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SDAK

South Dakota 0 at Kansas State 34

KSU
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2022 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadSDAK aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreSDAK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:34 · Ty Zentner punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Carter Bell at the SDako 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 14Pregame prior+42.5Home team on offense+1.0Score differential+0.2Blowout margin−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q1 6:45: Deuce Vaughn run for 9 yds to the KanSt 41 — KSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:49: Deuce Vaughn run for 39 yds for a TD, (Chris Tennant PAT MISSED) — KSU win probability +1.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:49: Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds for a TD, (Chris Tennant KICK) — KSU win probability +1.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. PUNT · Q3 13:38: John Bickle punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 37 — SDAK win probability +0.7 pts (now 2%) (top driver: SDAK has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 13:38: Deuce Vaughn run for 9 yds to the KanSt 46 — KSU win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11SDAK made the numbers' call on 12 of 16
  1. Q1 12:56SDAK 4th & 1 at SDAK 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:56SDAK 4th & 1 at SDAK 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:34KSU 4th & 12 at KSU 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:34KSU 4th & 12 at KSU 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 8:14SDAK 4th & 13 at SDAK 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:27KSU 4th & 9 at SDAK 34, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.4%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    94.5%
    47% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:42SDAK 4th & 1 at KSU 21, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    3.5%−0.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:26KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 26, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:26KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 26, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:17SDAK 4th & 12 at SDAK 26, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 9:17SDAK 4th & 12 at SDAK 26, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  12. Q2 4:58SDAK 4th & 11 at SDAK 24, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  13. Q2 2:44KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 49, up 27
    Close callPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 13:38SDAK 4th & 11 at SDAK 24, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  15. Q3 13:38SDAK 4th & 11 at SDAK 24, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  16. Q3 13:38KSU 4th & 2 at SDAK 45, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.6
    25% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q3 4:05SDAK 4th & 17 at KSU 36, down 34
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q3 4:05SDAK 4th & 17 at KSU 36, down 34
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q3 1:48KSU 4th & 10 at KSU 36, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  20. Q3 1:48KSU 4th & 10 at KSU 36, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  21. Q4 14:56SDAK 4th & 1 at KSU 42, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.1%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  22. Q4 14:56SDAK 4th & 1 at KSU 42, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.1%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  23. Q4 13:02KSU 4th & 5 at KSU 48, up 34
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  24. Q4 10:49SDAK 4th & 16 at SDAK 25, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  25. Q4 5:50KSU 4th & 9 at SDAK 25, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.4
    average punt
  26. Q4 0:58SDAK 4th & 4 at KSU 5, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  27. Q4 0:58SDAK 4th & 4 at KSU 5, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 14:50KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:14KSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:49KSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:49KSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:43KSU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
94.7%
Malik Knowles run for 75 yds for a TD, (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:545% → 6%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.8%
Carson Camp pass complete to Travis Theis for 2 yds to the SDako 27Similar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
94.8%
Carson Camp pass complete to Austin Goehring for 7 yds to the SDako 34Similar
Q1 14:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
94.8%
Travis Theis run for no gain to the SDako 34Similar
Q1 12:56
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
94.5%
John Bickle punt for 61 yds, downed at the KanSt 5Similar
Q1 12:56
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
94.5%
John Bickle punt for 61 yds, downed at the KanSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:2295% → 94%
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
94.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 8Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+6
94.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 6 yds to the KanSt 14Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+7
94.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Malik Knowles for 7 yds to the KanSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
94.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 6 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 4
OWN 27
-3
94.5%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 24Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 7
OWN 24
-5
94.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 19Similar
Q1 9:34
4TH & 12
OWN 19
0
94.0%
Ty Zentner punt for 49 ydsSimilar
Q1 9:34
4TH & 12
OWN 19
0
94.0%
Ty Zentner punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Carter Bell at the SDako 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 4PUNT TD
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:206% → 6%
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
93.9%
