Try the model
SEMO

Southeast Missouri State 10 at Iowa State 42

ISU
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2022 · Jack Trice Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadSEMO aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreSEMO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+0.1ISU 100.0%Deon Silas run for 1 yd for a TD,(Jace Gilbert KICK)AWAY 10 - HOME 42 · Q4 6:06
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:06 · Deon Silas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jace Gilbert KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 151Pregame prior+8.9Home team on offense+36.2Score differential+26.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+18.7Garbage-time factor+13.5Blowout margin+11.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:29: Xavier Hutchinson 33 Yd pass from Hunter Dekkers (Jace Gilbert Kick) — ISU win probability +0.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:53: Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 33 yds for a TD, (Jace Gilbert KICK) — ISU win probability +0.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:54: Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 8 yds for a TD, (Jace Gilbert KICK) — ISU win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:59: Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Damoriea Vick for 11 yds for a TD, (DC Pippin KICK) — SEMO win probability +2.9 pts (now 5%) (top driver: SEMO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:58: Hunter Dekkers pass complete to DeShawn Hanika for 9 yds for a TD, (Jace Gilbert KICK) — ISU win probability +2.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5SEMO made the numbers' call on 11 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00SEMO 4th & 1 at ISU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    2.4%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:41SEMO 4th & 1 at ISU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:29ISU 4th & 3 at SEMO 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    95.1%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    95.1%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:56SEMO 4th & 8 at SEMO 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:56SEMO 4th & 8 at SEMO 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:00SEMO 4th & 14 at ISU 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:22SEMO 4th & 10 at ISU 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:00ISU 4th & 16 at ISU 17, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:28SEMO 4th & 5 at ISU 5, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.1%
    92% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:18SEMO 4th & 1 at SEMO 33, down 18
    Close callPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:51ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 33, up 18
    Close callPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:56SEMO 4th & 12 at SEMO 43, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:35SEMO 4th & 5 at SEMO 30, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:35SEMO 4th & 5 at SEMO 30, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:46SEMO 4th & 11 at SEMO 35, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:20ISU 4th & 4 at ISU 37, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:20ISU 4th & 4 at ISU 37, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6SEMO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 2:29ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:53ISU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:54ISU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:59SEMO Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:58ISU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:29ISU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:06ISU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SEMODrive 1DOWNS
15 plays · 60 yds · 8:192% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.0%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Johnny King for 5 yds to the SEMo 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
98.0%
Paxton DeLaurent run for 10 yds to the SEMo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
98.0%
Paxton DeLaurent run for 5 yds to the SEMo 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+11
98.0%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Damoriea Vick for 11 yds to the IowSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
98.0%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Johnny King for 6 yds to the IowSt 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+3
98.0%
Geno Hess run for 3 yds to the IowSt 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 35
0
98.0%
Paxton DeLaurent pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+1
98.0%
Paxton DeLaurent run for 1 yd to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
98.0%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Damoriea Vick for 9 yds to the IowSt 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 25
-1
98.0%
Geno Hess run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+5
98.0%
Geno Hess run for 5 yds to the IowSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
98.0%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Johnny King for 6 yds to the IowSt 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+3
98.0%
Paxton DeLaurent run for 3 yds to the IowSt 12Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 12
0
98.0%
Paxton DeLaurent run for no gain to the IowSt 12Similar
Q1 6:41
4TH & 1
OPP 12
0
96.7%
Paxton DeLaurent pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 85 yds · 4:1297% → 97%
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
96.8%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Jared Rus) to the IowSt 10Similar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 15
OWN 10
-1
96.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 9Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 16
OWN 9
