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WASH

Washington 51 at Washington State 33

WSU
2022 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2022 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:03 · (00:03) [NH] Kneel down by UW at UW41 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:27: Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 47 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +8.3 pts (now 63%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:41: Michael Penix Jr. 30 Yd Run (Peyton Henry Kick) — WASH win probability +8.9 pts (now 62%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:50: Jalen McMillan 75 Yd pass from Michael Penix Jr. (Peyton Henry Kick) — WASH win probability +18.6 pts (now 71%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:30: Nakia Watson run for 4 yds for a TD, (C. Ward Run For Two-point Conversion) — WSU win probability +16.8 pts (now 49%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  5. TD · Q4 14:30: Rome Odunze run for 5 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry PAT MISSED) — WASH win probability +18.0 pts (now 82%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10WASH made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 12:18WSU 4th & 13 at WASH 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.6%
    49% to make
    Punt
    45.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:19WASH 4th & 20 at WSU 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−0.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    52.2%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:06WSU 4th & 6 at WSU 6, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:34WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    45.1%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:54WSU 4th & 2 at WASH 22, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    45.7%−0.5
    72% to make
    Punt
    42.9%−3.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:05WSU 4th & 10 at WASH 34, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    45.0%
    47% to make
    Punt
    44.5%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:24WSU 4th & 7 at WASH 34, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    43.5%−0.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    42.3%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:55WSU 4th & 21 at WSU 36, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−3.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:58WSU 4th & 2 at WSU 28, down 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%−2.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:19WSU 4th & 14 at WASH 43, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−1.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    20.3%−0.9
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:02WASH 4th & 3 at WSU 3, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.3%−1.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    81.5%−8.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:38WSU 4th & 20 at WSU 47, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%−0.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3WASH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 5:23WASH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:53WSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:27WASH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:05WSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:41WASH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 14:50WASH Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:30WSU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    48.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    47.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:30WASH Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    77.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:28WASH Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 2:4137% → 38%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.5%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
36.5%
Cameron Ward run for 10 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
36.7%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:33
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+15
36.7%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Alex Cook) to the Wash 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
37.0%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wash 35Similar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 15
OPP 35
-2
37.0%
Cameron Ward run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 37Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 17
OPP 37
0
37.3%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 17
OPP 37
+4
37.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 4 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q1 12:18
4TH & 13
OPP 33
+50
37.7%
Dean Janikowski 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2PUNT
13 plays · 30 yds · 3:5862% → 59%
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
37.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
37.9%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 7 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+8
38.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 8 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
38.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 11 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
38.4%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+12
38.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 12 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
38.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
39.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 10
OPP 35
-10
39.9%
(08:51) QB Keeper PENIX JR., Michael rush to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the WSU32 (SMITH-WADE, Chau), out of bounds, clock 08:46. PENALTY UW Holding on DAVIS, Cameron enforced 10 yards from the WSU35 to the WSU45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:24
3RD & 20
OPP 45
0
40.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:19
4TH & 20
OPP 45
0
41.3%
Jack McCallister punt for 43 yds, downed at the WshSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0441% → 41%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
40.7%
Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the WshSt 4Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+2
40.8%
Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the WshSt 6Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 6
OWN 6
0
41.4%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:06
4TH & 6
OWN 6
0
41.3%
Nick Haberer punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jalen McMillan at the WshSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4TD
4 plays · 44 yds · 1:3659% → 62%
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
40.7%
Cameron Davis run for 14 yds to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
40.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+4
40.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 4 yds to the WshSt 26Similar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+26
37.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 26 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:2940% → 45%
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
39.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 4 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
40.0%
Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
39.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 3 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q1 3:34
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+36
39.5%
Nick Haberer pass complete to Daiyan Henley for 36 yds to the Wash 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
42.1%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-5
42.1%
Cameron Ward sacked by Bralen Trice for a loss of 5 yards to the Wash 35Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 15
OPP 35
+13
40.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 13 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q1 1:54
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+4
40.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 4 yds to the Wash 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
42.1%
Cameron Ward run for 4 yds to the Wash 14Similar
Q1 1:02
2ND & 6
OPP 14
0
42.2%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:53
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+14
45.2%
Cameron Ward run for 14 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 2:1955% → 63%
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
