Try the model
HOU

Houston 30 at Texas Tech 33

TTU
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Jones AT&T Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadHOU aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreHOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2OTOT2FGFGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:08 · Donovan Smith run for 2 yds to the Houst 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorTime remainingScore differentialDefense timeouts
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2OTOT2Play 143Pregame prior+3.1Home team on offense+14.3Garbage-time factor+8.1Time remaining−0.3Score differential+2.7Defense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 12:25: Jayce Rogers 54 Yd Interception Return (Bubba Baxa Kick) — HOU win probability +23.3 pts (now 37%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 0:37: Bubba Baxa 35 Yd Field Goal — HOU win probability +29.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 0:03: Trey Wolff 47 Yd Field Goal — TTU win probability +31.8 pts (now 66%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. TD · OT 0:00: Clayton Tune pass complete to Matthew Golden for 15 yds for a TD, (Bubba Baxa KICK) — HOU win probability +19.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Tahj Brooks 4 Yd Run (Trey Wolff Kick) — TTU win probability +37.6 pts (now 66%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 11 of 12HOU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 11:26TTU 4th & 6 at HOU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    61.7%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:42HOU 4th & 1 at HOU 22, down 3
    Close callPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:58TTU 4th & 8 at TTU 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:21TTU 4th & 20 at TTU 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%−1.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:21TTU 4th & 20 at TTU 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%−1.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:55HOU 4th & 7 at HOU 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:55HOU 4th & 7 at HOU 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:06TTU 4th & 10 at TTU 1, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−1.7
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 13:06TTU 4th & 10 at TTU 1, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−1.7
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 11:17HOU 4th & 7 at TTU 7, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    33.4%−3.8
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:53HOU 4th & 2 at HOU 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q2 6:53HOU 4th & 2 at HOU 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q2 2:39TTU 4th & 4 at HOU 27, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.3%−0.4
    62% to make
    Punt
    66.5%−4.2
    average punt
  14. Q2 0:59HOU 4th & 3 at TTU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    30.9%−0.3
    54% to make
    Punt
    28.7%−2.5
    average punt
  15. Q3 10:04TTU 4th & 12 at TTU 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−1.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.7%
    average punt
  16. Q3 8:16HOU 4th & 7 at HOU 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−1.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:24HOU 4th & 19 at TTU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−3.3
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.7%
    56% to make
    Punt
    21.6%−2.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:08TTU 4th & 3 at HOU 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    81.9%−2.4
    36% to make
    Punt
    82.1%−2.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 14:08TTU 4th & 3 at HOU 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    81.9%−2.4
    36% to make
    Punt
    82.1%−2.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 12:25TTU 4th & 7 at HOU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    58.3%−2.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    58.6%−1.8
    average punt
  21. Q4 5:30TTU 4th & 23 at HOU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−9.4
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    35.9%−18.2
    average punt
  22. Q4 3:34HOU 4th & 18 at HOU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%−14.0
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.9%
    average punt
  23. Q4 0:37HOU 4th & 7 at TTU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−8.8
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.9%
    79% to make
    Punt
    17.6%−35.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2HOU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 10:10TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:18TTU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:24HOU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:25HOU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1FG
12 plays · 68 yds · 3:3463% → 64%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
63.4%
Donovan Smith run for 9 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-5
63.4%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
63.4%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 11 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
63.4%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 2 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+14
63.4%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Myles Price for 14 yds to the Houst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
63.4%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Myles Price for 7 yds to the Houst 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+15
63.4%
SMITH, Donovan pass to the left incomplete intended for SPARKMAN, J.J. thrown to the HOU12. PENALTY HOU Pass Interference on EMERY, Jalen enforced 15 yards to the HOU22 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
63.4%
THOMPSON, SaRodorick rush to the right for a loss of 1 yard to the HOU23 (ROBINSON, Malik). PENALTY HOU Personal Foul on UNIJE, Reuben enforced half the distance from the goal, 11 yards from the HOU22 to the HOU11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
63.4%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+4
63.4%
Donovan Smith run for 4 yds to the Houst 7Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 7
0
63.4%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:26
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+25
63.7%
Trey Wolff 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4436% → 36%
