught at the OHI44 and advanced to the OHI30 (COX JR., Torrie). PENALTY ISU Holding on HUFFORD, Jarrod enforced 10 yards from the OHI49 to the ISU41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 20
OWN 41
+10
97.6%
Hunter Dekkers run for 10 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+12
97.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 12 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
97.7%
Jirehl Brock run for no gain to the Ohio 37Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+5
97.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 5 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+5
97.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 5 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+9
97.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 9 yds to the Ohio 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
97.6%
Jirehl Brock run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 25Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 12
OPP 25
-5
97.7%
DEKKERS, Hunter pass to the right complete for 11 yards to SHAW, Sean caught at the OHI14 and advanced to the OHI14, End of Play. PENALTY ISU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass enforced 5 yards from the OHI25 to the OHI30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 17
OPP 30
+1
97.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 1 yd to the Ohio 29Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 17
OPP 30
+1
97.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 1 yd to the Ohio 29Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 16
OPP 29
+14
97.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 14 yds to the Ohio 15Similar
Q2 0:24
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+15
99.2%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 15 yds for a TD, (Jace Gilbert PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
99.3%
Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:041% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
99.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 28 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
98.9%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
98.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 44
-12
98.9%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Will McDonald IV for a loss of 12 yards to the Ohio 44Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 44
-5
99.0%
OHIO Penalty, False Start (Kyle Kelly) to the Ohio 39Similar
Q3 12:56
4TH & 24
OWN 39
0
98.5%
Jack Wilson punt for 26 yds, downed at the IowSt 35Similar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
99.3%
DEKKERS, Hunter pass up the middle incomplete intended for BROCK, Jirehl thrown to the ISU33. PENALTY ISU Holding on SIMMONS, Darrell enforced 10 yards from the ISU35 to the ISU25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · -1 yds · 2:5999% → 99%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+9
99.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 9 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+13
99.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 13 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-7
99.3%
Hunter Dekkers sacked by Alvin Floyd for a loss of 7 yards to the IowSt 40Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 17
OWN 40
-11
99.3%
Hunter Dekkers sacked by Vonnie Watkins and Jeremiah Burton for a loss of 11 yards to the IowSt 29Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 28
OWN 29
0
99.3%
IOWA ST Penalty, Face mask (5 yards) (Hunter Dekkers) declinedSimilar
Q3 12:56
4TH & 23
OWN 34
0
99.2%
Tyler Perkins punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tyler Walton at the Ohio 30Similar
Q3 9:57
4TH & 23
OWN 34
0
99.4%
Tyler Perkins punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tyler Walton at the Ohio 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · -17 yds · 1:251% → 1%
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+26
99.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Foster for 26 yds to the IowSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+7
99.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 7 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q3 9:57
3RD & 3
OPP 37
0
99.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:57
4TH & 3
OPP 37
0
99.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass interceptedSimilar
Q3 8:32
4TH & 3
OPP 37
0
99.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18TD
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:10100% → 100%
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
99.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 13 yds for a TD, (Jace Gilbert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19TD
13 plays · 51 yds · 4:270% → 0%
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for no gain to the Ohio 49Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+29
99.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 29 yds to the IowSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
99.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Nolan McCormick for 1 yd to the IowSt 21Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+8
99.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 8 yds to the IowSt 13Similar
Q3 8:14
3RD & 1
OPP 13
-2
99.4%
Kurtis Rourke run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 15Similar
Q3 5:01
4TH & 3
OPP 15
0
99.6%
ROURKE, Kurtis pass to the left incomplete intended for MCCORMICK, Nolan broken up by JACKSON, Kendell at the ISU15; QB hurried by ONYEDIM, Tyler, clock 05:01. PENALTY ISU Holding on KYLE, Tayvonn enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the ISU15 to the ISU7 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.7%
OHIO Penalty, Offensive Holding (Parker Titsworth) declinedSimilar
Q3 4:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
99.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 6 yds to the IowSt 1Similar
Q3 3:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
99.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 6 yds to the IowSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20PUNT
11 plays · 29 yds · 3:5599% → 99%
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Eli Sanders run for no gain to the IowSt 25Similar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
98.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jared Rus for 13 yds to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
