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TAR

Tarleton State 17 at TCU 59

TCU
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
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Win probability · TCU
modelTCU aheadTAR aheadconfidence bandkey playTCU scoreTAR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:49 · Jake Walrath punt for 30 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 38Pregame prior+45.5Home team on offense+6.2Score differential+4.4Blowout margin+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:14: Jared Wiley 6 Yd pass from Max Duggan (Derius Davis Run for Two-Point Conversion) — TCU win probability +1.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:49: Quincy Brown 2 Yd pass from Max Duggan (Luke Laminack Kick) — TCU win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:14: Darius Cooper 21 Yd pass from Beau Allen (Adrian Guzman Kick) — TAR win probability +0.8 pts (now 2%) (top driver: TAR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:21: Sam Jackson 1 Yd Run (Luke Laminack Kick) — TCU win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:35: Deangelo Rosemond 1 Yd Run (Adrian Guzman Kick) — TAR win probability +1.1 pts (now 2%) (top driver: TAR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5TAR made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:46TCU 4th & 3 at TAR 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:20TAR 4th & 10 at TAR 25, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:49TCU 4th & 13 at TAR 17, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:49TAR 4th & 15 at TAR 20, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:21TAR 4th & 6 at TCU 36, down 21
    Close callPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%−0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:17TAR 4th & 7 at TAR 48, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:05TCU 4th & 10 at TAR 18, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    79% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:00TCU 4th & 5 at TAR 41, up 33
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:36TAR 4th & 10 at TCU 30, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:43TAR 4th & 5 at TAR 30, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:47TAR 4th & 6 at TAR 39, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:44TCU 4th & 2 at TAR 47, up 42
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6TAR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:51TCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:14TCU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:49TCU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:14TAR Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:21TCU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:35TAR Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:24TCU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:06TCU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TARDrive 1INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.9%
Beau Allen pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2TD
22 plays · 62 yds · 14:5199% → 97%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
98.7%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 10 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
98.7%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 12 yds to the trlst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
98.6%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston, broken up by Jalen CarrSimilar
Q1 13:46
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+2
98.6%
Max Duggan run for 2 yds to the trlst 33Similar
Q1 13:46
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+12
98.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 12 yds to the trlst 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
98.6%
Kendre Miller run for 2 yds to the trlst 19Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+19
98.5%
Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 19 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell PAT MISSED)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
97.3%
Kendre Miller run for 5 yds to the trlst 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TARDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 11:202% → 3%
Q1 11:20
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
98.5%
Jake Walrath punt for 22 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
Beau Allen pass incomplete to Darius Cooper, broken up by Dylan HortonSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
pass incomplete to Darius CooperSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
Beau Allen pass incomplete to Gabe Douglas, broken up by Tre'Vius Hodges-TomlinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 4MISSED FG
7 plays · 30 yds · 7:4998% → 97%
Q1 7:49
4TH & 13
OPP 17
+36
98.1%
Luke Laminack 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
97.3%
Kendre Miller run for 7 yds to the trlst 40Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+10
97.3%
Kendre Miller run for 10 yds to the trlst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
97.3%
Max Duggan pass complete to Savion Williams for 16 yds to the trlst 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
97.3%
Emari Demercado run for 1 yd to the trlst 13Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+1
97.3%
Emari Demercado run for 1 yd to the trlst 12Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 12
-5
97.3%
Max Duggan sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the trlst 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 5TD
3 plays · 11 yds · 6:1498% → 98%
Q1 6:14
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+6
98.4%
Jared Wiley 6 Yd pass from Max Duggan (Derius Davis Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
98.3%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 4 yds to the trlst 7Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+1
98.3%
Emari Demercado run for 1 yd to the trlst 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TARDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 4:491% → 1%
Q1 4:49
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
98.7%
Jake Walrath punt for 30 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
98.7%
Deangelo Rosemond run for a loss of 2 yards to the trlst 23Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+2
98.7%
Deangelo Rosemond run for 2 yds to the trlst 25Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Beau Allen pass incomplete to Darius Cooper, broken up by Abraham CamaraSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.7%
TARLETON ST Penalty, false start (DeJuan Miller) to the trlst 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 3:1699% → 99%
Q1 3:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.6%
Kendre Miller run for 1 yd for a TD, (Luke Laminack KICK)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+44