44.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 9 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q1 0:19
2ND & 1
OWN 30
0
44.4%
Cameron Davis run for no gain to the Wash 30Similar
Q2 14:59
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+3
44.9%
Cameron Davis run for 3 yds to the Wash 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
45.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
45.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 10
OWN 33
-5
46.3%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Delay Of Game (Michael Penix Jr.) to the Wash 28Similar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 15
OWN 28
+25
46.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 25 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
37.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 47 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 2:1641% → 46%
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
41.1%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 1 yd to the WshSt 31Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 9
OWN 31
-5
41.3%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 26Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 14
OWN 26
+26
41.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 26 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
43.2%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+14
43.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Orion Peters for 14 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
44.5%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
44.5%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:23
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
43.2%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:05
4TH & 10
OPP 34
+34
46.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 34 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:2352% → 62%
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
48.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+19
48.5%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 19 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+26
47.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 26 yds to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
38.4%
Michael Penix Jr. 30 Yd Run (Peyton Henry Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 4:2741% → 44%
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
40.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 27Similar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 13
OWN 27
+14
40.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 14 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
42.2%
Nakia Watson run for 4 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+18
42.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 18 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
42.1%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+9
42.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 9 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q2 7:19
3RD & 1
OPP 28
-10
42.2%
(07:19) WATSON, Nakia rush to the left for a gain of 13 yards to the UW15 (TUPUTALA, Alphonzo), clock 07:17. PENALTY WSU Holding on HILBORN, Christian enforced 10 yards from the UW28 to the UW38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 11
OPP 38
+4
40.7%
Nakia Watson run for 4 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q2 6:24
4TH & 7
OPP 34
+14
40.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 14 yds to the Wash 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
44.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 5 yds to the Wash 15Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+15
43.6%
Nakia Watson 15 Yd pass from Cameron Ward (Dean Janikowski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10TD
8 plays · 83 yds · 3:2070% → 66%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+48
30.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 48 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
27.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Quentin Moore for 6 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+3
27.3%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds to the WshSt 26Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+2
27.3%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the WshSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
26.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 12 yds to the WshSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
26.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+8
26.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Devin Culp for 8 yds to the WshSt 4Similar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+4
34.3%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11FG
14 plays · 63 yds · 1:3940% → 47%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
40.4%
Nakia Watson run for 4 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
40.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 1 yd to the WshSt 30Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+12
40.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 12 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
42.3%
Nakia Watson run for no gain to the Wash 42 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Kamren Fabiculanan) to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
43.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Anderson Grover for 6 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
43.9%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+15
43.7%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Alex Cook) to the Wash 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
46.0%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+11
46.0%
Nakia Watson run for 11 yds to the Wash 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
45.8%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
45.8%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (Cameron Ward) to the Wash 12Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
45.6%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
47.2%
Dean Janikowski 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
28.6%
Jalen McMillan 75 Yd pass from Michael Penix Jr. (Peyton Henry Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:5431% → 28%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
30.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 3 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+19
30.6%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 19 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-8
32.8%
Jaylen Jenkins run for a loss of 8 yards to the WshSt 39Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 18
OWN 39
-2
30.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 37Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 20
OWN 37
-1
28.8%
Cameron Ward sacked by Kristopher Moll for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 36Similar
Q3 11:55
4TH & 21
OWN 36
0
27.8%
Nick Haberer punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jalen McMillan at the Wash 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14FUMBLE
2 plays · 32 yds · 0:3472% → 74%
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+26
28.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 26 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
25.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Cameron Davis for 6 yds Cameron Davis fumbled, recovered by WshSt Chau Smith-WadeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 58 yds · 4:3431% → 49%
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
31.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 2
50
-3
32.6%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 47 fumbled, recovered by WshSt Cameron WardSimilar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+19
31.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 19 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
34.1%
Jaylen Jenkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 36Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 12
OPP 36
+11
32.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Billy Riviere III for 11 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q3 8:37
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+12
32.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 12 yds to the Wash 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
33.6%
Cameron Ward run for 2 yds to the Wash 11Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+3
33.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 3 yds to the Wash 8Similar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+2
