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ISU

Iowa State 10 at Iowa 7

IOWA
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:02 · punt blocked by Lukas Van Ness blocked by Lukas Van Ness
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differential
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 4Pregame prior+15.8Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score differential−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 8:27: Xavier Hutchinson 8 Yd pass from Hunter Dekkers (Jace Gilbert Kick) — ISU win probability +31.2 pts (now 70%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:27: Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 9 yds to the Iowa 34 — IOWA win probability +11.2 pts (now 41%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:06: Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 11 yds to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST down — IOWA win probability +11.0 pts (now 36%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:12: Timeout IOWA, clock 02:12 — ISU win probability +14.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:38: Spencer Petras pass incomplete — IOWA win probability +16.0 pts (now 23%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 6 of 7ISU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 13:02ISU 4th & 10 at ISU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:52ISU 4th & 4 at ISU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:55IOWA 4th & 6 at IOWA 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:29ISU 4th & 3 at IOWA 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:51IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:45ISU 4th & 4 at IOWA 4, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.1%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    24.8%−7.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:37IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 31, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:53ISU 4th & 5 at ISU 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:27IOWA 4th & 9 at midfield, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:44ISU 4th & 7 at ISU 8, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:02IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 30, down 3
    Close callPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:06ISU 4th & 8 at ISU 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%−2.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:18IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.2%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.9%−1.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:18IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.2%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.9%−1.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:38ISU 4th & 4 at IOWA 27, up 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.3 ptsWent for it · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.8%−2.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    85.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    67.5%−17.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ISU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:21IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 8:27ISU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.9%−1.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 15:0034% → 36%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
66.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 4 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
66.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 3 yds to the IowSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-7
66.4%
Hunter Dekkers sacked by John Waggoner for a loss of 7 yards to the IowSt 25Similar
Q1 13:02
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
66.3%
punt blocked by Lukas Van Ness blocked by Lukas Van NessSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
63.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 4 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
63.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 3 yds to the IowSt 32Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-7
63.9%
Hunter Dekkers sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the IowSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 2TD
2 plays · 16 yds · 12:2167% → 71%
Q1 12:21
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+9
67.3%
Leshon Williams 9 Yd Run (Aaron Blom Kick)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
71.0%
Leshon Williams run for 7 yds to the IowSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 17 yds · 12:2133% → 31%
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
67.0%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 11 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
66.9%
Hunter Dekkers run for 8 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 2
OWN 44
0
66.7%
Eli Sanders run for no gain to the IowSt 44Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 2
OWN 44
-5
66.8%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the IowSt 39Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+3
66.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 3 yds to the IowSt 42Similar
Q1 9:52
4TH & 4
OWN 42
+11
67.6%
Tyler Perkins punt for 50 yds , Arland Bruce IV returns for 11 yds to the Iowa 19Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
69.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 11 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
68.8%
Hunter Dekkers run for 8 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 44
0
68.1%
Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 44
-5
68.3%
IOWA ST Penalty, false start (Mason Chambers) to the IowSt 39Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+3
69.0%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 3 yds to the IowSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 9:5268% → 69%
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
67.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 11 yds to the Iowa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
67.8%
Leshon Williams run for no gain to the Iowa 30Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
67.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 4 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
67.6%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:55
4TH & 6
OWN 34
+50
67.8%
Tory Taylor punt for 50 yds , Jaylin Noel returns for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 15Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
69.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 11 yds to the Iowa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
69.8%
Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
69.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 4 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
69.4%
pass incomplete to Arland Bruce IVSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:2632% → 32%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
68.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+20
68.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 20 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
67.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
68.0%
Hunter Dekkers run for 6 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+5
67.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 5 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
67.5%
Jirehl Brock run for 2 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
67.5%
Jirehl Brock run for 2 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+5
67.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jared Rus for 5 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
67.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jirehl Brock for no gain to the Iowa 47Similar
Q1 4:29
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
68.3%
Ben Garbarini punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 6FUMBLE