98.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Blake Nowell for 44 yds to the trlst 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
98.6%
Kendre Miller run for 1 yd to the trlst 5Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
98.6%
Max Duggan run for 4 yds to the trlst 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TARDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 39 yds · 0:211% → 1%
Q1 0:21
4TH & 6
OPP 36
0
98.6%
Jake Walrath punt for 36 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
98.6%
Beau Allen pass complete to Darius Cooper for 24 yds to the trlst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
98.5%
Beau Allen pass complete to Jaden Smith for 11 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
98.5%
pass incomplete to Ontario DouglasSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
98.5%
Ontario Douglas run for 3 yds to the TCU 37Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+1
98.6%
Beau Allen pass complete to Ontario Douglas for 1 yd to the TCU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:1199% → 99%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
98.5%
TCU Penalty, Offensive holding (Wes Harris) to the TCU 10Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+3
98.4%
Emari Demercado run for 3 yds to the TCU 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 13
+31
98.5%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 31 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
98.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quincy Brown for 12 yds to the trlst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
98.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 5 yds to the trlst 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+37
98.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Chase Curtis for 37 yds to the trlst 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.3%
Quincy Brown 2 Yd pass from Max Duggan (Luke Laminack Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TARDrive 10TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 10:142% → 2%
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
98.4%
Darius Cooper 21 Yd pass from Beau Allen (Adrian Guzman Kick)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.6%
Deangelo Rosemond run for 8 yds to the trlst 33Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
98.4%
Deangelo Rosemond run for 1 yd to the trlst 34Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
98.5%
Deangelo Rosemond run for 3 yds to the trlst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
98.5%
pass incomplete to Darius CooperSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+42
98.5%
Beau Allen pass complete to Jaden Smith for 42 yds to the TCU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 7:2199% → 100%
Q2 7:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.4%
Sam Jackson 1 Yd Run (Luke Laminack Kick)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.7%
Kendre Miller run for 1 yd to the TCU 38Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+3
99.7%
Sam Jackson pass complete to Trent Battle for 3 yds to the TCU 41Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+5
99.7%
TARLETON ST Penalty, off-side (Javier Duran) to the TCU 46Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+14
99.6%
Kendre Miller run for 14 yds to the trlst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.7%
Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+39
99.7%
Sam Jackson pass complete to Gunnar Henderson for 39 yds to the trlst 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TARDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 6:321% → 0%
Q2 6:32
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
99.2%
Beau Allen pass incomplete to Gabe Douglas, broken up by George Ellis IIISimilar
Q2 6:17
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
99.3%
Jake Walrath punt for 34 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.6%
Beau Allen run for 3 yds to the trlst 48Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
99.6%
Beau Allen pass incomplete to Darius Cooper, broken up by Abraham CamaraSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 13FG
12 plays · 64 yds · 4:53100% → 100%
Q2 4:53
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+21
99.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Kendre Miller for 21 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
99.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Blake Nowell for 8 yds to the trlst 47Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 2
OPP 47
0
99.5%
pass incomplete to Blake NowellSimilar
Q2 4:53
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+2
99.5%
Kendre Miller run for 2 yds to the trlst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
99.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 4 yds to the trlst 41Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+23
99.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Geor'Quarius Spivey for 23 yds to the trlst 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.6%
Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
99.6%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Derius Davis, broken up by Segun IjiyeraSimilar
Q2 4:53
3RD & 10
OPP 18
0
99.6%
pass incomplete to Blair ConwrightSimilar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 10
OPP 18
+36
99.6%
Luke Laminack 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
99.7%
Kendre Miller run for 7 yds to the TCU 25Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 25
-1
99.6%
Max Duggan run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TARDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.6%
Ontario Douglas run for 4 yds to the trlst 29Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
99.6%
Ontario Douglas run for 5 yds to the TCU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TARDrive 15TD
7 plays · 84 yds · 11:352% → 1%
Q3 11:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.5%
Deangelo Rosemond 1 Yd Run (Adrian Guzman Kick)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+14
99.2%
Beau Allen pass complete to Darius Cooper for 14 yds to the trlst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.2%
pass incomplete to Darius CooperSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
99.3%
Deangelo Rosemond run for 1 yd to the trlst 31Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+29
99.3%
Beau Allen pass complete to Jaden Smith for 29 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.2%
Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+39
99.2%
Beau Allen pass complete to Darius Cooper for 39 yds to the TCU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16TD
11 plays · 66 yds · 7:24100% → 100%
Q3 7:24
2ND & 14
OPP 17
+17
99.8%
Quincy Brown 17 Yd pass from Max Duggan (Luke Laminack Kick)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+20
99.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 20 yds to the trlst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.9%