31.8%
(07:03) WARD, Cameron pass to the left complete for 2 yards to VICTOR, Lincoln caught at the UW6 and advanced to the UW6 (COOK, Alex), clock 06:55. PENALTY Before the snap, UW Illegal Substitution enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the UW8 to the UW4. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+4
48.6%
Nakia Watson run for 4 yds for a TD, (C. Ward Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16INT
9 plays · 64 yds · 3:5458% → 64%
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
42.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 7 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
40.0%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 7 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
39.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
39.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 2 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q3 4:29
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+23
40.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 23 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
38.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+7
38.0%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 7 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+18
38.0%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 18 yds to the WshSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
36.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2944% → 42%
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
44.4%
Cameron Ward run for 4 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+3
44.9%
Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q3 1:39
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+1
43.6%
Cameron Ward run for 1 yd to the WshSt 28Similar
Q3 0:58
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
42.4%
Nick Haberer punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jalen McMillan at the Wash 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18TD
6 plays · 72 yds · 1:2260% → 82%
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
39.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:47
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
40.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:40
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+15
41.5%
(00:40) PENIX JR., Michael pass up the middle incomplete intended for POLK, Ja'Lynn thrown to the WSU32, clock 00:34. PENALTY WSU Pass Interference on LANGFORD, Derrick enforced 15 yards to the UW43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
37.2%
Cameron Davis run for 11 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+41
36.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 41 yds to the WshSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
18.5%
Rome Odunze run for 5 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:1024% → 20%
Q4 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
24.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 8 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
25.6%
Cameron Ward run for 1 yd to the WshSt 34Similar
Q4 13:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
24.3%
Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
22.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 10 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
24.4%
(12:50) WARD, Cameron pass up the middle incomplete intended for STRIBLING, De'Zhaun thrown to the UW5, clock 12:42. PENALTY UW Pass Interference on HAMPTON, Dominique enforced 15 yards to the UW39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
26.0%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+2
25.8%
Cameron Ward run for 2 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q4 11:59
3RD & 8
OPP 37
-6
25.1%
Cameron Ward sacked by Jayvon Parker for a loss of 6 yards to the Wash 43Similar
Q4 11:19
4TH & 14
OPP 43
0
20.2%
Nick Haberer punt for 40 yds, downed at the Wash 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20FG
15 plays · 94 yds · 6:0881% → 91%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
18.7%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 1 yd to the Wash 4Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+8
18.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 8 yds to the Wash 12Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+1
18.2%
Cameron Davis run for 1 yd to the Wash 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+26
17.1%
Cameron Davis run for 26 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
14.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+9
14.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 9 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q4 7:43
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+3
12.7%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
11.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Devin Culp for 4 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
9.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:43
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+12
10.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Taj Davis for 12 yds to the WshSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+30
8.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 30 yds to the WshSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
8.3%
Will Nixon run for no gain to the WshSt 3Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
8.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
8.6%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Troy Fautanu) declinedSimilar
Q4 5:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
9.5%
Peyton Henry 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:1810% → 6%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
10.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 6 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 4
OWN 33
0
10.6%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:23
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+2
9.6%
Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q4 4:07
4TH & 2
OWN 35
+5
9.1%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Delay Of Game (Giles Jackson) to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
10.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 17 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-9
11.1%
Cameron Ward sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the WshSt 48Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 19
OWN 48
0
7.3%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 19
OWN 48
-1
6.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 47Similar
Q4 2:38
4TH & 20
OWN 47
+10
6.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 10 yds to the Wash 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22TD
4 plays · 57 yds · 0:5195% → 99%
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
4.8%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 5 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+12
4.7%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 12 yds to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
0.9%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 40 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23Uncategorized
10 plays · 29 yds · 1:162% → 2%
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
1.7%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+9
1.6%
Nakia Watson run for 9 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+15
1.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 15 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
1.7%
Cameron Ward run for 4 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 6
OPP 49
-11
1.7%
Cameron Ward sacked by Zion Tupuola-Fetui for a loss of 11 yards to the WshSt 40Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 17
OWN 40
+10
1.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:11
4TH & 7
50
+15
1.5%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
1.7%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Delay Of Game (Michael Penix Jr.) to the Wash 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -7 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:03
1ST & 15
OWN 43
0
1.7%
(00:03) [NH] Kneel down by UW at UW41 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:50
Jalen McMillan 75 Yd pass from Michael Penix Jr. (Peyton Henry Kick)
-18.6
TD · Q4 14:30
Rome Odunze run for 5 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry PAT MISSED)
-18
TD · Q3 6:30
Nakia Watson run for 4 yds for a TD, (C. Ward Run For Two-point Conversion)
+16.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com