98.9%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the IowSt 39Similar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+5
98.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Aidan Bitter for 5 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q3 3:44
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+7
98.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 7 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
98.8%
Deon Silas run for 6 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+2
98.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Greg Gaines III for 2 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+2
99.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Greg Gaines III for 2 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 41
-5
99.4%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Stevo Klotz) to the Ohio 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 46
0
99.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
99.4%
Ben Garbarini punt for 24 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 2:421% → 1%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
98.6%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Nigel Drummond II for 10 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
98.5%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Nigel Drummond II for 8 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+20
98.5%
Nolan McCormick run for 20 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-18
98.4%
Parker Navarro sacked for a loss of 18 yards to the Ohio 42Similar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-18
98.9%
Parker Navarro sacked for a loss of 18 yards to the Ohio 42Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 28
OWN 42
-3
99.0%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Nolan McCormick for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 39Similar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 31
OWN 39
0
99.1%
Parker Navarro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:58
4TH & 31
OWN 39
+5
99.1%
IOWA ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the Ohio 44Similar
Q4 12:07
4TH & 26
OWN 44
+12
99.1%
Jack Wilson punt for 41 yds , Jaylin Noel returns for 12 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:19100% → 100%
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+12
99.8%
Deon Silas run for 12 yds to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
99.8%
Deon Silas run for 7 yds to the IowSt 46Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 3
OWN 46
-1
99.8%
Deon Silas run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 45Similar
Q4 12:07
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+2
99.8%
Rocco Becht run for 2 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
Q4 12:07
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
99.8%
Tyler Perkins punt for 29 ydsSimilar
Q4 9:48
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
99.8%
Tyler Perkins punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 23FUMBLE
3 plays · -12 yds · 0:141% → 1%
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.3%
Parker Navarro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-12
99.3%
Parker Navarro sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the Ohio 8Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-12
99.3%
Parker Navarro sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the Ohio 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 24FG
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:20100% → 100%
Q4 9:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
99.9%
Deon Silas run for 5 yds to the Ohio 3Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
99.9%
Deon Silas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 4Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
99.9%
Deon Silas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 4Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.9%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
99.9%
Jace Gilbert 21 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:081% → 1%
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.4%
CJ Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
99.4%
CJ Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+8
99.4%
Nolan McCormick run for 8 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q4 7:00
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
99.5%
Jack Wilson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 26FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 5:31100% → 100%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-10
99.9%
IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tyler Moore) to the IowSt 26Similar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+1
99.9%
Ashton Cook pass complete to Aidan Bitter for 1 yd to the IowSt 27Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+3
99.9%
Ashton Cook pass complete to Eli Sanders for 3 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+25
99.9%
Ashton Cook pass complete to Tyler Moore for 25 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
99.9%
Eli Sanders run for 6 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+10
99.9%
Eli Sanders run for 10 yds to the Ohio 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
99.9%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the Ohio 28Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+3
99.9%
Eli Sanders run for 3 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+3
99.9%
Ashton Cook pass complete to Tyler Moore for 3 yds to the Ohio 22Similar
Q4 1:29
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+39
99.8%
Jace Gilbert 39 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 9 yds · 1:290% → 0%
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.7%
Nolan McCormick run for 7 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
99.7%
Nolan McCormick run for 2 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
99.7%
Nolan McCormick run for no gain to the Ohio 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:24
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 15 yds for a TD, (Jace Gilbert PAT BLOCKED)
+1.4
FG · Q2 14:57
Jace Gilbert 19 yd FG GOOD
+1.3
TD · Q2 13:07
Deon Silas run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jace Gilbert KICK)
+1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com