Kendre Miller run for 5 yds to the trlst 41Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
99.9%
pass incomplete to Jared WileySimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Taye Barber, broken up by Josh KempSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 41
+17
99.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Gunnar Henderson for 17 yds to the trlst 24 for a 1ST down TARLETON ST Penalty, off-side. (Zechariah Hopkins) to the trlst 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
99.9%
Kendre Miller run for 1 yd to the trlst 23Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+7
99.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 7 yds to the trlst 16Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+3
99.9%
Max Duggan run for 3 yds to the trlst 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
99.9%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Jared Wiley, broken up by Qua'Shawn Washington TCU Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the trlst 18Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 15
OPP 18
+1
99.9%
Emari Demercado run for 1 yd to the trlst 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TARDrive 17FG
13 plays · 45 yds · 2:360% → 0%
Q3 2:36
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+47
99.9%
Adrian Guzman 47 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Deangelo Rosemond run for 9 yds to the trlst 34Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.9%
Beau Allen run for 2 yds to the trlst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.9%
Braelon Bridges run for 7 yds to the trlst 43Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+13
99.9%
Beau Allen pass complete to Darius Cooper for 13 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
99.9%
TARLETON ST Penalty, false start (Darius Cooper) to the TCU 49Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+10
99.9%
Beau Allen pass complete to Jaden Smith for 10 yds to the TCU 39Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+2
99.9%
Braelon Bridges run for 2 yds to the TCU 37Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+7
99.9%
Braelon Bridges run for 7 yds to the TCU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
99.9%
pass incomplete to Darius CooperSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
99.9%
pass incomplete to Darius CooperSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18TD
2 plays · 63 yds · 2:03100% → 100%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
99.9%
Jordan Hudson 29 Yd pass from Max Duggan (Luke Laminack Kick)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+34
99.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 34 yds to the trlst 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TARDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:430% → 0%
Q3 0:43
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Jake Walrath punt for 33 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Beau Allen pass complete to Darius Cooper for 6 yds to the trlst 31Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
99.9%
Braelon Bridges run for a loss of 1 yard to the trlst 30Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Beau Allen pass incomplete to Jaden Smith, broken up by Josh NewtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 20TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 2:54100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.9%
Emani Bailey run for 4 yds to the TCU 41Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
99.9%
Emani Bailey run for 6 yds to the trlst 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+8
99.9%
Sam Jackson pass complete to Blair Conwright for 8 yds to the trlst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
99.9%
Emani Bailey 37 Yd Run (Luke Laminack Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TARDrive 21INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 11:170% → 0%
Q4 11:17
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Beau Allen pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
100.0%
Derrel Kelley III run for 2 yds to the trlst 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 22FUMBLE
5 plays · 33 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
100.0%
Trent Battle run for 4 yds to the trlst 34Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+13
100.0%
Sam Jackson run for 13 yds to the trlst 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
100.0%
Sam Jackson run for 11 yds to the trlst 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
100.0%
Trent Battle run for 5 yds to the trlst 5Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
100.0%
Trent Battle run for 5 yds to the trlst 20 Trent Battle fumbled, recovered by trlst Blake SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TARDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 4:470% → 0%
Q4 4:47
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Jake Walrath punt for 38 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
100.0%
Ontario Douglas run for a loss of 1 yard to the trlst 19Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+5
100.0%
TCU Penalty, delay of game (George Ellis III) to the trlst 24Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+11
100.0%
Ontario Douglas run for 11 yds to the trlst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
100.0%
Ontario Douglas run for 1 yd to the trlst 36Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+3
100.0%
Braelon Bridges run for 3 yds to the trlst 39Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Alaka'I Yuen pass incomplete to Kyle Weber, broken up by Marvin CovingtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 30 yds · 1:44100% → 100%
Q4 1:44
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Jordy Sandy punt for 37 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+22
100.0%
Corey Wren run for 22 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
100.0%
Corey Wren run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
50
+2
100.0%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Chase Jackson for 2 yds to the trlst 48Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+1
100.0%
Corey Wren run for 1 yd to the trlst 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TARDrive 25Uncategorized
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
100.0%
Braelon Bridges run for 9 yds to the trlst 19Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+4
100.0%
Braelon Bridges run for 4 yds to the trlst 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
100.0%
Braelon Bridges run for 1 yd to the trlst 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 6:14
Jared Wiley 6 Yd pass from Max Duggan (Derius Davis Run for Two-Point Conversion)
+1.1
TD · Q3 11:35
Deangelo Rosemond 1 Yd Run (Adrian Guzman Kick)
-1.1
TD · Q2 7:21
Sam Jackson 1 Yd Run (Luke Laminack Kick)
+0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com