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
63.6%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for no gain to the Houst 13Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
63.7%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:26
3RD & 10
OWN 13
+9
63.8%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 9 yds to the Houst 22Similar
Q1 9:42
4TH & 1
OWN 22
0
64.0%
Laine Wilkins punt for 67 yds, downed at the TexTc 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3PUNT
18 plays · 33 yds · 5:4464% → 64%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
63.6%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 10
OWN 11
-2
63.6%
Donovan Smith pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 9Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 10
OWN 11
-2
63.6%
Donovan Smith pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 9Similar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 12
OWN 9
-5
63.3%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 4Similar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 16
OWN 5
+5
63.3%
HOUSTON Penalty, Offsides (D'Anthony Jones) to the TexTc 10Similar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 11
OWN 10
-2
63.4%
Donovan Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 8Similar
Q1 9:42
4TH & 13
OWN 8
+15
63.2%
MCNAMARA, Austin punt 47 yards to the HOU45, DELL, Nathaniel return 47 yards to the TTU8. PENALTY HOU Roughing the Kicker on NUNNERY, Mannie enforced 15 yards from the TTU8 to the TTU23 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
63.6%
Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 22Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 11
OWN 22
-9
63.6%
Donovan Smith sacked by Derek Parish for a loss of 9 yards to the TexTc 13Similar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 20
OWN 13
0
63.4%
Donovan Smith run for no gain to the TexTc 13Similar
Q1 6:11
4TH & 20
OWN 13
+15
63.0%
HOUSTON Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Alex Hogan) to the TexTc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
64.1%
Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the TexTc 28Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+14
63.9%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 14 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
64.6%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Jerand Bradley for a loss of 3 yards to the TexTc 39Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 13
OWN 39
+5
64.1%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 5 yds to the TexTc 44Similar
Q1 6:11
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
64.1%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:58
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
64.0%
Austin McNamara punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Nathaniel Dell at the Houst 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · 40 yds · 1:1736% → 36%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+21
64.5%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 21 yds to the Houst 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
64.2%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 2 yds to the Houst 33Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+17
64.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 17 yds Ta'Zhawn Henry fumbled, recovered by TexTc Dadrion Taylor-Demerson , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:2065% → 63%
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
50
+3
65.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the Houst 47Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 7
OPP 47
-13
65.4%
Donovan Smith sacked for a loss of 13 yards to the TexTc 40Similar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 20
OWN 40
0
63.9%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:21
4TH & 20
OWN 40
0
63.4%
Austin McNamara punt for 36 ydsSimilar
Q1 1:21
4TH & 20
OWN 40
+46
63.4%
Austin McNamara punt for 36 yds HOUSTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Demarcus Griffin-Taylor) to the Houst 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 2:2636% → 36%
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+15
64.3%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Brandon Campbell for 15 yds to the Houst 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
64.1%
Brandon Campbell run for 5 yds to the Houst 34Similar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 5
OWN 34
0
63.6%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+12
64.3%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 12 yds to the Houst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
63.0%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
63.3%
Brandon Campbell run for 3 yds to the Houst 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
63.2%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:55
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
64.3%
Laine Wilkins punt for 50 yds, downed at the TexTc 1Similar
Q2 13:55
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
64.3%
Laine Wilkins punt for 50 yds, downed at the TexTc 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:4964% → 63%
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
64.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for no gain to the TexTc 1Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
63.9%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:55
3RD & 10
OWN 1
0
63.4%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:06
4TH & 10
OWN 1
+35
63.0%
Austin McNamara punt for 53 yds , Nathaniel Dell returns for 35 yds to the TexTc 19Similar
Q2 13:06
4TH & 10
OWN 1
+35
63.0%
Austin McNamara punt for 53 yds , Nathaniel Dell returns for 35 yds to the TexTc 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 8FG
8 plays · 12 yds · 1:4938% → 39%
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
62.1%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
62.1%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+10
62.8%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Matthew Golden for 10 yds to the TexTc 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
62.1%
Stacy Sneed run for 2 yds to the TexTc 7Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
63.2%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
64.1%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
60.9%
Bubba Baxa 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 1:0764% → 71%
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
63.8%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 11 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