+8
96.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 8 yds to the IowSt 17Similar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+20
96.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 20 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
96.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
50
+10
96.5%
(04:46) DEKKERS, Hunter pass up the middle incomplete intended for HUTCHINSON, Xavier thrown to the SEM33, clock 04:46. PENALTY SEM Holding on HODGES, Trai enforced 10 yards from the ISU50 to the SEM40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
96.5%
Jirehl Brock run for a loss of 1 yard to the SEMo 41Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+5
96.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 5 yds to the SEMo 36Similar
Q1 3:17
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+3
96.2%
Jirehl Brock run for 3 yds to the SEMo 33Similar
Q1 2:29
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+33
96.6%
Xavier Hutchinson 33 Yd pass from Hunter Dekkers (Jace Gilbert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 1:334% → 4%
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
96.5%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Johnny King for 12 yds to the SEMo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
96.4%
Paxton DeLaurent pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
96.4%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Damoriea Vick for 7 yds to the SEMo 44Similar
Q1 2:29
3RD & 3
OWN 44
0
96.3%
Paxton DeLaurent pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:29
4TH & 3
OWN 44
-5
96.5%
SE MISSOURI Penalty, Delay Of Game (Ryan Flournoy) to the SEMo 39Similar
Q1 0:56
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
96.3%
Zach Haynes punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 25Similar
Q1 0:56
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
96.3%
Zach Haynes punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:0396% → 97%
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
96.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 23 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
96.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+9
96.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 9 yds to the SEMo 43Similar
Q1 0:56
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+7
96.4%
Cartevious Norton run for 7 yds to the SEMo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
96.4%
Cartevious Norton run for 3 yds to the SEMo 33Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+33
97.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 33 yds for a TD, (Jace Gilbert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 2:483% → 4%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+30
96.8%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Pervis Frazier for 30 yds to the SEMo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
96.6%
Geno Hess run for 1 yd to the SEMo 48Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
96.7%
Paxton DeLaurent pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+9
96.7%
Paxton DeLaurent run for 9 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
96.6%
Shamenski Rucker run for 1 yd to the IowSt 42Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 9
OPP 42
0
96.6%
Paxton DeLaurent pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 9
OPP 42
-5
96.6%
SE MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 47Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 14
OPP 47
0
96.8%
Paxton DeLaurent pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:00
4TH & 14
OPP 47
0
96.5%
Zach Haynes punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 90 yds · 4:0697% → 99%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
97.3%
Eli Sanders run for 4 yds to the IowSt 14Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+5
97.2%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Eli Sanders for 5 yds to the IowSt 19Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+2
97.2%
Eli Sanders run for 2 yds to the IowSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
97.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+12
97.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 12 yds to the IowSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
97.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 2 yds to the IowSt 35Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
97.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+15
97.2%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Easton Dean for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
50
+3
97.5%
Jirehl Brock run for 3 yds to the SEMo 47Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+39
97.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Darren Wilson Jr. for 39 yds to the SEMo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
98.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 8 yds for a TD, (Jace Gilbert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 7MISSED FG
9 plays · 54 yds · 2:302% → 1%
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
98.0%
Geno Hess run for a loss of 2 yards to the SEMo 21Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+7
98.1%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Damoriea Vick for 7 yds to the SEMo 28Similar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+29
98.0%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Geno Hess for 29 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+20
97.8%
Paxton DeLaurent run for 20 yds to the IowSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
97.7%
Paxton DeLaurent pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
97.7%
Paxton DeLaurent pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
97.8%
Paxton DeLaurent pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:22
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+41
97.9%
DC Pippin 41 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
98.6%