Carson Camp pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-5
94.0%
SOUTH DAKOTA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SDako 27Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 15
OWN 27
-4
94.0%
Carson Camp sacked by Felix Anudike-Uzomah for a loss of 4 yards to the SDako 23Similar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 19
OWN 23
+6
94.0%
Carson Camp pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 6 yds to the SDako 29Similar
Q1 8:14
4TH & 13
OWN 29
+17
94.5%
Desmond Purnell 17 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Chris Tennant Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 6:456% → 6%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.3%
John Bickle punt for 43 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.8%
Shomari Lawrence run for 2 yds to the SDako 27Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-10
93.7%
SOUTH DAKOTA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Austin Goehring) to the SDako 20Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 27
0
93.8%
SOUTH DAKOTA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Isaac Erbes) declinedSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 15
OWN 27
-2
93.9%
Carson Camp pass complete to Carter Bell for a loss of 2 yards to the SDako 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6DOWNS
12 plays · 26 yds · 4:1895% → 94%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
94.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 9 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+2
94.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
94.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Sammy Wheeler for 10 yds to the SDako 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
94.7%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 48Similar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+8
94.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 8 yds to the SDako 44Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+4
94.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the SDako 40Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+5
94.6%
Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds to the SDako 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
94.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
94.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Malik Knowles for 2 yds to the SDako 33Similar
Q1 2:36
3RD & 8
OPP 33
-1
94.2%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Michael Scott for a loss of 1 yard to the SDako 34Similar
Q1 2:27
4TH & 9
OPP 34
-8
94.1%
Adrian Martinez sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the SDako 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 7INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:106% → 6%
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
93.7%
Carson Camp pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
93.7%
Carson Camp pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 1:2894% → 96%
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
94.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 11 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
94.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 4 yds to the SDako 48Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
94.3%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:17
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+9
94.2%
Adrian Martinez run for 9 yds to the SDako 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
95.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 39 yds for a TD, (Chris Tennant PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 9DOWNS
6 plays · 37 yds · 1:574% → 4%
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+29
95.9%
Travis Theis run for 29 yds to the KanSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-4
95.6%
Carson Camp pass complete to Travis Theis for a loss of 4 yards Travis Theis fumbled, recovered by SDakoSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 34
+5
95.8%
Travis Theis run for 5 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q2 13:47
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+8
96.0%
Travis Theis run for 8 yds to the KanSt 21Similar
Q2 13:42
4TH & 1
OPP 21
-1
95.9%
Travis Theis run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:1696% → 96%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
96.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 25Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 7
OWN 25
-10
95.9%
MARTINEZ, Adrian scrambles to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the KSU27 (HARDEN, Myles), out of bounds. PENALTY KSU Holding on BEEBE, Cooper enforced 10 yards from the KSU25 to the KSU15 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 17
OWN 15
+2
95.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 2 yds to the KanSt 17Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 15
OWN 17
+9
95.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 9 yds to the KanSt 26Similar
Q2 11:26
4TH & 6
OWN 26
0
96.3%
Ty Zentner punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Carter Bell at the SDako 28Similar
Q2 11:26
4TH & 6
OWN 26
0
96.3%
Ty Zentner punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Carter Bell at the SDako 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:094% → 3%
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-4
96.3%
Travis Theis run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDako 24Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 14
OWN 24
+9
96.4%
Carson Camp run for 9 yds to the SDako 33Similar
Q2 11:26
3RD & 5
OWN 33
-7
96.3%
Carson Camp sacked by Brendan Mott for a loss of 7 yards to the SDako 26Similar
Q2 9:17
4TH & 12
OWN 26
0
96.7%
John Bickle punt for 52 yds, downed at the KanSt 22Similar
Q2 9:17
4TH & 12
OWN 26
0
96.7%
John Bickle punt for 52 yds, downed at the KanSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 3:2897% → 99%
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+17
96.6%
Adrian Martinez run for 17 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
96.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+3
96.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 47Similar
Q2 9:17
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+15
96.6%
SOUTH DAKOTA Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Michael Scott) to the SDako 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+16
96.7%
