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MUR

Murray State 10 at Texas Tech 63

TTU
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2022 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadMUR aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreMUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:20 · Austin McNamara punt for 39 yds, downed at the MurrS 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 124Pregame prior+24.1Home team on offense+32.3Score differential+27.6Blowout margin+14.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.7Garbage-time factor+11.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 2:29: Aaron Baum 31 yd FG GOOD — MUR win probability +0.5 pts (now 2%) (top driver: MUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:35: Donovan Smith pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 30 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK) — TTU win probability +0.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:29: DJ Williams pass complete to Jacob Bell for 54 yds for a TD, (Aaron Baum KICK) — MUR win probability +0.9 pts (now 3%) (top driver: MUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 13:13: Donovan Smith pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 39 yds for a TD, (Gino Garcia KICK) — TTU win probability +1.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:26: Tahj Brooks run for 23 yds for a TD, (Gino Garcia KICK) — TTU win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3MUR made the numbers' call on 11 of 14
  1. Q1 11:54MUR 4th & 3 at MUR 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:35MUR 4th & 18 at MUR 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:29MUR 4th & 13 at TTU 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:31MUR 4th & 1 at MUR 14, down 18
    Close callPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:25MUR 4th & 11 at MUR 45, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00MUR 4th & 8 at TTU 8, down 32
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:33MUR 4th & 11 at MUR 24, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:56MUR 4th & 4 at MUR 31, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:56MUR 4th & 3 at MUR 11, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:20TTU 4th & 12 at MUR 44, up 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:07MUR 4th & 4 at MUR 11, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:01MUR 4th & 4 at MUR 31, down 53
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:56TTU 4th & 2 at TTU 20, up 53
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:00MUR 4th & 11 at MUR 29, down 53
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:03TTU 4th & 10 at TTU 38, up 53
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:17MUR 4th & 4 at MUR 12, down 53
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:25MUR 4th & 4 at MUR 16, down 53
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9MUR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:34TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:28TTU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:35TTU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:29MUR Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 13:13TTU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 8:30TTU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 2:26TTU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 12:38TTU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 9:34TTU Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 13:40TTU Touchdown, up 52 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MURDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:591% → 1%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
98.9%
Damonta Witherspoon run for 8 yds to the MurrS 38Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+1
98.9%
Damonta Witherspoon run for 1 yd to the MurrS 39Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
98.9%
Cortezz Jones run for 2 yds to the MurrS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
98.9%
Damonta Witherspoon run for 4 yds to the MurrS 45Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+3
98.9%
Damonta Witherspoon run for 3 yds to the MurrS 48Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
98.9%
DJ Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:54
4TH & 3
OWN 48
+5
98.6%
Lewis Halton punt for 51 yds , Adrian Frye returns for 5 yds to the TexTc 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 94 yds · 1:2099% → 99%
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+39
98.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 39 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
98.6%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 40Similar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+7
98.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 7 yds to the TexTc 47Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+23
98.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Henry Teeter for 23 yds to the MurrS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
98.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 30 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:591% → 2%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.6%
MURRAY ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (DJ Williams) to the MurrS 20Similar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-8
98.6%
DJ Williams sacked by Tony Bradford Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the MurrS 12Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 23
OWN 12
-2
98.6%
Damonta Witherspoon run for a loss of 2 yards to the MurrS 10Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 25
OWN 10
+7
98.6%
Damonta Witherspoon run for 7 yds to the MurrS 17Similar
Q1 8:35
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
98.4%
Lewis Halton punt for 42 yds, downed at the TexTc 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 1:0798% → 99%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+33
98.4%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 33 yds Loic Fouonji fumbled, recovered by TexTc Loic Fouonji for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
98.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the MurrS 24Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
98.5%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+10
98.4%
SHOUGH, Tyler pass to the right incomplete intended for FOUONJI, Loic thrown to the MSU0. PENALTY MSU Holding on MCKEE, DaVontae enforced 10 yards from the MSU24 to the MSU14 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
98.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 14 yds for a TD, (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 5FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 4:592% → 2%
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.5%
Damonta Witherspoon run for no gain to the MurrS 25Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.5%
DJ Williams pass complete to DeQuan Dallas for 2 yds to the MurrS 27Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
98.5%
WILLIAMS, DJ pass to the right incomplete intended for BELL, Jacob thrown to the TTU34. PENALTY TTU Holding on WILLIAMS, Rayshad enforced 10 yards from the MSU27 to the MSU37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-7
98.5%
Damonta Witherspoon run for a loss of 7 yards to the MurrS 33 Damonta Witherspoon fumbled, recovered by MurrS DJ WilliamsSimilar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 14
OWN 33
+7
98.5%
DJ Williams pass complete to Taylor Shields for 7 yds to the MurrS 40Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+51
98.5%
DJ Williams pass complete to LaMartez Brooks for 51 yds to the TexTc 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
98.4%
Damonta Witherspoon run for no gain to the TexTc 9Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
98.4%
Damonta Witherspoon run for 2 yds to the TexTc 7Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-6
98.5%