11 plays · 34 yds · 3:5670% → 71%
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
69.7%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+15
69.5%
PETRAS, Spencer pass to the left incomplete intended for BRUCE IV, Arland thrown to the ISU40. PENALTY ISU Pass Interference on PURCHASE, Myles enforced 15 yards to the ISU42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+15
69.5%
PETRAS, Spencer pass to the left incomplete intended for BRUCE IV, Arland thrown to the ISU40. PENALTY ISU Pass Interference on PURCHASE, Myles enforced 15 yards to the ISU42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
69.8%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
69.0%
Arland Bruce IV run for 4 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+2
69.0%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 26Similar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+7
68.7%
Spencer Petras run for 7 yds to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
69.1%
Kaleb Johnson run for 8 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+2
69.7%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:33
2ND & 8
OPP 40
-40
70.7%
Spencer Petras sacked for a loss of 40 yards to the Iowa 49Similar
Q1 0:33
2ND & 8
OPP 40
-6
70.7%
Spencer Petras sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the Iowa 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7FUMBLE
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:1632% → 33%
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
67.9%
Jirehl Brock run for 15 yds to the Iowa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
67.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 7 yds to the Iowa 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+13
67.1%
Jirehl Brock run for 13 yds to the Iowa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
67.1%
Jirehl Brock run for 6 yds to the Iowa 8Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 8
-1
67.1%
Hunter Dekkers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 9
0
67.9%
IOWA ST Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on NOEL, Jaylin ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 9
0
68.6%
DEKKERS, Hunter pass to the left incomplete intended for NOEL, Jaylin thrown to the UI0; QB hurried by MERRIWEATHER, Kaevon. PENALTY UI Holding on BENSON, Seth enforced half the distance from the goal, 5 yards from the UI9 to the UI4 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
67.1%
Jirehl Brock run for 3 yds to the Iowa 1Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
67.2%
Jirehl Brock run for 1 yd Jirehl Brock fumbled, recovered by Iowa Logan KlempSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 3:2670% → 71%
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
70.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 6 yds to the Iowa 26Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
70.4%
Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
70.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 10 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
71.4%
Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+2
71.5%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
70.9%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:51
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
70.7%
Tory Taylor punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9FG
16 plays · 76 yds · 5:0629% → 35%
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
70.7%
Jirehl Brock run for 2 yds to the IowSt 22Similar
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
70.7%
Jirehl Brock run for 2 yds to the IowSt 22Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+9
70.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 9 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+9
70.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 9 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
70.3%
Jirehl Brock run for 2 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+7
70.2%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 7 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q2 8:51
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+2
69.3%
Jirehl Brock run for 2 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
69.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 11 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
68.8%
Eli Sanders run for 2 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
68.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:51
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+16
69.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Aidan Bitter for 16 yds to the Iowa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+24
67.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 24 yds to the Iowa 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
67.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
67.6%
Hunter Dekkers run for 1 yd to the Iowa 4Similar
Q2 8:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
68.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
65.4%
Jace Gilbert 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0368% → 66%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
67.6%
Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 5
OWN 31
0
67.9%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
66.9%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:37
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
66.1%
Tory Taylor punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:4434% → 32%
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
66.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jirehl Brock for no gain to the IowSt 27Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
66.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:37
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
67.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:37
4TH & 10
OWN 27
+5
68.5%
IOWA Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the IowSt 32Similar
Q2 1:53
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
68.3%
Tyler Perkins punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Arland Bruce IV at the Iowa 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 12INT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:1568% → 67%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
68.4%
Leshon Williams run for no gain to the Iowa 16Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+2
68.1%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 2 yds to the Iowa 18Similar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 8
OWN 18
0
67.4%
Spencer Petras pass interceptedSimilar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 8
OWN 18
0
67.4%
Spencer Petras pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:3634% → 34%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
66.1%
Hunter Dekkers run for no gain to the Iowa 12Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
66.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:5769% → 68%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
68.5%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the Iowa 21Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+2
68.4%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the Iowa 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15PUNT
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q3 12:43
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
66.4%
Tory Taylor punt for 63 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16INT
4 plays · 23 yds · 1:3233% → 36%
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
67.2%
Jirehl Brock run for 14 yds to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
66.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for no gain to the IowSt 34Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+9
66.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 9 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q3 11:11
3RD & 1
OWN 43
0
64.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5773% → 70%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