65.0%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:17
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+11
64.4%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 11 yds to the Houst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
71.4%
Nehemiah Martinez I 43 Yd pass from Donovan Smith (Gino Garcia Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:1730% → 28%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
70.4%
Clayton Tune run for 8 yds to the Houst 33Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
69.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 2 yds to the Houst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
70.1%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for no gain to the Houst 35Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
70.3%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 6 yds to the Houst 41Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+2
69.3%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 2 yds to the Houst 43Similar
Q2 6:53
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
71.9%
Laine Wilkins punt for 49 yds, downed at the TexTc 8Similar
Q2 6:53
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
71.9%
Laine Wilkins punt for 49 yds, downed at the TexTc 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11MISSED FG
15 plays · 65 yds · 4:1472% → 73%
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
71.7%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 4 yds to the TexTc 12Similar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
71.7%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 4 yds to the TexTc 12Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+4
71.6%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 4 yds to the TexTc 16Similar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+3
71.3%
Donovan Smith run for 3 yds to the TexTc 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+3
71.3%
Donovan Smith run for 3 yds to the TexTc 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
71.9%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 8 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 2
OWN 27
0
72.6%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+4
71.6%
Donovan Smith run for 4 yds to the TexTc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+17
72.1%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 17 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+19
73.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 19 yds to the Houst 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
73.9%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
73.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for no gain to the Houst 33Similar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+6
73.0%
Donovan Smith pass complete to J.J. Sparkman for 6 yds to the Houst 27Similar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+6
73.0%
Donovan Smith pass complete to J.J. Sparkman for 6 yds to the Houst 27Similar
Q2 2:39
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+45
73.3%
Trey Wolff 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 42 yds · 1:4027% → 30%
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
73.3%
Clayton Tune sacked by Dimitri Moore for 0 yards to the Houst 27Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+35
73.6%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Brandon Campbell for 35 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
70.9%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
70.9%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+7
71.7%
Brandon Campbell run for 7 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 3
OPP 31
0
70.5%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13TD
4 plays · 69 yds · 0:4174% → 84%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
73.5%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 6 yds to the TexTc 37Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+6
74.6%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 6 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
74.7%
Donovan Smith run for 3 yds to the TexTc 46Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+54
84.1%
Myles Price 54 Yd pass from Donovan Smith (Gino Garcia Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 30 yds · 0:1816% → 17%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
83.9%
Brandon Campbell run for 18 yds to the Houst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
83.3%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 12 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 15TD
4 plays · 67 yds · 1:3619% → 31%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+63
81.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 63 yds to the TexTc 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
78.8%
Brandon Campbell run for 2 yds to the TexTc 2Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
78.8%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
69.0%
Brandon Campbell 2 Yd Run (Bubba Baxa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:2073% → 73%
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
73.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 7 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
74.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
73.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TexTc 36Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+13
73.5%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 13 yds to the TexTc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
75.0%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Myles Price for no gain to the TexTc 49Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
74.6%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 10
OWN 49
-2
73.0%
Donovan Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 47Similar
Q3 10:04
4TH & 12
OWN 47
0
72.5%
Austin McNamara punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Nathaniel Dell at the Houst 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:4827% → 25%
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
73.1%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:04
2ND & 10
OWN 10
-4
73.3%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Brandon Campbell for a loss of 4 yards to the Houst 6Similar
Q3 10:04
3RD & 14
OWN 6
+7
74.6%
Brandon Campbell run for 7 yds to the Houst 13Similar
Q3 8:16
4TH & 7
OWN 13
+3
75.4%
Laine Wilkins punt for 44 yds , Adrian Frye returns for 3 yds to the TexTc 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18Uncategorized
5 plays · 29 yds · 0:0078% → 79%
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
