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ULM

UL Monroe 10 at Texas 52

TEX
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2022 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:19 · Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 10 yds to the LaMon 31 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 81Pregame prior+36.4Home team on offense+21.9Score differential+14.2Blowout margin−0.3Garbage-time factor+6.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.8
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 5:11: Calum Sutherland 25 yd FG GOOD — ULM win probability +0.3 pts (now 2%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:50: Roschon Johnson run for 16 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK) — TEX win probability +0.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 3:14: Bert Auburn 41 yd FG GOOD — TEX win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:08: Quinn Ewers pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 16 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK) — TEX win probability +0.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:41: Bijan Robinson run for 9 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK) — TEX win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 6 of 7ULM made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 13:12ULM 4th & 13 at ULM 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:10ULM 4th & 16 at ULM 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:11ULM 4th & 8 at TEX 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:06TEX 4th & 4 at ULM 37, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    97.1%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:39ULM 4th & 9 at ULM 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:24ULM 4th & 8 at ULM 37, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:14TEX 4th & 23 at ULM 23, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    96.3%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:26ULM 4th & 1 at ULM 34, down 21
    Close callPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:19TEX 4th & 7 at ULM 41, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    98.6%
    32% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:07ULM 4th & 18 at ULM 17, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:24ULM 4th & 11 at ULM 24, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:37TEX 4th & 10 at TEX 40, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:16ULM 4th & 7 at ULM 48, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:53TEX 4th & 14 at TEX 16, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:46ULM 4th & 4 at TEX 41, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:46TEX 4th & 3 at ULM 25, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:19TEX 4th & 12 at TEX 23, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ULM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 1:47TEX Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:50TEX Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:08TEX Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:41TEX Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:13TEX Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:24TEX Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:39ULM Touchdown, down 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULMDrive 1PUNT TD
7 plays · -3 yds · 1:481% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.8%
PENALTY ULM Delay Of Game (Rogers,Chandler) 5 yards from ULM25 to ULM20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+6
98.8%
Andrew Henry run for 6 yds to the LaMon 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+3
98.8%
Chandler Rogers run for 3 yds to the LaMon 17Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+5
98.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Rogers,Chandler pass complete deep right to Howell,Tyrone for 15 yards to the ULM32 (Watts,Ryan) PENALTY TEX Offside (Overshown,DeMarvion) 5 yards from ULM17 to ULM22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
98.8%
Chandler Rogers pass incomplete to Boogie KnightSimilar
Q1 13:12
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+12
98.7%
Devyn McCormick punt blocked by D'Shawn Jamison blocked by D'Shawn Jamison for a TD , Keilan Robinson returns for 12 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 3:021% → 2%
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.7%
Malik Jackson run for 4 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
98.7%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Rylan Green for 12 yds to the LaMon 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
98.7%
Andrew Henry run for 1 yd to the LaMon 42Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+3
98.7%
Andrew Henry run for 3 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
Q1 13:12
3RD & 6
OWN 45
-10
98.7%
Chandler Rogers sacked by Barryn Sorrell for a loss of 10 yards to the LaMon 35Similar
Q1 10:10
4TH & 16
OWN 35
0
98.5%
Devyn McCormick punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Xavier Worthy at the Texas 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 3INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:3599% → 99%
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
98.5%
Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
98.5%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 7
OWN 30
0
98.5%
Quinn Ewers pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 4FG
11 plays · 34 yds · 4:242% → 2%
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
98.4%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 7 yds to the Texas 35Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+1
98.4%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 1 yd to the Texas 34Similar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+6
98.4%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Boogie Knight for 6 yds to the Texas 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
98.4%
Andrew Henry run for no gain to the Texas 28Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
98.4%
Chandler Rogers pass incomplete to Nolan QuinlanSimilar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+23
98.2%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Dariyan Wiley for 23 yds to the Texas 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.2%
Chandler Rogers pass incomplete to Tyrone HowellSimilar
Q1 7:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
98.2%
Chandler Rogers run for 3 yds to the Texas 2Similar
Q1 7:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+6
98.2%
Chandler Rogers run for 6 yds to the Texas 8Similar
Q1 5:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
97.9%
Calum Sutherland 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 5TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 3:1998% → 98%
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+21
97.9%
Bijan Robinson run for 21 yds to the LaMon 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
98.0%
Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+7
98.0%
Bijan Robinson run for 7 yds to the LaMon 38Similar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+1
98.0%
Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 37Similar
Q1 5:06
4TH & 4
OPP 37
+5
97.9%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 5 yds to the LaMon 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
98.0%
Bijan Robinson run for 13 yds to the LaMon 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
98.0%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 19 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 4:012% → 2%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
97.9%