DJ Williams sacked by Krishon Merriweather and Tyree Wilson for a loss of 6 yards to the TexTc 13Similar
Q1 2:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+31
98.0%
Aaron Baum 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:5498% → 98%
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
98.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 31Similar
Q1 2:29
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+17
97.9%
Tyler Shough run for 17 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
98.0%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+10
98.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 10 yds to the MurrS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
98.0%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
98.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the MurrS 39Similar
Q1 2:29
3RD & 7
OPP 39
-5
98.0%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:29
3RD & 12
OPP 44
+19
98.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 19 yds to the MurrS 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
97.8%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-10
97.8%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Henry Teeter) to the MurrS 30Similar
Q2 14:35
3RD & 15
OPP 30
+30
98.4%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 30 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 7TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:062% → 3%
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
98.4%
DJ Williams sacked by Philip Blidi for a loss of 3 yards to the MurrS 22Similar
Q2 14:35
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
98.4%
DJ Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:35
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+24
98.4%
DJ Williams pass complete to DeQuan Dallas for 24 yds to the MurrS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
97.4%
DJ Williams pass complete to Jacob Bell for 54 yds for a TD, (Aaron Baum KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8TD
1 play · 39 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
98.4%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 39 yds for a TD, (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:302% → 2%
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
98.3%
DJ Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+4
98.3%
Damonta Witherspoon run for 4 yds to the MurrS 9Similar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 6
OWN 9
+5
98.3%
Damonta Witherspoon run for 5 yds to the MurrS 14Similar
Q2 11:31
4TH & 1
OWN 14
0
98.3%
Lewis Halton punt for 18 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 32 yds · 3:0198% → 98%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
98.4%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 8 yds to the MurrS 24Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 2
OPP 24
0
98.3%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+3
98.3%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the MurrS 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
98.3%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Myles Price for 6 yds to the MurrS 15Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+6
98.3%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 6 yds to the MurrS 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
98.3%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 1 yd to the MurrS 8Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
98.3%
Donovan Smith run for 5 yds to the MurrS 3Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 4:052% → 2%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
98.2%
Q'Darryius Jennings run for a loss of 2 yards to the MurrS 23Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-2
98.2%
Q'Darryius Jennings run for a loss of 2 yards to the MurrS 21Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+14
98.0%
DJ Williams pass complete to Q'Darryius Jennings for 14 yds to the MurrS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
98.1%
Damonta Witherspoon run for 11 yds to the MurrS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-4
98.1%
DJ Williams sacked by Philip Blidi for a loss of 4 yards to the MurrS 42Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 14
OWN 42
+3
98.2%
Cortezz Jones run for 3 yds to the MurrS 45Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 11
OWN 45
0
98.2%
DJ Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:25
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
98.2%
Lewis Halton punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 1:5999% → 100%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
99.1%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 8 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+5
99.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the TexTc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.1%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+24
99.1%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 24 yds to the MurrS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+20
99.1%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Baylor Cupp for 20 yds to the MurrS 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
99.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 23 yds for a TD, (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 13DOWNS
11 plays · 67 yds · 2:260% → 0%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
Cortezz Jones run for 1 yd to the MurrS 26Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.8%
DJ Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+15
99.8%
WILLIAMS, DJ pass to the right incomplete thrown to the MSU41; QB hurried by HUTCHINGS, Jaylon. PENALTY TTU Pass Interference on WILLIAMS, Rayshad enforced 15 yards to the MSU41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+22
99.8%
DJ Williams pass complete to Jacob Bell for 22 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.7%
DJ Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+33
99.8%
DJ Williams pass complete to Curtis Rearden for 33 yds to the TexTc 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.7%
Q'Darryius Jennings run for no gain to the TexTc 4Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-4
99.6%
Cortezz Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 8Similar
Q2 2:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.8%
DJ Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.6%
DJ Williams pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 14TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 2:12100% → 100%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
99.6%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 11 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
99.6%
Donovan Smith run for 4 yds to the MurrS 48Similar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+15
99.6%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Xavier White for 15 yds to the MurrS 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
99.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the MurrS 30Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+30
99.8%
Donovan Smith pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 30 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 2:050% → 0%
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.8%
Cortezz Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the MurrS 23Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-4
99.8%
Cortezz Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the MurrS 19Similar
Q3 12:38
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+5
99.8%
Q'Darryius Jennings run for 5 yds to the MurrS 24Similar
Q3 10:33
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+18
99.8%
Lewis Halton punt for 41 yds , Myles Price returns for 18 yds to the MurrS 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16TD
3 plays · 47 yds · 0:59100% → 100%
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+17
99.8%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Myles Price for 17 yds to the MurrS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