DJ Giddens run for 16 yds to the SDako 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
96.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Malik Knowles for 5 yds to the SDako 17Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+11
96.7%
DJ Giddens run for 11 yds to the SDako 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.6%
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds for a TD, (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:511% → 1%
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Carson Camp pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.7%
Shomari Lawrence run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDako 24Similar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
98.7%
Carson Camp pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:58
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.1%
John Bickle punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 45Similar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
98.7%
BROOKS, Phillip rush to the right for no gain to the KSU45 (GANUES, Josiah), out of bounds. PENALTY KSU Holding on SWANSON, Will enforced 10 yards from the KSU45 to the KSU35 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:1499% → 99%
Q2 4:58
1ST & 20
OWN 35
+5
98.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Will Swanson for 5 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 15
OWN 40
+6
98.6%
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+5
98.6%
SOUTH DAKOTA Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the SDako 49Similar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 4
OPP 49
-2
98.7%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 49Similar
Q2 2:44
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
98.8%
Ty Zentner punt for 44 yds, downed at the SDako 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 15Uncategorized
9 plays · 44 yds · 2:171% → 1%
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-4
99.3%
Travis Theis run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDako 3Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 14
OWN 3
+13
99.4%
Carson Camp pass complete to Carter Bell for 13 yds to the SDako 16Similar
Q2 2:44
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+5
99.3%
run for 5 yds to the SDako 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+17
99.3%
Shomari Lawrence run for 17 yds to the SDako 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
99.3%
Carson Camp sacked by Jaylen Pickle for a loss of 2 yards to the SDako 36Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+6
99.4%
Shomari Lawrence run for 6 yds to the SDako 42Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+9
99.3%
Carson Camp pass complete to Javion Phelps for 9 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:221% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Carson Camp pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
99.2%
Carson Camp sacked by Eli Huggins for a loss of 10 yards to the SDako 15Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+9
99.2%
Mike Mansaray run for 9 yds to the SDako 24Similar
Q3 13:38
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
98.4%
John Bickle punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 37Similar
Q3 13:38
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
98.4%
John Bickle punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17TD
11 plays · 63 yds · 4:5599% → 100%
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
99.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 9 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 1
OWN 46
0
99.3%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+1
99.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
99.4%
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the SDako 47Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+2
99.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the SDako 45Similar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 2
OPP 45
0
99.3%
Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the SDako 45Similar
Q3 13:38
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+8
99.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 8 yds to the SDako 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the SDako 37Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+25
99.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 25 yds to the SDako 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.7%
DJ Giddens run for 12 yds for a TD, (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 18DOWNS
16 plays · 39 yds · 4:380% → 0%
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Carson Camp pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.7%
Carson Camp pass complete to Javion Phelps for 13 yds to the SDako 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
99.6%
Carson Camp pass complete to Austin Goehring for 3 yds to the SDako 41Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+5
99.6%
Carson Camp pass complete to Andrew Jacobs for 5 yds to the SDako 46Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+7
99.6%
Carson Camp pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 7 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
99.6%
SOUTH DAKOTA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SDako 48Similar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+4
99.6%
Mike Mansaray run for 4 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+19
99.6%
Carson Camp pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 19 yds to the KanSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-10
99.6%
MANSARAY, Mike rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the KSU26 (SAVAGE, Kobe). PENALTY USD Holding on ELLINGSON, Caden enforced 10 yards from the KSU29 to the KSU39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 20
OPP 39
+13
99.6%
Shomari Lawrence run for 13 yds to the KanSt 26Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 7
OPP 26
-10
99.5%
LAWRENCE, Shomari rush to the left for a gain of 18 yards to the KSU8 (PAYNE, VJ). PENALTY USD Holding on ELLINGSON, Caden enforced 10 yards from the KSU26 to the KSU36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 17
OPP 36
0
99.8%
Carson Camp pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:17
3RD & 17
OPP 36
0
99.8%
Carson Camp pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:05
4TH & 17
OPP 36
0
99.8%
Carson Camp pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:05
