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KU

Kansas 48 at Houston 30

HOU
2022 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2022 · TDECU Stadium
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Win probability · HOU
modelHOU aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playHOU scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:26 · Reis Vernon punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Nathaniel Dell at the Kans 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 17Home team on offense+1.2Pregame prior+22.2Score differential+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:16: Jalon Daniels pass complete to Torry Locklin for 60 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK) — KU win probability +16.5 pts (now 61%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:30: Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bubba Baxa KICK) — HOU win probability +10.8 pts (now 55%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:24: Jalon Daniels run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK) — KU win probability +23.5 pts (now 80%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:39: Jalon Daniels pass complete to Jared Casey for 8 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK) — KU win probability +14.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:00: Clayton Tune run for 14 yds for a TD, (Bubba Baxa PAT MISSED) — HOU win probability +15.4 pts (now 24%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HOU made the numbers' call on 2 of 6KU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 14:08KU 4th & 6 at KU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:26KU 4th & 20 at KU 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%−0.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:07HOU 4th & 1 at HOU 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.3%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:56HOU 4th & 11 at KU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    59.1%−0.6
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:07HOU 4th & 11 at KU 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    55.1%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:15HOU 4th & 17 at HOU 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−2.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:30KU 4th & 3 at HOU 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    54.0%−1.4
    56% to make
    Punt
    52.1%−3.3
    average punt
  8. Q4 10:27KU 4th & 5 at HOU 5, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    84.6%−6.0
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:56HOU 4th & 3 at KU 3, down 18
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.0%−1.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−3.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:05KU 4th & 5 at HOU 16, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    94.4%−2.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:03HOU 4th & 17 at KU 42, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%
    30% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HOU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4KU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 10:01HOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:18HOU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:43KU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:06KU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:01KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:16KU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:30HOU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:24KU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:39KU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 0:00HOU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    14.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5225% → 25%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
74.8%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
74.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
74.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:08
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
74.7%
Reis Vernon punt for 53 yds, downed at the Houst 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 4:0775% → 76%
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
74.6%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Matthew Golden for 8 yds to the Houst 26Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+1
74.7%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 1 yd to the Houst 27Similar
Q1 14:08
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+1
74.6%
Clayton Tune run for 1 yd to the Houst 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
74.7%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 7 yds to the Houst 35Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+20
74.7%
Clayton Tune run for 20 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
74.7%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 8 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+2
74.7%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 2 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
74.7%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 1 yd to the Kans 34Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+34
75.7%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 34 yds for a TD, (Bubba Baxa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:3525% → 24%
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-13
75.1%
Jalon Daniels run for a loss of 13 yards to the Kans 20 Jalon Daniels fumbled, recovered by Kans Jalon DanielsSimilar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-5
75.1%
Devin Neal run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 15Similar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 20
OWN 15
0
75.3%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:26
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
75.7%
Reis Vernon punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Nathaniel Dell at the Kans 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 4TD
3 plays · 48 yds · 1:0876% → 78%
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
75.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 7 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+1
75.9%
Brandon Campbell run for 1 yd to the Kans 40Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+40
78.4%
Brandon Campbell run for 40 yds for a TD, (Bubba Baxa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:3522% → 25%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.6%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for no gain to the Kans 25Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
77.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Daniel Hishaw Jr. for 17 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
77.4%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+15
77.3%
DANIELS, Jalon pass to the right incomplete intended for ARNOLD, Lawrence thrown to the HOU25. PENALTY HOU Pass Interference on ROGERS, Jayce enforced 15 yards to the HOU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
77.2%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 3 yds to the Houst 37Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+3
77.1%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 3 yds to the Houst 34Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+22
77.0%
Jalon Daniels run for 22 yds to the Houst 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
76.8%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for no gain to the Houst 12Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
76.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:43
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+12
74.6%
Jalon Daniels run for 12 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 6INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 1:3276% → 75%
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.8%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for no gain to the Houst 25Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
75.7%
Clayton Tune run for 1 yd to the Houst 26Similar
Q1 1:11
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
75.2%
Clayton Tune pass intercepted HOUSTON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jamal Morris) to the Houst 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7TD