99.8%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Myles Price for 16 yds to the MurrS 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.9%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 14 yds for a TD, (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:380% → 0%
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Jawaun Northington run for no gain to the MurrS 25Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Lucas Maue run for 6 yds to the MurrS 31Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Lucas Maue pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:56
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Lewis Halton punt for 39 yds , Drew Hocutt returns for no gain to the TexTc 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 3:14100% → 100%
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+24
99.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 24 yds to the MurrS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
99.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to J.J. Sparkman for 14 yds to the MurrS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Behren Morton run for no gain to the MurrS 30 Behren Morton fumbled, recovered by TexTc Behren MortonSimilar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+11
99.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Drew Hocutt for 11 yds to the MurrS 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.9%
Bryson Donnell run for no gain to the MurrS 19Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-5
99.9%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MurrS 24Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 15
OPP 24
-13
99.9%
Behren Morton sacked by Cam Brown for a loss of 13 yards to the MurrS 37Similar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 28
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:56
4TH & 28
OPP 37
-5
99.8%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the MurrS 42Similar
Q3 4:42
4TH & 33
OPP 42
0
99.8%
Austin McNamara punt for 38 yds, downed at the MurrS 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:460% → 0%
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
99.9%
Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds to the MurrS 6Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 8
OWN 6
0
99.9%
Lucas Maue pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:42
3RD & 8
OWN 6
+5
99.9%
Q'Darryius Jennings run for 5 yds to the MurrS 11Similar
Q3 2:56
4TH & 3
OWN 11
+19
99.9%
Lewis Halton punt for 50 yds , Drew Hocutt returns for 19 yds to the MurrS 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:09100% → 100%
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
99.9%
Bryson Donnell run for 2 yds to the MurrS 40Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+1
99.9%
Bryson Donnell run for 1 yd to the MurrS 39Similar
Q3 2:29
4TH & 7
OPP 39
-5
99.9%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the MurrS 44Similar
Q3 1:20
4TH & 12
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Austin McNamara punt for 39 yds, downed at the MurrS 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:130% → 0%
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
100.0%
Cortezz Jones run for 4 yds to the MurrS 9Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+4
100.0%
Cortezz Jones run for 4 yds to the MurrS 13Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 13
-2
100.0%
Cortezz Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the MurrS 11Similar
Q4 14:07
4TH & 4
OWN 11
+13
100.0%
Lewis Halton punt for 37 yds , Xavier White returns for 13 yds to the MurrS 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22TD
2 plays · 35 yds · 0:27100% → 100%
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+14
99.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 14 yds to the MurrS 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
99.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Mason Tharp for 21 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:390% → 0%
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Lucas Maue pass complete to Q'Darryius Jennings for 1 yd to the MurrS 26Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Lucas Maue pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
100.0%
Lucas Maue run for 5 yds to the MurrS 31Similar
Q4 12:01
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Lewis Halton punt for 57 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
99.9%
Bryson Donnell run for 1 yd to the TexTc 13Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+1
99.9%
Bryson Donnell run for 1 yd to the TexTc 14Similar
Q4 12:01
3RD & 8
OWN 14
+6
99.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 6 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
Q4 9:56
4TH & 2
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Austin McNamara punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:560% → 0%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
100.0%
Jawaun Northington run for 1 yd to the MurrS 31Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 9
OWN 31
-2
100.0%
Jawaun Northington run for a loss of 2 yards to the MurrS 29Similar
Q4 9:56
3RD & 11
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Lucas Maue pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:00
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Lewis Halton punt for 33 yds, downed at the TexTc 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:57100% → 100%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
100.0%
Blake Bedwell run for 2 yds to the TexTc 40Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-4
100.0%
Behren Morton run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 36Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 12
OWN 36
+7
100.0%
Behren Morton pass complete to Haydon Wiginton for 7 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q4 8:00
4TH & 5
OWN 43
-5
100.0%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the TexTc 38Similar
Q4 6:03
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Austin McNamara punt for 56 yds , Dameon Gomes returns for no gain to the MurrS 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:460% → 0%
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
100.0%
Kylan Galbreath run for 4 yds to the MurrS 10Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+2
100.0%
Lucas Maue run for 2 yds to the MurrS 12Similar
Q4 6:03
3RD & 4
OWN 12
0
100.0%
Lucas Maue pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 4
OWN 12
0
100.0%
Lewis Halton punt for 22 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 28INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
100.0%
Behren Morton pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:450% → 0%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
100.0%
Jawaun Northington run for 4 yds to the MurrS 14Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+2
100.0%
Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds to the MurrS 16Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 4
OWN 16
0
100.0%
Lucas Maue pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:25
4TH & 4
OWN 16
0
100.0%
Lewis Halton punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Drew Hocutt at the TexTc 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 30END OF GAME
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
100.0%
Bryson Donnell run for 1 yd to the TexTc 36Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+2
100.0%
Bryson Donnell run for 2 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+15
100.0%
Bryson Donnell run for 15 yds to the MurrS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:13
Donovan Smith pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 39 yds for a TD, (Gino Garcia KICK)
+1
TD · Q2 13:29
DJ Williams pass complete to Jacob Bell for 54 yds for a TD, (Aaron Baum KICK)
-0.9
TD · Q2 14:35
Donovan Smith pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 30 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com