Andrew Henry run for 4 yds to the LaMon 19Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 6
OWN 19
0
97.9%
Andrew Henry run for no gain to the LaMon 19Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+12
97.8%
Chandler Rogers run for 12 yds to the LaMon 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
97.7%
Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+3
97.7%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 36
-5
97.7%
PENALTY ULM False Start (Rogers,Chandler) 5 yards from ULM36 to ULM31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+6
97.8%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jevin Frett for 6 yds to the LaMon 37Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 37
-5
97.7%
PENALTY ULM Delay Of Game (McCormick,Devyn) 5 yards from ULM37 to ULM32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:39
4TH & 9
OWN 32
+3
97.6%
Devyn McCormick punt for 44 yds , Xavier Worthy returns for 3 yds to the Texas 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 7TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 1:4998% → 98%
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
97.6%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 5 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 5
OWN 32
-5
97.7%
PENALTY TEX False Start (Majors,Jake) 5 yards from TEX32 to TEX27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+7
97.6%
Xavier Worthy run for 7 yds to the Texas 34Similar
Q2 12:39
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+7
97.6%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 7 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+43
97.7%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Casey Cain for 43 yds to the LaMon 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
98.4%
Roschon Johnson run for 16 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 4:262% → 2%
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
98.2%
Andrew Henry run for 5 yds to the LaMon 17Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+7
98.2%
Andrew Henry run for 7 yds to the LaMon 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
98.2%
Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 26Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+9
98.2%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Boogie Knight for 9 yds to the LaMon 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
98.1%
Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 34Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+1
98.2%
Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 35Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+2
98.2%
Chandler Rogers run for 2 yds to the LaMon 37Similar
Q2 6:24
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+21
97.9%
Devyn McCormick punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaMon 48 for a 1ST down , Xavier Worthy returns for 21 yds to the TEXAS 42 for a 1ST down UL MONROE Penalty, Personal Foul (Dariyan Wiley) to the LaMon 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 9FG
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:1098% → 99%
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
98.1%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 8 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+11
98.1%
Bijan Robinson run for 11 yds to the LaMon 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+19
98.1%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 19 yds to the LaMon 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
98.1%
PENALTY TEX False Start (Banks Jr.,Kelvin) 5 yards from ULM10 to ULM15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
-9
98.1%
Quinn Ewers sacked by Quincy Ledet Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the LaMon 24Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 24
0
98.1%
TEXAS Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 23
0
98.1%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q2 3:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 23
+41
98.8%
Bert Auburn 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:481% → 1%
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.7%
Chandler Rogers run for 6 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q2 3:14
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
98.6%
Andrew Henry run for 2 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
Q2 3:14
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
98.6%
Andrew Henry run for 1 yd to the LaMon 34Similar
Q2 1:26
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+9
98.7%
Devyn McCormick punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 40 , Xavier Worthy returns for 9 yds to the Texas 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11MISSED FG
9 plays · 40 yds · 1:2699% → 99%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
99.0%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 16 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.0%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Bijan RobinsonSimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
99.0%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+3
99.0%
Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 41Similar
Q2 0:19
4TH & 7
OPP 41
+10
99.0%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 10 yds to the LaMon 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
99.0%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 11 yds to the LaMon 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+38
99.0%
Bert Auburn 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 1:4699% → 100%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
98.9%
Keilan Robinson run for 7 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 3
OPP 45
0
98.9%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Bijan RobinsonSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+4
98.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 4 yds to the LaMon 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+25
98.9%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 25 yds to the LaMon 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
98.9%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Jordan WhittingtonSimilar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
99.7%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 16 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 2:010% → 0%
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
99.7%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Bugs Mortimer for 3 yds to the LaMon 25Similar
Q3 13:08
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-8
99.7%
Chandler Rogers sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the LaMon 17Similar
Q3 11:07
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
99.8%
Devyn McCormick punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Xavier Worthy at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 1:26100% → 100%
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
50
+5
99.7%
Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
99.7%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q3 11:07
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+11
99.7%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 11 yds to the LaMon 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+25
99.7%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 25 yds to the LaMon 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.8%
Bijan Robinson run for 9 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 15INT TD
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:280% → 0%
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jevin Frett for 5 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