1 play · 8 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 1:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
69.3%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:5972% → 72%
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
71.7%
Brandon Campbell run for 3 yds to the Houst 28Similar
Q1 1:06
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
71.8%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Brandon Campbell for 7 yds to the Houst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
71.9%
Brandon Campbell run for 3 yds to the Houst 38Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
71.7%
Brandon Campbell run for 3 yds to the Houst 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
72.3%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Matthew Golden for 3 yds to the Houst 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+3
72.1%
Clayton Tune run for 3 yds to the Houst 44Similar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
71.5%
Laine Wilkins punt for 40 yds, downed at the Kans 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 5:0630% → 41%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+37
70.4%
Jalon Daniels run for 37 yds to the Houst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
68.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 7 yds to the Houst 40Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 3
OPP 40
-2
68.8%
Jalon Daniels run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 42Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+7
69.2%
Devin Neal run for 7 yds to the Houst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
68.6%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+8
68.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Tanaka Scott for 8 yds to the Houst 27Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+6
69.0%
Jalon Daniels run for 6 yds to the Houst 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+17
68.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Trevor Kardell for 17 yds to the Houst 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
68.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 5Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
58.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 5 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 3:4962% → 57%
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
61.7%
Clayton Tune run for 9 yds to the Houst 39Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+5
63.3%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 5 yds to the Houst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
63.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Matthew Golden for 15 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-8
63.8%
Clayton Tune sacked by Caleb Sampson for a loss of 8 yards to the Kans 49Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 18
OPP 49
-5
62.5%
TUNE, Clayton pass to the left complete for 17 yards to HENRY, Ta'Zhawn caught at the KAN47 and advanced to the KAN32 (BURROUGHS, O.J.). PENALTY Before the snap, HOU Illegal Formation on PAUL, Patrick enforced 5 yards from the KAN49 to the HOU46. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 23
OWN 46
0
61.9%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:56
3RD & 23
OWN 46
+12
61.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Brandon Campbell for 12 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q2 8:56
4TH & 11
OPP 42
0
61.3%
Laine Wilkins punt for 39 yds, downed at the Kans 3Similar
Q2 5:07
4TH & 11
OPP 42
0
57.4%
Laine Wilkins punt for 39 yds, downed at the Kans 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 97 yds · 3:5143% → 61%
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
57.3%
Ky Thomas run for 1 yd to the Kans 4Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+2
57.6%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the Kans 6Similar
Q2 5:07
3RD & 7
OWN 6
+9
58.3%
Jalon Daniels run for 9 yds to the Kans 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+13
57.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Sevion Morrison for 13 yds to the Kans 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
56.3%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+5
55.6%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
39.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Torry Locklin for 60 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 9 yds · 0:5441% → 39%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
40.8%
Clayton Tune run for 2 yds to the Houst 11Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 8
OWN 11
0
40.9%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 8
OWN 11
+14
40.5%
Clayton Tune pass complete to KeSean Carter for 14 yds to the Houst 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.0%
Clayton Tune run for no gain to the Houst 25Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
40.2%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-7
39.8%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Brandon Campbell for a loss of 7 yards to the Houst 18Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-7
39.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Brandon Campbell for a loss of 7 yards to the Houst 18Similar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
38.7%
Laine Wilkins punt for 46 yds, downed at the Kans 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13END OF HALF
9 plays · 14 yds · 0:1563% → 68%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
36.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 4 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+7
36.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 7 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+7
33.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 7 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
32.9%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
32.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
32.3%
Jalon Daniels run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
32.3%
Jalon Daniels run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 14TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 4:2341% → 55%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
40.5%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 6 yds to the Houst 37Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+7
41.4%
Clayton Tune run for 7 yds to the Houst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
42.5%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 16 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+16
42.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 16 yds to the Kans 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
43.7%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 5 yds to the Kans 19Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+6
43.6%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 6 yds to the Kans 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
43.6%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 9 yds to the Kans 4Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 1
OPP 4
0
43.6%
PENALTY HOU Unsportsmanlike Conduct on BROWN, Samuel KAN Unsportsmanlike Conduct on DOTSON, Ra'Mello , Offsetting penalties [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+2
43.6%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 2 yds to the Kans 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
43.7%
Brandon Campbell run for 1 yd to the Kans 1Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
54.5%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bubba Baxa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 6:0653% → 80%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
46.8%
Jalon Daniels run for 24 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
44.0%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the Houst 49Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+2
43.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Ky Thomas for 2 yds to the Houst 47Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+10
44.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 10 yds to the Houst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
43.8%
Ky Thomas run for 5 yds to the Houst 32Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 5
OPP 32
0
43.1%
Jalon Daniels run for no gain to the Houst 32Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+2
44.0%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the Houst 30Similar