DEKKERS, Hunter pass up the middle complete for 13 yards to NORTON, Cartevious caught at the ISU17 and advanced to the ISU36 (LEONARD, Ty), out of bounds. PENALTY ISU Holding on DOWNING, Trevor enforced 10 yards from the ISU23 to the ISU13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 2:2299% → 99%
Q2 5:22
1ST & 20
OWN 13
0
98.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 20
OWN 13
-3
98.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 10Similar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 23
OWN 10
+12
98.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 12 yds to the IowSt 22Similar
Q2 5:22
4TH & 11
OWN 22
-5
98.5%
IOWA ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 17Similar
Q2 3:00
4TH & 16
OWN 17
0
98.6%
Tyler Perkins punt for 50 yds, downed at the SEMo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 9TD
4 plays · 67 yds · 1:012% → 5%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
98.0%
Paxton DeLaurent run for 15 yds to the SEMo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+41
98.0%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 41 yds to the IowSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
97.7%
Paxton DeLaurent pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
94.8%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Damoriea Vick for 11 yds for a TD, (DC Pippin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:2697% → 97%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
96.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 5 yds to the IowSt 26Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 5
OWN 26
0
96.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass interceptedSimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 5
OWN 26
0
96.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 11FG
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:535% → 6%
Q2 1:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
94.7%
Paxton DeLaurent pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
94.7%
Geno Hess run for 2 yds to the IowSt 5Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
94.9%
Paxton DeLaurent pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
94.5%
DC Pippin 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:5795% → 98%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
95.1%
Jirehl Brock run for 16 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
95.2%
BROCK, Jirehl rush to the left for a loss of 3 yards to the ISU33 (NORMAN, Bryce). PENALTY SEM Targeting on NORMAN, Bryce enforced 15 yards from the ISU36 to the SEM49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
95.4%
Jirehl Brock run for 9 yds to the SEMo 40Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+10
95.4%
Jirehl Brock run for 10 yds to the SEMo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
95.4%
Hunter Dekkers run for 3 yds to the SEMo 27Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+4
95.4%
Jirehl Brock run for 4 yds to the SEMo 23Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+11
95.2%
Cartevious Norton run for 11 yds to the SEMo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
95.4%
Hunter Dekkers run for 1 yd to the SEMo 11Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+2
95.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 2 yds to the SEMo 9Similar
Q3 9:58
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+9
97.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to DeShawn Hanika for 9 yds for a TD, (Jace Gilbert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:343% → 3%
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
96.9%
Paxton DeLaurent pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+6
96.9%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Johnny King for 6 yds to the SEMo 30Similar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+3
97.0%
Paxton DeLaurent run for 3 yds to the SEMo 33Similar
Q3 8:18
4TH & 1
OWN 33
0
97.0%
Zach Haynes punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2798% → 98%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
98.0%
Jirehl Brock run for 4 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+5
98.0%
Jirehl Brock run for 5 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 1
OWN 33
0
98.0%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:51
4TH & 1
OWN 33
0
97.9%
Tyler Perkins punt for 42 yds, downed at the SEMo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 3:553% → 3%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
97.0%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 10 yds to the SEMo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
96.7%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Darrell Smith for 9 yds to the SEMo 44Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 1
OWN 44
-1
96.5%
Paxton DeLaurent run for a loss of 1 yard to the SEMo 43 Paxton DeLaurent fumbled, recovered by SEMo Paxton DeLaurentSimilar
Q3 6:51
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+2
96.7%
Paxton DeLaurent run for 2 yds to the SEMo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-15
96.7%
DELAURENT, Paxton pass to the right incomplete intended for FLOURNOY, Ryan broken up by PORTER, Darien at the ISU45. PENALTY SEM Personal Foul on KORTE, Nate enforced 15 yards from the SEM45 to the SEM30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 25
OWN 30
+6
97.0%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Pervis Frazier for 6 yds to the SEMo 36Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 19
OWN 36
+7
97.0%
Paxton DeLaurent run for 7 yds to the SEMo 43Similar
Q3 6:51
3RD & 12
OWN 43
0
97.0%
Paxton DeLaurent pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:56
4TH & 12
OWN 43
0
97.1%
Zach Haynes punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17TD
11 plays · 84 yds · 4:2799% → 100%
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
99.0%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jared Rus for 5 yds to the IowSt 21Similar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+2