72.9%
Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 7
OPP 48
-2
73.1%
Leshon Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:24
3RD & 9
50
0
71.0%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:27
4TH & 9
50
0
69.8%
Tory Taylor punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:4331% → 29%
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
69.2%
Jirehl Brock run for 2 yds to the IowSt 7Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+6
69.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 6 yds to the IowSt 13Similar
Q3 9:27
3RD & 2
OWN 13
-5
70.0%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Grant Treiber) to the IowSt 8Similar
Q3 9:27
3RD & 7
OWN 8
0
70.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:44
4TH & 7
OWN 8
0
71.4%
punt blocked by Lukas Van Ness blocked by Lukas Van NessSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19FUMBLE
5 plays · 19 yds · 2:2874% → 75%
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
74.1%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 7 yds to the IowSt 13Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+1
74.1%
Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the IowSt 12Similar
Q3 7:44
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+9
73.0%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 9 yds to the IowSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
74.2%
Gavin Williams run for 2 yds to the IowSt 1Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
74.6%
Monte Pottebaum run for no gain to the IowSt 1 Monte Pottebaum fumbled, recovered by IowSt Kendell JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20TD
23 plays · 99 yds · 11:4930% → 70%
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
69.6%
Hunter Dekkers run for 2 yds to the IowSt 3Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 3
OWN 8
+1
70.0%
Jirehl Brock run for 1 yd to the IowSt 9Similar
Q3 5:16
3RD & 2
OWN 9
+6
71.2%
Jirehl Brock run for 6 yds to the IowSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
69.1%
Eli Sanders run for 5 yds to the IowSt 20Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 5
OWN 20
0
69.0%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:16
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+6
70.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 6 yds to the IowSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+5
70.0%
IOWA Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the IowSt 8Similar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
68.6%
Jirehl Brock run for 8 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 2
OWN 34
-1
65.9%
Jirehl Brock run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 33Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+5
70.0%
IOWA Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the IowSt 8Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+10
67.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 10 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
65.3%
Jirehl Brock run for 5 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+5
64.1%
Jaylin Noel run for 5 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
63.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Aidan Bitter for 4 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+3
63.4%
Eli Sanders run for 3 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+5
63.2%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 5 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
61.8%
Jirehl Brock run for 4 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+1
61.2%
Jirehl Brock run for 1 yd to the Iowa 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+9
63.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 9 yds to the Iowa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
61.1%
IOWA Penalty, Personal Foul (Cooper DeJean) to the Iowa 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
61.1%
Jirehl Brock run for no gain to the Iowa 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
61.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 2 yds to the Iowa 8Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
29.9%
Xavier Hutchinson 8 Yd pass from Hunter Dekkers (Jace Gilbert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2541% → 35%
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
41.1%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 9 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-4
44.5%
Arland Bruce IV run for a loss of 4 yards to the Iowa 30Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
40.3%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:02
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+9
35.1%
Tory Taylor punt for 50 yds , Dimitri Stanley returns for 9 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 3:5668% → 76%
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
32.0%
Jirehl Brock run for 5 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+4
28.1%
Hunter Dekkers run for 4 yds to the IowSt 38Similar
Q4 5:31
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+1
26.9%
Jirehl Brock run for 1 yd to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
26.8%
Jirehl Brock run for no gain to the IowSt 39Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
27.5%
Jirehl Brock run for 1 yd to the IowSt 40Similar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+1
22.2%
Jirehl Brock run for 1 yd to the IowSt 41Similar
Q4 3:06
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
24.5%
Tyler Perkins punt for 37 yds , Arland Bruce IV returns for no gain to the Iowa 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:4836% → 29%
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
35.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 11 yds to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
36.6%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
36.0%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:06
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
33.4%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:18
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
29.1%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete IOWA Penalty, Face mask (0 yards) (Spencer Petras) declinedSimilar
Q4 2:18
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
29.1%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete IOWA Penalty, Face mask (0 yards) (Spencer Petras) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:3486% → 93%
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
14.4%
Jirehl Brock run for 3 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+2
14.4%
Jirehl Brock run for 2 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q4 0:43
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+1
5.4%
Jirehl Brock run for 1 yd to the Iowa 27Similar
Q4 0:38
4TH & 4
OPP 27
0
6.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 25MISSED FG
8 plays · 43 yds · 0:3823% → 27%
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
22.9%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
20.2%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
19.3%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:38
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+14
18.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Alec Wick for 14 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
21.6%
IOWA ST Penalty, Offsides (TEAM) to the Iowa 46Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+15
24.0%
IOWA ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
26.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 9 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+48
27.3%
Aaron Blom 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:27
Xavier Hutchinson 8 Yd pass from Hunter Dekkers (Jace Gilbert Kick)
-31.2
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-27.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:38
Spencer Petras pass incomplete
+16
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com