Q3 10:30
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+18
46.1%
Quentin Skinner run for 18 yds to the Houst 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
43.1%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the Houst 9Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
19.6%
Jalon Daniels run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 16FUMBLE
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:1025% → 24%
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
24.5%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
24.2%
Clayton Tune sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 23Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
24.1%
Clayton Tune sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17TD
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:3581% → 95%
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
19.4%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+1
19.9%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the Houst 22Similar
Q3 4:14
3RD & 9
OPP 22
0
20.2%
DANIELS, Jalon pass to the left incomplete intended for KARDELL, Trevor thrown to the HOU19. PENALTY HOU Pass Interference on HYPOLITE, Hasaan enforced at the spot of the foul for 0 yards to the HOU22 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
19.4%
HOUSTON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Chidozie Nwankwo) to the Houst 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
19.4%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the Houst 8Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 7
OPP 8
0
19.4%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:39
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+8
5.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Jared Casey for 8 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:398% → 24%
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
8.2%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 3 yds to the Houst 28Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-3
8.3%
Clayton Tune sacked by Taiwan Berryhill for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 25Similar
Q3 2:39
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
8.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 12 yds to the Houst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
8.5%
TUNE, Clayton pass to the right incomplete intended for GOLDEN, Matthew thrown to the HOU47. PENALTY Before the snap, HOU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the HOU37 to the HOU32. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+15
8.2%
KANSAS Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Taiwan Berryhill) to the Kans 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
23.6%
Clayton Tune run for 14 yds for a TD, (Bubba Baxa PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19FG
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:3387% → 95%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
13.3%
Sevion Morrison run for 30 yds to the Houst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
12.2%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the Houst 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+8
11.8%
Jalon Daniels run for 8 yds to the Houst 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
11.9%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 9 yds to the Houst 23Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+16
9.6%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 16 yds to the Houst 7 Daniel Hishaw Jr. fumbled, recovered by Kans Daniel Hishaw Jr. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
7.9%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 4 yds to the Houst 3Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
7.9%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 5Similar
Q4 11:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
8.1%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
4.8%
Jacob Borcila 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 20FG
15 plays · 72 yds · 5:256% → 6%
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
6.1%
Nathaniel Dell run for 3 yds to the Houst 28Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
6.2%
Clayton Tune run for 4 yds to the Houst 32Similar
Q4 10:21
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
6.3%
Clayton Tune run for 5 yds to the Houst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
6.2%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 10 yds to the Houst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+20
6.6%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 20 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
7.7%
KANSAS Penalty, Defensive Holding (Lonnie Phelps) to the Kans 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
7.8%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 5 yds to the Kans 15Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 5
OPP 15
0
7.8%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for no gain to the Kans 15Similar
Q4 10:21
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+12
7.5%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 12 yds to the Kans 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
7.5%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 4Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
7.8%
Kelan Walker run for 1 yd to the Kans 3Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
3.7%
Kelan Walker run for 1 yd to the Kans 3Similar
Q4 5:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
3.7%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
6.1%
Bubba Baxa 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21FG
10 plays · 31 yds · 1:5097% → 99%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+26
3.3%
Devin Neal run for 26 yds to the Houst 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
3.2%
HOUSTON Penalty, Offsides (Chidozie Nwankwo) to the Houst 16Similar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 5
OPP 16
-1
3.2%
Devin Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 17Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 6
OPP 17
0
3.2%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the Houst 17Similar
Q4 3:16
2ND & 6
OPP 17
0
2.2%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the Houst 17Similar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+1
2.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 1 yd to the Houst 16Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+1
2.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 1 yd to the Houst 16Similar
Q4 3:05
4TH & 5
OPP 16
+33
1.4%
Jacob Borcila 33 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 22DOWNS
11 plays · 45 yds · 2:021% → 1%
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
1.0%
Clayton Tune run for 12 yds to the Houst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
1.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 16 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
1.0%
TUNE, Clayton pass to the left incomplete intended for GOLDEN, Matthew thrown to the KAN40. PENALTY HOU Holding on PAUL, Patrick enforced 10 yards from the KAN47 to the HOU43 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 20
OWN 43
0
1.0%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 20
OWN 43
+17
1.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 17 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+5
1.0%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 5 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
1.2%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-2
1.2%
Clayton Tune sacked by Craig Young for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 37Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 12
OPP 37
0
1.0%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:05
4TH & 12
OPP 37
-5
1.0%
HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (Nathaniel Dell) to the Kans 42Similar
Q4 1:03
4TH & 17
OPP 42
+12
0.7%
Clayton Tune pass complete to KeSean Carter for 12 yds to the Kans 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:24
Jalon Daniels run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)
-23.5
TD · Q2 1:16
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Torry Locklin for 60 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)
-16.5
TD · Q3 0:00
Clayton Tune run for 14 yds for a TD, (Bubba Baxa PAT MISSED)
+15.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com