78.1%
Donovan Smith pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 44Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 12
OWN 44
-4
77.1%
Donovan Smith sacked by Jamaree Caldwell for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 40Similar
Q3 8:16
3RD & 16
OWN 40
+22
75.7%
Donovan Smith run for 22 yds to the Houst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
78.4%
Donovan Smith pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 9 yds to the Houst 29Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+4
78.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 4 yds to the Houst 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 19MISSED FG
10 plays · 13 yds · 3:0130% → 23%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 7
OPP 43
0
70.1%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+10
70.7%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 10 yds to the TexTc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
69.0%
Brandon Campbell run for 8 yds to the TexTc 25Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+4
68.5%
Brandon Campbell run for 4 yds to the TexTc 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
68.4%
Brandon Campbell run for 6 yds to the TexTc 15Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+4
68.5%
Brandon Campbell run for 4 yds to the TexTc 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
68.4%
Brandon Campbell run for 6 yds to the TexTc 15Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 4
OPP 15
0
68.4%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 4
OPP 15
-15
70.3%
Clayton Tune sacked by Kosi Eldridge for a loss of 15 yards to the TexTc 30Similar
Q3 2:24
4TH & 19
OPP 30
+47
76.7%
Bubba Baxa 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20DOWNS
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:1680% → 84%
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
80.0%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Baylor Cupp for 6 yds to the TexTc 36Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+3
81.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
Q3 2:24
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+3
80.8%
Donovan Smith run for 3 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
81.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 7 yds to the TexTc 49Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+5
82.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the Houst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
82.3%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+2
84.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the Houst 39 Tahj Brooks fumbled, recovered by TexTc Donovan SmithSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
85.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the Houst 41Similar
Q4 14:08
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+2
83.9%
Donovan Smith run for 2 yds to the Houst 37Similar
Q4 14:08
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+2
83.9%
Donovan Smith run for 2 yds to the Houst 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 21INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2721% → 20%
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
78.9%
Brandon Campbell run for no gain to the Houst 37Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
79.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 1 yd to the Houst 38Similar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
80.1%
Clayton Tune pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
80.1%
Clayton Tune pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:1687% → 63%
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
86.7%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-54
63.4%
Jayce Rogers 54 Yd Interception Return (Bubba Baxa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23MISSED FG
21 plays · 62 yds · 6:5559% → 56%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
58.6%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+11
58.4%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Xavier White for 11 yds to the TexTc 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
58.9%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 9 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+2
61.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TexTc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
59.7%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Xavier White for 13 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
59.7%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Xavier White for 13 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
62.9%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 2 yds to the TexTc 47Similar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
62.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the Houst 49 Donovan Smith pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 2 yds to the TexTc 47Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+7
63.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 7 yds to the Houst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+4
63.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the Houst 49Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+7
63.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 7 yds to the Houst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
64.3%
Myles Price pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
64.1%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+3
62.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the Houst 39Similar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 7
OPP 39
+10
60.0%
Donovan Smith pass complete to J.J. Sparkman for 10 yds to the Houst 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
65.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the Houst 28Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+8
65.5%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 8 yds to the Houst 20Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+5
63.7%
HOUSTON Penalty, Offsides (Jamaree Caldwell) to the Houst 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 21
OPP 26
-2
63.4%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Tahj Brooks for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 28Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 23
OPP 28
0
60.7%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:30
4TH & 23
OPP 28
+46
56.0%
Gino Garcia 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 5 yds · 1:5649% → 45%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
51.3%