4TH & 17
OPP 36
0
99.8%
Carson Camp pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:17100% → 100%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
99.8%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Micah Roane for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 32Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+5
99.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 5 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
Q3 4:05
3RD & 9
OWN 37
-1
99.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 36Similar
Q3 1:48
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Ty Zentner punt for 31 yds , returns for no gain to the SDako 33Similar
Q3 1:48
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Ty Zentner punt for 31 yds , returns for no gain to the SDako 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:520% → 0%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
Carson Camp run for 5 yds to the SDako 40Similar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+9
99.9%
Carson Camp pass complete to Austin Goehring for 9 yds to the SDako 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Carson Camp pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
99.9%
Carson Camp pass complete to Shomari Lawrence for 6 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+3
99.9%
Shomari Lawrence run for 3 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 1
OPP 42
-1
99.9%
Travis Theis run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 43Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 1
OPP 42
-1
99.9%
Travis Theis run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:54100% → 100%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
99.9%
DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+3
99.9%
Jake Rubley pass complete to DJ Giddens for 3 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 4
OWN 49
-1
99.9%
Jake Rubley run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 48Similar
Q4 13:02
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Ty Zentner punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Carter Bell at the SDako 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:130% → 0%
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Carson Camp pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
99.9%
Travis Theis run for 11 yds to the SDako 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
99.9%
Travis Theis run for 8 yds to the SDako 39Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 2
OWN 39
-14
99.9%
run for a loss of 14 yards to the SDako 25 fumbled, recovered by SDako Carson CampSimilar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 16
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Carson Camp pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:49
4TH & 16
OWN 25
0
99.9%
John Bickle punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23MISSED FG
12 plays · 48 yds · 4:59100% → 100%
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
99.9%
DJ Giddens run for 6 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+3
99.9%
Jake Rubley run for 3 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q4 9:55
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+3
99.9%
Jake Rubley run for 3 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
99.9%
Jake Rubley pass complete to Will Swanson for 18 yds to the SDako 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 19
OWN 48
+17
99.9%
Jake Rubley pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 17 yds to the SDako 35Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+9
99.9%
DJ Giddens run for 9 yds to the SDako 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
99.9%
Jake Rubley run for 3 yds to the SDako 23Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+4
99.9%
Jake Rubley pass complete to Christian Moore for 4 yds to the SDako 19Similar
Q4 9:55
3RD & 3
OPP 19
-6
99.9%
Jake Rubley sacked by Michael Scott for a loss of 6 yards to the SDako 25Similar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-9
99.9%
RUBLEY, Jake pass to the right complete for 14 yards to MOORE, Christian caught at the USD29 and advanced to the USD29 (HILLIS, Stephen), out of bounds. PENALTY KSU Holding on HECHT, Sam enforced 9 yards from the USD43 to the KSU48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:50
4TH & 9
OPP 25
+43
99.9%
Chris Tennant 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 24DOWNS
15 plays · 71 yds · 4:520% → 0%
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
100.0%
Shomari Lawrence run for 12 yds to the SDako 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
100.0%
SOUTH DAKOTA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SDako 32Similar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+3
100.0%
Shomari Lawrence run for 3 yds to the SDako 35Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+22
100.0%
Carson Camp pass complete to Jack Martens for 22 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Carson Camp pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
100.0%
Shomari Lawrence run for 3 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+13
100.0%
Carson Camp pass complete to Jack Martens for 13 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
100.0%
Carson Camp pass complete to Jordan Sommerville for 1 yd to the KanSt 26Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+2
100.0%
Shomari Lawrence run for 2 yds to the KanSt 24Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+13
100.0%
Shomari Lawrence run for 13 yds to the KanSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
100.0%
Shomari Lawrence run for 4 yds to the KanSt 7Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+2
100.0%
Shomari Lawrence run for 2 yds to the KanSt 5Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 4
OPP 5
0
100.0%
Carson Camp pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:58
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+1
100.0%
Mike Mansaray run for 1 yd to the KanSt 4Similar
Q4 0:58
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+1
100.0%
Mike Mansaray run for 1 yd to the KanSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:49
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds for a TD, (Chris Tennant KICK)
+1.8
TD · Q1 0:49
Deuce Vaughn run for 39 yds for a TD, (Chris Tennant PAT MISSED)
+1.7
KEY PLAY · Q3 13:38
Deuce Vaughn run for 9 yds to the KanSt 46
+0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com