99.0%
Eli Sanders run for 2 yds to the IowSt 23Similar
Q3 2:56
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+6
99.0%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 6 yds to the IowSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
99.4%
Jirehl Brock run for 12 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+17
99.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 17 yds to the SEMo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
99.5%
Eli Sanders run for 5 yds to the SEMo 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+7
99.5%
Hunter Dekkers run for 7 yds to the SEMo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
99.5%
Jirehl Brock run for 6 yds to the SEMo 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+23
99.5%
Jirehl Brock run for 23 yds to the SEMo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Jirehl Brock run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jace Gilbert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:541% → 1%
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.1%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 5 yds to the SEMo 30Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.1%
Paxton DeLaurent pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.1%
Paxton DeLaurent pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:35
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-2
99.1%
Zach Haynes punt for 45 yds , Jaylin Noel returns for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 23Similar
Q4 12:35
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-2
99.1%
Zach Haynes punt for 45 yds , Jaylin Noel returns for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19TD
14 plays · 77 yds · 6:29100% → 100%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
99.8%
Jirehl Brock run for 2 yds to the IowSt 25Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Jirehl Brock run for 3 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q4 12:35
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+7
99.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to DeShawn Hanika for 7 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.9%
Jirehl Brock run for 4 yds to the IowSt 39Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+7
99.9%
Eli Sanders run for 7 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
99.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Eli Sanders for 9 yds to the SEMo 45Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+3
99.9%
Eli Sanders run for 3 yds to the SEMo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
99.9%
BECHT, Rocco pass to the right incomplete intended for STANLEY, Dimitri thrown to the SEM6. PENALTY SEM Pass Interference on LEWIS, Joedrick enforced 15 yards to the SEM27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
99.9%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the SEMo 26Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+2
99.9%
Deon Silas run for 2 yds to the SEMo 24Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 7
OPP 24
0
99.9%
BECHT, Rocco pass to the left incomplete intended for SHAW, Sean broken up by PICKENS III, Henry at the SEM0. PENALTY SEM Pass Interference on PICKENS III, Henry enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the SEM9 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
99.9%
Deon Silas run for 8 yds to the SEMo 1Similar
Q4 6:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Deon Silas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jace Gilbert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 3:200% → 0%
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Paxton DeLaurent pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Paxton DeLaurent pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:06
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
100.0%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Johnny King for 11 yds to the SEMo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
100.0%
Shamenski Rucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the SEMo 35Similar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 11
OWN 35
-10
100.0%
DELAURENT, Paxton pass up the middle complete for 7 yards to FRAZIER, Pervis caught at the SEM37 and advanced to the SEM42 (JACKSON, Kendell;HOWARD, Trevon). PENALTY SEM Holding on KORTE, Nate enforced 10 yards from the SEM35 to the SEM25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 21
OWN 25
+9
100.0%
Shamenski Rucker run for 9 yds to the SEMo 34Similar
Q4 6:06
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+1
100.0%
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Paxton DeLaurent for 1 yd to the SEMo 35Similar
Q4 2:46
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Zach Haynes punt for 34 yds, downed at the IowSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:26100% → 100%
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
100.0%
Deon Silas run for 4 yds to the IowSt 35Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+2
100.0%
Deon Silas run for 2 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
100.0%
Deon Silas run for no gain to the IowSt 37Similar
Q4 0:20
4TH & 4
OWN 37
-7
100.0%
Tyler Perkins punt for 48 yds , Dalyn McDonald returns for a loss of 7 yards to the SEMo 8Similar
Q4 0:20
4TH & 4
OWN 37
-7
100.0%
Tyler Perkins punt for 48 yds , Dalyn McDonald returns for a loss of 7 yards to the SEMo 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
100.0%
Darrell Smith run for 7 yds to the SEMo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:59
Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Damoriea Vick for 11 yds for a TD, (DC Pippin KICK)
-2.9
TD · Q3 9:58
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to DeShawn Hanika for 9 yds for a TD, (Jace Gilbert KICK)
+2.5
TD · Q2 7:54
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 8 yds for a TD, (Jace Gilbert KICK)
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com