99.8%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jevin Frett for 4 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
99.8%
Chandler Rogers run for 4 yds to the LaMon 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+24
99.8%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Fred Lloyd Jr. for 24 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.8%
Chandler Rogers pass incomplete to Andrew HenrySimilar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-69
99.9%
D'Shawn Jamison 69 Yd Interception Return (Bert Auburn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:490% → 0%
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Malik Jackson run for 4 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
99.9%
Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 30Similar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
UL MONROE Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 5:24
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Devyn McCormick punt for 36 yds , D'Shawn Jamison returns for no gain to the Texas 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:47100% → 100%
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.9%
Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Texas 41Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+2
99.9%
Roschon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q3 5:24
3RD & 7
OWN 43
-3
99.9%
Hudson Card sacked by Cooper Webb for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 40Similar
Q3 3:37
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Isaac Pearson punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaMon 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:210% → 0%
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.9%
Isaiah Phillips run for 3 yds to the LaMon 48Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+2
99.9%
Bennett Galloway run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:37
3RD & 5
50
+3
99.9%
Jiya Wright run for 3 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q3 3:37
4TH & 2
OPP 47
-5
99.9%
PENALTY ULM False Start 5 yards from TEX47 to ULM48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:16
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Devyn McCormick punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:23100% → 100%
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-8
99.9%
Hudson Card sacked by Anthony Campbell for a loss of 8 yards to the Texas 12Similar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 18
OWN 12
0
99.9%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Savion RedSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 18
OWN 12
+4
99.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Gabe Sulser for 4 yds to the Texas 16Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 14
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Daniel Trejo punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Boogie Knight at the LaMon 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 21 yds · 3:070% → 0%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
99.9%
Chandler Rogers run for 5 yds to the LaMon 46Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+7
99.9%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Boogie Knight for 7 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
99.9%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Boogie Knight for 4 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+1
99.9%
Bennett Galloway run for 1 yd to the Texas 44Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+3
99.9%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Bennett Galloway for 3 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q4 11:46
4TH & 4
OPP 41
+3
99.9%
Chandler Rogers run for 3 yds to the Texas 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 21TD
13 plays · 62 yds · 5:22100% → 100%
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
99.9%
Roschon Johnson run for 8 yds to the Texas 46Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 2
OWN 46
-5
99.9%
PENALTY TEX False Start 5 yards from TEX46 to TEX41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+5
99.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Savion Red for 5 yds to the Texas 46Similar
Q4 11:46
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+9
99.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Troy Omeire for 9 yds to the LaMon 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
99.9%
Roschon Johnson run for 7 yds to the LaMon 38Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+2
99.9%
Jonathon Brooks run for 2 yds to the LaMon 36Similar
Q4 11:46
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+4
99.9%
Jonathon Brooks run for 4 yds to the LaMon 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Jonathon Brooks run for no gain to the LaMon 32Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+4
99.9%
Jonathon Brooks run for 4 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q4 11:46
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+3
99.9%
Jonathon Brooks run for 3 yds to the LaMon 25Similar
Q4 11:46
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+6
99.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Gabe Sulser for 6 yds to the LaMon 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
100.0%
Jonathon Brooks run for 19 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 22TD
5 plays · 83 yds · 2:360% → 0%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
100.0%
Bennett Galloway run for 2 yds to the LaMon 19Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+3
100.0%
Zack Martin run for 3 yds to the LaMon 22Similar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+46
100.0%
Garrett Hable pass complete to Jevin Frett for 46 yds to the Texas 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
100.0%
Zack Martin run for 9 yds to the Texas 23Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+23
99.9%
Zack Martin run for 23 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 2:20100% → 100%
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Jaydon Blue run for 1 yd to the Texas 26Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
99.9%
Jaydon Blue run for 3 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q4 3:39
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+1
99.9%
Jaydon Blue run for 1 yd to the Texas 28Similar
Q4 3:39
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-5
99.9%
PENALTY TEX Delay Of Game 5 yards from TEX28 to TEX23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:19
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
100.0%
Daniel Trejo punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Boogie Knight at the LaMon 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 24END OF GAME
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:190% → 0%
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
100.0%
Zack Martin run for 4 yds to the LaMon 44Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
100.0%
Garrett Hable pass incomplete to Bugs MortimerSimilar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+13
100.0%
Garrett Hable pass complete to Charlie Norman for 13 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Garrett Hable pass incomplete to Tyrone HowellSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Charlie Norman run for no gain to the Texas 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 3:14
Bert Auburn 41 yd FG GOOD
+0.8
TD · Q3 13:08
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 16 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK)
+0.8
TD · Q2 10:50
Roschon Johnson run for 16 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK)
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com