Brandon Campbell run for 13 yds to the Houst 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
48.0%
Brandon Campbell run for 1 yd to the Houst 42Similar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
48.0%
Brandon Campbell run for 1 yd to the Houst 42Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 9
OWN 42
-10
48.4%
QB Keeper TUNE, Clayton rush to the right for a gain of 10 yards to the TTU48 (MERRIWEATHER, Krishon). PENALTY HOU Holding on ROBINSON, Lance enforced 10 yards from the HOU42 to the HOU32 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 9
OWN 42
-10
48.4%
QB Keeper TUNE, Clayton rush to the right for a gain of 10 yards to the TTU48 (MERRIWEATHER, Krishon). PENALTY HOU Holding on ROBINSON, Lance enforced 10 yards from the HOU42 to the HOU32 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 19
OWN 32
-10
52.4%
TUNE, Clayton pass up the middle complete for 9 yards to CARTER, KeSean caught at the HOU41 and advanced to the HOU41 (ELDRIDGE, Kosi;BLANKENBAKER, Keyon). PENALTY HOU Holding on PAUL, Patrick enforced 10 yards from the HOU32 to the HOU22 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 29
OWN 22
+3
52.8%
Brandon Campbell run for 3 yds to the Houst 25Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 26
OWN 25
+8
54.4%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Brandon Campbell for 8 yds to the Houst 33Similar
Q4 3:34
4TH & 18
OWN 33
0
55.3%
Laine Wilkins punt for 42 yds , Adrian Frye returns for no gain to the TexTc 33 TEXAS TECH Penalty, Illegal Block (Reggie Pearson Jr.) to the TexTc 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 25INT
3 plays · -7 yds · 2:3758% → 54%
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-7
57.7%
Donovan Smith sacked by Derek Parish for a loss of 7 yards to the TexTc 8Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 17
OWN 8
0
56.4%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 17
OWN 8
0
53.6%
Donovan Smith pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 26FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:2059% → 86%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
40.6%
Clayton Tune run for 1 yd to the TexTc 20Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
40.6%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+2
43.9%
Brandon Campbell run for 2 yds to the TexTc 18Similar
Q4 0:37
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+35
14.3%
Bubba Baxa 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 27FG
5 plays · 46 yds · 0:3427% → 66%
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
26.6%
Donovan Smith run for 27 yds to the Houst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
32.4%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+11
31.7%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 11 yds to the Houst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
34.2%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 10 yds to the Houst 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:03
2ND & 12
OPP 29
+47
66.0%
Trey Wolff 47 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 29TD
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0059% → 78%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-10
41.1%
QB Keeper TUNE, Clayton rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the TTU22 (BLIDI, Philip). PENALTY HOU Holding on ROBINSON, Lance enforced 10 yards from the TTU25 to the TTU35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 20
OPP 35
-1
44.2%
Brandon Campbell run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 36Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 21
OPP 36
+19
45.4%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 19 yds to the TexTc 17Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+2
43.3%
Clayton Tune run for 2 yds to the TexTc 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
41.1%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
22.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Matthew Golden for 15 yds for a TD, (Bubba Baxa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 30TD
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0028% → 66%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-4
28.0%
Donovan Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the Houst 29Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 14
OPP 29
0
20.8%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 14
OPP 29
-6
18.5%
Donovan Smith sacked by Derek Parish for a loss of 6 yards to the Houst 35Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 20
OPP 35
+21
16.3%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 21 yds to the Houst 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
28.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 10 yds to the Houst 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
65.6%
Tahj Brooks 4 Yd Run (Trey Wolff Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 31FG
7 plays · 22 yds · 15:0035% → 25%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
65.1%
Clayton Tune run for 2 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+3
65.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to KeSean Carter for 3 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+10
69.5%
Clayton Tune pass complete to KeSean Carter for 10 yds to the TexTc 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
65.1%
Stacy Sneed run for 5 yds to the TexTc 5Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
66.3%
Stacy Sneed run for 2 yds to the TexTc 3Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
68.6%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
OT2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
75.2%
Bubba Baxa 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 32TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 15:0086% → 85%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
85.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the Houst 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+11
85.9%
Donovan Smith pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 11 yds to the Houst 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
85.9%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Myles Price for 3 yds to the Houst 9 Donovan Smith pass complete to Myles Price for 3 yds to the Houst 9 Donovan Smith pass complete to Myles Price for 3 yds to the Houst 9Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
85.2%
Donovan Smith 9 Yd Run Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Tahj Brooks 4 Yd Run (Trey Wolff Kick)
+37.6
FG · Q4 0:03
Trey Wolff 47 Yd Field Goal
+31.8
FG · Q4 0:37
Bubba Baxa 35 Yd Field Goal
-29.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com